nep-tid New Economics Papers
on Technology and Industrial Dynamics
Issue of 2017‒02‒19
twelve papers chosen by
Fulvio Castellacci
Universitetet i Oslo

  1. Are Robots Stealing Our Jobs? By Pellegrino, Gabriele; Piva, Mariacristina; Vivarelli, Marco
  2. Racing With or Against the Machine? Evidence from Europe By Gregory, Terry; Salomons, Anna; Zierahn, Ulrich
  3. Fire in the Belly? Employee Motives and Innovative Performance in Startups versus Established Firms By Henry Sauermann
  4. Inverted-U relationship between R&D intensity and survival: Evidence on scale and complementarity effects in UK data By Ugur, Mehmet; Trushin, Eshref; Solomon, Edna
  5. A firm-level dataset for analyzing entry, exit, employment and R&D expenditures in the UK: 1997–2012 By Ugur, Mehmet; Trushin, Eshref; Solomon, Edna
  6. Innovation output and state ownership: Empirical evidence from China's listed firms By Kou, Kou; Kroll, Henning
  7. R&D and productivity in OECD firms and industries: A hierarchical meta-regression analysis By Ugur, Mehmet; Trushin, Eshref; Solomon, Edna; Guidi, Francesco
  8. Intangible investment in the EU and US before and since the Great Recession and its contribution to productivity growth By Corrado, Carol; Haskel, Jonathan; Jona-Lasinio, Cecilia; Iommi, Massimiliano
  9. Directed Technical Change and Energy Intensity Dynamics: Structural Change vs. Energy Efficiency By Kempa, Karol; Haas, Christian
  10. Capital Misallocation: Frictions or Distortions? By Joel M. David; Venky Venkateswaran
  11. Migration, communities-on-the-move and international innovation networks: An empirical analysis of Spanish regions By D'Ambrosio, Anna; Montresor, Sandro; Parrilli, Mario Davide; Quatraro, Francesco
  12. R&D Dynamics and Its Impact on Productivity and Export Demand in Swedish Manufacturing By Vuong, Van Anh; Maican , Florin; Orth, Matilda; Roberts, Mark

  1. By: Pellegrino, Gabriele (EPFL, Lausanne); Piva, Mariacristina (Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore); Vivarelli, Marco (Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore)
    Abstract: In this work, we test the employment impact of distinct types of innovative investments using a representative sample of Spanish manufacturing firms over the period 2002-2013. Our GMM-SYS estimates generate various results, which are partially in contrast with the extant literature. Indeed, estimations carried out on the entire sample do not provide statistically significant evidence of the expected labor-friendly nature of innovation. More in detail, neither R&D nor investment in innovative machineries and equipment (the so-called embodied technological change, ETC) turn out to have any significant employment effect. However, the job-creation impact of R&D expenditures becomes highly significant when the focus is limited to the high-tech firms. On the other hand – and interestingly – ETC exhibits its labor-saving nature when SMEs are singled out.
    Keywords: innovation, R&D, embodied technological change, employment, GMM-SYS
    JEL: O33
    Date: 2017–01
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:iza:izadps:dp10540&r=tid
  2. By: Gregory, Terry; Salomons, Anna; Zierahn, Ulrich
    Abstract: A fast-growing literature shows that technological change is biased towards routine tasks, changing the structures of employment and wages in developed economies. This paper is the first to estimate the absolute rather than relative employment effects of routine-biased technological change (RBTC) for Europe as a whole and at the level of 238 European regions. We develop and estimate a task model of regional labor demand in tradable and non-tradable industries, building on Goos et al. (2014), and distinguish the main channels through which technological change affects labor demand. These channels include the direct substitution of capital for labor in task production, but also the compensating effects operating through product demand and local demand spillovers. We empirically estimate the contributions of the channels in our model to analyze how RBTC affects both aggregate and regional employment. Our results indicate that RBTC has on net created more than 11 million jobs across 27 European countries over 1999-2010, comprising half of total employment growth, and can account for some 40 percent of the observed European regional variation in employment growth over this period.
    JEL: E24 J23 R23
    Date: 2016
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:zbw:vfsc16:145843&r=tid
  3. By: Henry Sauermann
    Abstract: We examine whether startups attract employees with different pecuniary and non-pecuniary motives than small or large established firms. We then explore whether such differences in employee motives lead to differences in innovative performance across firm types. Using data on over 10,000 U.S. R&D employees, we find that startup employees place lower importance on job security and salary but greater importance on independence and responsibility. Startup employees have higher patent output than employees in small and large established firms, and this difference is partly mediated by employee motives – especially startup employees’ greater willingness to bear risk. We discuss implications for research as well as for managers and policy makers concerned with the supply of human capital to entrepreneurship and innovation.
