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on Transition Economics |
| By: | Oleg Gurshev (Group for Research in Applied Economics (GRAPE); CASE, Warszawa, Poland; Faculty of Economic Sciences, University of Warsaw, Warszawa, Poland) |
| Abstract: | This paper investigates the impact of an export demand shock triggered by the 2014 Russian import ban on labor earnings in Poland. We implement an event-study using traditional and doubly-robust difference-in-differences estimators, supplemented by a variance decomposition. Our findings indicate that the shock has caused substantial consequences for regional inequality. Specifically, we document a persistent decline in average relative earnings between the exposed group of counties and the rest of the country. The analysis of between-group variance shows that the import ban has reduced the earnings premium, shifting the exposed counties from relatively higher-earnings positions toward the national average. |
| Keywords: | Poland; Russian import ban; economic sanctions; regional inequality; local labor markets; difference-in-differences |
| JEL: | F16 F51 J31 R23 |
| Date: | 2026 |
| URL: | https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:fme:wpaper:118 |
| By: | Otrachshenko, Vladimir (National Bank of Slovakia (NBS)); Vasil’, Roman (National Bank of Slovakia, Bratislava, Slovak Republic; Institute of Economic Studies, Faculty of Social Sciences, Charles University, Prague, Czech Republic) |
| Abstract: | This paper examines the impact of weather conditions on firms' performance in Slovakia. By employing a unified framework that analyzes the outcomes, mechanisms, and coping strategies of firms across the entire economy, we contribute to a better understanding of the microeconomic foundations of weather's impact on economic development. Specifically, combining data on the universe of firms from 2013 to 2023 with temperature and precipitation data in a panel framework, we find that annual losses in sales, revenue, and profit associated with a 1â °C increase in temperature are substantial in heat-sensitive industries, whereas firms in non-heat-sensitive industries are generally unaffected. The findings suggest that the main mechanism underlying these relationships is a decline in total factor productivity driven by rising temperatures. To cope with the adverse impact of temperature, firms in heat-sensitive industries primarily adopt cost-reduction strategies. Future projections suggest a sharp decline in firms' performance, implying significant future economic losses for the economy. |
| Keywords: | coping strategies, firms, mechanisms, temperature, Slovakia |
| JEL: | D22 D24 Q54 |
| Date: | 2026–06 |
| URL: | https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:iza:izadps:dp18746 |
| By: | Pavlidou, Argyro (IHE - The Swedish Institute for Health Economics); Gindrovel Dumitra, Gheorghe (Romanian National Society of Family Medicine, University of Medicine and Pharmacy of Craiova); Enciu, Bianca (Department of Epidemiology II, Carol Davila University of Medicine and Pharmacy, Bucharest, Romania); Farcasanu, Dana (Centre for Policies and Services in Health); Ganescu, Radu (Coalition of Chronic Disease Patients' Organizations (COPAC)); Ungurean, Carmen (National Institute of Public Health); Zaharia, Alina (National Institute of Public Health); Košir, Urška (IHE - The Swedish Institute for Health Economics) |
| Abstract: | Cervical cancer remains one of the most preventable cancers, yet it continues to place a significant burden on women in Romania. While the country has historically faced high incidence and mortality rates, recent progress in HPV vaccination policy and the adoption of a national screening methodology aligned with EU guidelines signal a critical turning point. <p> This report presents a clear, evidence-based roadmap to help Romania move from fragmented efforts to coordinated national action — strengthening system capacity, expanding organized screening, and ensuring equitable access to prevention, diagnosis, and treatment — to accelerate progress toward eliminating cervical cancer and reducing HPV-related cancers across the population. |
| Keywords: | women’s cancers; cervical cancer; gynecological cancer; prevention; HPV vaccination; screening; Costs and disease burden; Policy; RWE and registries; kostnader och sjukdomsbörda; policy; kvinnors cancer; cancer |
| Date: | 2026 |
| URL: | https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:hhs:ihewps:2026_005 |
| By: | Jana Bedlovicova (Faculty of Economics, Matej Bel University in Banska Bystrica, Slovakia) |
| Abstract: | This paper examines minimum standards of care for a minor child performed as unpaid family work in the domestic setting in the Slovak Republic. It addresses the gap between the Family Act’s broadly framed formulation of parental duties and the concrete ad-ministrative-offence and criminal-law consequences of their breach. Methodologically, the paper draws on doctrinal (normative) analysis and systematic interpretation of rele-vant provisions of the Family Act, the School Administration Act, and the Criminal Code, assessed against legality, proportionality, and ultima ratio. In the administrative-offence sphere, attention is given primarily to education-related duties (enrolment, quantified thresholds of unexcused absence, and cooperation with schools and, where necessary, professional support services). In the criminal-law sphere, the analysis focuses on Endan-gering the Moral Upbringing of Youth and Ill-treatment of a Close Person and a Person in One’s Care, including the significance of omissions. On this basis, the paper formulates and categorizes minimum standards into five clusters: material provision and health protec-tion; upbringing and supervision; education; institutional cooperation; and protection against violence and suffering. The paper concludes that clearer normative anchoring of these minima could strengthen legal certainty and recommends considering a demonstra-tive list of core parental duties in the Family Act, while avoiding excessive rigidity; the articulation of such standards also serves a preventive function given social stratification and intergenerational patterns of maladaptive upbringing. |
