nep-tur New Economics Papers
on Tourism Economics
Issue of 2020‒09‒07
two papers chosen by
Laura Vici
Università di Bologna

  1. Going Viral: A Gravity Model of Infectious Diseases and Tourism Flows By Serhan Cevik
  2. A reconsideration of tourism specialization in Europe By Jean-Jacques Nowak; Sylvain Petit

  1. By: Serhan Cevik
    Abstract: This paper develops a gravity model framework to estimate the impact of infectious diseases on bilateral tourism flows among 38,184 pairs of countries over the period 1995–2017. The results confirm that international tourism is adversely affected by disease risk, and the magnitude of this negative effect is statistically and economically significant. In the case of SARS, for example, a 10 percent rise in confirmed cases leads to a reduction of as much as 9 percent in tourist arrivals. Furthermore, while infectious diseases appear to have a smaller and statistically insignificant negative effect on tourism flows to advanced economies, the magnitude and statistical significance of the impact of infectious diseases are much greater in developing countries, where such diseases tend to be more prevalent and health infrastructure lags behind.
    Date: 2020–07–03
  2. By: Jean-Jacques Nowak (RIME-Lab - Recherche Interdisciplinaire en Management et Économie Lab - EA 7396 - UA - Université d'Artois - ULCO - Université du Littoral Côte d'Opale - Université de Lille); Sylvain Petit (UPF - Université de la Polynésie française)
    Date: 2020–07–15

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