    JEL: J24 O31 O32
    Date: 2017–01
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:nbr:nberwo:23099&r=tid
  4. By: Ugur, Mehmet; Trushin, Eshref; Solomon, Edna
    Abstract: Existing evidence on the relationship between R&D intensity and firm survival is varied and often conflicting. We argue that this may be due to overlooking R&D scale effects and complementarity between R&D intensity and market concentration. Drawing on Schumpeterian models of competition and innovation, we address these issues by developing a formal model of firm survival and using a panel dataset of 37,930 of R&D-active UK firms over 1998–2012. We report the following findings: (i) the relationship between R&D intensity and firm survival follows an inverted-U pattern that reflects diminishing scale effects; (ii) R&D intensity and market concentration are complements in that R&D-active firms have longer survival time if they are in more concentrated industries; and (iii) creative destruction as proxied by median R&D intensity in the industry and the premium on business lending have negative effects on firm survival. Other findings concerning age, size, productivity, relative growth, Pavitt technology classes and the macroeconomic environment are in line with the existing literature. The results are strongly or moderately robust to different samples, stepwise estimations, and controls for frailty and left truncation
    Keywords: R&D; Innovation; Firm dynamics; Survival analysis
    Date: 2016–05–10
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:gpe:wpaper:15510&r=tid
  5. By: Ugur, Mehmet; Trushin, Eshref; Solomon, Edna
    Abstract: This data article is related to the research article entitled “Inverted-U relationship between R&D intensity and survival: Evidence on scale and complementarity effects in UK data”. It describes the trends in R&D expenditures, employment of R&D personnel and firm entry and exit rates in the UK from 1998 to 2012. We also provide statistics on net employment creation and net R&D investments due to firm entry and exits. In addition, we compute the correlation coefficients between entry and exit rates at the two digit industry level so as to examine whether the correlations are contemporaneous or inter-temporal. Finally, we provide information about the underlying dataset to which secure access is available through UK Data Service Archive 7716 at http://dx.doi.org/10.5255/UKDA-SN-7716-1 .
    Keywords: R&D; Innovation; Firm dynamics; Survival analysis
    Date: 2016–05–21
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:gpe:wpaper:15556&r=tid
  6. By: Kou, Kou; Kroll, Henning
    Abstract: China has experienced a surge in innovation output in which state-owned enterprises (SOE) play an essential role. Using panel data of Chinese listed firms, this paper examines the influence of the state ownership on innovation output at the firm level. Controlling for size, we analyse the effects of central and local government control on the number of firms' patent applications in different time periods. Doing so, standard assumptions on state ownership's inhibiting character are confirmed. However, we then qualify these finding by running separate models for different regions and sectors find that the impact of state-control on innovation performance depends on a number of conditions. More precisely, state control of firms has a negative impact on innovation output in particular in China's Northeast region and in mid-tech sectors whereas under other circumstances it does either not matter or can even exert a positive influence.
    Date: 2017
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:zbw:fisidp:55&r=tid
  7. By: Ugur, Mehmet; Trushin, Eshref; Solomon, Edna; Guidi, Francesco
    Abstract: The relationship between R&D investment and firm/industry productivity has been investigated widely following seminal contributions by Zvi Griliches and others from late 1970s onwards. We aim to providea systematic synthesis of the evidence, using 1253 estimates from 65 primary studies that adopt the so-called primal approach. In line with prior reviews, we report that the average elasticity and rate-of-return estimates are positive. In contrast to prior reviews, however, we report that: (i) the estimates are smaller and more heterogeneous than what has been reported before; (ii) residual heterogeneity remains high among firm-level estimates even after controlling for moderating factors; (iii) firm-level rates of return and within-industry social returns to R&D are small and do not differ significantly despite theoretical predictions of higher social returns; and (iv) the informational content of both elasticity and rate-of-return estimates needs to be interpreted cautiously. We conclude by highlighting the implications of these findings for future research and evidence-based policy.
    Keywords: R&D; Knowledge capital; Productivity; Meta-analysis
    Date: 2016–12
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:gpe:wpaper:15854&r=tid
  8. By: Corrado, Carol; Haskel, Jonathan; Jona-Lasinio, Cecilia; Iommi, Massimiliano
    Abstract: This paper uses a new cross-country cross-industry dataset on investment in tangible and intangible assets for 18 European countries and the US. We set out a framework for measuring intangible investment and capital stocks and their effect on output, inputs and total factor productivity. The analysis provides evidence on the diffusion of intangible investment across Europe and the US over the years 2000-2013 and offers growth accounting evidence before and after the Great Recession in 2008-2009. Our major findings are the following. First, tangible investment fell massively during the Great Recession and has hardly recovered, whereas intangible investment has been relatively resilient and recovered fast in the US but lagged behind in the EU. Second, the sources of growth analysis including only national account intangibles (software, R&D, mineral exploration and artistic originals), suggest that capital deepening is the main driver of growth, with tangibles and intangibles accounting for 80% and 20% in the EU while both account for 50% in the US, over 2000-2013. Extending the asset boundary to the intangible assets not included in the national accounts (Corrado, Hulten and Sichel (2005)) makes capital deepening increases. The contribution of tangibles is reduced both in the EU and the US (60% and 40% respectively) while intangibles account for a larger share (40% in EU and 60% in the US). Then, our analysis shows that since the Great Recession, the slowdown in labour productivity growth has been driven by a decline in TFP growth with relatively a minor role for tangible and intangible capital. Finally, we document a significant correlation between stricter employment protection rules and less government investment in R&D, and a lower ratio of intangible to tangible investment.
