nep-tre New Economics Papers
on Transport Economics
Issue of 2018‒10‒29
eighteen papers chosen by
Erik Teodoor Verhoef
Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam

  1. Urban Transport Systems in Latin America and the Caribbean: Challenges and Lessons Learned By Yanez-Pagans, Patricia; Martinez, Daniel; Mitnik, Oscar A.; Scholl, Lynn; Vazquez, Antonia
  2. Is Uber Helping or Hurting Mass Transit? An Empirical Investigation By Yang Pan; LiangFei Qiu
  3. Decarbonising Maritime Transport: The Case of Sweden By ITF
  4. Decarbonising Maritime Transport: Pathways to zero-carbon shipping by 2035 By ITF
  5. Why SMS?: An Introduction and Overview of Safety Management Systems (SMS) By Daniel Maurino
  6. Life cycle assessment of cash payments By Randall Hanegraaf; Nicole Jonker; Steven Mandley; Jelle Miedema
  7. Roads and Urban Growth By Ferdinand Rauch
  8. Infrastructure Project Prioritization in Theory and Practice By Bennon, Michael; Sharma, Rajiv
  9. Access to digital car data and competition in aftersales services By Bertin Martens; Frank Mueller-Langer
  10. International airline codesharing and consumer choice behavior: misconceptions vs. quality signals By Gerben de Jong; Christiaan Behrens; Hester van Herk; Erik (E.T.) Verhoef
  11. Reducing Shipping Greenhouse Gas Emissions: Lessons from Port-Based Incentives By ITF
  12. Economically Efficient Composition of Rural Infrastructure Investment By Burton, Mark; Wilson, Wesley W.
  13. Economic Impacts, Costs and Benefits of Infrastructure Investment— Review of the Literature By Pender, John; Torero, Maximo
  14. Motorway Cost Estimation Review: The Case of Slovakia By ITF
  15. IoT measurement and applications By OECD
  16. Mobility and Congestion in Urban India By Adam Storeygard; Prottoy A. Akbar; Victor Couture; Giles Duranton
  17. Fuelling Maritime Shipping with Liquefied Natural Gas: The Case of Japan By ITF
  18. Autonomous vehicles: scientometric and bibliometric review By Rodrigo Gandia; Fabio Antonialli; Bruna Cavazza; Arthur Neto; Danilo Lima; Joel Sugano; Isabelle Nicolaï; André Zambalde

  1. By: Yanez-Pagans, Patricia (IDB Invest); Martinez, Daniel (Inter-American Development Bank); Mitnik, Oscar A. (Inter-American Development Bank); Scholl, Lynn (Inter-American Development Bank); Vazquez, Antonia (Universidad de San Andrés)
    Abstract: This paper discusses the transportation challenges that urban areas in Latin America and the Caribbean face and reviews the causal evidence on the impact brought by different urban transport system interventions implemented around the world. The objective is to highlight the main lessons learned and identify knowledge gaps to guide the design and evaluation of future transport investments. The review shows that causal studies have been concentrated in certain areas and that an important number have been carried out in developed countries. Empirical challenges due to the non-random placement of these interventions and their possible effects over the entire transport network might explain the reduced amount of causal evaluations. A large part of the literature has focused on the impact of transport systems on housing values, finding overall increases in prices and rents, but with results highly dependent on the quality and perceived permanency of the system. There are few studies that explore socioeconomic effects, and those available have emphasized employment access. There are almost no studies exploring displacement effects, which should be examined to better understand the social inclusion role of transport systems. New avenues of research are emerging that exploit non-traditional sources of data, such as big data. Moreover, studies looking at ways to improve the operational efficiency of systems and those seeking to promote behavioral changes in transport users.
    Keywords: urban transport systems, Latin America and the Caribbean, impact evaluation
    JEL: O18 R15 R42
    Date: 2018–09
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:iza:izadps:dp11812&r=tre
  2. By: Yang Pan (E. J. Ourso College of Business, Louisiana State University,Baton Rouge, LA 70803 U.S.A.); LiangFei Qiu (Warrington College of Business University of Florida Gainesville, FL 32612 U.S.A.)
