nep-tre New Economics Papers
on Transport Economics
Issue of 2022‒09‒12
eleven papers chosen by
Erik Teodoor Verhoef
Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam

  1. Simulating Life with Personally-Owned Autonomous Vehicles through a Naturalistic Experiment with Personal Drivers By Harb, Mustapha PhD; Malik, Jai PhD; Circella, Giovanni PhD; Walker, Joan L. PhD
  2. Planning Can Maximize Benefits and Mitigate Negative Consequences of Future Travel Increases from E-Commerce By Jaller, Miguel; Xiao, Ivan; Dennis, Sarah; Rivera-Royero, Daniel
  3. Revision of the EU Green Public Procurement Criteria for Road Transport By RODRIGUEZ QUINTERO Rocio; VIDAL ABARCA GARRIDO Candela
  4. A consumer surplus, welfare and profit enhancing strategy for improving urban transport networks By Jolian McHardy; Michael Reynolds; Stephen Trotter
  5. Are Deregulated Airports More Efficient? By Pierre M. Picard; Alessandro Tampieri; Xi Wan
  6. The mutual specialization of port and urban functions: The case of France By Mounir Amdaoud; César Ducruet; Marc‐antoine Faure
  7. The spatial determinants of innovation diffusion: Evidence from global shipping networks By César Ducruet; Hidekazu Itoh
  8. National Impacts of E-commerce Growth: Development of a Spatial Demand Based Tool By Jaller, Miguel; Xiao, Runhua; Dennis, Sarah; Rivera-Royero, Daniel; Pahwa, Anmol
  9. Demonstrating the Life Cycle Assessment Framework for Complete Streets By Harvey, John; Butt, Ali A.; Ostovar, Maryam; Kendall, Alissa; Hernandez, Jesus
  10. Planning ride-sharing services with detour restrictions for spatially heterogeneous demand: A multi-zone queuing network approach By Yining Liu; Yanfeng Ouyang
  11. InterMob: A 24-month randomised controlled trial comparing the effectiveness of an intervention including behavioural change techniques and free transport versus an intervention including air pollution awareness-raising on car use reduction among regular car users living in Grenoble, France By Claudia Teran-Escobar; Sarah Duche; Helene Bouscasse; Sandrine Isoard-Gatheur; Patrick Juen; Lilas Lacoste; Sarah Lyon-Caen; Sandrine Mathy; Estelle Ployon; Anna Risch; Philippe Sarrazin; Remy Slama; Kamila Tabaka; Carole Treibich; Sonia Chardonnel; Aina Chalabaev

  1. By: Harb, Mustapha PhD; Malik, Jai PhD; Circella, Giovanni PhD; Walker, Joan L. PhD
    Abstract: Forty-three households in the Sacramento region representing diverse demographics, modal preferences, mobility barriers, and weekly vehicle miles traveled (VMT) were provided personal chauffeurs for one or two weeks to simulate travel behavior with a personally-owned, fully autonomous vehicle (AV). During the chauffeur week(s), the total number of trips increased on average by 25 percent, 85 percent of which were “zero-occupancy” (ZOV) trips (when the chauffeur is the only occupant). Average VMT for all households increased by 60 percent, over half of which came from ZOV trips. VMT increased most in households with mobility barriers and those with less auto-dependency but least in higher VMT households and families with children. Transit, ridehailing, biking, and walking trips dropped by 70 percent, 55 percent, 38 percent, and 10 percent, respectively. The results highlight how AVs can enhance mobility, but also adversely affect the transportation system.
