Abstract: |
Gross capital flows, which arise from the changes in international investment
positions, experienced a sudden collapse during the Great Recession in the
United States and other advanced countries. This paper builds an open economy
model of portfolio choice with two bonds and two non-tradable sectors.
Equilibrium portfolios are long in domestic bonds and short in foreign bonds
because the endogenous movements of real exchange rate make this portfolio a
good hedge against non-tradable consumption risk. With a calibrated model, I
find that the observed fluctuations in gross flows mitigated 4% of consumption
drop during the Great Recession in the United States. |