    Abstract: Sharing economy reshapes the distribution of unused or underutilized asset through digital platforms to individuals who are willing to pay for the services. The new economy model has introduced dramatic impact on the traditional industries by matching the demand and supply in real time. In this paper, we examine how the entry of Uber, a ride-sharing services digital platform, influences the demand of public transportation. Significant debate has surrounded whether the new ride-sharing model siphoned riders from public transit, or made transit feasible for more riders. However, limited empirical research has been done to uncover whether Uber is helping or hurting public transportation systems. Leveraging a natural experiment setting, the entry of Uber, with a difference-in-differences approach, we find a significant drop in the number of passenger trips with bus. Further, our results suggest that the effect of Uber is not uniform – the reduction in bus passenger trips is mitigated when the proportion of old age people in a local urban area is large; the decrease is amplified when the populations of disable people, including with language difficulty, and self-employed people are large. However, the moderating effect of poverty is mixed. We discuss the implications for research and practice.
    Keywords: Uber, digital platform, sharing economy, ride-sharing services, public transportation, difference-in-differences, natural experiment
    Date: 2018–10
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:net:wpaper:1811&r=tre
  3. By: ITF
    Abstract: This report examines the factors that have put Sweden at the forefront of decarbonisation of maritime transport, and how other countries could learn from this success story. It details Sweden's efforts to decarbonise its shipping industry and sheds light on remaining challenges and potential solutions to achieve zero-carbon shipping.
    Date: 2018–03–09
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:oec:itfaac:46-en&r=tre
  4. By: ITF
    Abstract: This report examines what would be needed to achieve zero CO2 emissions from international maritime transport by 2035. It assesses measures that can reduce shipping emissions effectively and describes possible decarbonisation pathways that use different combinations of these measures. In addition, it reviews under which conditions these measures could be implemented and presents concrete policy recommendations.
    Date: 2018–03–26
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:oec:itfaac:47-en&r=tre
  5. By: Daniel Maurino
    Abstract: This discussion paper presents an introduction to safety management systems (SMS) as they apply to transportation organisations across modes and industries, and provides a broad overview of SMS and its processes, activities and tools. The discussion is grounded on conceptual foundations, but does not neglect the practical aspects of SMS implementation. The Discussion Paper draws to an extent – but not exclusively – on the experience of international civil aviation and the urban transit industry in the United States. The contents, however, are generic and presented in a fashion commensurate to the nature of SMS as a management system, the principles, processes and activities of which cut across inter-mode and inter-industry boundaries.
    Date: 2017–08–04
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:oec:itfaab:2017/16-en&r=tre
  6. By: Randall Hanegraaf; Nicole Jonker; Steven Mandley; Jelle Miedema
    Abstract: Purpose: This study quantifies the impact of the Dutch cash payment system on the environment and on climate change using a life cycle assessment (LCA). It examines both the impact of coins and of banknotes. In addition, it identifies areas within the cash payment system where the impact on the environment and on the climate can be reduced. Methods: The ReCiPe endpoint (H) impact method was used for this LCA. The cash payment system has been divided into five subsystems: the production of banknotes, the production of coins, the operation phase, the end of life of banknotes and the end of life of coins. Two functional units were used: 1) cumulative cash payments in the Netherlands in 2015 and 2) the average single cash payment in the Netherlands in 2015. Input data for all processes within each subsystem was collected through interviews and literature study. Ten key companies and authorities in the cash payment chain contributed data, i.e. the Dutch central bank, the Royal Dutch Mint, a commercial bank, a cash logistic service provider, two cash-in-transit companies, two printing works, an ATM manufacturer and a municipal waste incinerator. Results and discussion: The environmental impact of the Dutch cash payment system in 2015 was 2.35 MPt (expressed in eco points) and its global warming potential (GWP) was 17 million kg CO2 equivalents (CO2e). For an average single cash transaction the environmental impact was 637 µPt and the GWP was 4.6 g CO2e. The operation phase (e.g. energy use of ATMs, transport of banknotes and coins) (64%) and coin production phase (32%) had the largest impact on the environment, while the operation phase also had the largest impact on climate change (88%). Finally, scenario analysis shows that reductions of the environmental impact (51%) and the impact on climate change (55%) could be achieved by implementing a number of measures, namely: reducing the number of ATMs, stimulating the use of renewable energy in ATMs, introducing hybrid trucks for cash transport and matching coins with other countries in the euro area. Conclusions: This is the first study that investigates the environmental impact and GWP of the cash payment system in the Netherlands, by taking both the impact of banknotes and coins into account. The total environmental impact of cash payments in 2015 was 2.35 MPt and their GWP was 17 million kg CO2e.
