nep-tre New Economics Papers
on Transport Economics
Issue of 2013‒06‒16
twelve papers chosen by
Erik Teodoor Verhoef
VU University Amsterdam

  1. Service network design for an intermodal container network with flexible due dates/times and the possibility of using subcontracted transport By Riessen, B. van; Negenborn, R.R.; Dekker, R.; Lodewijks, G.
  2. Urban logistics pooling viability analysis via a multicriteria multiactor method By Jesus Gonzalez-Feliu; Josep-Maria Salanova Grau; Joelle Morana; Evangelos Mitsakis
  3. Commuters' Preferences for Fast and Reliable Travel By Paul Koster; Hans Koster
  4. Airport Congestion and Airline Network Structure By Fageda, Xavier, 1975-; Flores-Fillol, Ricardo
  5. Calculating the carbon footprint from different classes of air travel By Bofinger, Heinrich; Strand, Jon
  6. Political determinants of fossil fuel pricing By van Beers, Cees; Strand, Jon
  7. Accessibility: a useful analytical and empirical tool in spatial economics – experiences from Sweden By Karlsson, Charlie; Gråsjö, Urban
  8. Driving Restrictions That Work? Quito's Pico y Placa Program By Paul E. Carrillo; Arun S. Malik; Jiseon Yoo
  9. Income Elasticity of Gasoline Demand: A Meta-Analysis By Tomas Havranek; Ondrej Kokes
  10. Airline networks, mergers, and consumer welfare By Hüschelrath, Kai; Müller, Kathrin
  11. Do horizontal mergers induce entry? Evidence from the US airline industry By Bougette, Patrice; Hüschelrath, Kai; Müller, Kathrin
  12. Understanding retailing-based mobility for the 5-16 years old segment: findings and lessons from Lyon's Household Trip Survey By Jesus Gonzalez-Feliu; Bruno Durand

  1. By: Riessen, B. van; Negenborn, R.R.; Dekker, R.; Lodewijks, G.
    Abstract: An intermodal container transportation network is being developed between Rotterdam and several inland terminals in North West Europe: the EUROPEAN GATEWAY SERVICES (EGS) network. This network is developed and operated by the seaports of EUROPE CONTAINER TERMINALS (ECT). To use this network cost-efficiently, a centralized planning of the container transportation is required, to be operated by the seaport. In this paper, a new mathematical model is proposed for the service network design. The model uses a combination of a path-based formulation and a minimum flow network formulation. It introduces two new features to the intermodal network-planning problem. Firstly, overdue deliveries are penalized instead of prohibited. Secondly, the model combines self-operated and subcontracted services. The service network design considers the network-planning problem at a tactical level: the optimal service schedule between the given network terminals is determined. The model considers self-operated or subcontracted barge and rail services as well as transport by truck. The model is used for the service network design of the EGS network. For this case, the benefit of using container transportation with multiple legs and intermediate transfers is studied. Also, a preliminary test of the influence of the new aspects of the model is done. The preliminary results indicate that the proposed model is suitable for the service network design in modern intermodal container transport networks. Also, the results suggest that a combined business model for the network transport and terminals is worth investigating further, as the transit costs can be reduced with lower transfer costs.