    Keywords: Engineering, Travel behavior, vehicle miles of travel, autonomous vehicles, households, travel surveys
    Date: 2022–08–01
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:cdl:itsdav:qt79g921rp&r=
  2. By: Jaller, Miguel; Xiao, Ivan; Dennis, Sarah; Rivera-Royero, Daniel
    Abstract: Last-mile delivery, in which companies deliver goods to the end consumers, is one of the costliest segments of the supply chain and can generate significant emissions. The demand for last-mile delivery has grown in recent decades because of the emergence of e-commerce, which has reshaped consumer behavior and how companies distribute goods. E-commerce has consistently been growing for more than a decade, and growth intensified during the COVID-19 pandemic. Although e-commerce is still in a fast growth phase, there is little understanding about how much it will grow, how it will impact the transportation system, and how these impacts might differ geographically. Researchers at the University of California, Davis developed a forecasting model to quantify the potential impacts of future e-commerce on emissions and transport activity under different scenarios with assumptions about penetration levels of various technologies (e.g., electrification, rush deliveries, crowdshipping, and automation/efficiency improvements). The researchers implemented the forecasting tool in six large metropolitan areas: New York, Los Angeles, San Francisco, Dallas, Washington D.C., and Chicago. These analyses can help planning agencies and local governments to better understand and manage the potential impacts of e-commerce. View the NCST Project Webpage
    Keywords: Engineering, Social and Behavioral Sciences, Delivery service, Electronic commerce, Forecasting, Freight traffic, Impacts, Pollutants, Shopping trips, Vehicle miles of travel
    Date: 2022–08–01
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:cdl:itsdav:qt2vb5j7x3&r=
  3. By: RODRIGUEZ QUINTERO Rocio (European Commission - JRC); VIDAL ABARCA GARRIDO Candela (European Commission - JRC)
    Abstract: Public authorities' expenditures in the purchase of goods, services and works (excluding utilities and defence) constitute approximately 14% of the overall Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in Europe, accounting for roughly EUR 1.8 trillion annually.Thus, public procurement has the potential to provide significant leverage in seeking to influence the market and to achieve environmental improvements in the public sector. This effect can be particularly significant for goods, services and works (referred to collectively as products) that account for a high share of public purchasing combined with the substantial improvement potential for environmental performance. The European Commission has identified (road) transport as one such product group.Road transport covers a wide scope of vehicles (cars, LCVs, L-category vehicles, buses and waste collection vehicles) and services (mobility services, public bus services, waste collection services and post and courier services). The main environmental issues at the use phase addressed by the criteria are GHG emissions, air pollutant emissions and noise emissions. The impacts from the manufacture of batteries used in electric vehicle are also considered, leading to criteria on minimum and extended warranty of batteries.This revision is meant to align the EU GPP criteria with the revised Clean Vehicle Directive.
    Date: 2022–02
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:ipt:iptwpa:jrc127043&r=
  4. By: Jolian McHardy (Department of Economics, University of Sheffield, UK); Michael Reynolds (Department of Economics, University of Leeds, UK); Stephen Trotter (Economic Policy, University of Hull, Hull, UK)
    Abstract: We show that a novel pricing system can help resolve a series of perennial problems evident in the deregulated British urban public transport market that have compromised economic growth, access equality and environmental ambitions. A two-stage pricing system, with operators setting their multi-operator service ticket prices collusively in one stage and their single-operator ticket prices independently, in the other, offers potential consumer surplus, profit and welfare gains over, what we characterise as, the ‘Status Quo’. The proposed win-win pricing regime can also support a larger number of operators and services with potential additional welfare gains. The Block Exemption in the UK allowing collusive pricing on a limited basis is due to expire and is under statutory review, making this is a timely contribution. We also compare the proposed regime against a multi-operator ticketing card (MTC) scheme, permitted under the Block Exemption, and show, whilst the MTC offers higher welfare when all regimes provide the same number of services, the proposed regime supports a larger number of operators in the presence of fixed costs, which can reverse the welfare ranking in its favour. A calibration exercise indicates the market may be in the region where the proposed regime can dominate the ‘Status Quo’ in profit, consumer surplus and welfare terms and supports a larger network than the ‘Status Quo’ or MTC with further welfare gains. The resulting higher public transport patronage may also offer further indirect benefits via reduced pollution, congestion and accidents. Furthermore, by improving transport efficiency it may help improve city density, especially in Britain’s second-tier cities which do not tend to benefit from extensive public transit rail and underground networks, with associated agglomeration effects contributing to the current leveling-up priority. Given the salience amongst developed countries of the private aspect of urban public transport in Britain, along with an unresolved private vs public debate, this issue is of potential interest to urban planners and policymakers beyond the UK.
