nep-ger New Economics Papers
on German Papers
Issue of 2023‒05‒01
six papers chosen by
Roberto Cruccolini
Ludwig-Maximilians Universität München

  1. IAB-Prognose 2023: Rekord-Arbeitskräftebedarf in schwierigen Zeiten By Bauer, Anja; Gartner, Hermann; Hellwagner, Timon; Hummel, Markus; Hutter, Christian; Wanger, Susanne; Weber, Enzo; Zika, Gerd
  2. Berufswechsel zu Beginn der Covid-19-Pandemie: Nur geringe Auswirkungen auf Erwerbsverläufe (Occupational mobility at the start of the Covid-19 pandemic: Limited impacts on individual employment trajectories) By Braunschweig, Luisa; Buch, Tanja; Buhmann, Mara; Kindt, Anna-Maria; Roth, Duncan; Seibert, Holger
  3. Erwerbs- und Lebenslagen von Über-60-Jährigen: Mit Pandemiebeginn arbeiteten auch Ältere mehr im Homeoffice als davor (Employment and living of over 60-year-olds: With the onset of the pandemic, also older employees worked more remotely than before) By Trahms, Annette; Vicari, Basha; Westermeier, Christian
  4. Wie lassen sich körperliche Belastungen in der Kommissionierung quantifizieren? By Diefenbach, H.; Steinebach, T.; Glock, C. H.; Grosse, E.H.; Wakula, J.
  5. Modellierung von Mikroplastikeinträgen und Migrationspfaden im Einzugsgebiet der Weser MOMENTUM – Weser By Brandes, Elke; Henseler, Martin; Kreins, Peter; Gholamreza, Shiravani; Tetzloff, Björn; Wendland, Frank; Wurpts, Andreas
  6. Eine leistungsbedingte Selektion ? Die Auswahl der Teilnehmer*innen des Programms „Parcours d'excellence“ in den bildungspolitischen Schwerpunktbereichen By Noémie Olympio; Alice Pavie; Ariane Richard-Bossez; Renaud Cornand; Caroline Hache; Nathalie Richit

