|
on Financial Markets |
By: | Antonio Garcia Pascual; Jorge Cayazzo; Socorro Heysen; Eva Gutierrez |
Keywords: | Bank supervision , Financial stability , Exchange risk , Risk premium , Dollarization , Banking systems , Credit , Liquidity , |
Date: | 2006–02–08 |
URL: | http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:imf:imfwpa:06/32&r=fmk |
By: | Rodolphe Blavy |
Keywords: | Banking , Bank credit , Bank supervision , |
Date: | 2005–12–13 |
URL: | http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:imf:imfwpa:05/222&r=fmk |
By: | Renzo G. Avesani |
Keywords: | Risk premium , Markets , Credit , Financial institutions , Financial stability , Global financial stability report , Financial systems , |
Date: | 2005–12–22 |
URL: | http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:imf:imfwpa:05/232&r=fmk |
By: | Robert Rennhack; Masahiro Nozaki |
Keywords: | Dollarization , Latin America , Monetary policy , Credit , Flexible exchange rates , Exchange rate depreciation , |
Date: | 2006–01–19 |
URL: | http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:imf:imfwpa:06/7&r=fmk |
By: | Daniel C. Hardy |
Keywords: | Banking , Bank regulations , Capital , Competition , |
Date: | 2006–02–08 |
URL: | http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:imf:imfwpa:06/34&r=fmk |
By: | David Hauner; Manmohan S. Kumar |
Keywords: | Emerging markets , Fiscal reforms , Fiscal management , Globalization , Interest rate differential , Financial stability , |
Date: | 2005–11–28 |
URL: | http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:imf:imfwpa:05/212&r=fmk |
By: | Thomas Stratmann; Bernardin Akitoby |
Keywords: | Fiscal policy , Risk premium , Bond markets , Emerging markets , Financial systems , Government expenditures , Revenues , |
Date: | 2006–01–30 |
URL: | http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:imf:imfwpa:06/16&r=fmk |
By: | Jaewoo Lee; Joshua Aizenman |
Keywords: | Foreign exchange reserves , Financial crisis , Demand , Capital account , Economic models , |
Date: | 2005–10–27 |
URL: | http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:imf:imfwpa:05/198&r=fmk |
By: | Marco Espinosa-Vega; Allen N. Berger; W. Scott Frame; Nathan H. Miller |
Keywords: | Debt , Risk premium , Banks , Credit , Economic models , |
Date: | 2005–10–27 |
URL: | http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:imf:imfwpa:05/201&r=fmk |
By: | Antonio Garcia Pascual; Ritu Basu; Nada Choueiri |
Keywords: | Financial sector , Financial programs , Financial institutions , Exchange rate policy surveillance , Fund , |
Date: | 2006–02–08 |
URL: | http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:imf:imfwpa:06/33&r=fmk |
By: | Toni Gravelle; Jorge A. Chan-Lau |
Keywords: | Risk premium , Korea, Republic of , Malaysia , Thailand , Credit , Financial sector , |
Date: | 2005–12–22 |
URL: | http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:imf:imfwpa:05/231&r=fmk |
By: | Alessandro Giustiniani; Roger P. Kronenberg |
Keywords: | Conditionality , Fund , Financial sector , |
Date: | 2005–12–21 |
URL: | http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:imf:imfwpa:05/230&r=fmk |
By: | Thierry Tressel; Enrica Detragiache; Poonam Gupta |
Keywords: | Financial sector , Development , Banks , Low income developing countries , Economic models , |
Date: | 2006–01–31 |
URL: | http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:imf:imfwpa:06/18&r=fmk |
By: | Philippe D Karam; Doug Hostland |
Keywords: | Debt , Emerging markets , Risk premium , Fiscal policy , Fiscal management , Capital flows , Economic models , |
Date: | 2005–12–20 |
URL: | http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:imf:imfwpa:05/226&r=fmk |
By: | Calvin Schnure |
Keywords: | Financial sector , Financial stability , |
Date: | 2005–10–27 |
URL: | http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:imf:imfwpa:05/200&r=fmk |
By: | David Hauner |
Date: | 2006–02–02 |
URL: | http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:imf:imfwpa:06/26&r=fmk |
By: | Matthew T. Jones |
Keywords: | Credit , United States , Risk premium , Loans , Data analysis , |
Date: | 2005–12–06 |
URL: | http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:imf:imfwpa:05/219&r=fmk |
By: | Rodney Ramcharan |
Keywords: | Financial sector , Financial systems , Development , Economic growth , |
Date: | 2006–02–09 |
URL: | http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:imf:imfwpa:06/35&r=fmk |
By: | Pokar Khemani; Jack Diamond |
Keywords: | Financial systems , Developing countries , Government expenditures , |
Date: | 2005–10–20 |
URL: | http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:imf:imfwpa:05/196&r=fmk |
By: | Salih N. Neftci; Elena Loukoianova; Sunil Sharma |
Keywords: | Contingent credit lines , Banking , Capital markets , Economic models , |
Date: | 2006–01–24 |
URL: | http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:imf:imfwpa:06/13&r=fmk |
