nep-tre New Economics Papers
on Transport Economics
Issue of 2020‒08‒10
ten papers chosen by
Erik Teodoor Verhoef
Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam

  1. Fostering the Use of Zero and Near Zero Emission Vehicles in Freight Operations By Jaller, Miguel; Pineda, Leticia; Gueldas, Yasar; Alemi, Farzad; Otay, Irem
  2. Between external forces and internal factors: The geography of domestic airline services in South Africa By Jacques Charlier; Frédéric Dobruszkes
  3. Estimating the Pollution Abatement Potential of Electric Vehicle Subsidies By Muehlegger, Erich J. PhD; Rapson, David S. PhD
  4. Network development and excess travel time By Chantal Roucolle; Tatiana Seregina; Miguel Urdanoz
  5. Trade, Transportation and the Environment By Forslid, Rikard
  6. The Effect of COVID-19 Lockdown on Mobility and Traffic Accidents: Evidence from Louisiana By Stephen R. Barnes; Louis-Philippe Beland; Jason Huh; Dongwoo Kim
  7. The General Transit Feed Specification Makes Trip-Planning Easier — Especially During a Pandemic — Yet its Use by California Agencies is Uneven By Frick, Karen Trapenberg PhD; Kumar, Tanu PhD; Li, Ruyin; Patil, Atharva; Post, Alison PhD
  8. A freight transport demand, energy and emission model with technological choices By Yan, Shiyu; De Bruin, Kelly; Dennehy, Emer; Curtis, John
  9. COVID-19, social distancing, remote work and transport choice By Crowley, Frank; Daly, Hannah; Doran, Justin; Ryan, Geraldine
  10. Trade From Space: Shipping Networks and The Global Implications of Local Shocks By Heiland, Inga; Moxnes, Andreas; Ulltveit-Moe, Karen-Helene; Zi, Yuan

