nep-tre New Economics Papers
on Transport Economics
Issue of 2016‒04‒04
twelve papers chosen by
Erik Teodoor Verhoef
Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam

  1. Does Zoning Help or Hinder Transit-Oriented (Re)Development? By Schuetz, Jenny; Giuliano, Genevieve; Shin, Eun Jin
  2. The Environmental Cost of Global Fuel Subsidies By Lucas W. Davis
  3. A New Role for Cost-Benefit Analysis in Canadian Transportation Infrastructure Investment By David Lewis; Ian Currie
  4. Are users better-off with new transit lines? By Moez Kilani; André De Palma; Stef Proost
  5. Boosting National Infrastructure Investment in West Java: An Analysis Using TERM CGE Model By Viktor Pirmana; Armida Alisjahbana; Irlan Adiyatma Rum
  6. Labels as nudges? An experimental study of car eco-labels By Francesco Bogliacino; Cristiano Codagnone; Giuseppe Alessandro Veltri; Francisco Lupiáñez-Villanueva; George Gaskell; Andriy Ivchenko
  7. The CERDI-seadistance database By Simone Bertoli; Michaël Goujon; Olivier Santoni
  8. A traffic equilibrium model with paid-parking search By Renger van Nieuwkoop; Kay Axhausen; Thomas F. Rutherford
  9. Price and Income Elasticities of Gasoline Demand in Iran: Using Static, ECM, and Dynamic Models in Short, Intermediate, and Long Run By Mohamad Taghvaee, Vahid; Hajiani, Parviz
  10. Sufficient Statistics for Imperfect Externality-Correcting Policies By Mark R. Jacobsen; Christopher R. Knittel; James M. Sallee; Arthur A. van Benthem
  11. Road accidents and business cycles in Spain By Jesús Rodríguez-López; Gustavo A. Marrero; Rosa Marina González-Marrero; Teresa Leal-Linares
  12. Sprawl and Commuting: Exploring New Measures of United States Metro Regions By Ann Hartell

  1. By: Schuetz, Jenny; Giuliano, Genevieve; Shin, Eun Jin
    Abstract: Despite its reputation as a car-oriented city, the Los Angeles metropolitan area has made substantial investments in developing rail transit since 1990. In cities with older “legacy” rail systems, the built environment has developed over time around fixed transit infrastructure, creating land use patterns oriented towards long-standing rail stations. By contrast, rail stations in Los Angeles were added to an already dense built environment, with auto oriented zoning and established land use patterns. In this paper we ask whether redevelopment is occurring around Los Angeles’ rail stations, and whether zoning and related public policies are facilitating or constraining transit-oriented development. We conduct case studies of six Metro rail stations in the Los Angeles region, documenting the existing built environment, key components of zoning and land use planning, and the extent and type of new development in the immediate vicinity of stations after they opene d. Re sults illustrate that redevelopment around transit stations involves complex interactions between physical environment, economic conditions and public interventions. Incompatible zoning and related land use policies may constrain growth near stations, but TOD-friendly zoning alone is not sufficient to spur development.
    Keywords: Public transportation ; zoning ; housing markets ; land use planning ; urban spatial structure ; local government
    JEL: H7 O18 R1 R3 R4 R5
    Date: 2016–03–04
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:fip:fedgfe:2016-20&r=tre
  2. By: Lucas W. Davis
    Abstract: Despite increasing calls for reform many countries continue to provide subsidies for gasoline and diesel. This paper quantifies the external costs of global fuel subsidies using the latest available data and estimates from the World Bank and International Monetary Fund. Under preferred assumptions about supply and demand elasticities, current subsidies cause $44 billion in external costs annually. This includes $8 billion from carbon dioxide emissions, $7 billion from local pollutants, $12 billion from traffic congestion, and $17 billion from accidents. Government incentives for alternative fuel vehicles are unlikely to cost-effectively reduce these externalities as they do little to address traffic congestion or accidents, and only indirectly address carbon dioxide and local pollutants.
    JEL: H23 Q31 Q41 Q48 Q52 Q53 Q54 Q58 R41
    Date: 2016–03
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:nbr:nberwo:22105&r=tre
  3. By: David Lewis; Ian Currie
    Abstract: Encouraging greater reliance on Cost Benefit Analysis (CBA) as the organizing framework for facilitating discursive democratic procedures is an area in which the Canadian federal government can reinvigorate its role in the development of transportation infrastructure and physical infrastructure in general.The authors examine the microeconomic foundations of traditional CBA models. They find them too narrow to support the promise of CBA as a materially useful tool to help arrive at evidentiary consensus on major transportation infrastructure projects. To achieve its full promise, CBA requires an integration of advances in welfare economics, probability, discourse theory, and capability analysis.A framework for a reformulated CBA is presented along with an application of the approach in the case of gaining community evidentiary consensus on expansion of the Vancouver International Airport in the early 1990s. Potential implications for the federal government infrastructure policies today are explored and recommendations are made.
