By: |
Ülkü, Numan;
Weber, Enzo |
Abstract: |
This paper provides the first study of foreign investors’ trading in a
sizeable European emerging stock market, using a combination of daily and
monthly complete data collected at the destination. It also introduces the
structural conditional correlation (SCC) methodology to identify the
contemporaneous interaction between foreign flows and returns. We show that
global emerging market returns are an additional driver of foreign flows after
controlling for global developed market returns. Foreigners do negative
(positive)-feedback-trade with respect to local returns at the monthly (daily)
frequency. SCC methodology shows that the standard assumption in the
literature that flows cause returns but not vice versa is not justified even
at the daily frequency, making price impact estimates reported in previous
literature questionable. |
Keywords: |
Foreign investors' trading in emerging stock markets; feedback trading; price impact; structural VAR; structural conditional correlation |
JEL: |
G15 C32 |
Date: |
2011–01–10 |
URL: |
http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:bay:rdwiwi:18951&r=mst |