  1. By: Jaller, Miguel; Pineda, Leticia; Gueldas, Yasar; Alemi, Farzad; Otay, Irem
    Abstract: California is in the midst of improving its freight system. For example, the California Sustainable Freight Action Plan (CSFAP) established the goal of reaching a 25% increase in freight efficiency, the use of 100,000 zero emission vehicles and equipment (and maximize the number of near zero emission vehicles) in the system, and improving economic competitiveness. Although there are multiple strategies and approaches to help achieve these goals, this study focuses on analyzing the factors to foster the adoption of zero and near-zero emission vehicles. For example, the use of monetary and non-monetary incentives to elucidate behavioral changes (e.g., fleet purchase decisions). This study considered compressed (renewable) natural gas (CNG/RNG), hybrid electric (HE), battery electric (BE) and fuel-cell hydrogen (H2) vehicles. The research team collected information through a web-based stated preference survey sent (in two waves) to fleets and carrier companies to gather data about their economics, and their vehicle purchase preferences. However, the response rate was very small which limited the type of analyses conducted with the data. Alternatively, the study team developed a multi-criteria decision-making tool using a Spherical Fuzzy Analytical Hierarchy Process based on experts’ knowledge. The approach considered the variability in the technical and operational characteristics, market readiness, and other factors related to these technologies. The model helped provides insights about the most appropriate options for different uses (e.g., last mile, long-haul distribution). Specifically, the authors evaluate the alternatives using five criteria: economic; business, incentives & market-related; environmental & regulatory; infrastructure; and safety & vehicle performance factors. The analyses also consider twenty-one sub-criteria, e.g., total cost of ownership, payback period, brand image, financial & non-financial incentives, and public/private fueling/ charging infrastructure availability. View the NCST Project Webpage
    Keywords: Business, Social and Behavioral Sciences, Last mile distribution, Behavioral modeling, Zero emission vehicles, Incentive programs, Expert decision modeling
    Date: 2020–07–01
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:cdl:itsdav:qt64k579cv&r=all
  2. By: Jacques Charlier; Frédéric Dobruszkes
    Abstract: This paper investigates the changes and current patterns of domestic passenger airline networks in South Africa, considering routes operated and volumes of seats supplied by carriers. This market was liberalised in 1991 and the new market-oriented policy was not challenged by the post-apartheid regime. Flag-carrier South African Airways (SAA) has lost its virtual monopoly, and thus significant volumes and market share, although its decrease is smaller if one considers its regional affiliates and subsidiary. Conversely, low-cost airlines have literally boomed, while British Airways has penetrated the market through a franchise agreement with Comair. Route networks by airline show various patterns. The low-cost carriers tend to concentrate on South Africa’s Golden Triangle, while SAA regional affiliates mostly serve thin routes without competitors. Furthermore, the rise of low-cost airlines has led to the utilisation of a secondary airport in Johannesburg, the only African city with a multiple-airport system. Finally, our results are interpreted in light of South Africa’s geography, intermodal options and social-political issues.
    Keywords: Air transport geography; Airline networks; Domestic airline networks; Low-cost airlines; South Africa
    Date: 2020
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:ulb:ulbeco:2013/309837&r=all
  3. By: Muehlegger, Erich J. PhD; Rapson, David S. PhD
    Abstract: The true net environmental benefit of an electric vehicle is relative to the vehicle that an electric vehicle buyer would have bought and driven had they not opted for an electric vehicle. This “counterfactual” vehicle cannot be observed, but its fuel economy can be estimated. We use quasi-experimental variation in a generous California electric vehicle subsidy program to show that buyers of electric vehicles would have, on average, purchased fuel-efficient gasoline-powered cars had they not gone electric.
    Keywords: Engineering, Electric vehicles, user side subsidies, environmental impacts, consumer behavior, market share, automobile ownership, policy analysis, fuel consumption
    Date: 2020–07–01
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:cdl:itsdav:qt8dg237md&r=all
  4. By: Chantal Roucolle (ENAC - Ecole Nationale de l'Aviation Civile); Tatiana Seregina (ENAC - Ecole Nationale de l'Aviation Civile, TBS - Toulouse Business School); Miguel Urdanoz (Toulouse Business School - Toulouse Business School)
    Abstract: We study the impact of airlines network design on excess travel times for the main US carriers between 2008 and 2017 and find that network configuration affects excess travel time. Based on graph theory and a principal component analysis we build four continuous indicators to measure the airlines networks. We observe that airlines serving more destinations, organizing flights landings and take offs around banks or moving towards a point to point configuration present higher levels of excess travel time. However, there does not seem to exist a preferred network configuration between hub and spoke or point-to-point configuration to reduce excess travel time. We also find a nonlinear impact of competition measured at the city-pair level over excess travel time. These results are robust when analyzing observed delays rather than excess travel time.
    Keywords: Airline Delay,Congestion Network,Panel Data,Airline,Delay
    Date: 2020–08
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:hal:journl:hal-02865929&r=all
  5. By: Forslid, Rikard
    Abstract: This paper analyzes the environmental impact of emissions related to trade and trans- portation. It is shown that transportation may in principle lower global emissions if the production sector is dirtier than the transport sector. The measure of a sector's dirtiness is related to the emissions taxes and the abatement efficiency within that sector. It is shown that a firm's abatement efficiency can be calculated from the emission-to-cost ratio times the emissions tax. Using Swedish data to rank 5-digit industries in terms of their dirtiness reveals that several production sectors have a higher dirtiness index than transportation does.
    Keywords: Emissions; Trade; Transportation
    Date: 2019–12
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:14228&r=all
  6. By: Stephen R. Barnes (Kathleen Babineaux Blanco Public Policy Center at the University of Louisiana at Lafayette); Louis-Philippe Beland (Department of Economics, Carleton University); Jason Huh (Department of Economics, Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute); Dongwoo Kim (Department of Economics, Texas Christian University)
    Abstract: We use a regression discontinuity design to study the effect of the COVID-19 lockdown on mobility and traffic accidents. Based on data from Google Community Mobility reports and Uniform Traffic Crash Report from the Louisiana Department of Transportation and Development (LaDOTD), we find that the stay-at-home order led to a large decrease in traffic accidents (-47 percent). In particular, we find a large decrease in accidents involving injury (-46 percent), distracted drivers (-43 percent), and ambulances (-41 percent). We also find evidence of a change in the composition of accidents, with more incidents involving individuals aged 25 to 64, male, and nonwhite drivers. Interestingly, we find no impact on ambulance response time, despite lower traffic. Finally, we document a large decrease in mobility in Louisiana. Our results have important policy implications for traffic management policies.
    Keywords: COVID-19, Lockdown, Accidents, Traffic Management, Regression Discontinuity
    JEL: R20 R41 R42 R48 H41 D62
    Date: 2020–07
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:car:carecp:20-12&r=all
  7. By: Frick, Karen Trapenberg PhD; Kumar, Tanu PhD; Li, Ruyin; Patil, Atharva; Post, Alison PhD
    Abstract: Developed in 2005, the General Transit Feed Specification (GTFS) is making transit trip planning easier by allowing public transportation agencies to share transit schedules in an electronic format that can be used by a variety of trip-planning applications, such as Google Maps. The GTFS can be used to share static transit schedules (GTFS-s) or provide real-time information on transit vehicle arrivals and departures (GTFS-r). Providing real-time updates has proven to be exceptionally valuable during the COVID-19 pandemic. For example, between January 13th and April 25th of this year Apple estimates that transit use in the United States decreased by 75%1 , which caused many public transit providers to modify their services. The California Integrated Travel Project (CITP) recently called for widespread adoption of GTFS-s and GTFS-r2 ; however, little is known about GTFS use across agencies and, in turn, the barriers to widespread adoption.
    Keywords: Social and Behavioral Sciences
    Date: 2020–07–09
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:cdl:itsrrp:qt9j94q60f&r=all
  8. By: Yan, Shiyu; De Bruin, Kelly; Dennehy, Emer; Curtis, John
    Date: 2020
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:esr:wpaper:wp669&r=all
  9. By: Crowley, Frank; Daly, Hannah; Doran, Justin; Ryan, Geraldine
    Abstract: Since late 2019, COVID-19 has devastated the global economy, with indirect implications for the environment. As governments' prioritized health and implemented measures such as isolation, the closure of non-essential businesses and social distancing, many workers lost their jobs, were furloughed, or started working from home. Consequently, the world of work has drastically transformed and this period is likely to have major implications for mobility, transportation and the environment. We have estimated the variability of people to engage in remote work and social distancing using O*NET data and Irish Census data. We show that while those who commute by car have a relatively high potential for remote work, they are less likely to be able to engage in social distancing in their workplace. While this may be negative for employment prospects in the short run, this dynamic has the potential for positive environmental implications in the short and long run.
    Date: 2020
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:zbw:srercw:srercwp20204&r=all
  10. By: Heiland, Inga; Moxnes, Andreas; Ulltveit-Moe, Karen-Helene; Zi, Yuan
    Abstract: This paper examines the structure of the shipping network and its implications on global trade and welfare. Using novel data on the movements of container ships, we calculate optimal travel routes. We then estimate the impact of a shock to the network on global trade by means of a natural experiment: the 2016 Panama Canal expansion. Trade between country pairs using the canal increased by 9-10% after the expansion. While the building costs were borne by Panama alone, a model-based quantification shows that the welfare gains were shared by many countries, due to the network structure of shipping.
    Keywords: Shipping networks; Trade
    JEL: F14
    Date: 2019–12
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:14193&r=all

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