    Keywords: Transportation, Investment, Infrastructure, Canada, Cost-Benefit Analysis
    JEL: R42 R53 D61 H54 N42 N72 N92
    Date: 2016–03
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:sls:resrep:1602&r=tre
  4. By: Moez Kilani (EQUIPPE - Economie Quantitative, Intégration, Politiques Publiques et Econométrie - PRES Université Lille Nord de France - Université de Lille Sciences humaines et sociales - Université Lille 1 - Sciences et technologies - Université Lille II - Droit et santé); André De Palma (CES, ENS Cachan, CNRS, Universite Paris-Saclay, 94235 Cachan, France); Stef Proost (Center for Economic Studies - CES - KU Leuven - CES - KU Leuven)
    Abstract: This paper studies the entry of new competitors in public transport like long distance busses that compete with rail. A stylized model is used that analyzes the addition of a new more direct line in an existing network. We show that the introduction of the new line is only beneficial if there are relatively many users that want to use the new direct line. Our result raises serious concerns with respect to the decentralized management of transit systems.
    Keywords: externalities 1,public transport,Transport investment
    Date: 2016–03–14
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:hal:wpaper:hal-01282877&r=tre
  5. By: Viktor Pirmana (Department of Economics, Padjadjaran University); Armida Alisjahbana (Department of Economics, Padjadjaran University); Irlan Adiyatma Rum (Department of Economics, Padjadjaran University)
    Abstract: It is well established that infrastructure investment plays significant role in the acceleration of development through its impact on growth, sector performance and socio-economic indicators. West Java Province is province with the largest population in Indonesia and main contributor to national GDP. In this study, the impact of increased national infrastructure investment in West Java Province is assessed using 2014 data. JaBarTERM5 CGE model is used to simulate two infrastructure investment scenarios, the moderate scenario or increase in government national infrastructure investment only, and the progressive scenario that combines government national infrastructure investment with private investment. The results indicate that under the moderate scenario, West Java GRDP increased by 1.91% (1.91 percentage point compared to baseline, while in the progressive scenario (national plus private infrastructure investment), GRDP increased by up to 3.58% (3.58 percentage point compared to baseline). However, there are differential responses at district level. Districts that experience the highest increase in GRDP are districts close to industrial areas in the vicinity of Jakarta and Bandung. When viewed from its impact on provincial employment, it increases by 2.27% (2.27 percentage point compared to the baseline case) under the progressive scenario. The employment impact is particularly more pronounced in districts that are industrial areas. Sectors that experience increase in their production are Cements, Papers, Textiles, Food Crops, and Transportation Services. Another result is an increase in the prices of Real Estate, and Business and Financial Services, while the price (cost) of trade and transport sector has decreased due to an increase in the access and quality of infrastructure.
    Keywords: National Infrastructure Investment, TERM CGE model, West Java Province
    JEL: H54 H72
    Date: 2015–12
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:unp:wpaper:201507&r=tre
  6. By: Francesco Bogliacino; Cristiano Codagnone; Giuseppe Alessandro Veltri; Francisco Lupiáñez-Villanueva; George Gaskell; Andriy Ivchenko
    Abstract: This article presents the results of a laboratory experiment and an online multi-country experiment testing the effect of motor vehicle eco-labels on consumers. The laboratory study featured a discrete choice task and questions on comprehension, while the ten countries online experiment included measures of willingness to pay and comprehension. Labels focusing on fuel economy or running costs are better understood, and influence choice about money-related eco-friendly behaviour. We suggest that this effect comes through mental accounting of fuel economy. In the absence of a cost saving frame, we do not find a similar effect of information on CO2 emissions and eco-friendliness. Labels do not perform as well as promotional materials. Being embedded into a setting, which is designed to capture the attention, the latter are more effective. We found also that large and expensive cars tend to be undervalued once fuel economy is highlighted.
    Keywords: eco-label; nudge; willingness to pay; fuel economy; experiments
    JEL: C9 D3 Q56 Q58
    Date: 2016–03–16
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:col:000178:014330&r=tre
  7. By: Simone Bertoli (CERDI - Centre d'études et de recherches sur le developpement international - Université d'Auvergne - Clermont-Ferrand I - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique); Michaël Goujon (CERDI - Centre d'études et de recherches sur le developpement international - Université d'Auvergne - Clermont-Ferrand I - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique); Olivier Santoni (CERDI [CERDI] - CERDI - CNRS [CNRS])
    Abstract: We describe the publicly available CERDI-seadistance database, which contains bilateral maritime distances between 227 countries and territories. The relevant port(s) for countries with access to the sea is defined as the coastal cell of a country that contains the highest number of shipping lines, and each landlocked country is associated to the (foreign) port with the shortest road distance to its capital city. The length of the existing shortest sea route between the two ports is then computed; this represents the bilateral maritime distance included in our database, which also contains a few additional ancillary variables.
    Keywords: International trade, Bilateral maritime distances, Road distances.