    Keywords: Urban Transport; Networks; Pricing; Welfare
    JEL: D43 L13 L92 R11
    Date: 2022–08
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:shf:wpaper:2022012&r=
  5. By: Pierre M. Picard; Alessandro Tampieri; Xi Wan
    Abstract: Picard et al. (2019) show that allocative inefficiency may occur in a private airport when passenger fees are regulated. In this paper, we investigate the presence of inefficiency in slot allocation when an airport faces no regulation over per-passenger charges. In the model, passengers favor peak times and the number of available peak-time slots is constrained by airport capacities. Consistent with empirical evidence, we find that fees deregulation solves allocative inefficiency by raising per-passenger fees. However, when the infrastructural resources appear to be more efficiently employed, the increase in fees leads to a fall in social welfare.
    Keywords: Slot allocation, Endogenous fee, Airport capacity
    JEL: R41 H21 H23
    Date: 2022
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:frz:wpaper:wp2022_18.rdf&r=
  6. By: Mounir Amdaoud (EconomiX - UPN - Université Paris Nanterre - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique); César Ducruet (EconomiX - UPN - Université Paris Nanterre - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique); Marc‐antoine Faure (EconomiX - UPN - Université Paris Nanterre - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)
    Abstract: This research examines the similarities between port traffic structure and economic structure of French port cities. Based on the combination of Automated Identification System (AIS) data and employment data, it performs complementary analyses of the mutual specialization between ports and cities. Main results show that while larger cities handle more diversified traffic, the cross-specialization is blurred by the complexity of trade networks and supply chains. We then propose a novel methodology whereby the spatial unit of analysis is enlarged according to the type and volume of port traffic.
    Keywords: hinterland,maritime transport,port city,specialization,supply chain
    Date: 2022
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:hal:journl:halshs-03719089&r=
  7. By: César Ducruet (EconomiX - UPN - Université Paris Nanterre - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique); Hidekazu Itoh (Kwansei Gakuin University)
    Abstract: Based on untapped shipping and urban data, this article compares the diffusion of steam and container shipping at the port city level and at the global scale between 1880 and 2008. A temporal and multi-layered network is constructed, including the pre-existing technologies of sailing and breakbulk. The goal is to check the differences a) between innovations and their predecessors and b) between innovations, from an urban network perspective. Main results show that despite certain differences, such as historical context, voyage length, speed of diffusion, and geographical spread, the two innovations share a large quantity of similarities. They both fostered port concentration, were boosted by city size and port connectivity, bypassed upstream port sites, and diverged gradually from older technologies. This research thus contributes to the literature on cities, networks, innovation, and maritime transport.
