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on Investment |
| By: | Jung Min Han (Korea Institute for Industrial Economics and Trade) |
| Abstract: | In Q4 2025, the Manufacturing Business Survey Index (BSI) rebounded on a quarter-on-quarter basis, with the business conditions index at 84 and the sales index at 86. The outlook BSI for Q1 2026 also showed a modest improvement, with the business conditions and sales indices rising to 91 and 93, respectively.<p> In Q4 2025, sales conditions improved across most industries, including wireless communication equipment, while the Q1 2026 outlook strengthened mainly in the machinery and materials sectors. The annual outlook BSI for 2026 indicates manufacturing sales expectations of 95, with new industries, large companies, and the biotech and health care segments expected to record indices above 100. |
| Keywords: | manufacturing business survey index; BSI |
| JEL: | E66 |
| Date: | 2026 |
| URL: | https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:ris:kieter:022562 |
| By: | Gray-Lobe, Guthrie; Kremer, Michael; de Laat, Joost; Mbonu, Oluchi; Scanlon, Cole |
| Abstract: | This study evaluates a large-scale text message (SMS) outreach program to engage caregivers of students in private primary schools in Kenya. Using a two-stage randomization design, the study tested two types of weekly SMS messages: growth-mindset encouragement and personalized performance information. The findings show two main effects. First, outreach improved test scores by 0.07 standard deviations, with particularly strong gains among initially lower-performing students. This improvement generates 12 learning-adjusted years of schooling per US$100 spent—making it highly cost-effective relative to other education interventions. Second, outreach increased student exit rates by 4.7–5.0 percentage points, with effects concentrated among higher-achieving students (5.7 to 6.6 percentage points). The study developed a theoretical model of vertically differentiated schools where parental engagement affects both learning production and school choice. The model shows that when parents update their understanding of education production through engagement programs, they become more sensitive to perceived differences in school quality. This increased sensitivity can lead lower-quality schools to forgo implementing engagement programs—even when costless—as enhanced parental discernment accelerates student exits. The findings suggest a role for third-party provision of parent engagement programs in competitive education markets. |
| Date: | 2026–05–19 |
| URL: | https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:wbk:wbrwps:11387 |
| By: | Hong Lee (Korea Institute for Industrial Economics and Trade); Sung Wook Hong (Korea Institute for Industrial Economics and Trade) |
| Abstract: | This study examines worsening instability in the oil industry’s supply chain due to the ongoing conflict in the Middle East and the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, which has placed severe upward pressure on international oil prices. Prices of petroleum-based products in South Korea have risen rapidly, increasing the burden on consumers and fueling inflation concerns. Rising international oil prices are highly likely to feed through to the real economy through increased transportation, logistics, and manufacturing costs. Skyrocketing prices for Dubai crude (up 49.8 percent) and domestic gasoline prices (up 12.7 percent) since the US and Israel began their campaign against Iran have exceeded the initial increases seen when Russia invaded Ukraine. In response, the Korean government implemented a price cap system to mitigate market anxiety and the spread of inflation expectations. This system, which sets a cap on the prices that oil refiners are allowed to sell at every two weeks, has been in effect since March 13, 2026. Following its implementation, national average gasoline and diesel prices fell by KRW 70 to KRW 120 from their peaks, showing a stabilizing trend. The government is also considering a packaged response that combines price caps with other policy instruments, such as fuel tax cuts and direct subsidies to consumers. This package of policies could temporarily suppress rapid price surges and ease the burden on consumers, but it also risks exacerbating non-price rationing and long-term supply shortages. <p> Ceilings on prices prevent the price signal from constraining demand, which during a supply shock can worsen shortages, lead to long lines at the pump, and eliminate price competition among retailers. Therefore, price caps on petroleum need to be utilized with great care as a short-term market stabilization tool, rather than as a permanent feature. <p> Future policy responses should take a package approach that combines various policy instruments, including fuel tax cuts, direct support, the utilization of strategic petroleum reserves, and diversification of import sources. Given that fuel dependency and cost structures vary by industry, a differentiated policy response considering industry-specific characteristics is necessary, rather than a uniform price regulation. Industries such as logistics, freight, fisheries, agriculture, and public transportation are particularly exposed to fuel costs, meaning oil price shocks are highly likely to be passed through to production and transportation costs. Thus, the government should design targeted support or fuel-cost subsidies. For the oil refining, petrochemical, and energy-intensive manufacturing sectors, a policy approach considering supply stability and cost buffering is needed so that medium- to long-term security of supply and investment incentives are not adversely affected |