By: | Jonathan David Ostry; Jeromin Zettelmeyer |
Keywords: | Fund , Crisis prevention , Exchange rate policy surveillance , |
Date: | 2005–11–08 |
URL: | http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:imf:imfwpa:05/206&r=fmk |
By: | Marco Realdon |
Abstract: | This paper presents closed form solutions to price secured bank loans and financial leases subject to default risk. Secured debt fair credit spreads always increase in the debtor's default probability, whereas financial leasing fair credit spreads may well decrease in the lessee's default probability and even be negative. The reason is that the lessor, unlike the secured lender, can gain from the lessee's default, especially when the leasing contract envisages initial prepayments or the lessee's terminal options to either purchase the leased asset or to extend the lease maturity. This result, which critically depends on contractual and bankruptcy code provisions, can explain some of the empirical evidence and the use of financial leases as an alternative to secured bank lending to finance small, risky and relatively opaque firms. |
Keywords: | default risk, secured debt, debt valuation, collateral asset, leasing valuation, leasing options |
JEL: | G13 G33 |
Date: | 2005–11 |
URL: | http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:yor:yorken:06/06&r=fmk |
By: | Marcos Chamon; Paolo Mauro |
Keywords: | Emerging markets , Bonds , Pricing policy , |
Date: | 2005–12–02 |
URL: | http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:imf:imfwpa:05/216&r=fmk |
By: | Johannes Wiegand; Juan Manuel Lima; Enrique Montes; Carlos Varela |
Keywords: | Risk premium , Colombia , Data analysis , Financial systems , Public debt , |
Date: | 2006–01–19 |
URL: | http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:imf:imfwpa:06/5&r=fmk |
By: | Steven Vincent Dunaway; Xiangming Li |
Date: | 2005–11–02 |
URL: | http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:imf:imfwpa:05/202&r=fmk |
By: | James M. Boughton |
Keywords: | Fund , International monetary system , White, Harry Dexter , Exchange rate regimes , Capital controls , Capital flows , |
Date: | 2006–01–19 |
URL: | http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:imf:imfwpa:06/6&r=fmk |
By: | Paola Giuliano; Marta Ruiz-Arranz |
Keywords: | Workers remittances , Financial systems , Economic growth , Investment , |
Date: | 2005–12–23 |
URL: | http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:imf:imfwpa:05/234&r=fmk |
By: | Sònia Muñoz |
Keywords: | Income distribution , Italy , United Kingdom , Financial assets , Asset ratio , Capital markets , Economic models , |
Date: | 2006–02–06 |
URL: | http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:imf:imfwpa:06/30&r=fmk |
By: | Lea Zicchino (Bank of England) |
Date: | 2005–09–03 |
URL: | http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:mmf:mmfc05:88&r=fmk |
By: | Tamim A. Bayoumi; Hamid Faruqee; Jaewoo Lee |
Keywords: | Exchange rates , Economic models , |
Date: | 2005–12–21 |
URL: | http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:imf:imfwpa:05/229&r=fmk |
By: | Marcel Peter; Martín Grandes |
Date: | 2005–12–02 |
URL: | http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:imf:imfwpa:05/217&r=fmk |
By: | Zaidi, Rida; Martinez Peria, Maria Soledad; Klapper, Leora F.; Berger, Allen N. |
Abstract: | The authors formulate and test hypotheses about the role of bank ownership types-foreign, state-owned, and private domestic banks-in banking relationships, using data from India. The empirical results are consistent with all of their hypotheses with regard to foreign banks. These banks tend to serve as the main bank for transparent firms, and firms with foreign main banks are most likely to have multiple banking relationships, have the most relationships, and diversify relationships across bank ownership types. The data are also consistent with the hypothesis that firms with state-owned main banks are relatively unlikely to diversify across bank ownership types. However, state-owned banks often do not provide the main relationship for firms they are mandated to serve (for example, small, opaque firms), and the predictions of negative effects on multiple banking and number of relationships hold for only one type of state-owned bank. |
Keywords: | Banks & Banking Reform,Financial Intermediation,Financial Crisis Management & Restructuring,Banking Law,Economic Theory & Research |
Date: | 2006–03–01 |
URL: | http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:wbk:wbrwps:3862&r=fmk |
By: | Mark de Broeck; Torsten Sløk |
Abstract: | Prepayment required for individual copies. An annual subscription is $375.00 a year. It includes 12 monthly shipments and priority mail delivery. The Stock No. for the subscription is WPEA. |
Keywords: | Real effective exchange rates , Transition economies , |
URL: | http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:imf:imfwpa:01/56&r=fmk |