| Keywords: | minimum standards of childcare, unpaid family work, parental duties, parental rights and responsibilities, administrative offence liability, criminal liability, neglect of care |
| JEL: | K31 K36 K39 |
| Date: | 2026–07 |
| URL: | https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:men:wpaper:113_2026 |
| By: | Kai Dutsch; Gunther Schnabl |
| Abstract: | Due to a planned economy and several wars, growth and prosperity in Vietnam were low for a long time. Following market-oriented reforms, such as the privatization of agricultural enterprises and the authorization of private companies, growth in Vietnam has accelerated. The stabilization of public finances, inflation, and the exchange rate have contributed significantly to growth. Nevertheless, the gradualist liberalization process is not yet complete, as there is still no truly open financial market and state-owned enterprises still account for a large share of domestic value added. As a result, growth momentum is driven primarily by foreign direct investment and exports. More reforms are necessary to catch up with more advanced East Asian industrialized nations such as Thailand, South Korea, and Japan |
| Keywords: | Vietnam, planned economy, market economy, reforms, Đổi Mới, China Plus One, transshipment, financial market liberalization, state-owned enterprises. |
| JEL: | O53 N15 F14 G20 |
| Date: | 2026 |
| URL: | https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:ces:ceswps:_12783 |
| By: | Dang, Hai-Anh (World Bank); Kilic, Talip (World Bank); Abanokova, Kseniya (Freelance researcher) |
| Abstract: | Can imputed poverty estimates be reliably disaggregated by population groups, especially when the interest is monitoring poverty levels for smaller, vulnerable groups that may not be represented as well in large-scale household surveys? The study tackles this question through a comprehensive literature review and empirical analysis that leverages 18 household surveys across four different low- and middle-income countries. The results suggest that the imputation accuracy widely varies by population group, with differences being as high as 10 percentage points in pairwise comparisons of groups. The imputation accuracy for the population groups of interest increases, on average, by 1.3 percentage points in response to increasing the sample size by 1, 000 observations for the target survey that is used for sourcing the predictors for the imputation model. The results are robust to extensive sensitivity analyses and also suggest that incorporating geospatial predictors into the imputation model can help increase imputation accuracy. The discussion provides useful inputs for future survey design. |
| Keywords: | consumption, poverty, survey-to-survey imputation, household surveys, Malawi, Nigeria, Tanzania, Vietnam |
| JEL: | C15 I32 O15 |
| Date: | 2026–06 |
| URL: | https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:iza:izadps:dp18743 |
| By: | Tolipov, Ibrokhim; Abdushukurov, Jasur |
| Abstract: | Promoting digital agriculture is one of the ways to increase the productivity of farms, reduce the use of resources and enhance management. However, adoption of digital tools in practice also requires farmer's willingness and capacity. This paper explored the attitude of farmers to the use of digital agriculture in the region of Qibray in Uzbekistan, Tashkent Region, where there is a lack of direct evidence at the level of farmers and the national digitalisation policy is developing. The study evaluated the association between socio-economic, ICT-related and behavioural factors with adoption and the relationship between the perceived productivity, income and management outcomes of adopters and the non-adopters. A positivist quantitative design was used, based on a structured survey of 60 active farmers. The data were analyzed, using descriptive statistics, group comparison tests, correlation analysis and binary logistic regression, in Stata software. The results revealed a definite awareness-acceptance gap as only 33.3% of the respondents were adopters, while high levels of smartphone ownership and internet access were observed, with platform awareness also high. The socio-economic and ICT variables were found to be weak support, whereas behavioural readiness, particularly future intention, was found to be more significant. Adopters experienced higher productivity and management improvements while income improvement was weaker. The study suggests that training, affordability, advisory services and farmer confidence are key policy areas to focus on in digital agriculture. |
| Keywords: | digital agriculture, technology adoption, farmers’ behavior, Uzbekistan, Qibray district, ICT, behavioural readiness, farm management |
| JEL: | Q16 O33 Q12 D91 |
| Date: | 2026 |
| URL: | https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:zbw:esprep:341697 |
| By: | Schneider, Friedrich (University of Linz); Asllani, Alban (Royal Docks School of Business and Law, University of East London) |