    Keywords: container transportation;intermodal planning;network optimization;ynchromodal planning
    Date: 2013–06–01
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:dgr:eureir:1765040343&r=tre
  2. By: Jesus Gonzalez-Feliu (LET - Laboratoire d'économie des transports - CNRS : UMR5593 - École Nationale des Travaux Publics de l'État [ENTPE] - Université Lumière - Lyon II); Josep-Maria Salanova Grau (Hellenic Institute or Transport - Center of Research and Technologie Hellas); Joelle Morana (LET - Laboratoire d'économie des transports - CNRS : UMR5593 - École Nationale des Travaux Publics de l'État [ENTPE] - Université Lumière - Lyon II); Evangelos Mitsakis (Hellenic Institute or Transport - Center of Research and Technologie Hellas)
    Abstract: Collaborative transportation and logistics pooling are relatively new concepts in research, but are very popular in practice. In the last years, collaborative transportation seems a good city logistics alternative to classical urban consolidation centres, but it is still in a development stage. This paper proposes a framework for urban logistics pooling ex-ante evaluation. This framework is developed with two purposes. The first is to generate comparable contrasted or progressive scenarios representing realistic situations; the second to simulate and assess them to make a "before-after" comparative analysis. In this framework, a demand generation model is combined with a route optimization algorithm to simulate the resulting routes of the proposed individual or collaborative distribution schemes assumed by each scenario. Then, several indicators can be obtained, mainly travelled distances, working times, road occupancy rates and operational monetary costs. To illustrate that framework, several scenarios for the urban area of Lyon (France) are simulated and discussed to illustrate the proposed framework possible applications.
    Keywords: urban logistics; resource sharing; freight transport pooling; collaborative multicriteria analysis.
    Date: 2013
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:hal:journl:halshs-00758238&r=tre
  3. By: Paul Koster (VU University Amsterdam); Hans Koster (VU University Amsterdam)
    Abstract: Traffic congestion contributes to longer travel times and increased travel time variability. We account for the dynamic nature of travellers' choices, by deriving a closed-form solution for the costs of travel time variability. The resulting travel delay cost function is linear in the mean travel delay. Then, we use a semiparametric estimation approach to analyse observed and unobserved heterogeneity in the value of travel time and reliability. Using data from a stated choice experiment, we show that there is substantial heterogeneity in the willingness to pay for fast and reliable travel. About 5-25 percent of the heterogeneity in the value of time and reliability is attributable to observed characteristics of individuals, implying that unobserved heterogeneity is much more important than heterogeneity related to observable characteristics. It is furthermore shown that schedule delay costs are on average 24 percent of the total costs of travel delays.
    Keywords: local maximum likelihood, heterogeneity, value of reliability, scheduling, semiparametric Logit
    JEL: R4 C14 C23
    Date: 2013–05–28
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:dgr:uvatin:20130075&r=tre
  4. By: Fageda, Xavier, 1975-; Flores-Fillol, Ricardo
    Abstract: This paper provides a theoretical and empirical analysis of the relationship between airport congestion and airline network structure. We find that the development of hub-and-spoke (HS) networks may have detrimental effects on social welfare in presence of airport congestion. The theoretical analysis shows that, although airline pro ts are typically higher under HS networks, congestion could create incentives for airlines to adopt fully-connected (FC) networks. However, the welfare analysis leads to the conclusion that airlines may have an inefficient bias towards HS networks. In line with the theoretical analysis, our empirical results show that network airlines are weakly infl uenced by congestion in their choice of frequencies from/to their hub airports. Consistently with this result, we con firm that delays are higher in hub airports controlling for concentration and airport size. Keywords: airlines; airport congestion; fully-connected networks, hub-and-spoke net- works; network efficiency JEL Classifi cation Numbers: L13; L2; L93
    Keywords: Línies aèries, Aeroports -- Direcció i administració, Oligopolis, Empreses -- Direcció i administració, Aviació comercial, 338 - Situació econòmica. Política econòmica. Gestió, control i planificació de l'economia. Producció. Serveis. Turisme. Preus,
    Date: 2012
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:urv:wpaper:2072/211753&r=tre
  5. By: Bofinger, Heinrich; Strand, Jon
    Abstract: This paper develops a new methodology for calculating the"carbon footprint"of air travel whereby emissions from travel in premium (business and first) classes depend heavily on the average class-specific occupied floor space. Unlike methods currently used for the purpose, the approach properly accounts for the fact that the relative number of passenger seats in economy and premium classes is endogenous in the longer term, so adding one additional premium trip crowds out more than one economy trip on any particular flight. It also shows how these differences in carbon attributable to different classes of travel in a carbon footprint calculation correspond to how carbon surcharges on different classes of travel would differ if carbon emissions from international aviation were taxed given a competitive aviation sector globally. The paper shows how this approach affects carbon footprint calculations by applying it to World Bank staff travel for calendar year 2009.