    Keywords: Containerization,Maritime transport,Port cities,Regional disparity,Spatial networks,Steam shipping,Technological change
    Date: 2022
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:hal:journl:halshs-03719062&r=
  8. By: Jaller, Miguel; Xiao, Runhua; Dennis, Sarah; Rivera-Royero, Daniel; Pahwa, Anmol
    Abstract: This project aims to study the impacts of e-commerce on shopping behaviors and related externalities. The objectives are divided into five major tasks in this project. Methods used include Weighted Multinomial Logit (WMNL) models, time series forecasting, and Monte Carlo (MC) simulations. The American Time Use Survey (ATUS) and the National Household Travel Survey (NHTS) databases are used for identifying the independent and dependent variables for behavioral modeling. At the same time, the researchers collected all MSA population data from the U.S. Census Bureau and combined the shares of each variable from ATUS to generate a synthesized population, which serves as input into the MC simulation framework together with the behavioral model. This simulation framework includes the generation of shopping travel parameters and the calculation of negative externalities. The authors do this to estimate e-commerce demand and impacts every decade until 2050. The results and analyses provide information that supports the generation of shopping travel and the estimations of a series of negative externalities using MC simulation, which includes shopping travel parameters, last-mile delivery parameters, and emission rate per person. For different parameters, a unique probability distribution or a regression relation is obtained for different MSAs, and this distribution is fed into the subsequent MC simulation. Finally, the researchers simulated shopping behaviors for synthesized populations (until 2050) and to estimate the expected negative externalities. The MC simulation generates aggregate average vehicle miles traveled (VMT) and emissions (negative externalities) for different shopping activities in the planning years and different MSAs. View the NCST Project Webpage
    Keywords: Engineering, Social and Behavioral Sciences, E-commerce, shopping behavior, externalities, forecast, Monte Carlo simulation
    Date: 2022–08–01
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:cdl:itsdav:qt46x4f1dr&r=
  9. By: Harvey, John; Butt, Ali A.; Ostovar, Maryam; Kendall, Alissa; Hernandez, Jesus
    Abstract: “Complete streets” are those designed not only to accommodate private vehicles, but also to enable safe access for all users, including pedestrians, bicyclists, and transit riders of all ages and abilities. Complete streets can contribute to increased transportation choices, economic revitalization, improved return on infrastructure investments, livable communities, improved safety, improved public health through promotion of active transportation, greenhouse gas reductions, and improved air quality. In 2018, researchers developed a life cycle assessment (LCA) framework for complete streets to enable planners and policymakers to quantify environmental and social impacts over the life cycle of a complete streets project. In this follow-on project, the researchers applied the framework to three case studies covering urban, suburban and rural/suburban regions/conditions. The researchers assessed whether the LCA framework was useful in identifying whether a complete street delivered or, in the case of a proposed project, was likely to deliver, the intended performance and benefits, and the social and health conditions of the neighborhoods receiving the benefits. View the NCST Project Webpage
    Keywords: Engineering, Social and Behavioral Sciences, Alternatives analysis, Before and after studies, Case studies, Complete streets, Environmental impacts, Equity (Justice), Life cycle analysis, Metrics (Quantitative assessment), Nonmotorized transportation, Social impacts
    Date: 2022–08–01
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:cdl:itsdav:qt6wr8x21j&r=
  10. By: Yining Liu; Yanfeng Ouyang
    Abstract: This study presents a multi-zone queuing network model for steady-state ride-sharing operations that serve heterogeneous demand, and then builds upon this model to optimize the design of ride-sharing services. Spatial heterogeneity is addressed by partitioning the study region into a set of relatively homogeneous zones, and a set of criteria are imposed to avoid significant detours among matched passengers. A generalized multi-zone queuing network model is then developed to describe how vehicles' states transition within each zone and across neighboring zones, and how passengers are served by idle or partially occupied vehicles. A large system of equations is constructed based on the queuing network model to analytically evaluate steady-state system performance. Then, we formulate a constrained nonlinear program to optimize the design of ride-sharing services, such as zone-level vehicle deployment, vehicle routing paths, and vehicle rebalancing operations. A customized solution approach is also proposed to decompose and solve the optimization problem. The proposed model and solution approach are applied to a hypothetical case and a real-world Chicago case study, so as to demonstrate their applicability and to draw insights. These numerical examples not only reveal interesting insights on how ride-sharing services serve heterogeneous demand, but also highlight the importance of addressing demand heterogeneity when designing ride-sharing services.