| Abstract: | Illicit tobacco trade poses a major challenge to revenue integrity, public health policy and state capacity across Southeast Asia. While policy debates often link illicit tobacco markets to high excise tax rates, this paper argues that illicit trade is better understood as a structural governance problem shaped by the interaction between tax design, regulation and enforcement capacity. Focusing on six ASEAN economies — Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Singapore, Thailand and Vietnam — the paper develops a three-pillar framework centred on excise tax structure, regulatory oversight and enforcement systems. The analysis shows that the illicit tobacco trade does not follow a uniform regional pattern. E.g. Indonesia is characterised by domestic evasion and informal production; the Philippines by the benefits and limits of excise reform; Singapore by persistent external supply pressure despite strong enforcement; and Vietnam by brand-specific illicit demand rooted in historical policy choices. Effective control requires predictable, administratively simple tax systems, enforceable regulatory frameworks, stronger supply chain and retail controls, and intelligence-led enforcement supported by cross-border cooperation. |
| Keywords: | illicit tobacco trade, excise taxation, shadow economy, revenue integrity, tobacco control, ASEAN |
| JEL: | H26 H21 K42 O17 |
| Date: | 2026–06 |
| URL: | https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:iza:izadps:dp18747 |
| By: | Pavlidou, Argyro (IHE - The Swedish Institute for Health Economics); Arabadijev, Jeliazko (University hospital Acibadem City Clinic Tokuda); Argirova, Radka (Acibadem CityClinic Tokuda Hospital, HPV Coalition); Dimitrova, Maria (Medical University Sofia); Kevorkian, Ani (Medical University Plovdiv); Okoliyski, Michail (National Center of Public Health and Analysis, HPV Coalition); Košir, Urška (IHE - The Swedish Institute for Health Economics) |
| Abstract: | Cervical cancer is one of the most preventable cancers, yet it continues to place a heavy and unnecessary burden on women in Bulgaria. The country now stands at an important turning point in the fight against HPV-related cancers. <p> Despite persistently high cervical cancer incidence and mortality, recent developments, including the introduction of gender-neutral HPV vaccination and the commitment to establish a nationwide cervical cancer screening program, create a renewed opportunity to strengthen prevention efforts. At the same time, improving health data infrastructure and monitoring systems can provide the foundation needed to deliver more effective and equitable prevention programs. <p> This report (white paper) sets out a clear, evidence-based roadmap to support Bulgaria in building the systems required to accelerate progress toward cervical cancer elimination and reduce the broader burden of HPV-related cancers across the population. By focusing on robust registries, integrated information systems, and improved monitoring and evaluation mechanisms, the report outlines practical steps to move from fragmented initiatives toward coordinated, data-driven national action. |
| Keywords: | Astma; enkätstudie; sjukdomsbörda; resurskonsumtion; läkemedelsanvändning; asthma; costs and disease burden; rwe; web-based survey |
| Date: | 2026 |
| URL: | https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:hhs:ihewps:2026_004 |
| By: | Ibadoghlu, Gubad |
| Abstract: | This article examines methane emissions policy and climate commitments in Azerbaijan's hydrocarbon-dependent economy, with particular attention to the oil and gas sector, which accounts for the overwhelming majority of the country's greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. Drawing on national emissions data, international climate commitments, policy documents, and independent assessments, the study evaluates Azerbaijan's progress in methane mitigation and its broader energy transition strategy. The analysis highlights the growing discrepancy between Azerbaijan's climate pledges-including its commitments under the Paris Agreement, the Global Methane Pledge, and various international methane reduction initiatives-and the continued expansion of fossil fuel production and exports. The article argues that methane emissions from oil and gas extraction, transmission, venting, flaring, and aging infrastructure remain a major environmental challenge, while limitations in emissions measurement, transparency, and independent verification continue to undermine the credibility of official reporting. Furthermore, the study examines the environmental and economic risks associated with continued hydrocarbon dependence in a country already experiencing increasing climate vulnerability, including rising temperatures, water scarcity, land degradation, and pressure on agricultural systems. The findings suggest that meaningful methane mitigation will require modernization of energy infrastructure, enhanced monitoring and reporting mechanisms, stronger institutional transparency, and a gradual shift toward renewable energy development. Without substantial structural reforms and a credible decarbonization strategy, Azerbaijan risks falling short of its climate objectives while remaining exposed to the long-term economic and environmental costs of hydrocarbon dependence. |
| Keywords: | Azerbaijan, Methane Emissions, Climate Change, Climate Policy, Greenhouse Gas Emissions, Oil and Gas Sector, Hydrocarbon Economy, Energy Transition, Decarbonization, Global Methane Pledge, Paris Agreement, Methane Mitigation, Energy Governance, Environmental Sustainability, Renewable Energy, Gas Flaring, Venting Emissions, Climate Vulnerability, COP29, SOCAR |
| Date: | 2026 |
| URL: | https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:zbw:esprep:341547 |