    Keywords: Transport Economics Policy&Planning,Climate Change Mitigation and Green House Gases,Roads&Highways,Montreal Protocol,Environmental Economics&Policies
    Date: 2013–05–01
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:wbk:wbrwps:6471&r=tre
  6. By: van Beers, Cees; Strand, Jon
    Abstract: This paper provides an empirical analysis of economic and political determinants of gasoline and diesel prices for about 200 countries over the period 1991-2010. A range of both political and economic variables are found to systematically influence fuel prices, and in ways that differ systematically with countries’ per-capita income levels. For democracies, the analysis finds that fuel prices correlate positively with both duration of democracy and tenure of democratic leaders. In non-democratic societies there is more often no such relationship or it is the opposite of that for democracies. Regime switches -- transitions from non-democratic to democratic government, or vice versa -- reduce fuel prices. Fuel prices are also lower for more corrupt, or more centralized, governments. Higher levels of gross domestic product per capita lead to higher fuel prices, while export income from selling fossil fuels reduces these prices dramatically. Higher motor fuel consumption also appears to reduce fuel prices, most for gasoline. Absolute"pass-through"of crude oil price changes to fuel prices is found to be high on average.
    Keywords: Energy Production and Transportation,Transport Economics Policy&Planning,Economic Theory&Research,Emerging Markets,Transport and Environment
    Date: 2013–05–01
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:wbk:wbrwps:6470&r=tre
  7. By: Karlsson, Charlie (Jönköping International Business School and University West); Gråsjö, Urban (University West)
    Abstract: Accessibility has for many years been a widely used tool in transportation research. Many definitions have been suggested and researchers have constructed numerous mathematical formulations to measure its value to be able to evaluate the relationships between the nature of the transport systems and the patterns of land use. Such correlations have been used especially in assessing existing transport systems and forecasting their performance to provide decision-makers with ideas about the need for investments in the transport systems. However, accessibility measures can be regarded as the spatial counterparts of discounting. The measures represent the spatial distribution of economic agents and their activities in a simple way that imposes a very clear structure upon the relationship between these agents and their activities and their environment. Various frictional effects arising from geographical distance between economic agents determine their interaction options, i.e., their options to trade, to cooperate, to learn, to commute, etc. Observing that the time sensitivities of the economic agents vary between different spatial scales (and between different economic activities) we may impose a spatial structure (e.g. local, intraregional, interregional and international), which offers opportunities to define variables in such a way that spatial dependencies can be accommodated. These newly defined variables can then be used in empirical explanations of various spatial phenomena, such as patent output, new firm formation, the emergence of new export products, and economic growth in different spatial units. We will in this paper against this background show that accessibility is an underused analytical and empirical tool in regional science with an underestimated potential. The paper contains several empirical examples where the accessibility concept has been used in previous research. These empirical studies are carried out in a Swedish context and show the applicability of the accessibility method. However, it is a general method and there is no reason why the method does not apply also for other countries.
    Keywords: Accessibility; spatial models; spatial dependence; local labour markets; spillover effects; regional development
    JEL: C21 R11 R12 R23 R58
    Date: 2013–06–05
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:hhs:cesisp:0314&r=tre
  8. By: Paul E. Carrillo (Department of Economics/Institute for International Economic Policy, George Washington University); Arun S. Malik (Department of Economics/Institute for International Economic Policy, George Washington University); Jiseon Yoo (Department of Economics/Institute for International Economic Policy, George Washington University)
    Abstract: Programs to reduce tra¢ c congestion and air pollution by restricting use of motor vehicles on working days have generally not met with success given existing studies of such programs in a number of cities. We conduct the Örst study of Quito, Ecuadorís three-year-old Pico y Placa program and Önd that it has reduced ambient concentrations of carbon monoxide (CO), a pollutant primarily emitted by vehicles, by 9-11% during peak tra¢ c hours. During an extended daytime period that encompasses hours when population exposure to air pollution is likely to be highest, CO concentrations have been reduced by approximately 6%. Given that ambient concentrations of CO generally track the spatial and temporal distributions of tra¢ c, these reductions in pollution suggest similar reductions in vehicle áows.
