nep-pbe New Economics Papers
on Public Economics
Issue of 2026–03–09
thirteen papers chosen by
Thomas Andrén, Konjunkturinstitutet


  1. Distortions for Nothing - Optimal Taxation of (Un)Distributed Profits By Etienne Lehmann; Eddy Zanoutene
  2. Tax department design, tax planning, and tax risk By Amberger, Harald; Giese, Henning; Koch, Reinald; Ortner, Lukas
  3. The Potential and Utility of Land Value Taxation: A Theoretical Framework and Simulation for China By Yilin Hou; Michael Kumhof; Lei Shao
  4. Lessons on State and Local Income Taxes from the Twenty-first Century and Challenges for the Future By David R. Agrawal
  5. State and Local Tax Policy in a Time of Telework By David R. Agrawal; Xinyu Chen
  6. Innovation-friendly taxation of multinational enterprises: patents in the context of growth and taxes By Jan LukÅ¡iÄ; Jörg Peschner; Giuseppe Piroli
  7. Putting the "Finance" Into "Public Finance": A Theory of Capital Gains Taxation By Mark Aguiar; Benjamin Moll; Florian Scheuer; Luis Aguiar
  8. Transfer price documentation rules and multinational firm behavior: Evidence from France By Laudage, Sabine; Riedel, Nadine; Schmidt, Katharina; Strohmaier, Kristina; Voget, Johannes; Wickel, Sophia
  9. Who Pays When Tax Administration Improves? Revenue, Compliance, and Behavioral Responses to Georgia’s Large Taxpayer Office By Jean-Marc B. Atsebi; Misha Chikviladze; Ms. Mitali Das; Elguja Loliashvili; Mona Wang
  10. Wealth taxation, capital gains taxation and the inequality-mobility trade-off By van Langenhove, Christophe; Lorenz, Jan; Schulz-Gebhard, Jan
  11. Unequal Climate Policy in an Unequal World By Elisa Belfiori; Daniel Carroll; Sewon Hur
  12. What Makes a Tax Evader? By Bergolo, Marcelo; Leites, Martin; Perez-Truglia, Ricardo; Strehl-Pessina, Matias
  13. Optimal investment under capital gains taxes By Alexander Dimitrov; Christoph K\"uhn

  1. By: Etienne Lehmann; Eddy Zanoutene
    Abstract: We study the optimal taxation of corporate and dividend income when entrepreneurs can use retained earnings to reduce their tax burden. We show that eliminating dividend taxes while increasing the corporate income tax (CIT) to keep investment unchanged raises total tax revenue. Our simulations suggest net revenue gains of 0.1-0.4% of GDP. In an infinite-horizon model, the optimal policy sets dividend taxes to zero in every period. As the discount factor approaches one and when the planner values only workers’ welfare, the optimal steady-state CIT converges to a standard inverse elasticity rule.
    Keywords: corporate tax, dividend tax, optimal taxation, capital taxation
    JEL: H21 H24 H25 H26 H32
    Date: 2026
    URL: https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:ces:ceswps:_12424
  2. By: Amberger, Harald; Giese, Henning; Koch, Reinald; Ortner, Lukas
    Abstract: Despite the central role of corporate tax departments in managing multinational enterprises' (MNEs) global tax positions, little is known about how their internal design shapes corporate tax behavior. Drawing on hand-collected data on more than 8, 000 tax employees across 309 publicly listed European MNEs, we examine the association between tax department centralization and firm-level tax outcomes. We find no evidence for tax department centralization being associated with the overall level of tax planning. However, firms with more centralized tax departments engage in greater cross-border profit shifting, respond less to local tax incentives, and face higher tax risk. These findings suggest that tax department design shapes the means rather than the intensity of corporate tax planning. Our study extends the emerging literature on tax department design and provides insights for managers responsible for corporate tax strategies as well as for policymakers anticipating organizational responses to international tax reforms
    Keywords: management structure, tax planning, tax risk
    JEL: H25 H26 M12
    Date: 2026
    URL: https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:zbw:arqudp:337471
  3. By: Yilin Hou; Michael Kumhof; Lei Shao
    Abstract: This paper develops an analytical framework for examining land taxation in the context of contemporary urban economies. We dissect the China case for simulation, comparing two model-based scenarios where revenue losses from consumption taxes are replaced by higher income taxes and land taxes. We calibrate the model to year-2015 data and find that higher income taxes cause large losses in output and income, while higher land taxes lead to substantive gains that increase with land share in net wealth. This paper offers empirical explorations in revitalizing the land tax, with simulation results at a large country level for generalization.