    Keywords: Cash payment system; coins; banknotes; LCA; environmental impact; GWP
    JEL: E42 Q54 Q56
    Date: 2018–10
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:dnb:dnbwpp:610&r=tre
  7. By: Ferdinand Rauch
    Abstract: P. Brandily, F. Rauch Roads are essential to facilitate interactions in cities. A sub-optimal road layout in cities and towns may inhibit interactions and constrain urban population growth. Using data from over 1800 cities and towns from Sub-Saharan Africa, and an instrument based on the history of foundation ages of cities in Africa, we study the relationship between the road layout of a city and its population growth. We show that cities characterised by low road density in the city centre experience less population growth in recent decades.
    Keywords: Road layout, Urban planning, Urbanization, Sub-Saharan Africa
    JEL: O18 R4
    Date: 2018–10–11
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:oxf:wpaper:859&r=tre
  8. By: Bennon, Michael; Sharma, Rajiv
    Abstract: The 2011 congressional ban on earmarks for infrastructure projects formally transferred responsibility for prioritizing federal infrastructure investments to the executive branch, and has redoubled the importance of how, exactly, the federal government evaluates and selects infrastructure projects that will receive federal funding. The Benefit-Cost Analysis (BCA) study is one such method of evaluating and prioritizing infrastructure projects or other policy alternatives which has been widely studied in literature and largely adopted by U.S. federal agencies. Despite their renewed and significant impact on the selection of infrastructure projects, however, the use and applications of BCAs in the U.S. varies significantly between sectors, agencies and levels of government. In this paper, we review the BCA and other project prioritization policies in U.S. federal agencies and compare them with other, international programs in the comparable economies of Australia and Canada.
    Keywords: Community/Rural/Urban Development
    Date: 2018
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:ags:ffispa:277658&r=tre
  9. By: Bertin Martens (European Commission – JRC - IPTS); Frank Mueller-Langer (European Commission – JRC)
    Abstract: This study looks at car data markets from an economic perspective. We start from several options for the technical characteristics of data access points that have been discussed among stakeholders in the automotive industry. We examine the structure of data markets that are likely to emerge from these characteristics and the implications for the welfare of manufacturers, aftermarket service providers and drivers. Car manufacturers face competition in car markets and aftersales services. However, they can design the car data architecture to ensure their exclusive access to the data. That would give them a monopoly in the market for car data from their brand. They can use this to increase their leverage on aftersales services markets. Our baseline scenario is the Extended Vehicle proposal that manufacturers prefer. This ensures their data access monopoly and enables them to maximizes revenue from data and data-driven aftersales services. It reduces welfare for drivers and aftersales service providers. Two technical variations on the baseline scenario reduce manufacturers' leverage over data server governance and their monopolistic power. That could reduce social welfare losses and transfer more surplus to drivers and service providers, compared to the baseline scenario. Other scenarios examine alternative data access gateways, for instance by keeping the OBD plug open and by applying real time data portability under the GDPR. These scenarios may offer some scope for regulators if they wish to keep alternative data access channels open in order to stimulate competition in aftersales services markets. However, they entail additional hardware and switching costs for consumers, compared to the baseline and are therefore partial and imperfect substitutes. In two final scenarios we examine the market position of B2B data marketplaces and consumer media services platforms. The potential for data aggregation across car brands and other sources creates some possibilities for these platforms to provide a counterweight to monopolistic behaviour by the manufacturers. However, manufacturers' control over the data supply and access to the in-car human interface ensures that they retain substantial leverage over these platforms. Regulators may consider creating the conditions for a more level playing field between OEM services and third-party aftersales service providers. As a next step in this research, the general scenario-based observations in this study would have to be complemented with empirical evidence on the data market power of car manufacturers.
    Keywords: connected cars, digital data, car data, monopolistic data markets, data regulation, access to data, data trade
    JEL: L00
    Date: 2018–10
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:ipt:decwpa:2018-06&r=tre
  10. By: Gerben de Jong (VU Amsterdam, SEO Amsterdam Economics); Christiaan Behrens (VU Amsterdam, SEO Amsterdam Economics); Hester van Herk (VU Amsterdam); Erik (E.T.) Verhoef (VU Amsterdam)
    Abstract: We examine the impact of airline codesharing on consumer choice behavior in non-stop international route markets. Using stated preference data, we document that consumer valuation of flights by alien foreign carriers is significantly higher if these flights are offered as codeshare products by consumers' own national carrier or, to a lesser extent, a neighboring national carrier. We empirically rule out quality improvements and frequent flier programs as underlying drivers and explore two alternative explanations: misconceptions about codesharing and codesharing as a quality signal. We find that misconceptions are widespread, but that they do not cause higher valuation of codeshare products. Consistent with signaling, however, codeshare products are valued higher by more risk-averse consumers and on less familiar routes.