By: | Julian di Giovanni; Jay C. Shambaugh |
Keywords: | Exchange rate regimes , Interest rates , Economic growth , Monetary policy , Economic models , |
Date: | 2006–02–10 |
URL: | http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:imf:imfwpa:06/37&r=fmk |
By: | Georgios Kouretas (University of Crete); Eleni Constantinou (The Philips College Cyprus); Robert Georgiades (The Philips College Cyprus); Avo Kazandjian (The Philips College Cyprus) |
Date: | 2005–09–03 |
URL: | http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:mmf:mmfc05:24&r=fmk |
By: | Bruce D. Smith; Mohsin S. Khan; A. Senhadji Semlali |
Abstract: | Prepayment required for individual copies. An annual subscription is $375.00 a year. It includes 12 monthly shipments and priority mail delivery. The Stock No. for the subscription is WPEA. |
Keywords: | Inflation , Markets , Economic models , |
URL: | http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:imf:imfwpa:01/44&r=fmk |
By: | Li L. Ong; Jason D. Mitchell |
Date: | 2006–01–19 |
URL: | http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:imf:imfwpa:06/04&r=fmk |
By: | Professor George M Constantinides (University of Chicago) |
Date: | 2005–09–03 |
URL: | http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:mmf:mmfc05:49&r=fmk |
By: | David Hauner; Shanaka J. Peiris |
Date: | 2006–01–09 |
URL: | http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:imf:imfwpa:05/240&r=fmk |
By: | Klaus Schaeck (University of Southampton); Simon Wolfe |
Date: | 2005–09–03 |
URL: | http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:mmf:mmfc05:44&r=fmk |
By: | Patricia Chelley-Steeley (Aston Business School); Antonios Siganos (University of Glasgow) |
Date: | 2005–09–03 |
URL: | http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:mmf:mmfc05:63&r=fmk |
By: | Phillip Lawler (University of Wales, Swansea); Jonathan James (University of Wales, Swansea) |
Date: | 2005–09–03 |
URL: | http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:mmf:mmfc05:27&r=fmk |
By: | Jérôme Héricourt (CES-TEAM); Julien Reynaud (CES-TEAM) |
Abstract: | This article empirically investigates the failure of the Exchange Rate-Based Stabilisation Program started in Turkey in January 2000, under the IMF supervision. For that purpose, a Vectorial Error Correction Model integrating an uncovered interest rate parity modeling short term deviations is estimated. We use an unusual daily database to take into account the everyday commitment of monetary authorities for the crawling exchange rate. The results show the inability of the central bank to sustain the program, despite its seeming flexibility. Indeed, the monetary instrument apparently left to the central bank, namely the monetary base, was actually mainly market-determined. |
Keywords: | Exchange rate crisis, monetary policy, exchange rate-based stabilization program, Turkey, VECM. |
JEL: | E42 E52 F31 |
Date: | 2006–01 |
URL: | http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:mse:wpsorb:bla06009&r=fmk |
By: | Nicoletta Batini; Tim Callen; Warwick J. McKibbin |
Keywords: | Capital flows , Japan , United States , Aging , Population , Savings , Investment , Economic models , |
Date: | 2006–01–19 |
URL: | http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:imf:imfwpa:06/9&r=fmk |
By: | Peter N Smith (University of York); S Sorensen (University of York); M R Wickens (University of York) |
Date: | 2005–09–03 |
URL: | http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:mmf:mmfc05:47&r=fmk |
By: | Ken Miyajima |
Keywords: | Real effective exchange rates , Economic growth , Productivity , Accounting , |
Date: | 2005–12–22 |
URL: | http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:imf:imfwpa:05/233&r=fmk |
By: | George Milunovich (Department of Economics, Macquarie University); Susan Thorp (School of Finance and Economics, University of Technology, Sydney) |
Abstract: | We measure the reduction in realized portfolio risk that can be achieved by allowing for volatility spillover in forecasts of equity covariance. The conditional second moment matrix of equity returns for pairs of major European equity markets is estimated via two asymmetric dynamic conditional correlation models (A-DCC): the unrestricted model includes volatility spillover e¤ects and the restricted model does not. Data are daily returns on the London, Frankfurt and Paris equity market price indices synchronized at London 16:00 time. Covariance forecasts from the restricted and unrestricted models are combined with assumed expected returns to compute e¢ cient three-asset portfolios (two equity indices and the risk-free asset). The impact of expected return choice on out-of-sample portfolio e¢ ciency is minimized via the polar co-ordinates method of Engel and Colacito (2004), which allows expected equity returns to span all relatives. Out-of-sample realized portfolio returns and variances from e¢ cient portfolios are computed and tested. Allowing for volatility spillover e¤ects produces small, statistically signi.cant reductions in portfolio risk. Portfolio standard deviations for the unrestricted model are at most one per cent smaller than standard deviations for restricted models. Significant risk reductions persist across daily, weekly, and monthly rebalancing horizons. Tests for second degree stochastic dominance indicate that realized returns from portfolios based on the volatility spillover model would be preferred by risk averse agents. |