    Date: 2022–08
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:arx:papers:2208.02219&r=
  11. By: Claudia Teran-Escobar (PACTE - Pacte, Laboratoire de sciences sociales - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique - UGA - Université Grenoble Alpes - IEPG - Sciences Po Grenoble - Institut d'études politiques de Grenoble - UGA - Université Grenoble Alpes, SENS - Sport et Environnement Social - UGA - Université Grenoble Alpes); Sarah Duche (PACTE - Pacte, Laboratoire de sciences sociales - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique - UGA - Université Grenoble Alpes - IEPG - Sciences Po Grenoble - Institut d'études politiques de Grenoble - UGA - Université Grenoble Alpes); Helene Bouscasse (CESAER - Centre d'Economie et de Sociologie Rurales Appliquées à l'Agriculture et aux Espaces Ruraux - INRAE - Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement - Institut Agro Dijon - Institut Agro - Institut national d'enseignement supérieur pour l'agriculture, l'alimentation et l'environnement); Sandrine Isoard-Gatheur (SENS - Sport et Environnement Social - UGA - Université Grenoble Alpes); Patrick Juen (PACTE - Pacte, Laboratoire de sciences sociales - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique - UGA - Université Grenoble Alpes - IEPG - Sciences Po Grenoble - Institut d'études politiques de Grenoble - UGA - Université Grenoble Alpes); Lilas Lacoste (SENS - Sport et Environnement Social - UGA - Université Grenoble Alpes, PACTE - Pacte, Laboratoire de sciences sociales - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique - UGA - Université Grenoble Alpes - IEPG - Sciences Po Grenoble - Institut d'études politiques de Grenoble - UGA - Université Grenoble Alpes); Sarah Lyon-Caen (IAB - Institute for Advanced Biosciences / Institut pour l'Avancée des Biosciences (Grenoble) - CHU - Centre Hospitalier Universitaire [Grenoble] - INSERM - Institut National de la Santé et de la Recherche Médicale - EFS - Etablissement français du sang - Auvergne-Rhône-Alpes - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique - UGA - Université Grenoble Alpes); Sandrine Mathy (GAEL - Laboratoire d'Economie Appliquée de Grenoble - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique - INRAE - Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement - UGA - Université Grenoble Alpes - Grenoble INP - Institut polytechnique de Grenoble - Grenoble Institute of Technology - UGA - Université Grenoble Alpes); Estelle Ployon (PACTE - Pacte, Laboratoire de sciences sociales - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique - UGA - Université Grenoble Alpes - IEPG - Sciences Po Grenoble - Institut d'études politiques de Grenoble - UGA - Université Grenoble Alpes); Anna Risch (GAEL - Laboratoire d'Economie Appliquée de Grenoble - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique - INRAE - Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement - UGA - Université Grenoble Alpes - Grenoble INP - Institut polytechnique de Grenoble - Grenoble Institute of Technology - UGA - Université Grenoble Alpes); Philippe Sarrazin (SENS - Sport et Environnement Social - UGA - Université Grenoble Alpes); Remy Slama (IAB - Institute for Advanced Biosciences / Institut pour l'Avancée des Biosciences (Grenoble) - CHU - Centre Hospitalier Universitaire [Grenoble] - INSERM - Institut National de la Santé et de la Recherche Médicale - EFS - Etablissement français du sang - Auvergne-Rhône-Alpes - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique - UGA - Université Grenoble Alpes); Kamila Tabaka (PACTE - Pacte, Laboratoire de sciences sociales - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique - UGA - Université Grenoble Alpes - IEPG - Sciences Po Grenoble - Institut d'études politiques de Grenoble - UGA - Université Grenoble Alpes); Carole Treibich (GAEL - Laboratoire d'Economie Appliquée de Grenoble - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique - INRAE - Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement - UGA - Université Grenoble Alpes - Grenoble INP - Institut polytechnique de Grenoble - Grenoble Institute of Technology - UGA - Université Grenoble Alpes); Sonia Chardonnel (PACTE - Pacte, Laboratoire de sciences sociales - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique - UGA - Université Grenoble Alpes - IEPG - Sciences Po Grenoble - Institut d'études politiques de Grenoble - UGA - Université Grenoble Alpes); Aina Chalabaev (SENS - Sport et Environnement Social - UGA - Université Grenoble Alpes)
    Date: 2022–07–27
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:hal:wpaper:hal-03739435&r=

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