Abstract: |
Policymakers in many emerging markets are attempting to resist currency
appreciation while simultaneously meeting targets for inflation. Using the
recent experience of Colombia between 2004 and 2007, this paper examines the
effectiveness of the Central Bank's intervention in stemming domestic currency
appreciation under an inflation targeting regime. The results indicate that
exchange rate intervention was effective during 2004-2006, when foreign
currency purchases were undertaken during a period of monetary easing. During
2007, on the other hand, intervention was ineffective in reversing or slowing
down domestic currency appreciation, as large-scale intervention became
incompatible with meeting the inflation target in an overheating economy.
Currency derivative markets-which have grown in depth and
sophistication-played a key role in blunting the effectiveness of intervention. |