Date: | 2005–05 |
URL: | http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:mac:wpaper:0506&r=fmk |
By: | Zsófia Árvai |
Keywords: | Capital flows , European Union , Capital account liberalization , |
Date: | 2005–11–30 |
URL: | http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:imf:imfwpa:05/213&r=fmk |
By: | Caterina Mendicino (Stockholm School of Economics) |
Date: | 2005–09–03 |
URL: | http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:mmf:mmfc05:74&r=fmk |
By: | Kirsten Lommatzsch (German Institute of Economic Research); Balazs Egert (University of Paris); Amina Lahreche-Revil |
Date: | 2005–09–03 |
URL: | http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:mmf:mmfc05:14&r=fmk |
By: | Ugo Albertazzi (Bank of Italy, Economic Research Department) |
Abstract: | This paper studies the provision of incentives in a universal bank. This is regarded as a (common) agent serving different clients with potentially conflicting interests; for example, it may buy assets on behalf of investors and sell assets on behalf of issuing firms. The clients offer incentive schemes to the bank and they behave non-cooperatively. The bank decides a level of effort and, when firewalls are absent, a level of collusion, modelled as a costly and unproductive redistribution of wealth among the clients. The main conclusion is that in the absence of firewalls the equilibrium incentive schemes are steeper. This means that the level of effort is higher and may compensate the (ex post) inefficiency of collusion. Moreover, this is shown not to hold in the presence of one naive player who does not recognize the existence of the conflict of interest. The model allows to draw conclusions about the desirability of firewalls or of softer measures like the imposition of transparency requirements. |
Keywords: | Common Agency, Collusion, Conflicts of Interest, Universal Banks |
JEL: | G21 G24 G28 |
Date: | 2006–01 |
URL: | http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:bdi:wptemi:td_572_06&r=fmk |
By: | Vasso Ioannidou; Jan de Dreu |
Abstract: | This paper studies the impact of explicit deposit insurance on market discipline in a framework that resembles a natural experiment. We improve upon previous studies by exploiting a unique combination of country-specific circumstances, design features, and data availability that allows us to distinguish between demand and supply effects. We show that deposit insurance causes a significant reduction in market discipline. We also show that the effect of deposit insurance depends on the coverage rate. When the coverage rate is more than 60 percent, market discipline is significantly reduced and it is completely eliminated when the coverage rate reaches 100 percent. Our results also suggest that most market discipline comes from large depositors and that the introduction of deposit insurance affected mainly those who were already active in imposing discipline. Our findings emphasize the need for binding coverage limits per depositor, high degrees of co- insurance, and "tailor made" deposit insurance systems that preserve the incentives of a critical mass of depositors that are willing and able to perform this function. |
Keywords: | Market Discipline; Deposit Insurance; Deposit Insurance Coverage. |
JEL: | F30 F41 G14 G21 G28 |
Date: | 2006–02 |
URL: | http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:dnb:dnbwpp:089&r=fmk |
By: | Sònia Muñoz |
Date: | 2006–02–06 |
URL: | http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:imf:imfwpa:06/29&r=fmk |
By: | Anne Lavigne (University of Orleans); Charlie Berger |
Date: | 2005–09–03 |
URL: | http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:mmf:mmfc05:7&r=fmk |
By: | Robert Paul Berben; Kerstin Bernoth; Mauro Mastrogiacomo |
Abstract: | We estimate the excess impact of financial asset capital losses relative to gains on household active savings and durable goods consumption in the Netherlands. The sample period covers both the stock market boom during the 90’s, and the bear period afterwards. The results suggest that households react more to capital losses than to capital gains. Failing to take into account this asymmetry may seriously bias the estimates of the marginal propensity to consume out of wealth. |
Keywords: | Household savings; wealth effect; capital gains |
JEL: | D12 E21 |
Date: | 2006–02 |
URL: | http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:dnb:dnbwpp:090&r=fmk |