  1. By: Bauer, Anja (Institute for Employment Research (IAB), Nuremberg, Germany); Gartner, Hermann (Institute for Employment Research (IAB), Nuremberg, Germany); Hellwagner, Timon (Institute for Employment Research (IAB), Nuremberg, Germany); Hummel, Markus (Institute for Employment Research (IAB), Nuremberg, Germany); Hutter, Christian (Institute for Employment Research (IAB), Nuremberg, Germany); Wanger, Susanne (Institute for Employment Research (IAB), Nuremberg, Germany); Weber, Enzo (Institute for Employment Research (IAB), Nuremberg, Germany ; Univ. Regensburg); Zika, Gerd (Institute for Employment Research (IAB), Nuremberg, Germany)
    Abstract: "Der Ukraine-Krieg und die damit ausgelöste Energiekrise haben die wirtschaftliche Entwicklung gedämpft, zugleich liegt der Arbeitskräftebedarf in Deutschland auf Rekordniveau. Der Kurzbericht gibt einen Ausblick auf die Entwicklung im Jahr 2023: Die deutsche Wirtschaft befand sich zu Beginn des Jahres in der Talsohle. Für den weiteren Jahresverlauf erwartet das Autorenteam eine moderate Erholung. Im Jahresdurchschnitt wird das Bruttoinlandsprodukt stagnieren. Der Arbeitsmarkt wird durch den wirtschaftlichen Dämpfer beeinträchtigt, zeigt sich aber bei hohem Arbeitskräftebedarf robust. Im Jahresdurchschnitt 2023 liegt die Zahl der Erwerbstätigen deutlich über dem Vorjahr. Die Arbeitslosigkeit wird ebenfalls steigen, auch aufgrund der Registrierung ukrainischer Geflüchteter. Die meisten zusätzlichen Stellen wird es im Bereich Öffentliche Dienstleister, Erziehung, Gesundheit geben. Das Erwerbspersonenpotenzial wird weiter steigen und bei der Arbeitszeit der Erwerbstätigen ist ebenfalls ein leichter Anstieg zu erwarten." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)
    Keywords: IAB-Open-Access-Publikation
    Date: 2023
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:iab:iabkbe:20235&r=ger
  2. By: Braunschweig, Luisa (Institute for Employment Research (IAB), Nuremberg, Germany); Buch, Tanja (Institute for Employment Research (IAB), Nuremberg, Germany); Buhmann, Mara (Institute for Employment Research (IAB), Nuremberg, Germany); Kindt, Anna-Maria (Institute for Employment Research (IAB), Nuremberg, Germany); Roth, Duncan (Institute for Employment Research (IAB), Nuremberg, Germany); Seibert, Holger (Institute for Employment Research (IAB), Nuremberg, Germany)
    Abstract: "We analyse occupational mobility during the early phase of the Covid-19 pandemic and how individual employment biographies are affected by a change in occupation. To allow for a better interpretation of the results, we compare individuals who change their occupation in 2020 during the pandemic, and therefore under unfavourable conditions, with a corresponding group of individuals in the year 2019." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))
    Keywords: Bundesrepublik Deutschland ; Pandemie ; IAB-Open-Access-Publikation ; Auswirkungen ; Berufsgruppe ; Berufswechsel ; Beschäftigungsform ; Einkommenseffekte ; geringfügige Beschäftigung ; Hotel- und Gaststättenberufe ; Integrierte Erwerbsbiografien ; Teilzeitarbeit ; Arbeitslosigkeit ; 2019-2020
    Date: 2023–03–27
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:iab:iabkbe:20236&r=ger
  3. By: Trahms, Annette (Institute for Employment Research (IAB), Nuremberg, Germany); Vicari, Basha (Institute for Employment Research (IAB), Nuremberg, Germany); Westermeier, Christian (IAB)
    Abstract: "The Covid 19-pandemic hit people over 60 years of age multiple times. On the one hand, because of their higher risk for a severe course of infection. On the other hand, the decline in the firm labor demand as a result of contact restrictions had a particular impact on atypical employment: This also includes mini-jobs, which are a frequent form of employment, especially for older employees and pension recipients. Using data from the IAB, the authors examine pandemic-related changes in various employment and living situations of 60- to 70-year-old workers." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))
    Keywords: IAB-Open-Access-Publikation
    Date: 2023
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:iab:iabkbe:20237&r=ger
  4. By: Diefenbach, H.; Steinebach, T.; Glock, C. H.; Grosse, E.H.; Wakula, J.
    Date: 2023–03–01
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:dar:wpaper:137453&r=ger
  5. By: Brandes, Elke; Henseler, Martin; Kreins, Peter; Gholamreza, Shiravani; Tetzloff, Björn; Wendland, Frank; Wurpts, Andreas
    Abstract: The relevance of different land-based microplastic inputs to marine pollution is still largely unclear. Nevertheless, the contamination of the terrestrial environment has gained considerable public interest. In particular, the high media presence of this environmental issue reinforces calls for policy regulation of microplastic inputs to the environment. In the public perception, agriculture plays a predominant role as a polluter. However, in order to create a factual basis, it is necessary to record all sources and input pathways as well as their quantitative relevance for microplastic pollution in a system-overarching view. With the aim of an ecosystem-wide quantification of microplastic inputs and migration pathways from the land to the marginal sea, the model network MOMENTUM was developed within the PLAWES project. By linking three independent models adapted for microplastics, RAUMIS-MP, mGROWA+TeMBa, and FSK-MPTP, a model system prototype was developed, which for the first time models relevant sources and migration pathways in a river basin and the estuary. Emissions to agricultural land and diffuse discharge to surface waters, atmospheric deposition to land surfaces, point source inputs to the river system and estuary, and three-dimensional particle movement and their interaction with microorganisms and fine sediment in the coastal zone were considered. The results of the modeling are to be considered exemplary in large parts, since they are subject to large uncertainties due to still very incomplete input data sets. Nevertheless, the application of the MOMENTUM model system in the Weser river system proves the functional capability of the model to estimate the total microplastic mass flux in the catchment and estuary. The model chain was designed to be easily transferable to other regions and to integrate new data sets. By providing initial estimates of microplastic inputs and mass fluxes, the models support targeted data collection, which is highly relevant, especially given the complexity of microplastics analytics. The possibility to include all input sources, pathways and processes over a wide spatial extent contributes – complementary to sample analysis – to the improvement of the overall system understanding and forms the basis for policy advice and development of mitigation measures.
    Keywords: Agribusiness, Environmental Economics and Policy
    Date: 2023–04–11
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:ags:jhimwo:333814&r=ger
  6. By: Noémie Olympio (LEST - Laboratoire d'Economie et de Sociologie du Travail - AMU - Aix Marseille Université - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique); Alice Pavie (LEST - Laboratoire d'Economie et de Sociologie du Travail - AMU - Aix Marseille Université - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique); Ariane Richard-Bossez (Mesopolhis - Centre méditerranéen de sociologie, de science politique et d’histoire - IEP Aix-en-Provence - Sciences Po Aix - Institut d'études politiques d'Aix-en-Provence - AMU - Aix Marseille Université - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique); Renaud Cornand (LAMES - Laboratoire méditerranéen de sociologie - AMU - Aix Marseille Université - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique); Caroline Hache (ADEF - Apprentissage, Didactique, Evaluation, Formation - AMU - Aix Marseille Université); Nathalie Richit (ADEF - Apprentissage, Didactique, Evaluation, Formation - AMU - Aix Marseille Université)
    Abstract: Cet article analyse les dynamiques sélectives et les conceptions du mérite qui découlent du programme national Parcours d'excellence (PAREX) (2016-2020), dans le contexte de l'éducation prioritaire. Il se structure en trois parties. La première revient sur le cadrage institutionnel de la sélection dans les programmes d'excellence et détaille la spécificité des PAREX. Basée sur des données quantitatives et qualitatives, la deuxième partie s'intéresse aux effets établissement qui structurent la sélection des élèves dans les PAREX. Enfin, la dernière interroge les effets des modalités et critères de sélection sur le profil des élèves bénéficiaires, et souligne la prégnance de la dimension scolaire.
    Keywords: ZEP - Zone d'éducation prioritaire, Enseignement secondaire, Sélection, Dispositif socio-éducatif, Accompagnement scolaire
    Date: 2022–06–30
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:hal:journl:hal-03726160&r=ger

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