    Keywords: land value tax, consumption tax, capital income tax, labor income tax, balanced budget
    JEL: E62 H21 H61
    Date: 2026
    URL: https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:ces:ceswps:_12476
  4. By: David R. Agrawal
    Abstract: I survey the research on the last twenty-five years of subnational income tax policy and conclude that the defining feature of state and local income taxes is geography. Geographic boundaries limit the power of subnational governments to tax people and activities. The article discusses where income should be taxed and the behavioral effects of these tax rules on the interjurisdictional mobility of people and jobs. I then examine how this mobility can heighten tax competition, which in turn can limit the ability of state and local governments to engage in progressive redistribution. I include a discussion of how telework will influence the future of the income tax by decoupling the locations of the employee and employer. Important areas for future research for the coming decades are highlighted throughout the article.
    Keywords: income tax, state and local, telework, sourcing rules, tax competition, mobility, commuting
    Date: 2026
    URL: https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:ces:ceswps:_12470
  5. By: David R. Agrawal; Xinyu Chen
    Abstract: The taxing authority of subnational governments is limited by the geographic location of individuals and economic activity. The rise of telework decouples a worker's residence from the employer's location, creating challenges for personal income taxes, corporate income taxes, and unemployment insurance. Using Census data, we show that teleworkers are more likely than non-teleworkers to move interstate and realize larger reductions in their state tax burdens from a move. Motivated by this evidence, we evaluate alternative principles for sourcing labor income to the state of residence, the employer, or work and discuss how remote work reshapes subnational tax bases.
    Keywords: telework, work-from-home, income tax, sales tax, property tax, sourcing rules, migration
    JEL: H24 H25 H71 J21 J68 R51
    Date: 2026
    URL: https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:ces:ceswps:_12422
  6. By: Jan LukÅ¡iÄ; Jörg Peschner; Giuseppe Piroli
    Abstract: We find that patents registered by multinational enterprises (MNEs) in tax havens help avoid taxes in the EU but fail to increase the total factor productivity (TFP) of EU-located group members. We conclude that many of those patents' prime purpose is not to make technology available and then diffuse it smoothly within the group. It is rather to avoid taxes in the EU by shifting profits to low-tax offshore entities. We suggest that implementing a comprehensive system of withholding taxes on outbound royalty payments could reduce profit-shifting associated with patents, thereby fostering more innovative and efficient uses of intellectual property.
    Keywords: Multinational enterprises, taxes, TFP, innovation.
    JEL: D24 F38 H21 H25 O32
    Date: 2026–01–04
    URL: https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:eei:rpaper:eeri_rp_2026_04
  7. By: Mark Aguiar; Benjamin Moll; Florian Scheuer; Luis Aguiar
    Abstract: Standard optimal capital tax theory abstracts from modeling asset prices, making it unsuitable for thinking about capital gains and wealth taxation. We study optimal redistributive taxation in an environment with asset price movements, adopting the modern finance view that asset prices fluctuate not only because of changing cash flows, but also due to other factors ("discount rates''). We show that a combination of realization-based capital gains and cash flow taxes implements the optimal allocation regardless of the source of asset-price fluctuations. Moreover, the capital gains tax avoids distortions in portfolio choice (the so-called lock-in effect) by targeting total net trades rather than gains from selling individual assets. These results stand in contrast to the classic Haig-Simons comprehensive income tax concept as well as recent proposals for wealth or accrual-based capital gains taxes.
    Keywords: capital and wealth taxation, asset pricing, portfolio choice
    JEL: E6 G1 H2
    Date: 2026
    URL: https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:ces:ceswps:_12472
  8. By: Laudage, Sabine; Riedel, Nadine; Schmidt, Katharina; Strohmaier, Kristina; Voget, Johannes; Wickel, Sophia
    Abstract: In recent years, a growing number of countries have enacted tax rules that require multinational enterprises (MNEs) to document their intra-firm trade prices and show that they are set as in third-party trade. The objective of these rules is to limit opportunities for strategic trade mis-pricing and profit shifting to lower-tax affiliates. In this paper, we study the regulations' fiscal and real effects. Testing ground is the introduction of transfer pricing (TP) documentation rules in France in 2010. Drawing on rich firm-level data, we show that affected MNEs reduced their outward profit shifting from France, while simultaneously lowering real investments in the country. Outside of France, treated MNEs decreased their real economic activity at low-tax (but not at high-tax) group locations.
