By: |
Eizo Akiyama (Faculty of Engineering, Information and Systems, University of Tsukuba - University of Tsukuba);
Nobuyuki Hanaki (AMSE - Aix-Marseille School of Economics - Aix-Marseille Univ. - Centre national de la recherche scientifique (CNRS) - École des Hautes Études en Sciences Sociales [EHESS] - Ecole Centrale Marseille (ECM), IUF - Institut Universitaire de France - Ministère de l'Enseignement Supérieur et de la Recherche Scientifique);
Ryuichiro Ishikawa (Faculty of Engineering, Information and Systems, University of Tsukuba - University of Tsukuba) |
Abstract: |
To what extent is the observed mis-pricing in experimental asset markets
caused by strategic uncertainty (SU) and by individual bounded rationality
(IBR)? We address this question by comparing subjects initial price forecasts
in two market environments - one with six human traders, and the other with
one human and five computer traders. We find that both SU and IBR account
equally for the median initial forecasts deviation from the fundamental
values. The effect of SU is greater for subjects with a perfect score in the
Cognitive Reflection Test, and it is not significant for those with low scores. |
Keywords: |
bounded rationality; strategic uncertainty; experiment; asset markets; computer traders; cognitive reflection test |
Date: |
2013–08 |
URL: |
http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:hal:wpaper:halshs-00854513&r=neu |