| Abstract: |
This presentation examines how households adjust to large economic shocks and
how these responses shape life satisfaction. Using panel data from the Slovak
household finance and consumption survey combined with district-level
variation in COVID-19 severity, the analysis distinguishes between exposure to
the shock, household adjustment, and the transmission of these adjustments
into life satisfaction. Empirically, the presentation combines a
difference-in-differences design with a mediation framework to examine how
shock severity affected income, consumption, wealth, and saving behavior and
how these changes were reflected in life satisfaction. The results reveal
substantial and uneven economic disruption beneath stable average life
satisfaction. Income losses and consumption adjustments are concentrated
toward the upper end of the preshock income and consumption distributions,
indicating marked heterogeneity in exposure. Households most affected by
income losses adjust through saving decumulation and reductions in
discretionary consumption, while basic consumption remains comparatively
stable. These patterns are consistent with intertemporal consumption
smoothing. Despite substantial economic adjustment, the transmission of these
changes into life satisfaction is limited. The resulting indirect effects
operating through income, consumption, and wealth are small and statistically
insignificant. The findings show that the absence of an average effect
reflects attenuated transmission rather than limited economic disruption. More
broadly, the results underscore that the welfare consequences of large shocks
depend not only on exposure but also on the mechanisms through which
households adjust and absorb disruption. |