    Keywords: codesharing; consumer choice behavior; incomplete information; signaling; airline industry
    JEL: L11 L15 L93
    Date: 2018–10–22
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:tin:wpaper:20180077&r=tre
  11. By: ITF
    Abstract: This report reviews port-based incentive schemes to reduce shipping emissions, such as environmentally differentiated port fees. Greenhouse gas emissions from shipping currently represent around 2.6% of total global emissions, but this share could more than triple by 2050. Ports have a crucial role to play in facilitating the reduction of shipping emissions, alongside the ship operators themselves. Which incentives are currently used? What are their impacts? How could positive effects be increased? The report also explores lessons learned that could inform international negotiations on the reduction of shipping greenhouse gas emissions.
    Date: 2018–04–17
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:oec:itfaac:48-en&r=tre
  12. By: Burton, Mark; Wilson, Wesley W.
    Abstract: Public sentiment routinely supports public-sector investment in infrastructure. Moreover, this view exists in both rural and metropolitan settings. Often, government is expected to directly support or, at least, guide the provision of transportation, telecommunications, and various utility services by supplying some or all of the necessary facilities. The current paper, first develops a more precise economic explanation for why public-sector infrastructure investment is economically efficient public policy. Next, by specifically accounting for the spatial nature of network infrastructures and commerce, we describe why many necessary investments must be sited in and/or available to rural communities. Finally, with an admittedly speculative eye to the future, we offer tentative forecasts regarding the nature and value of efficient, forward-looking rural infrastructure outcomes.
    Keywords: Community/Rural/Urban Development
    Date: 2018
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:ags:ffispa:277659&r=tre
  13. By: Pender, John; Torero, Maximo
    Abstract: This paper reviews literature on the impacts, costs, and benefits of infrastructure in the United States and developing countries, focusing on studies published since the early 1990s. A review of 28 econometric studies of productivity impacts of public capital in the United States found a wide range of estimates of the output elasticity of public capital (a measure of the percent increase in the value of output associated with a one percent increase in the value of the public capital stock) – ranging from -0.49 to +0.56, with a mean value of 0.12. The range of estimates depends on the unit of analysis, the type of public capital, and the method of analysis. Generally larger productivity impacts were found in national than in state-level studies and for water and sewer capital than for highway capital. Smaller impacts were found in studies that controlled for state-level fixed factors that affect productivity. These estimates imply an even wider range of estimates of the marginal rate of return to public capital stocks, ranging from close to zero for highway stocks to nearly 90 percent for water and sewer capital. Similarly large ranges of rates of return were estimated by studies investigating impacts of public capital on the costs or profits of firms. A few studies estimated the benefits of public capital stocks in U.S. cities including amenity benefits, and found that such benefits can be larger than the productivity benefits. The benefit-to-cost ratio (BCR) of public capital stocks estimated in these studies ranged from about 0.3 to greater than 2.0, depending on the assumptions of the econometric framework. Many econometric studies have investigated impacts of particular types of infrastructure in the U.S. and in developing countries, though few have estimated rates of return implied by the estimates. Model-based estimates of BCRs of infrastructure investments by the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers and the Federal Highway Administration suggest that BCRs greater than 1.0 are common for water and highway infrastructure projects, but no evidence was found in the literature reviewed that these have been validated using econometric approaches. Rigorous econometric impact evaluation methods to assess the causal impacts of infrastructure investments have been used by the Millennium Challenge Corporation and multilateral development banks to validate and improve the results of predictive models in some developing country contexts and have found some statistically significant impacts on railroads, roads, rural electrification, water and information and communication technologies (ICTs). Such an approach could be useful to apply in more contexts.
