nep-ger New Economics Papers
on German Papers
Issue of 2010‒09‒18
three papers chosen by
Roberto Cruccolini
Ludwig-Maximilians-Universitat Munchen

  1. Staatliche Zinssubvention und Auslandsverschuldung: Eine Mittelwert-Varianz-Analyse am Beispiel Ungarn By Pfeffer, Annamaria
  2. Selektivität, soziale Bindung und räumliche Mobilität –Eine Analyse der Rückkehrpräferenz By Lutz Schneider; Alexander Kubis; D. Wiest
  3. Wirkungen eines Betreuungsgeldes bei bedarfsgerechtem Ausbau frühkindlicher Kindertagesbetreuung: eine Mikrosimulationsstudie By Denis Beninger; Holger Bonin; Julia Horstschräer; Grit Mühler

  1. By: Pfeffer, Annamaria
    Abstract: Dieser Artikel zeigt, dass eine Subvention der heimischen Kreditzinsen zu einem Rückgang der Auslandsverschuldung führen kann. Ausgehend von der Mittelwert-Varianz- und der Erwartungsnutzentheorie wurde ein Modell entwickelt, in dessen Rahmen der Wirtschaftsakteur sein internationales Kreditportfolio optimiert. Eine Einbeziehung der Zinsparitätenbedingung war in der Analyse jedoch nicht zielführend. In den Modellrahmen wird eine staatliche Zinssubvention eingeführt und ihre theoretische Wirkung auf die Fremdwährungsverschuldung der Haushalte untersucht. --
    Keywords: External Debt,Interest Rate Subsidies,Mean-Variance Analysis
    JEL: E62 F34 G11
    Date: 2010
  2. By: Lutz Schneider; Alexander Kubis; D. Wiest
    Abstract: In the public debate, the brain drain from East Germany is supposed to be the most critical trend regarding the development and catching-up of the New Länder. Therefore, potential for in- and re-migration has attracted much attention at least in the political context. Our contribution analyses the re-migration potential on the basis of data from a DFG research project focussing on the re-migration intentions of people formerly emigrated from Saxony-Anhalt. The analysis concentrates on the following aspects: the effect of job market success after emigration; the impact of social ties to the origin and the host region and on the selectivity of re-migration preferences. The econometric results confirm several expected effects: On the one hand an individual’s job market success reduces the intention to return. Likewise, the re-migration preference increases for people whose expectations were disappointed. On the other hand, the relevance of social ties to the origin region for re-migration dispositions is confirmed by the estimations. Yet, regarding selectivity of re-migration preferences in terms of human capital econometric results are somewhat ambiguous.
    Keywords: Return migration, regional convergence, East Germany
    JEL: J61 R23
    Date: 2010–09
  3. By: Denis Beninger; Holger Bonin; Julia Horstschräer; Grit Mühler
    Abstract: German family policy underwent a reform in 2007, when the new instrument of "Elterngeld" replaced the previous "Erziehungsgeld". The transfer programs differ in various dimensions. We study the effects on the labor supply of young mothers, by comparing behavior before and after the reform. We separately consider women of high and low incomes, which were treated differently under the old "Erziehungsgeld"-regime, and differentiate the periods before and after the expiration of transfer receipt. Our results mainly confirm expectations based on a labor supply framework.
    Keywords: Behavioral microsimulation, day care, family policy, Germany
    JEL: J13 D13 H23
    Date: 2010

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