| By: | 
Paul Dolan; 
Chloe Foy; 
Georgios Kavetsos; 
Laura Kudrna | 
| Abstract: | 
How achievement makes people feel depends upon counterfactual thoughts about 
what could have been. One body of evidence for this comes from studies of 
observer ratings of Olympians' happiness, which suggests that category-based 
counterfactual thoughts affect the perceived happiness of Olympians. Silver 
medallists are less happy than bronze medallists, arguably because silver 
medallists think about how they could have won gold, and bronze medallists 
feel lucky to be on the podium at all. We contribute to this literature by 
showing that the effect of category-based counterfactual thoughts on 
Olympians' happiness depends on the margin by which athletes secured their 
medal. Although gold and bronze medallists appeared happier the better they 
performed, silver medallists were less happy when they were closer to winning 
gold. This suggests silver medallists feel disappointed relative to gold 
medallists but that bronzes do not feel particularly fortunate relative to 
non-medal winners. Teams were rated as happier than individual athletes and 
Olympians happier than Paralympians. Observers' ethnic and gender similarity 
to athletes negatively influence happiness ratings; whilst observers' 
self-reported happiness has a negligible effect on ratings. We integrate these 
findings with prior literature on counterfactual thinking and the determinants 
of happiness, and suggest avenues for future research. | 
| Keywords: | 
counterfactual thinking, close calls, relative status, happiness, Olympic Games | 
| JEL: | 
D60 I31 | 
| Date: | 
2016–06 | 
| URL: | 
http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:cep:cepdps:dp1436&r=spo |