    Keywords: Community/Rural/Urban Development
    Date: 2018
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:ags:ffispa:277662&r=tre
  14. By: ITF
    Abstract: The ongoing development of Slovakia’s motorway network has prompted efforts to improve project selection and infrastructure governance more generally. This report reviews Slovakia’s approach to estimating motorway construction costs in the light of international practices. The accuracy of cost estimates at different project development stages affects the selection of projects, budget planning, or the bidding for the project. This report offers a broad range of measures that can advance the accuracy of estimates.
    Date: 2018–02–28
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:oec:itfaac:45-en&r=tre
  15. By: OECD
    Abstract: The Cancun Ministerial mandate on the Digital Economy (2016) highlighted the importance of developing Internet of Things (IoT) metrics to assess the effects of the IoT in different policy areas. Accordingly, this report reviews different definitions of IoT in view of establishing an operational definition for the CDEP work, and proposes a taxonomy for IoT measurement. The report also explores potential challenges for communication infrastructures due to the exponential growth of IoT devices through the application of connected and automated vehicles. This IoT application was chosen as the data transmission requirements of fully automated vehicles may have substantial implications for network infrastructure, and therefore may require prioritisation in terms of measurement.
    Date: 2018–10–23
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:oec:stiaab:271-en&r=tre
  16. By: Adam Storeygard; Prottoy A. Akbar; Victor Couture; Giles Duranton
    Abstract: We develop a methodology to estimate robust city-level vehicular mobility indices, and apply it to 154 Indian cities using 22 million counterfactual trips measured by a web mapping service. There is wide variation in mobility across cities. An exact decomposition shows this variation is driven more by differences in uncongested mobility than congestion. Under plausible assumptions, a onestandarddeviation improvement in uncongested speed creates much more mobility than optimal congestion pricing. Denser and more populated cities are slower, only in part because of congestion. Urban economic development is correlated with better (uncongested and overall) mobility despite worse congestion.
    Keywords: urban transportation, roads, traffic, determinants of travel speed, cities
    JEL: R41
    Date: 2018
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:tuf:tuftec:0829&r=tre
  17. By: ITF
    Abstract: The use of Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) as a ship fuel is expected to increase significantly from its current marginal share in the coming years. This will require new facilities where ships can take on board the LNG. Japan is positioning itself as a potential hub in Asia for LNG refuelling. This study assesses the factors that will influence the realisation of that ambition
    Date: 2018–04–22
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:oec:itfaac:49-en&r=tre
  18. By: Rodrigo Gandia (UFLA - Universidade Federal de Lavras); Fabio Antonialli (UFLA - Universidade Federal de Lavras, LGI - Laboratoire Génie Industriel - EA 2606 - CentraleSupélec); Bruna Cavazza (LGI - Laboratoire Génie Industriel - EA 2606 - CentraleSupélec, UFLA - Universidade Federal de Lavras); Arthur Neto (UFLA - Universidade Federal de Lavras); Danilo Lima (UFLA - Universidade Federal de Lavras); Joel Sugano (UFLA - Universidade Federal de Lavras); Isabelle Nicolaï (REEDS - Centre international de Recherches en Economie écologique, Eco-innovation et ingénierie du Développement Soutenable - UVSQ - Université de Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines, LGI - Laboratoire Génie Industriel - EA 2606 - CentraleSupélec); André Zambalde (UFLA - Universidade Federal de Lavras)
    Abstract: This paper presents a scientometric and bibliometric review of the research on autonomous vehicles (AVs) to identify its main characteristics, evolution, and potential trends for future studies. Relevant articles were searched on WoS, yielding a research corpus of 10,580 papers, and the software CiteSpace was subsequently used for analysis. The results showed that AV research is heterogeneous and registered a growing demand over time. Multidisciplinarity is present, with 96 science fields being identified. As in any other sector, it is necessary to understand broader aspects of this industry such as the market factors surrounding it, as well as other economic and managerial issues. In this sense, we observed a migration of the research field from multidisciplinarity to pluridisciplinarity with a greater number of studies focusing on the latter. We understand that terminology standardisation contributes to achieving pluridisciplinarity. As such, it is important to highlight that sustainability, public policies, liability, and safety, as well as business issues such as performance and business models are some of the tendencies in the field of AVs. For future studies, we suggest a more in-depth analysis of publications in terms of individual search terms, as well as the sub-areas identified as trends in this paper.
    Keywords: scientometrics,bibliometrics,review,CiteSpace,Autonomous vehicles
    Date: 2018
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:hal:journl:hal-01877042&r=tre

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