| Keywords: | energy; energy supply and demand; energy pricing; price ceilings; price caps; energy policy; energy markets; oil prices; US-Iran war; Hormuz |
| JEL: | Q41 Q43 Q48 |
| Date: | 2026 |
| URL: | https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:ris:kietia:022568 |
| By: | Kate Prickett (Motu Economic and Public Policy Research) |
| Abstract: | Objective: This study examines how shared care arrangements, where children are cared for across households, are socially patterned and whether variation in in-kind support within these arrangements is associated with parental mental health in Aotearoa New Zealand. Background: Although shared care arrangements are commonly defined by the division of parenting time, they also entail the sharing of resources and responsibilities across households. Research has largely overlooked variation in in-kind support within shared care as a factor contributing to parental wellbeing. Method: Data come from the 2022 New Zealand Income Support Survey (n=972), a nationally representative sample of low-to-middle income families. Multinomial logistic regression models examined associations between shared care arrangements, levels of in-kind support, and parents’ anxiety and depressive symptoms. Results: Close to one in five (19%) families had a shared care arrangement. These families were more socioeconomically disadvantaged than two-parent families without shared care arrangements, but more advantaged than sole-parent families. Lower levels of in-kind support were associated with greater anxiety and depressive symptoms. Conclusion: Shared care arrangements are heterogeneous in their socioeconomic distribution and the extent of resource sharing between parents, with implications for parental wellbeing. Implications: Findings highlight the importance of considering informal and in-kind support as a key dimension of post-separation family life, suggesting that policies focused primarily on formal child support may overlook other important sources of parental wellbeing inequality. |
| Keywords: | Shared care arrangements; in-kind support; parental mental health; family complexity; socioeconomic inequality. |
| JEL: | J12 J13 I31 D13 I38 |
| Date: | 2026–05–25 |
| URL: | https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:mtu:wpaper:26_06 |
| By: | Christopher J. Waller |
| Date: | 2026–05–22 |
| URL: | https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:fip:fedgsq:103304 |
| By: | Obregon Diaz, Carlos Federico |
| Abstract: | This paper develops the Economics of Belonging as a structural extension of the capability approach. It proposes that capabilities are not primary units of analysis but outcomes of institutional belonging, defined as effective participation within institutional structures. The analysis integrates institutional economics, social choice theory, mechanism design, and game theory to demonstrate that aggregation from individual states is structurally infeasible under incomplete information and multiple equilibria. A dynamic framework is developed in which belonging drives effective demand and sustained economic growth through middle-class expansion. The paper contributes to development theory by providing a unified institutional and relational framework linking participation, demand, and long-term growth. |
| Keywords: | Economics of Belonging; Institutions; Effective Demand; Economic Development; Social Choice; Game Theory; Middle Class |
| JEL: | B41 D02 O11 O43 |
| Date: | 2026–04–21 |
| URL: | https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:pra:mprapa:128817 |
| By: | International Monetary Fund |
| Abstract: | Gains from the reform program enabled a swift response to Cyclone Ditwah and the Middle East conflict, and helped preserve economic resilience. The final year of the Extended Fund Facility program focuses on consolidating gains and strengthening growth foundations. Uncertainties from the Middle East conflict and global trade policy have increased downside risks to macroeconomic and social stability. |
| Date: | 2026–05–27 |
| URL: | https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:imf:imfscr:2026/111 |
| By: | Takashi HATTORI; Pin-Chiao MAO |
| Abstract: | This paper analyzes how Taiwan, an outsider to the international climate regime, has adopted international climate change norms from the late 1980s through the early 2020s. Drawing on primary government documents, it traces the development of Taiwan's climate change policy through successive international milestones — the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change, the Kyoto Protocol, the Copenhagen Accord, and the Paris Agreement. Despite being excluded from climate-related treaties and agreements as a non-member of the United Nations, Taiwan has consistently aligned its policy formation with international norms, progressively building institutional capacity, enacting and revising legislation, formulating policy guidelines, and independently developing and publishing its own NAMAs, INDC, and NDCs. This policy development direction has maintained its fundamental trajectory across successive administrations — from Lee Teng-hui and Chen Shui-bian through Ma Ying-jeou, Tsai Ing-wen, and Lai Ching-te — demonstrating a distinctive Taiwanese pattern of norm adoption under the structural constraint of non-party status. The findings of this paper show that insiders and outsiders to international regimes operate under different logics of norm adoption. By advancing the proposition that "strategic legitimation"— rather than internalization through socialization—serves as the primary pathway of norm adoption for outsiders, this paper contributes to extending the scope of norm lifecycle theory. |
