nep-gro New Economics Papers
on Economic Growth
Issue of 2025–03–31
four papers chosen by
Marc Klemp, University of Copenhagen


  1. Malthusian Migrations By Guillaume Blanc; Romain Wacziarg
  2. Harnessing Human Capital for Growth in Croatia - Unleashing Potential for Economic Takeoff Amid Demographic and Technological Change By World Bank
  3. Green Economic Growth in Indonesia By Indira Hapsari; Ahya Ihsan; Anthony Obeyesekere; Dwi Endah Abriningrum; Muhammad Khudadad Chattha
  4. Pensions can work without economic growth By Wiman, Laua

  1. By: Guillaume Blanc; Romain Wacziarg
    Abstract: For most of human history, until the fertility transition, technological progress translated into larger populations, preventing sustained improvements in living standards. We argue that migration offered an escape valve from these Malthusian dynamics after the European discovery and colonization of the Americas. We document a strong relationship between fertility and migration across countries, regions, individuals, and periods, in a variety of datasets and specifications, and with different identification strategies. During the Age of Mass Migration, persistently high fertility across much of Europe created a large reservoir of surplus labor that could find better opportunities in the New World. These migrations, by relieving demographic pressures, accelerated the transition to modern growth.
    Keywords: migra0on, fertility, growth, Malthus
    JEL: F22 J13 N33 O11
    Date: 2025–02
    URL: https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:man:allwps:0008
  2. By: World Bank
    Keywords: Social Protections and Labor-Skills Development and Labor Force Training Social Protections and Labor-Labor Standards Education-Education and Society
    Date: 2024–04
    URL: https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:wbk:wboper:41361
  3. By: Indira Hapsari; Ahya Ihsan; Anthony Obeyesekere; Dwi Endah Abriningrum; Muhammad Khudadad Chattha
    Date: 2024–04
    URL: https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:wbk:wboper:41359
  4. By: Wiman, Laua
    Abstract: This working paper is a tentative, solutions-oriented response to concerns that pensions would not work without economic growth. It aims to concretize post-growth visions, but also validate post-growth thinking to those who consider it too far outside the mainstream. To the contrary, this analysis begins from mainstream policy aims and economic concerns, and as its result proposes institution types that are already widespread. A pension system can be widely acceptable if it promotes three 'provisioning aims': poverty alleviation, income maintenance, and voluntary provisioning. Without economic growth, possible 'adverse economic conditions' of pension systems include low earnings; low, negative, or volatile interest rates; high inflation; and demographic aging. Additionally, even financially sustainable pension funds can have 'adverse social effects'if their interest income is extractive, exploitative, or inequality-amplifying. I argue that three broad institution types could constitute a post-growth pension system: non-contributory (governmentfinanced) minimum/basic pensions, contributory pay-as-you-go pensions, and collective pension funds. Together they promote all three provisioning aims. The provisioning aims make tradeoffs against each other and their institutions have different weaknesses regarding adverse economic conditions and social effects. Still, even without economic growth, most wealthy economies could probably promote at least poverty elimination and income maintenance without paradigmatic reforms. To close, I anticipate four interesting aspects of post-growth pensions governance: benefit protection versus cost control, distribution versus redistribution, challenging of economic individualism, and property rights within funded pension schemes.
    Keywords: growth dependence, eco-social policy, sustainable welfare, inequality, financialization, provisioning
    Date: 2025
    URL: https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:zbw:penwps:313652

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