By: | Stéphane Mussard (GREDI, Université de Sherbrooke and GEREM, Université de Perpignan); Virginie Terraza (CREA, University of Luxembourg, Faculty of Law Economics and Finance) |
Abstract: | The aim of this paper is to provide an application of the Shapley Value to decompose financial portfolio risk. Decomposing the sample covariance risk measure yields relative measures, which enable securities of a portfolio to be classified according to risk scales. |
Keywords: | Decomposition, Risk, Shapley, Volatility |
JEL: | C3 D31 D63 G11 |
Date: | 2006 |
URL: | http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:shr:wpaper:06-09&r=fmk |
By: | Micco, Alejandro; Panizza, Ugo |
Abstract: | This paper checks whether state-ownership of banks is correlated with lending behavior over the business cycle and finds that their lending is less responsive to macroeconomic shocks than the lending of private banks. |
Keywords: | State-owned banks; Credit Cycle |
JEL: | G21 H11 E44 |
Date: | 2006–02 |
URL: | http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:uca:ucapdv:61&r=fmk |
By: | Thomas Nitschka (University of Dortmund) |
Date: | 2005–09–03 |
URL: | http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:mmf:mmfc05:22&r=fmk |
By: | Katrin Tinn (London School of Economics) |
Date: | 2005–09–03 |
URL: | http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:mmf:mmfc05:6&r=fmk |
By: | Massimiliano De Santis (Dartmouth College) |
Date: | 2005–09–03 |
URL: | http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:mmf:mmfc05:5&r=fmk |
By: | Meenakshi Rishi; Valerie Cerra; Sweta Chaman Saxena |
Keywords: | Capital outflows , Debt , Development assistance , |
Date: | 2005–10–25 |
URL: | http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:imf:imfwpa:05/199&r=fmk |
By: | Monica Paiella (Bank of Italy, Research Department) |
Abstract: | This paper estimates a lower bound to the foregone gains of incomplete portfolios, which are in turn a lower bound to the (unobserved) entry costs that could rationalize non-participation to financial markets. My estimates provide a heuristic test for the cost-based explanation of limited financial market participation: high estimates would imply implausibly high participation costs. Using the CEX and assuming isoelastic utility and a relative risk aversion of 3 or less, for the stock market I estimate an average lower bound ranging between 0.7 and 3.3 percent of consumption. Since annual total (observable plus unobservable) participation costs are likely to exceed these bounds, the cost-based explanation is not rejected by this test. |
Keywords: | intertemporal consumption model, financial market participation, household portfolio allocation, non-proportional cost of participation, near-rationality |
JEL: | G11 D12 E21 |
Date: | 2006–02–01 |
URL: | http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:sef:csefwp:156&r=fmk |
By: | Bettina Becker (University of Munich and Birkbeck College); Stephan G Hall (Imperial College Business School London) |
Date: | 2005–09–03 |
URL: | http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:mmf:mmfc05:13&r=fmk |
By: | Dennis P. J. Botman; Cees G. H. Diks |
Date: | 2005–11–03 |
URL: | http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:imf:imfwpa:05/205&r=fmk |
By: | Roberto Guimaraes (International Monetary Fund); Cem Karacadag (International Monetary Fund) |
Date: | 2005–09–03 |
URL: | http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:mmf:mmfc05:68&r=fmk |
By: | Fabrice Hervé (Université de Bourgogne) |
Abstract: | (VF)Cet article étudie la performance des fonds de pension individuels britanniques (Individual Personal Pension Scheme). Moskowitz (2000) suggère que les fonds pourraient protéger les investisseurs contre les états défavorables de la nature. C’est pourquoi, nous proposons de mesurer la performance des fonds activement gérés sur les phases du cycle de marché durant la période octobre 1990 – novembre 2004. L’identification des phases (haussières et baissières) du marché des actions anglais s’appuie sur la méthode de Pagan et Sossounov (2003). Nos résultats sont moins prégnants que dans la littérature antérieure sur la performance des fonds mutuels pendant les phases du cycle de marché / cycle économique : les fonds de pension produisent des performances moindres en période de marché haussier et certains fonds protègent les investisseurs en marché baissier.(VA)This article studies the performance of UK individual personal pension scheme. Moskowitz (2000) suggests that mutual funds could protect investors against undesirable states of nature. Therefore, we measure the performance of actively managed pension funds during phases of the stock market cycle over the period October 1990 - November 2004. The identification of the phases (bear and bull) of the stock market relies on Pagan and Sossounov method (2003). Our results are less striking than in previous literature on the performance of mutual funds during phases of the market/business cycle: funds produce inferior performance during bull market and some funds protect investors during bear market. |