    Keywords: Forecasting, driving restrictions, traffic congestion, air pollution, difference-in-differences
    JEL: R41 D62 Q53 C31 C54
    Date: 2013–01
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:gwi:wpaper:2013-1&r=tre
  9. By: Tomas Havranek (Czech National Bannk); Ondrej Kokes (University of Cambridge)
    Abstract: In this paper we quantitatively synthesize empirical estimates of the income elasticity of gasoline demand reported in previous studies. The studies cover many countries and report a mean elasticity of 0.28 for the short run and 0.66 for the long run. We show, however, that these mean estimates are biased upwards because of publication bias—the tendency to suppress negative and insignificant estimates of the elasticity. Using mixed-effects multilevel meta-regression we filter out publication bias from the literature. Our results suggest that the income elasticity of gasoline demand is smaller than commonly thought: the corrected estimate is 0.1 for the short run and 0.46 for the long run.
    Keywords: Gasoline, income elasticity, publication bias, meta-analysis
    JEL: C83 Q41
    Date: 2013–04
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:fau:wpaper:wp2013_02&r=tre
  10. By: Hüschelrath, Kai; Müller, Kathrin
    Abstract: We study the consumer welfare effects of mergers in airline networks. Based on the development of a general classification of affected routes, we apply a difference-indifferences approach to exemplarily investigate the price effects of the America West Airlines - US Airways merger completed in 2005. We find that although average prices increased substantially on routes in which both airlines competed either on a non-stop or one-stop basis prior to the merger, substantial average price reductions observed for routes without any premerger overlap suggest that the merger led to a net increase in consumer welfare. --
    Keywords: Airline industry,merger,market power,consumer welfare,price effects
    JEL: L40 L93
    Date: 2013
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:zbw:zewdip:13028&r=tre
  11. By: Bougette, Patrice; Hüschelrath, Kai; Müller, Kathrin
    Abstract: Theoretical research has investigated the relevance of entry-inducing effects as countervailing factor to a merger-related increase in market power. We use route-level data for the America West Airlines - US Airways merger (2005) to investigate whether such an effect can be identified empirically. Our results show that both entry-inducing and entry-dissuading effects can be observed depending on the type of affected route and the carrier under investigation. --
    Keywords: Airline industry,merger,entry-inducing effects
    JEL: K21 L40
    Date: 2013
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:zbw:zewdip:13030&r=tre
  12. By: Jesus Gonzalez-Feliu (LET - Laboratoire d'économie des transports - CNRS : UMR5593 - École Nationale des Travaux Publics de l'État [ENTPE] - Université Lumière - Lyon II); Bruno Durand (LEMNA - Laboratoire d'économie et de management de Nantes Atlantique - Université de Nantes : EA4272)
    Abstract: This paper aims, via a statistical analysis of the Household Trip Survey for the urban area of Lyon (France), to understand retailing-related mobility of the 5-17 segment of population. First, the analysis of different time horizons trends is proposed (1985, 1999 and 2006). Then, focusing on 2006, a classification of the different categories of kids in terms of retailing mobility is made. This classification will lead us to better define the different behavioural patterns in terms of shopping mobility, relating it to variables such as the household location, the studying place location, the socio-professional category of the kid's parents, the retailing area accessibility and the type of retailing zone, among others. As a conclusion, a first modelling and simulation proposal is made and further developments are enounced.
    Keywords: kids mobility, shopping trips, statistics, purchasing trip behaviour
    Date: 2013
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:hal:journl:halshs-00833709&r=tre

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