By: |
Conrad, Christian;
Rittler, Daniel;
Rotfuß, Waldemar |
Abstract: |
In this paper we model the adjustment process of European Union Allowance
(EUA) prices to the releases of announcements at high-frequency controlling
for intraday periodicity, volatility clustering and volatility persistence. We
find that the high-frequency EUA price dynamics are very well captured by a
fractionally integrated asymmetric power GARCH process. The decisions of the
European Commission on second National Allocation Plans have a strong and
immediate impact on EUA prices. On the other hand, our results suggest that
EUA prices are only weakly connected to indicators about the future economic
development as well as the current economic activity. |
Keywords: |
EU ETS; EUA; Second NAPs; Announcement Effects; Price Formation |
Date: |
2010–03–30 |
URL: |
http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:awi:wpaper:0497&r=mst |