| Date: | 2026–05 |
| URL: | https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:eti:rpdpjp:26006 |
| By: | Luca Braghieri (Bocconi University); Peter Schwardmann (Carnegie Mellon University); Egon Tripodi (Hertie School) |
| Abstract: | We conduct an experiment that engages U.S. Democrats and Republicans in video conversations about policy-relevant facts. We study self-selection into conversations and their effect on information aggregation and affective polarization. Participants prefer co-partisan conversations, believing cross-partisan conversations to be less informative and less pleasant. There is more to learn from counter-partisans, but participants find it harder to extract knowledge from them. Our rich audiovisual data reveal that co- and cross-partisan conversations are strikingly similar in content and tone. Yet, knowledge extraction is impeded by participants' persistent lack of trust in the knowledge of counter-partisans. In contrast, cross-partisan interactions prove more enjoyable than anticipated and significantly reduce affective polarization, an effect that persists in an obfuscated follow-up survey three months later. More emotionally engaged conversations produce larger reductions in affective polarization. Policies encouraging cross-partisan interactions may be more successful at reducing affective polarization than at promoting information aggregation. |
| Keywords: | cross-partisan interactions; partisan sorting; echo chambers; information diffusion; affective polarization; misperceptions; |
| JEL: | C93 D83 D9 |
| Date: | 2026–06–02 |
| URL: | https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:rco:dpaper:575 |
| By: | Maldonado Valera, Carlos; Leroy, Natacha; Mahaluf Meza, Felipe; Escobedo Muñoz, Florencia |
| Abstract: | ¿Cómo es posible avanzar hacia un desarrollo social inclusivo si persisten profundas desigualdades y tensiones sociales en América Latina y el Caribe? Junto con las trampas de baja capacidad para crecer, de bajas capacidades institucionales y de gobernanza poco efectiva, la región enfrenta una trampa de alta desigualdad, baja movilidad social y débil cohesión social en un escenario adverso en el que la cohesión social es tanto una oportunidad como una herramienta para fortalecer la solidaridad, la convivencia y el diálogo y, con ello, emprender las transformaciones indispensables para un desarrollo inclusivo, productivo y sostenible. En esta publicación se examina el estado de la cohesión social en América Latina y el Caribe y los cambios que ha experimentado en los últimos años. Para ello, se analizan 65 indicadores organizados en tres pilares: brechas, institucionalidad y pertenencia, y se incorporan nuevos temas disruptivos para la cohesión social, como la polarización política e ideológica, y desafíos de gran relevancia, como la migración y la inclusión de las personas con discapacidad. También se identifica la relación virtuosa entre el desarrollo social inclusivo y la cohesión social, además de la importancia de fortalecer las capacidades institucionales para implementar políticas transformadoras. |
| Date: | 2026–04–09 |
| URL: | https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:ecr:col022:89773 |
| By: | Bhishma Bhusha; Soledad Artiz Pillaman; Michael J. Callen; Deepak Singharia; Rohini Pande; Apurva Subedi |
| Abstract: | How does wartime rebel governance shape post-conflict institutions? We study this in Nepal, where the Maoist People's War (1996–2006) dismantled a 240-year caste-based monarchy and ended with Maoists entering democratic politics. During the conflict, Maoists established sub-national "People’s Governments" that administered justice, collected taxes, and delivered local services. Using a spatial regression-discontinuity design, we show that exposure to People's Governments increased political knowledge and participation especially among historically marginalized indigenous groups (Janajatis). Exposure also reshaped party institutions and inter-party competition: candidate-selection committees in more exposed areas have 26 percent more Janajati members who, drawing on novel implicit-attitude data, exhibit less pro-upper caste bias. Non-Maoist parties' Janajati nomination rates nearly double in fully exposed areas, consistent with competition for newly mobilized voters. Nearly two decades on, local governments in exposed areas score 0.2–0.3 standard deviations higher on state capacity indices and receive 13% more in conditional federal grants. These findings show that when rebel groups enter competitive democratic politics, wartime governance institutions can — through citizen mobilization, party gatekeeping, and cross-party competition — enable a more inclusive and capable post-war state. |