Keywords: | fonds de pension;performance;cotisations définies;cycle de marché;bull;bear markets |
JEL: | G12 G14 G23 |
Date: | 2006–01 |
URL: | http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:dij:wpfarg:1060101&r=fmk |
By: | Clemens J M Kool (University of Utrecht); Tom Van Veen (University of Maastricht); Bertrand Chandelon (University of Maastricht); Katharina Raabe (University of Maastricht) |
Date: | 2005–09–03 |
URL: | http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:mmf:mmfc05:20&r=fmk |
By: | Charalambos G. Tsangarides; Pierre Ewenczyk; Michal Hulej |
Keywords: | Bilateral trade , Africa , Monetary unions , Economic models , |
Date: | 2006–02–07 |
URL: | http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:imf:imfwpa:06/31&r=fmk |
By: | Ioannis Lazopoulos (Keele University) |
Date: | 2005–09–03 |
URL: | http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:mmf:mmfc05:15&r=fmk |
By: | Joshua Kirkwood (Reserve Bank of Australia); Daehoon Nahm (Department of Economics, Macquarie University) |
Abstract: | This paper considers cost and profit efficiency for Australian banks between 1995 and 2002. Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) is used to construct an efficient frontier for ten banks listed on the Australian Stock Exchange. Empirical results indicate the major banks have improved their cost and profit efficiency, while the regional banks have experienced little change in cost efficiency, and a decline in profit efficiency. This result provides interesting insights into the structure of the Australian banking industry. Malmquist indices indicate technological change is the dominant source of improvements in total factor productivity over the period. An attempt is made to relate the changes in efficiency to stock returns, using a method superior to that previously adopted. Results indicate that for our sample changes in firm efficiency are reflected in stock returns. |
Keywords: | DEA, Banks, Profit Efficiency, Cost Efficiency |
JEL: | G14 G21 D24 |
Date: | 2005–05 |
URL: | http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:mac:wpaper:0508&r=fmk |
By: | Sean Turnell (Department of Economics, Macquarie University) |
Abstract: | Cooperative credit was the British Empire's all-purpose answer to problems of rural poverty and indebtedness, usury, and land alienation. Originating in the idealism of the 'Rochedale Pioneers' and in schemes from rural Germany, cooperative credit was imported into India with an evangelical zeal to solve all manner of perceived economic and social ills. With only slightly less moral fervour it was transplanted from India into Burma in the first decade of the Twentieth Century, and by 1920 several thousand cooperative credit societies had mushroomed across the country. The purpose of this paper is to trace the development of cooperative credit in Burma from these promising beginnings, until the near collapse of the movement on the eve of the Great Depression. The paper explores the way in which cooperative credit was seen by the imperial authorities as a device to limit the role of Indian money-lenders in Burma, and as the basis for the establishment of formal rural credit markets. The paper concludes that poor implementation, on top of official myopia as to the cultural, historical and economic differences between India, Burma and Europe, brought about the demise of a movement that promised much. |
JEL: | Q14 Q13 O16 N25 |
Date: | 2005–06 |
URL: | http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:mac:wpaper:0509&r=fmk |
By: | Ronald Ripple (Department of Economics, Macquarie University); Imad Moosa (Department of Economics and Finance, La Trobe University) |
Abstract: | This paper examines the effect of the maturity of the futures contact used as the hedging instrument on the effectiveness of futures hedging. For this purpose, daily and monthly data on the WTI crude oil futures and spot prices are used to work out the hedge ratios and the measures of hedging effectiveness resulting from using the near-month contract and those resulting from the use of a more distant (six-month) contract. The results show that futures hedging is more effective when the near-month contract is used. They also reveal that hedge ratios are lower for near-month hedging. Some explanations are presented for these findings. |
Date: | 2005–11 |
URL: | http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:mac:wpaper:0513&r=fmk |
By: | Anja Shortland (University of Leicester); Sourafel Girma (University of Nottingham) |
Date: | 2005–09–03 |
URL: | http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:mmf:mmfc05:39&r=fmk |
By: | Marina Tomova (University of National and World Economy) |
Date: | 2005–09–03 |
URL: | http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:mmf:mmfc05:89&r=fmk |
