nep-ifn New Economics Papers
on International Finance
Issue of 2019‒03‒11
two papers chosen by
Vimal Balasubramaniam
University of Oxford

  1. Managing the Yield Curve in a Financially Globalized World By ITO Hiroyuki; Phuong TRAN
  2. International capital flows at the security level – evidence from the ECB’s asset purchase programme By Bergant, Katharina; Fidora, Michael; Schmitz, Martin

  1. By: ITO Hiroyuki; Phuong TRAN
    Abstract: It has been increasingly argued that highly globalized financial markets have been playing a bigger role in determining domestic asset prices and long-term interest rates. Rey (2013) argues that global financial cycles essentially dictate the movements of domestic financial markets to such an extent that policy makers have to decide between either retaining monetary autonomy by imposing capital controls, or retaining free capital mobility but relinquishing monetary independence. In such a world, managing long-term interest rates through manipulating short-term interest rates can be difficult. In this paper, we empirically examine whether net capital inflows contribute to weakening the link between short-term and long-term interest rates. We find that economies open to cross-border capital flows or with more developed financial markets tend to have a greater negative relationship between net capital inflows and interest rate pass-through. We also examine whether macroprudential policies can affect the extent of interest rate pass-through and find that broad-based capital macroprudential tools are effective in retaining control of short- to long-term interest rate pass-through.
    Date: 2019–02
  2. By: Bergant, Katharina; Fidora, Michael; Schmitz, Martin
    Abstract: The paper analyses euro area investors’ portfolio rebalancing during the ECB’s Asset Purchase Programme (APP) at the security level. Based on net transactions of domestic and foreign securities, the authors observe euro area sectors’ capital flows into individual securities, cleaned from valuation effects. Their empirical analysis – which accounts for security-level characteristics – shows that euro area investors (in particular investment funds and households) actively rebalanced away from securities targeted under the Public Sector Purchase Programme (PSPP) and other euro-denominated debt securities, towards foreign debt instruments, including ‘closest substitutes’, i.e. certain sovereign debt securities issued by non-euro area advanced countries. This rebalancing was particularly strong during the first six quarters of the programme. The analysis also reveals marked differences across sectors as well as country groups within the euro area, suggesting that quantitative easing has induced heterogeneous portfolio shifts.
    Date: 2018–10

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