    Date: 2016–03–15
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:hal:wpaper:halshs-01288748&r=tre
  8. By: Renger van Nieuwkoop (ETH Zürich, Switzerland); Kay Axhausen (ETH Zurich, Switzerland); Thomas F. Rutherford (University of Wisconsin)
    Abstract: This paper describes a Wardropian traffic flow model integrated with a search model for paid parking. The occupancy rate influences the probability of finding on-street (curbside) or off-street (garage) parking spaces. We formulate the model as a mixed complementarity problem, which has the advantage that there is no need for a complete enumeration of all possible paths, and the model can be solved using readily available software. We analyze different parking policies in Zurich and find that changing the parking fee structure will lead to high efficiency gains. Incorporating household heterogeneity is not critical for the overall efficiency effects but shows important regressive, distributional effects.
    Keywords: parking modeling, traffic congestion, cruising for parking, on-street parking, mixed complementarity format
    JEL: R41 R48
    Date: 2016–03
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:eth:wpswif:16-236&r=tre
  9. By: Mohamad Taghvaee, Vahid; Hajiani, Parviz
    Abstract: Price and income elasticities of gasoline demand show whether the price policy, pursued by the Iranian government, can decrease the high gasoline consumption sufficiently or not. Since the two oil price shocks in 1970 and 1973, interest in the study of oil products demand has increased considerably, especially on gasoline. High gasoline consumption is a serious crisis in Iran, posing economically, politically, and environmentally threats. In this study, the elasticities are estimated over three intervals, short run, intermediate run, and long run in Iran during 1976-2010, by putting the estimates of Error Correction Model (ECM), static model, and dynamic model in an increasing order, respectively. The short run, intermediate run, and long run price elasticities are −0.1538, −0.1618, and −0.3612 and the corresponding income elasticities are 0.2273 - 0.3581, 0.4636, and 0.7284, respectively. Not only do these elasticities imply that the gasoline demand is price and income inelastic but also the adjustment velocity, estimated by ECM, is a low point at −0.1942. Based on the estimations, the gasoline demand responds to the changes of price and income slightly and slowly. Therefore, policy makers should develop more strategies to reduce gasoline consumption, for example, substitute goods, public transportation systems, and environmental standards settings
    Keywords: Gasoline Demand, Price Elasticity, Income Elasticity, Static Model, ECM, Dynamic Model
    JEL: O13 Q3 Q31 Q41
    Date: 2014–06–26
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:pra:mprapa:70054&r=tre
  10. By: Mark R. Jacobsen; Christopher R. Knittel; James M. Sallee; Arthur A. van Benthem
    Abstract: Pigouvian taxes can fully correct for market failures due to externalities, but actual policies are commonly forced to deviate from the Pigouvian ideal due to administrative or political constraints. This paper derives sufficient statistics, which require a minimum of market information, that quantify the efficiency costs of such constraints on policy design. We demonstrate that, under certain intuitive conditions, standard output from a regression of true externalities on policy variables, including the R2 and the sum of squared residuals, have immediate welfare interpretations—they are sufficient statistics that compare alternative policies. We utilize our approach in three diverse empirical applications: random mismeasurement in externalities, imperfect spatial policy differentiation, and heterogeneity in the longevity of energy-consuming durable goods. Regarding the latter, we use our method and a novel data set and find that policies that regulate vehicle fuel-economy, but ignore the differences in average longevity across types of automobiles, recover only about one-quarter to one-third of the welfare gains achievable by a policy that also takes product longevity into account. In contrast, our other two empirical applications suggest that policy imperfections have only small welfare costs.
    JEL: H2 L5 L9 R4
    Date: 2016–03
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:nbr:nberwo:22063&r=tre
  11. By: Jesús Rodríguez-López (U. Pablo de Olavide); Gustavo A. Marrero (U. La Laguna and CAERP); Rosa Marina González-Marrero (U. La Laguna); Teresa Leal-Linares (Universidad de Huelva)
    Abstract: As of 2006 Spanish authorities implemented a Penalty Point System (PPS), consisting in a credit system for licensed drivers conditional upon the fulfillment of traffic rules. The PPS has been blessed as responsible for the decline of road fatalities in Spain. In this paper, we argue that part of the decline was due to the occurrence of two confluent facts that affect traffic density: (1st) the Great recession starting in 2008, and (2nd) an increase in fuel prices during the spring of 2008, implying a rise in the operating costs of motor vehicles. Using cointegration techniques, the GDP growth rate and the fuel price appear to be statistically significant with accidents. Importantly, PPS is found to be significant in reducing accidents with mortal victims. In view of these results, we conclude that road accidents in Spain are very sensible to the business cycle, and that the PPS influenced the quality (fatality) rather than the quantity of accidents in Spain.
    Keywords: Road accidents, Penalty Point System, Business cycle, Cointegration, Autoregressive Distributed Lags Models.
    JEL: R49 E32 C22
    Date: 2016–03
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:pab:wpaper:16.05&r=tre
  12. By: Ann Hartell
    Date: 2015
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:wiw:wiwsre:sre-disc-2015_07&r=tre

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