    Keywords: productivity growth,intangible capital,sources of growth,national accounts
    JEL: O47 E22 E01
    Date: 2016
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:zbw:eibwps:201608&r=tid
  9. By: Kempa, Karol; Haas, Christian
    Abstract: This paper uses a theoretical model with Directed Technical Change to analyse the observed heterogeneous energy intensity developments. Based on the empirical evidence on the underlying drivers of energy intensity developments, we decompose changes in aggregate energy intensity into structural changes in the economy (Sector Effect) and within-sector energy efficiency improvements (Efficiency Effect). We analyse how energy price growth and the relative productivity of both sectors affect the direction of research and hence the relative importance of the aforementioned two effects. The relative importance of these effects is determined by energy price growth and relative sector productivity that drive the direction of research. In economies that are relatively more advanced in sectors with low energy intensities, the Sector Effect dominates energy intensity dynamics given no or moderate energy price growth. In contrast, the Efficiency Effect dominates energy intensity developments in economies with a high relative technological level within their energy-intensive industries if moderate energy price growth is above a certain threshold. We further show that temporal energy price shocks might induce a permanent redirection of innovation activities towards sectors with low-energy intensities.
    JEL: O33 Q43 Q55
    Date: 2016
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:zbw:vfsc16:145722&r=tid
  10. By: Joel M. David; Venky Venkateswaran
    Abstract: We study a model of investment in which both technological and informational frictions as well as institutional/policy distortions lead to capital misallocation, i.e., static marginal products are not equalized. We devise an empirical strategy to disentangle these forces using readily observable moments in firm-level data. Applying this methodology to manufacturing firms in China reveals that adjustment costs and uncertainty have significant aggregate consequences but account for only a modest share of the observed dispersion in the marginal product of capital. A substantial fraction of misallocation stems from firm-specific distortions, both productivity/size-dependent as well as permanent. For large US firms, adjustment costs are relatively more salient, though permanent firm-level factors remain important. These results are robust to the presence of liquidity/financial constraints.
    JEL: E0 O11 O4
    Date: 2017–02
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:nbr:nberwo:23129&r=tid
  11. By: D'Ambrosio, Anna; Montresor, Sandro; Parrilli, Mario Davide; Quatraro, Francesco (University of Turin)
    Abstract: This paper investigates the impact of migration on innovation networks between regions and foreign countries. We posit that immigrants (emigrants) act as a transnational knowledge bridge between the host (home) regions and their origin (destination) countries, reinforcing their networking in innovation and facilitating their co-inventorship. We argue that the social capital of both the hosting and the moving communities reinforces such a bridging role, along with the already recognised effect of language commonality and migrants’ human capital. By combining patent data with national data on residents and electors abroad, we apply a gravity model to the co-inventorship between Spanish provinces (NUTS3 regions) and a number of foreign countries, in different periods of the last decade. Both immigrants and emigrants are found to affect this kind of innovation networking. The social capital of both the moving and the hosting communities actually moderate this impact in a positive way. The effect of migration is stronger for more skilled migrants and with respect to non-Spanish speaking countries, pointing to a language-bridging role of migrants. Overall, individual and community aspects combine in accounting for the impact of migration on international innovation networks.
    Date: 2017–01
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:uto:dipeco:201701&r=tid
  12. By: Vuong, Van Anh; Maican , Florin; Orth, Matilda; Roberts, Mark
    Abstract: In this paper we develop a structural empirical model that allows us to estimate the impact of R&D on firm profitability through two channels. In the first channel, R&D investment by the firm can impact the firm’s production efficiency and lower its marginal cost. This productivity channel raises the firm’s sales and profits in both the domestic and export market. The second channel is specific to exporting firms where R&D acts to increase the demand for the firm’s products in foreign markets. Using micro data for Swedish manufacturing firms from 2000-2010 we estimate the impact of R&D investment on the unobserved component of the firm’s productivity and export market demand. Our empirical results show that firm R&D investment has a statistically significant, positive effect on both the future productivity and the future export demand of the firm. For high-tech industries, we find that the impact of R&D investments on the demand shocks is twice as large as its impact on productivity. On the other hand, the impact of R&D investments on productivity in the low-tech industries is higher than on demand shocks.
    JEL: D22 F10 L60
    Date: 2016
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:zbw:vfsc16:145945&r=tid

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