nep-tur New Economics Papers
on Tourism Economics
Issue of 2007‒03‒24
three papers chosen by
Antonello Scorcu
University of Bologna

  1. Climate preferences and destination choice: a segmentation approach By Jacqueline M. Hamilton; David J. Maddison; Richard S.J. Tol
  2. Valuing New Forest Sites over Time: the Case of Afforestation and Recreation in Denmark By Marianne Zandersen; Mette Termansen; Frank S. Jensen
  3. Trails, Lanes, or Traffic: Value of Different Bicycle Facilities Using Adaptive Stated-Preference Survey By Nebiyou Tilahun; Kevin Krizek; David Levinson

  1. By: Jacqueline M. Hamilton; David J. Maddison; Richard S.J. Tol (Economic and Social Research Institute, Dublin)
    Abstract: A data set of the holiday destination choices of German tourists is segmented using phase in the life cycle; second, holiday motivation and holiday activities and third, the region of residency. For each segment demand is estimated using data on environmental and economic characteristics of countries. The optimal temperature, where demand peaks, ranges from 22°C to 24°C across the segments. More interestingly, the steepness of the temperature demand relationship is different for different segments. Even though the temperature optima are similar, changes in temperature, for example caused by climate change will have a larger effect on demand depending on the steepness of the temperature-demand relationship. A climate index is calculated for each country using climate data and the respective coefficients from the estimated demand equations. The climate index values are different across the segments: the segment containing those tourists who were swimming and sunbathing while on holiday has the highest index values of all of the segments.
    Keywords: tourism demand, segmentation, climate preferences
    JEL: L83
    Date: 2005–09
  2. By: Marianne Zandersen; Mette Termansen; Frank S. Jensen
    Abstract: We estimate changes in the total recreative value over a 20 year time period of a large newly established forest, using mixed specification of a random utility models and geographic information system. The models are estimated using data from two identical surveys in 1977 and 1997. We conduct three different spatial value transfers and test these on the new forest. Results suggest that the new forest increased the recreative value nearly 70 times over the 20 years, primarily due the maturing of the forest and changed patterns of behaviour. The value transfer to the new forest range between an underestimate of 57% and an overestimate of 349%, depending on the sampling of the choice set used as study sites in the transfer.
    Keywords: recreation, random utility model, GIS
    JEL: Q23 Q51
    Date: 2005–08
  3. By: Nebiyou Tilahun; Kevin Krizek; David Levinson (Nexus (Networks, Economics, and Urban Systems) Research Group, Department of Civil Engineering, University of Minnesota)
    Abstract: This study evaluates individual preferences for five different cycling environments by trading off a higher travel time as a cost incurred when choosing a better facility while letting the user have the option of selecting a less attractive facility at a lower travel time. The tradeoff of travel time to amenities of a particular facility informs our understanding of the value attached to different attributes such as bike-lanes, off-road trails, or side-street parking. The facilities considered here are off-road facilities, in-traffic facilities with bike-lane and no side street parking, in-traffic facilities with a bike-lane and side street parking, in-traffic facilities with no bike-lane and no side street parking and in-traffic facilities with no bike-lane but with parking on the side. We find that respondents are willing to travel up to twenty minutes more to switch from an unmarked on-road facility with side parking to an off-road bicycle trail, with smaller changes associated with less dramatic improvements. ) presented at 84th Annual Meeting of Transportation Research Board in Washington, DC, January 9-13th 2005.
    JEL: R40 D10 D83 C91
    Date: 2007

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