By: |
Gary Koop (University of Strathclyde, UK and Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis, Rimini, Italy);
Roberto Leon-Gonzalez (University of Leicester, UK and University of Queensland);
Rodney Strachan (University of Queensland) |
Abstract: |
This paper develops methods of Bayesian inference in a cointegrating panel
data
model. This model involves each cross-sectional unit having a vector
error correction representation. It is flexible in the sense that different
cross-sectional units can have different cointegration ranks and cointegration
spaces. Furthermore, the parameters which characterize short-run dynamics and
deterministic components are allowed to vary over cross-sectional units. In
addition to a noninformative prior, we introduce an informative prior which
allows for information about the likely location of the
cointegration space
and about the degree of similarity in coefficients in different
cross-sectional units.
A collapsed Gibbs sampling algorithm is developed which
allows for efficient posterior inference. Our methods are illustrated using
real and artificial data. |
Keywords: |
Bayesian, panel data cointegration, error correction model, reduced rank regression, Markov Chain Monte Carlo. |
JEL: |
C11 C32 C33 |
Date: |
2007–07 |
URL: |
http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:rim:rimwps:02-07&r=ict |