By: |
Can Askan Mavi (University of Luxembourg [Luxembourg]);
Nicolas Quérou (CEE-M - Centre d'Economie de l'Environnement - Montpellier - UMR 5211 - UM - Université de Montpellier - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique - Montpellier SupAgro - Institut national d’études supérieures agronomiques de Montpellier - Institut Agro - Institut national d'enseignement supérieur pour l'agriculture, l'alimentation et l'environnement - INRAE - Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement) |
Abstract: |
Motivated by recent discussions about the issue of risk perceptions for
climate change related events,we introduce a non-cooperative game setting
where agents manage a common pool resource under a po-tential risk, and agents
exhibit different risk perception biases. Focusing on the effect of the
polarizationlevel and other population features, we show that the type of bias
(overestimation versus underestimationbiases) and the resource quality level
before and after the occurrence of the shift have first-order impor-tance on
the qualitative nature of behavioral adjustments and on the pattern of
resource conservation.When there are non-uniform biases within the population,
the intra-group structure of the populationqualitatively affects the degree of
resource conservation. Moreover, unbiased agents may react in non-monotone
ways to changes in the polarization level when faced with agents exhibiting
different types ofbias. The size of the unbiased agents' sub-population does
not qualitatively affect how an increase inthe polarization level impacts
individual behavioral adjustments, even though it affects the magnitudeof this
change. Finally, it is shown how perception biases affect the comparison
between centralized anddecentralized management. |
Keywords: |
Conservation,Perception bias,Environmental risk,Renewable resources,Dynamic games,Dynamic games JEL Classification: Q20,Q54,D91,C72 |
Date: |
2020–12–10 |
URL: |
http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:hal:wpceem:hal-03052114&r=all |