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on Transport Economics |
| By: | Psarras, Andreas; Panagiotidis, Theodore; Andronikidis, Andreas |
| Abstract: | This study examines the relationship between petrol prices and vehicle collisions using Greek data from 2012 to 2021. Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity models are employed for daily motor vehicle collisions. Our analysis reveals that petrol prices have a significant impact on vehicle collisions. Fatal vehicle collisions decrease during relatively high petrol prices, whereas light-injury vehicle collisions increase. No significant relationship was found between severe-injury vehicle collisions and fuel prices. We also analyze daily data on motorcycle vehicle collisions and find a positive relationship between these accidents and fuel prices. When considering models with lagged fuel prices, our results indicate that in all cases, vehicle collisions decrease during periods of increasing fuel prices. These findings suggest that policies targeting motorcycling safety are particularly necessary during times of rising fuel prices. |
| Keywords: | petrol prices; traffic safety; road accidents; motorcycle accidents |
| JEL: | R41 I19 |
| Date: | 2025–09 |
| URL: | https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:ehl:lserod:129625 |
| By: | Monica Bonacina (Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei, Università degli Studi di Milano); Mert Demir (Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei); Antonio Sileo (Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei, GREEN – Università Bocconi); Angela Zanoni (Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei, Università di Roma La Sapienza, Research Institute for Sustainable Economic Growth – National Research Council) |
| Abstract: | The transition to a zero-emission vehicle fleet represents a pivotal element of Europe’s decarbonization strategy, with Italy’s participation being particularly significant given the size of its automotive market. This study investigates the potential for battery electric cars (BEVs) to drive decarbonization of Italy’s passenger vehicle fleet, focusing on the feasibility of targets set in the National Integrated Plan for Energy and Climate (PNIEC). Leveraging artificial neural networks, we integrate macroeconomic indicators, market-specific variables, and policy instruments to predict fleet dynamics and identify key factors influencing BEV adoption. We forecast that while BEV registrations will continue growing through 2030, the growth rate is projected to decelerate, presenting challenges for meeting ambitious policy targets. Our feature importance analysis demonstrates that BEV adoption is driven by an interconnected set of economic, infrastructural, and behavioral factors. Specifically, our model highlights that hybrid vehicle registrations and the vehicle purchase index exert the strongest influence on BEV registrations, suggesting that policy interventions should prioritize these areas to maximize impact. By offering data-driven insights and methodological innovations, our findings contribute to more effective policy design for accelerating sustainable mobility adoption while accounting for market realities and consumer behavior. |
| Keywords: | sustainable mobility, electric vehicle, neural networks, shap interpretation |
| JEL: | N74 Q55 Q58 R40 C45 |
| Date: | 2025–08 |
| URL: | https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:fem:femwpa:2025.16 |
| By: | Enrico Moretti; Harrison Wheeler |
| Abstract: | More than 42 million Americans are exposed to medium or high levels of traffic noise. Despite its potentially large toll and unequal distribution, the economic costs, incidence, and policy implications of traffic noise have received limited attention in economics. We quantify the aggregate economic burden of this externality and its distribution across demographic groups by estimating homebuyers' willingness to pay for quieter environments. Using quasi-experimental variation from the construction of noise barriers, we find that reduced traffic noise exposure leads to significant increases in house prices, implying that buyers are willing to pay a substantial premium for each decibel of noise reduction. In the five years before construction, we detect no differential pre-trends in prices between treated and control properties. Following construction, we observe an immediate and largely permanent 6.8% increase in prices within 100 meters, with smaller gains at greater distances. Information on each barrier's noise attenuation allows us to recover the willingness to pay per decibel of traffic noise. We calculate the aggregate economic cost of traffic noise at $110 billion nationwide. The economic burden is disproportionately borne by lower income and minority households, suggesting that the externality is regressive. The cost varies widely across cities, reflecting differences in noise levels, property values and population density. Based on our estimates, the socially efficient Pigouvian tax amounts to $974 per vehicle. A broad shift to electric vehicles -- which are quieter than traditional vehicles -- could yield noise reduction benefits of $77.3 billion, concentrated among low-income families in dense urban areas. |