By: | Charles Grant (University of Reading); Mario Padula (University of Salerno and CSEF) |
Abstract: | How does the punishment for default affect repayment behavior? We use administrative data provided by the leading Italian lender of unsecured credit to the household sector to investigate the effect of two potentially important factors: judicial efficiency and the availability of informal credit from family and friends. By making economic assumptions we can place upper and lower bounds on these effects. We find that the availability of informal credit reduces repayment, while variation in court enforcement has no significant effect. Moreover, households with access to informal credit are more likely to borrow from our lender |
Keywords: | Households Borrowing, Informal Credit Markets, Asymmetric Information |
JEL: | D14 K42 O17 |
Date: | 2006–02–01 |
URL: | http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:sef:csefwp:155&r=fmk |
By: | Christos Savva (University of Manchester); Denise R Osborn (University of Manchester); Len Gill (University of Manchester) |
Date: | 2005–09–03 |
URL: | http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:mmf:mmfc05:23&r=fmk |
By: | Mario Cerrato (London Metropolitan University); Neil Kellard (University of Essex); Nicholas Sarantis (London Metropolitan University) |
Date: | 2005–09–03 |
URL: | http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:mmf:mmfc05:34&r=fmk |
By: | Kleopatra Nikolaou (University of Warwick); Lucio Sarno (Centre for Economic Policy Research) |
Date: | 2005–09–03 |
URL: | http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:mmf:mmfc05:77&r=fmk |
By: | Francesco Menoncin |
Abstract: | We take into account the asset allocation problem for a pension fund which maximizes the expected present value of its wealth augmented by the prospective mathematical reserve at the death time of a representative member. When both the interest rate and the market price of risk are deterministic, we are able to compute an explicit solution. In a simplified framework we demonstrate that this optimal portfolio is always less risky than the Merton’s (1969-1971) one. In particular, the asset allocation is less and less risky until the pension date while, after retirement of the fund’s member, it becomes riskier and riskier. |
URL: | http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:ubs:wpaper:ubs0403&r=fmk |
By: | Andrea Pescatori (Universitat Pompeu Fabra); Caterino Mendicino (Stockholm School of Economics) |
Date: | 2005–09–03 |
URL: | http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:mmf:mmfc05:67&r=fmk |
By: | Valentina Meliciani (University of Teramo); Stefania Cosci (LUMSA University of Rome) |
Date: | 2005–09–03 |
URL: | http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:mmf:mmfc05:87&r=fmk |
By: | Michael Arghyrou (Cardiff Business School); Virginie Boinet (Brunel Business School); Christopher Martin (Brunel Business School) |
Date: | 2005–09–03 |
URL: | http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:mmf:mmfc05:35&r=fmk |
By: | Francesco Menoncin; Marco Tronzano |
Abstract: | This paper extends the literature on real exchange rate targeting inside a stochastic optimization framework where the real exchange rate displays long run mean reversion while temporarily reflecting a “liquidity effect”. When real exchange rate volatility is constant, an active stabilization rule is welfare increasing with respect to non intervention only beyond a given volatility threshold. Moreover, the welfare gains are larger the lower is the degree of mean reversion. Under a stochastic volatility assumption, the policy maker’s intertemporal discount rate has instead a major influence, and real exchange rate targeting is welfare increasing only if the policymaker is sufficiently farsighted. |
URL: | http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:ubs:wpaper:ubs0401&r=fmk |
By: | Gianluca Di Lorenzo; Giuseppe Marotta |
Abstract: | A new approach to search for structural breaks in the retail lending rA new approach is proposed for searching multiple unknown breaks, possibly associated with EMU, in the short term business lending rate pass-through. Multiple breaks are detected in five out of nine countries of the euro area. The last break occurs much before the start of EMU for France, several months after that event for Austria, Italy and Germany. Long run pass-throughs decrease (except for France) sizably below one (except for the Netherlands); heterogeneity in the monetary transmission increases across countries. These results raise doubts on claims of a more effective monetary policy under EMU. |
Keywords: | Interest rates; Monetary policy; Economic and Monetary Union; Cointegration analysis; Structural breaks |
JEL: | E43 E52 E58 F36 |
Date: | 2006–02 |
URL: | http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:mod:modena:0602&r=fmk |