| Keywords: | rebel governance, post-conflict institutions, political selection, state capacity, citizen mobilization, Nepal, Janajatis, spatial regression-discontinuity, implicit association test, cross-party competition |
| JEL: | D72 O17 H11 D73 O12 Z13 |
| Date: | 2026 |
| URL: | https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:ces:ceswps:_12697 |
| By: | Vidal Llauradó, Joan |
| Abstract: | This paper develops a structural market theory in which roughness, systemic synchronization, crash-like episodes, and incomplete visible pricing and hedging arise from one common mechanism. The setting is an N-asset Gaussian Volterra market with directed latent contagion kernels, asymmetric information flow, and an aggregate market-volatility functional. The admissibility condition is internalized at market scale: active contagion channels must remain source-screened visible and admit a genuinely shrinking projected normalization, and the admissible class is characterized rather than stipulated. Within that class, smooth directional contagion is locally degenerate at high frequency, so roughness becomes the only stable observable contagion phase. The same dominant rough edges define a screened contagion operator, and above its Perron threshold latent stress synchronizes along a common mode and becomes macroscopically amplifying. Under threshold-triggered activation, a coarse observer can see a stochastic jump limit even though the primitive market remains continuous. The paper then shows that visible prices and visible hedges are compressions of latent market-variance risk: compression to visible pricing summaries leaves a lower-bounded convexity gap, and visible hedging of variance-linked claims leaves an explicit residual-risk lower bound whenever the synchronized latent mode retains conditional variance. Together, these results yield a unified market theory in which asymmetric latent contagion forces roughness, roughness organizes synchronization, synchronized activation can generate crash-like episodes, and visible pricing and hedging remain phase-dependent compressions of latent market-variance risk. |
| Keywords: | rough theory of markets; latent contagion; market phases; market-variance risk; rough volatility; systemic synchronization; crash-like episodes; visible pricing summaries; hedging incompleteness; systemic risk |
| JEL: | C02 G01 G12 G13 G17 |
| Date: | 2026–04–14 |
| URL: | https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:pra:mprapa:128739 |
| By: | Raza, Hassan; Siddiqui, Danish Ahmed |
| Abstract: | While the growing, informal adoption of cryptocurrencies exacerbated by Pakistan's inconsistent regulatory stance regarding cryptocurrency adoption and regulation, presents a speculative and volatile threat to the nation's financial stability, a well-designed Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC) offers a controlled, secure, and regulated path toward financial inclusion, economic formalization, and enhanced monetary policy control. The objective of this analytical review to search the grey literature and Scientific writings to analyze the mix approach of Pakistan toward Digital Finance especially Cryptocurrency and CBDC. This review article examines this ideological struggle, tracing the history of the State Bank of Pakistan's (SBP) and Securities and Exchange Commission of Pakistan's (SECP) cautionary stance on decentralized cryptocurrencies, driven by concerns over financial integrity, money laundering, and consumer protection. It then contrasts this with the government's recent pivot toward a pro-innovation approach, spearheaded by the establishment of the Pakistan Crypto Council (PCC) and the appointment of key advisors. This pivot is a direct response to a burgeoning, informal digital asset market, with millions of Pakistanis already actively using virtual currencies to hedge against inflation and overcome financial access barriers. The article analyzes two parallel policy pathways emerging from this tension: the development of a state-controlled Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC) and the formalization of the decentralized virtual assets market through the new Virtual Assets Act (VAA) 2025. The research offers a comprehensive understanding of the strategic trade-offs a developing country faces when navigating the complex relationship between financial stability, technological innovation, and economic inclusion, providing a crucial case study for international policymakers. |
| Keywords: | CBDC, Cryptocurrency, Digital Pakistani Rupee, Pakistan Crypto Council (PCC), Distributed Ledger Technology |
| Date: | 2026 |
| URL: | https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:zbw:esprep:341060 |
| By: | Michaela Paffenholz; Gerome Wolf |