| JEL: | H0 I14 R0 |
| Date: | 2025–09 |
| URL: | https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:nbr:nberwo:34298 |
| By: | Mustapha Maadour (Université Ibn Zohr = Ibn Zohr University [Agadir]); Nawal Zbir (Université Ibn Zohr = Ibn Zohr University [Agadir]); Kamal Chakir (Université Ibn Zohr = Ibn Zohr University [Agadir]) |
| Abstract: | In the context of rapid urbanization, public transport becomes essential for economic and social development, especially in large urban areas. However, in Morocco, the public transport system remains insufficient to meet the needs of users, particularly in Greater Agadir, where irregular schedules and vehicle overcrowding pose major issues. This study examines the impact of aligning public transport services (schedules, frequency, comfort, and peak hour management) on the satisfaction of students at FSJES Aït Melloul.The study adopts a mixed-methods approach, combining exploratory interviews with institutional actors and a questionnaire administered to 200 students. Data analysis is based on Structural Equation Modeling (PLS-SEM). The results show that peak hour management, schedule adjustment, and perceived comfort have a significant impact on user satisfaction. In contrast, bus frequency does not have a direct effect on satisfaction but acts indirectly through the perception of optimized schedules.This research highlights the importance of aligning transport policies with the actual needs of users, particularly students. It provides practical recommendations for improving the quality of transport services, considering the sustainability of the system and territorial equity.The study thus contributes to a better understanding of user expectations and the challenges that public authorities must face to make public transport more efficient and accessible to all. |
| Abstract: | Dans un contexte d'urbanisation rapide, le transport public devient essentiel pour le développement économique et social, notamment dans les grandes agglomérations. Cependant, au Maroc, le système de transport collectif reste insuffisant pour répondre aux besoins des usagers, en particulier dans le Grand Agadir, où l'irrégularité des horaires et la surcharge des véhicules posent des problèmes majeurs. Cette étude examine l'impact de l'alignement des services de transport public (horaires, fréquence, confort et gestion des heures de pointe) sur la satisfaction des étudiants de la FSJES d'Aït Melloul.L'étude adopte une approcheméthodologique mixte, combinant des entretiens exploratoires avec des acteurs institutionnels et un questionnaire administré à 200 étudiants. L'analyse des données repose sur la modélisation par équations structurelles (PLS-SEM). Les résultats montrent que la gestion des heures de pointe, l'ajustement des horaires et le confort perçu ont un impact significatif sur la satisfaction des usagers. En revanche, la fréquence des bus n'a pas d'effet direct sur la satisfaction, mais agit indirectement à travers la perception des horaires optimisés.Cette recherche souligne l'importance de centrer les politiques de transport sur les besoins réels des usagers, en particulier les étudiants. Elle propose des recommandations pratiques pour améliorer la qualité du servicede transport, en tenant compte de la durabilité du système et de l'équité territoriale. L'étude contribue ainsi à une meilleure compréhension des attentes des usagers et des défis auxquels les autorités publiques doivent faire face pour rendre le transport collectif plus efficace et accessible à tous. |
| Keywords: | Optimized schedules, Frequency, Comfort, Fréquence, Confort, Horaires optimisés, Satisfaction des usagers, Transport public |
| Date: | 2025–09–04 |
| URL: | https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:hal:journl:hal-05240633 |
| By: | Moshe Ben-Akiva; Michel Bierlaire; Khan Doyme; Shari Gershenfeld; Nathalie Picard; Andreas W. Schäfer; Ravi Seshadri; Aruna Sivakumar; Linda Steg |
