Abstract: |
With the daily and minutely data of the German DAX and Chinese indices, we
investigate how the return-volatility correlation originates in financial
dynamics. Based on a retarded volatility model, we may eliminate or generate
the return-volatility correlation of the time series, while other
characteristics, such as the probability distribution of returns and
long-range time-correlation of volatilities etc., remain essentially
unchanged. This suggests that the leverage effect or anti-leverage effect in
financial markets arises from a kind of feedback return-volatility
interactions, rather than the long-range time-correlation of volatilities and
asymmetric probability distribution of returns. Further, we show that large
volatilities dominate the return-volatility correlation in financial dynamics. |