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on Tourism Economics |
| By: | Edgar J. Sánchez-Carrera; Elvio Accinelli; Humberto Muñiz |
| Abstract: | Tourism is often promoted as a route to local development, yet many destinations combine persistent visitor flows with poverty, informality, insecurity, and weak local spillovers. This paper develops a coordination model to explain that paradox. Governments choose between public investment and extraction, residents between formal and informal participation, and tourists between local engagement and enclave consumption. Tourism-led growth emerges only when these choices are mutually reinforcing. Otherwise, individually rational responses can stabilize a low-development regime in which institutions remain weak, residents stay informal, and visitor spending bypasses local supply chains. The static game admits both a low-development equilibrium and a high-development equilibrium. Embedding the model in replicator dynamics shows how thresholds, initial conditions, and coordinated reforms shape transitions between traps and more inclusive regimes. The paper contributes a mechanism-based framework for understanding why tourism can be economically central and yet fail to generate broad-based local development. |
| Keywords: | Tourism-led growth; poverty traps; coordination failure; informality; enclave tourism; evolutionary game theory. |
| JEL: | C72 C73 O17 O43 R11 Z32 |
| Date: | 2026 |
| URL: | https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:frz:wpaper:wp2026_19.rdf |
| By: | Manthé, Elodie (University Savoie Mont-Blanc) |
| Abstract: | This research note introduces a new image-based tool that integrates inspiration and co-creation in tourist decision-making. Grounded in prospective memory – a concept developed in psychology literature- the tool enables participants to mentally simulate and visualize a future trip, constructing a fictitious travel diary through illustrated cards. This approach serves as both a research method for studying decision-making processes and a practical tool for tourism professionals. We explore its theoretical foundations, applications, and potential to enhance tourist engagement and travel booking experiences. |
| Date: | 2026–08–18 |
| URL: | https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:osf:socarx:2bnjz_v1 |
| By: | B. Moyo (University of South Africa); T. Gwatidzo (University of the Witwatersrand) |
| Abstract: | The announcement that South Africa would host the 2010 FIFA World Cup in 2004 was a triumphant moment for the country and the African continent at large. It marked the first time in FIFA's history that an African country would host the World Cup. In this study, we use the synthetic control method to create a counterfactual South Africa without the World Cup and compare it with the actual South Africa to analyse the impact of this tournament. Our results show that, although hosting the World Cup games in 2010 had no positive impact on GDP, it significantly increased tourism inflows. We, however, found evidence that GDP did increase from the announcement of South Africa hosting the tournament to one year before the event. This suggests that the analysis of these events should focus on both the year of the event and the period immediately after the host announcement. |
| Keywords: | FIFA World Cup, South Africa, GDP, Tourism, Synthetic Control Method |
| JEL: | L83 O11 O55 O47 C31 C33 E23 |
| Date: | 2025–12–30 |
| URL: | https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:afa:wpaper:wp032025 |
| By: | Omid Oshriyeh (University of South Carolina [Columbia]); Ercan Sirakaya-Turk; Yuksel Ekinci |
| Abstract: | Many tourists support sustainability, but sustainable tourism markets are not homogeneous. This paper reports the results of a study on whether sustainability values can be used to segment UK tourists and whether the resulting segments differ in global warming concern and stated willingness to pay for carbon offsets. Survey data were collected from 560 UK tourists at four locations. Sustainability-value domains were first identified and then used to classify respondents into value-based segments. The analysis retained four domains: respect for nature, social equity and solidarity, tolerance, and shared responsibility. Two interpretable segments were identified. Tourists in the higher-sustainability-values segment reported stronger global warming concern and greater willingness to pay for carbon offsets than tourists in the moderate segment. However, willingness to pay was not universal even among tourists with stronger sustainability values. The findings suggest that values-based segmentation can help identify more receptive audiences for carbon-offset initiatives, but values-based targeting should be supported by credible, transparent, and easy-to-evaluate offset schemes. |
| Abstract: | De nombreux touristes soutiennent la durabilité, mais les marchés du tourisme durable ne sont pas homogènes. Cet article présente les résultats d'une étude visant à déterminer si les valeurs de durabilité peuvent être utilisées pour segmenter les touristes britanniques et si les segments qui en résultent diffèrent en termes de préoccupation face au réchauffement climatique et de disposition déclarée à payer pour des compensations carbone. Des données d'enquête ont été recueillies auprès de 560 touristes britanniques dans quatre lieux. Les domaines des valeurs de durabilité ont d'abord été identifiés, puis utilisés pour classer les répondants en segments fondés sur les valeurs. L'analyse a retenu quatre domaines : le respect de la nature, l'équité sociale et la solidarité, la tolérance et la responsabilité partagée. Deux segments interprétables ont été identifiés. Les touristes du segment aux valeurs de durabilité les plus élevées ont signalé une préoccupation plus marquée pour le réchauffement climatique et une plus grande disposition à payer pour des compensations carbone que les touristes du segment modéré. Cependant, la disposition à payer n'était pas universelle, même parmi les touristes ayant des valeurs de durabilité plus fortes. Ces résultats suggèrent que la segmentation fondée sur les valeurs peut aider à identifier des publics plus récepteurs pour les initiatives de compensation carbone, mais que le ciblage basé sur les valeurs doit être soutenu par des programmes de compensation crédibles, transparents et faciles à évaluer. |
| Keywords: | climate change, United States, United Kingdom, Travel, tourism, pro-environmental behavior, carbon offsetting, market segmentation, sustainable tourism, sustainability values |
| Date: | 2026–07–28 |
| URL: | https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:hal:journl:hal-05706292 |