| Abstract: | Achieving effective decarbonization requires not only technological innovation but also a deep understanding of human behavior. This paper, based on an interdisciplinary workshop, highlights the necessity of integrating behavioral insights into the design of climate policies to ensure they are technically effective, socially acceptable, and equitable. We propose a methodological framework combining behavioral data collection, choice modeling, agent-based simulation, and optimization to forecast the impacts of policy measures and support adaptive policymaking under deep uncertainty. While the focus is on decarbonizing the transport sector, the approach is broadly applicable across sectors, aiming to enhance both emissions reductions and societal well-being. |
| Keywords: | Decarbonization, climate policies, behavior, equity, uncertainty, transport |
| JEL: | Q54 Q55 Q58 R41 |
| Date: | 2025 |
| URL: | https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:ulp:sbbeta:2025-31 |
| By: | Lina Bjerke (Jönköping International Business School); Steven Bond-Smith (University of Hawai‘i at MÄ noa, University of Hawai‘i Economic Research Organization); Philip McCann (The University of Manchester and The Productivity Institute); Charlotta Mellander (Jönköping International Business School) |
| Abstract: | In this paper, we explore new and significant economic geography features of the work-from-home (WFH) revolution. The increased practice of WFH has prompted a redistribution of working populations between urban and rural locations. Using a uniquely detailed and comprehensive individual-level nationwide Swedish micro-dataset, we analyse shifts in commuting distances pre- and post-pandemic and explore their association with teleworkability. Beyond the well-documented centrifugal ‘donut’-type effects within cities, our study finds a significant centripetal ‘shadow’ effect on smaller cities. This phenomenon draws workers relocating from outside metropolitan regions closer to major urban areas, reinforcing urbanization trends contrary to the expectations of geographic decentralization enabled by remote work. These nuanced dynamics—highlighting simultaneous dispersion at the local level and concentration within the urban system—reveal new knowledge into the complex interplay between remote work, urbanization, and regional development. |
| Keywords: | Working from home, agglomeration economies, regional distribution. |
| JEL: | R12 R23 |
| Date: | 2025–01 |
| URL: | https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:hae:wpaper:2025-1 |
| By: | Claussen, Jörg; Streich, David |
| JEL: | H23 H31 R23 |
| Date: | 2025 |
| URL: | https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:zbw:vfsc25:325422 |
| By: | Gessner, Johannes |
| JEL: | O30 Q55 Q58 |
| Date: | 2025 |
| URL: | https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:zbw:vfsc25:325442 |
| By: | Wozny, Florian |
| JEL: | H22 L13 Q52 |
| Date: | 2025 |
| URL: | https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:zbw:vfsc25:325370 |
| By: | Bauer, Thomas; Glawe, Linda; Westphal, Matthias; Zudenkova, Galina |
| JEL: | D72 N33 N43 N73 |
| Date: | 2025 |
| URL: | https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:zbw:vfsc25:325438 |
| By: | Klovland, Jan Tore (Dept. of Economics, Norwegian School of Economics and Business Administration) |
| Abstract: | This article presents a data set that provides the basis for a quantitative narrative of the work done by domestic and foreign merchant shipping serving the United Kingdom 1820 - 1913. Using ton-miles (weight of goods times the distance carried) as an output measure a detailed description is provided along two dimensions: countries and commodities. Annual estimates of ton-miles are provided for 479 import goods and 525 export goods in UK trade with 90 countries and provinces. Two issues have been chosen to illustrate the use of the new data: the gain from the Suez Canal and the trend growth of shipping output as an indicator of trade globalisation. There is very firm evidence that the trend rate of growth in inward shipping volumes was highest in the decades in the middle of the nineteenth century before 1870. This is in contrast to the conventional perception that the period after 1870 represents the first era of trade globalisation. For imports to the United Kingdom from all countries the gain in terms of reduced ton-miles from shortening trade routes via the Suez Canal is calculated for each year from the opening of the canal in 1870 to 1913. On the eve of World War One the Suez gain is estimated at 26 per cent for imports from Suez affected routes, from all countries there is a 10 per cent reduction in ton-miles. |
| Keywords: | Shipping; trade history; globalisation |
| JEL: | F14 F62 N70 R40 |
| Date: | 2025–09–29 |
| URL: | https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:hhs:nhheco:2025_018 |
| By: | Eßer, Jana |
| JEL: | C90 D90 Q51 Q58 |
| Date: | 2025 |
| URL: | https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:zbw:vfsc25:325465 |