| Abstract: | This paper investigates the dynamic trade-off between health outcomes and economic activity during the COVID-19 pandemic. Employing a panel vector autoregressive (PVAR) model with sign restrictions for 46 countries, we utilize weekly data on infections, the OECD GDP tracker, and the Oxford stringency index to identify structural incidence and containment shocks. We quantify the policy trade-off using a 'sacrifice ratio', defined as the percentage decline in infections relative to average economic losses. Our findings show that while containment shocks trigger immediate economic contractions, health benefits are lagged, with the sacrifice ratio peaking around 12 weeks at approximately 16–17 percent fewer infections per 1 percent GDP loss. A composite stringency index proves more effective than individual interventions, whereas school closures and public event cancellations yield the least favorable trade-offs. Counterfactual simulations indicate that policymakers pursued a mixed strategy, balancing reactions to both infection rates and economic signals. Finally, we document substantial cross-country heterogeneity, showing that structural factors such as service sector employment and trust in government significantly shape the effectiveness of containment measures. |
| Keywords: | Corona virus, non-pharmaceutical interventions, structural vector autoregressions |
| JEL: | C32 I18 |
| Date: | 2026 |
| URL: | https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:ces:ceswps:_12677 |
| By: | Soomro, Zainab; Siddiqui, Danish Ahmed |
| Abstract: | The study explored how customers' inclination toward different religious intentions affects their intention to adopt Green Banking. We proposed the sources of intentions behind religious commitment namely 1. Ideological, 2. Ritualistic, 3. Intellectual, 4. Consequential, and 5. Experimental affect consumer intention through increasing consumer eco-consciousness. We also contend that Security and Privacy augment these effects in a way that a higher level of security would make the effect of these sources on consumer eco-consciousness more pronounced. Moreover, the effect of eco-consciousness on green banking is augmented by Customer Awareness and System Quality. The target population for this research was green banking consumers in Karachi, Pakistan, with 311 responses collected using a non-probability purposive sampling technique. Data analysis was conducted using PLS-SEM. The results have shown that consumer eco-consciousness significantly affects consumer intention to adopt green banking, whereas the intellectual dimension has a positive and significant effect on eco consciousness. Hence Consumer eco-consciousness mediates the relationship between the intellectual dimension and consumer intention to adopt green banking. The moderation effect showed a significant positive complementarity of systems quality in the effect of eco consciousness on green banking. Managers should focus on enhancing consumer eco consciousness and system quality, as these significantly influence the intention to adopt green banking while ensuring security, privacy, and customer awareness are prioritized in a way that supports green banking adoption. |
| Keywords: | Religious Commitment, Eco-Consciousness, Technology Acceptance Model, Theory of Planned Behavior, Green Banking. |
| Date: | 2026 |
| URL: | https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:zbw:esprep:341023 |
| By: | Xian Jiang; Hannah Rubinton |
| Abstract: | Custom software is distinct from other types of capital in that it is non-rival—once a firm makes an investment in custom software, it can be used simultaneously across its many establishments. Using confidential U.S. Census data, we document that while firms with more establishments are more likely to invest in custom software, they spend less on it as a share of total capital expenditure. We explain these empirical patterns by developing a model that incorporates the non-rivalry of custom software. In the model, firms choose whether to adopt custom software, the intensity of their investment, and their scope, balancing the cost of managing multiple establishments with the increasing returns to scope from the nonrivalrous custom software investment. Using the calibrated model, we assess the extent to which the decline in the rental rate of custom software over the past 40 years can account for a number of macroeconomic trends, including increases in firm scope and concentration. |
| Keywords: | Technology adoption, Non-rivalry, Concentration, Firm scope |
| JEL: | D24 E22 O33 |
| Date: | 2026–04 |
| URL: | https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:cen:wpaper:26-28 |
| By: | Samuel Antill; Aymeric Bellon |
| Abstract: | Many non-Delaware firms strategically file for bankruptcy in Delaware. Should this "forum shopping" be allowed? This question has motivated nine proposed congressional bills over decades of policy debate. Using a novel natural experiment and Census-Bureau microdata, we inform this debate. Comparing similar firms within a Delaware-adjacent state, we show that proximity to Delaware predicts forum shopping. Instrumenting with proximity, we find that forum shopping causally: (i) prevents closures and liquidations, (ii) shortens bankruptcies, (iii) boosts creditor recovery, and (iv) increases post-bankruptcy employment by 24.8%. Proximity to Delaware is uncorrelated with growth for not-yet-bankrupt or never-bankrupt firms, validating the exclusion restriction. |
| Keywords: | corporate bankruptcy, law and finance, forum shopping, venue selection, financial distress |
| JEL: | G33 G34 K22 G38 |
| Date: | 2026–05 |
| URL: | https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:cen:wpaper:26-29 |
| By: | Rojas Venzor, Jesús |
