| By: |
Victoria Castillo;
Lucas Figal Garone;
Alessandro Maffioli;
Lina Salazar |
| Abstract: |
This paper investigates the impact of tourism policy on employment, using the
Tourism Development Policy (TDP) implemented in the Argentinean province of
Salta during the years of 2003 to 2010 as a case study. Following the
Synthetic Control Method for comparative case studies, we use a combination of
non-treated Argentinean provinces to construct a synthetic control province
which resembles relevant characteristics of Salta before the TDP
implementation. Given the dual focus of the evaluated policy -one specific
sector in one province- we also construct a synthetic control for the tourism
sector using a combination of other sectors for Salta, and other sectors from
other provinces. This novel approach based on multiple dimensions of the donor
pool allows us to test the robustness of the estimated impact. We find that
TDP implementation increased tourism employment in Salta by an average of 11
percent per year, for an overall impact of around 112 percent between 2003 and
2013. The analysis also suggests that larger impacts of the TDP occurred from
the second to the seventh years after policy implementation. Results are
robust across a series of placebo tests and sensitivity checks. |
| Keywords: |
Tourism, Program evaluation, Policy evaluation, Tourism Development Policy (TDP), Tourism sector, Tourism industry |
| Date: |
2015–01 |
| URL: |
http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:idb:brikps:87973&r=tur |