    Keywords: multinational firm, corporate taxation, profit shifting
    JEL: F21 F23 H25 H26 H87
    Date: 2026
    URL: https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:zbw:zewdip:337486
  9. By: Jean-Marc B. Atsebi; Misha Chikviladze; Ms. Mitali Das; Elguja Loliashvili; Mona Wang
    Abstract: In 2021, the Republic of Georgia established a Large Taxpayer Office (LTO) to strengthen tax administration and improve compliance among firms that contribute a disproportionate share of revenue. This paper draws on that quasi-experiment to estimate the causal impact of intensive oversight, with no change in tax rates, on taxpayer behavior and revenue collection using administrative data from 2017–2024. Our study exploits both the 2021 introduction of the LTO and the revision of eligibility thresholds in 2024. Estimating a weighted difference-in-differences design, we find that LTO assignment raised annual tax assessments by about 0.4–0.7 percent of GDP, concentrated in VAT and withholding taxes. When we examine the channels, we find that the LTO raised compliance by combining targeted enforcement with improved taxpayer services, while audits became fewer but more selective. The impacts are largest in sectors with strong third-party reporting and high transaction traceability. Our findings underscore that reforms to tax administration can deliver significant gains in fiscal capacity, generate fiscal space, and support development.
    Keywords: Compliance; Enforcement; Large Taxpayer Office (LTO); Revenue Mobilization; Taxpayer Services
    Date: 2026–02–20
    URL: https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2026/031
  10. By: van Langenhove, Christophe; Lorenz, Jan; Schulz-Gebhard, Jan
    Abstract: We compare wealth taxes and capital gains taxes in a random growth model with idiosyncratic investment risk. At equal tax revenue, wealth taxes generate higher wealth inequality but also higher wealth mobility than capital gains taxes. The mechanism operates through variance: wealth taxes shift the mean of post-tax wealth growth without affecting variance, while capital gains taxes compress the upper tail and reduce variance. Lower variance compresses the stationary distribution, reducing wealth inequality, but also dampens rank changes, reducing wealth mobility. The variance effect dominates the fact that lower inequality shrinks the wealth gaps agents must overcome. Policymakers who value both low wealth inequality and high wealth mobility therefore face a trade-off. This trade-off is robust to type and scale dependence in returns, hand-to-mouth households, aggregate risk, and tax progressivity.
    Keywords: random growth model, wealth inequality, social mobility, wealth taxation, capital gains taxation, Geometric Brownian Motion
    JEL: D31 H24 E21
    Date: 2026
    URL: https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:zbw:bamber:337495
  11. By: Elisa Belfiori; Daniel Carroll; Sewon Hur
    Abstract: We characterize optimal climate policy in an economy with heterogeneous households and non-homothetic preferences. We focus on constrained efficiency, where the planner is restricted from transferring resources across households. We derive three results. First, the constrained-optimal carbon tax is heterogeneous and progressive. Second, if restricted to a uniform tax, the optimal rate is lower than the standard Pigouvian level due to inequality. Third, this allocation is decentralizable using only uniform instruments - a carbon tax, clean subsidy, and a lumpsum transfer. In a quantitative application, we show this policy generates a Pareto improvement, reconciling climate efficiency with inequality concerns.
    Keywords: carbon tax, inequality, consumption, welfare, climate change
    JEL: E21 H21 H23 Q54
    Date: 2026
    URL: https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:ces:ceswps:_12443
  12. By: Bergolo, Marcelo (IECON, Universidad de la República); Leites, Martin (IECON, Universidad de la República); Perez-Truglia, Ricardo (Anderson, UCLA); Strehl-Pessina, Matias (University of California, Santa Barbara)
    Abstract: Why do some individuals evade taxes while others do not? We study this question using administrative tax records from Uruguay linked to a tailored survey of taxpayers. Using third-party reports, we measure individual income under-reporting as an indicator of evasion. We then examine how three factors predict who evades: social preferences (e.g., honesty measured through incentivized laboratory games), peers (e.g., the behavior of current and former coworkers), and economic factors (e.g., the marginal tax rate). We find that social preferences have little power to predict evasion, while economic factors matter more and peer behavior is the strongest predictor.
    Keywords: tax evasion, social preferences, beliefs
    JEL: C93 H26 K34 K42 Z13
    Date: 2026–03
    URL: https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:iza:izadps:dp18387
  13. By: Alexander Dimitrov; Christoph K\"uhn
    Abstract: We generalize classical results on the existence of optimal portfolios in discrete time frictionless market models to models with capital gains taxes. We consider the realistic but mathematically challenging rule that losses do not trigger negative taxes but can only be offset against potential gains in the future. Central to the analysis is a well-known phenomenon from arbitrage-free markets with proportional transaction costs that does not exist in arbitrage-free frictionless markets: an investment in specific quantities of stocks that is completely riskless but may provide an advantage over holding money in the bank account. As a result of this phenomenon, on an infinite probability space, no-arbitrage does not imply that the set of attainable terminal wealth is closed in probability. We show closedness under the slightly stronger {\em no unbounded non-substitutable investment with bounded risk} condition. As a by-product, we provide a proof that in discrete time frictionless models with short-selling constraints, no-arbitrage implies that the set of attainable terminal wealth is closed in probability -- even if there are redundant stocks.
    Date: 2026–02
    URL: https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:arx:papers:2602.15177

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