| Abstract: | The electoral rise of right-wing populism has reshaped domestic political competition across Western democracies. Democratic governments have simultaneously developed bilateral arrangements to control migration, often involving authoritarian partners with questionable legal and human rights practices. In this paper, I present a novel dataset on the emergence of these agreements across five continents and over the last thirty years. I then develop a theory of foreign policy co-optation that explains when and why governments appropriate flexible foreign policy instruments central to the narrative of the opposition to reduce their electoral threat. I show that bilateral security Cooperation Arrangements on Migration (CAMs) are most likely to emerge when incumbent governments are challenged by right-wing populist parties, especially from left-of-center governments. The findings suggest that right-wing populist pressure paradoxically enables executives to manage electoral opposition through foreign policy, highlighting the need to revisit assumptions about the domestic sources of international cooperation and migration policy. |
| Keywords: | Social and Behavioral Sciences, Migration Governance, Populism, Border Security, Bilateral Security Agreements, Foreign Policy Co-optation |
| Date: | 2026–05–21 |
| URL: | https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:cdl:globco:qt9vz7h2xz |
| By: | Kevin Rinz; David Wasser |
| Abstract: | Using public-use data from the Current Population Survey, we estimate the effects of changes in unemployment insurance (UI) generosity on the wages of new hires from unemployment, job changers, and continuously employed workers. We find similar, modestly positive elasticities across all groups of workers. Posted wages respond similarly on average, but differences in distributional effects suggest that changes in wage posting are unlikely to fully explain the effects on realized wages. More generous UI also reduces hiring from unemployment and job-to-job transitions, reduces labor force exit, and increases the hiring of new labor force entrants and labor force non-participants. |
| Keywords: | unemployment insurance; wages; wage posting; labor search |
| JEL: | J65 J31 J64 |
| Date: | 2026–05–26 |
| URL: | https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:fip:fedcwq:103300 |
| By: | OECD |
| Abstract: | Vocational education and training (VET) plays a key role in supplying skills for green and STEM (Science, Technology, Engineering, and Mathematics) jobs, particularly in middle-skilled occupations that are central to the green transition but increasingly exposed to skill mismatches when training does not keep pace with change. This paper uses online job-vacancy data from Australia, Canada, and the United Kingdom to examine how employers signal skill needs, the role of VET qualifications and apprenticeships in recruitment, and the extent to which green jobs rely on STEM knowledge and skills. The findings highlight substantial overlap between green and STEM occupations, and cross-country differences in how employers value VET pathways. The paper concludes by identifying policy options to strengthen skill signalling, improve alignment between VET qualifications and green labour-market needs, support targeted upskilling, and enhance apprenticeships as an inclusive skills pipeline for the green transition. |
| Date: | 2026–05–28 |
| URL: | https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:oec:elsaab:331-en |
| By: | Jerome H. Powell |
| Date: | 2026–05–31 |
| URL: | https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:fip:fedgsq:103351 |
| By: | Pasińska, Dorota |
| Abstract: | The aim of the article is to identify changes in the production and export of poultry from Poland and the factors influencing the development of this market. The main methods used to achieve the aim of the study are comparative analysis over time, structure analysis, and correlation coefficient. The study mainly used annual data collected by the Ministry of Finance and Statistics Poland. During the period under study, Poland was self-sufficient in poultry production, which increased, except for 2021, when it decreased, which was primarily caused by the very dynamic transmission of avian influenza in poultry. A progressive process of production concentration is observed in the sector. The share of farms keep- ing the smallest flocks of broiler chickens decreased, and the share of farms keeping the largest flocks increased. Imports of poultry products in relation to exports were small. Production was much higher than domestic market demand. About half of the production was exported. Between 2014 and 2022, poultry meat and offal had the largest share in the export structure. One of the challenges for market development is the greater intensity of avian influenza, which directly or indirectly affects various participants in the supply chain. Therefore, there is a need to create plans for dealing with the appearance of avian influenza in poultry. In the case of export, the consequence of the occurrence of avian influenza in poultry may be the need to change some geographical export directions, which should be included in such plans. It is also necessary to prepare a plan for the management of surplus poultry in the event of a ban on ritual slaughter. The development scale creates a need for systematic research of this sector. |
| Keywords: | Agribusiness, Agricultural Finance, Livestock Production/Industries |
| Date: | 2024–09–27 |
| URL: | https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:ags:iafepa:401275 |