By: | Radu Tunaru (Cass Business School, City University London); Ephraim Clark (Middlesex Business School) |
Date: | 2005–09–03 |
URL: | http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:mmf:mmfc05:37&r=fmk |
By: | Francesco Menoncin |
Abstract: | In a simple framework where we have: (i) a stochastic domestic interest rate, (ii) a stochastic exchange rate, (iii) both a domestic and a foreign riskless asset, and (iv) both a domestic and a foreign risky asset, we explicitly compute the optimal asset allocation for an investor who wants to maximize the expected (CRRA) utility of his final wealth. This explicit solution allows us the widely investigate the behaviour of the optimal portfolio hedging component with respect to all the parameters in the model. In particular, we show a numerical simulation for investigating the hedging strategy against the exchange rate risk. |
URL: | http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:ubs:wpaper:ubs0404&r=fmk |
By: | Theo Panagiotidis (Loughborough University); Mark J Holmes (Loughborough University) |
Date: | 2005–09–03 |
URL: | http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:mmf:mmfc05:29&r=fmk |
By: | Simon Grant (Department of Economics, Rice University); John Quiggin (Department of Economics, University of Queensland) |
Abstract: | This paper describes experiences in the development and testing of three distinct financial models to support farm forestry decisions involving non-traditional tree species in northern Australia and in the Philippines. A variety of options were examined with respect to model design, yield prediction, computing platform, forestry performance criteria and other features. Two of the models focus on the forestry enterprise in isolation, while the third evaluates forestry within the context of the overall farm business. It is found that choice of model design depends on the particular type of application intended and availability of financial data for this application. Some complementarities were gained in replicating features when progressing from one model to the next. Model construction and testing were challenging tasks requiring considerable funds and for two of the models proceeding over a number of years. Validation involved the gradual gaining of confidence in a model as it progressed through various versions. For the more complex models, greater effort in development of the user interface was found to be warranted. The models have proved more suitable for use by extension agents than individual landholders. Even with major resource inputs into model development, a number of desirable additional features can be identified. |
Keywords: | equity premium puzzle, public investment |
JEL: | G12 H1 |
Date: | 2004–08 |
URL: | http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:rsm:riskun:r04_8&r=fmk |
By: | Sailesh Tanna (Coventry Business School); Kyriaki Kosmidou (Technical University of Crete and University of Crete); Fotios Pasiouras (Technical University of Crete and Coventry Business School) |
Date: | 2005–09–03 |
URL: | http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:mmf:mmfc05:45&r=fmk |
By: | Kaminski, Bartlomiej |
Abstract: | This paper analyzes the process of institutional transformation in Bulgaria and assesses the extent to which it has established institutions and policies fostering domestic economic activity and integration into global markets. After a brief review of characteristics and achieved progress in first-generation reforms, that is, removal of central control over prices, liberalization of foreign trade and exchange rate regimes, the paper first assesses in the comparative perspective the progress made in the quality of governance and structural reforms. It then takes a look at the extent to which this has impacted foreign direct investment inflows and was translated into improved business environment in its domestic and external dimensions. The external dimension relates to backbone services facilitating trade and Bulgaria ' s trade policies. As far as the latter are concerned, the discussion highlights tensions that emerge from duality-regional versus multilateral-in Bulgaria ' s trade policy. Despite significant progress in implementation of structural reforms and converging to the EU acquis communautaire that has led to a significant enhancement in the quality of governance and market supporting institutions, " macro " institutional improvements are yet to be fully transplanted to a micro-level, as three areas appear to remain a binding constraint: First and foremost is the low quality of the judicial system and, by the same token, weaknesses in the enforcement of property rights and contracts. Second, backbone services facilitating trade remain a barrier. Bulgaria ranks low relative to the levels of efficiency achieved on average by both EU-8 and the EU-15 countries in management of ports, information technology infrastructure, and customs. Third, there are recurrent complaints among businesses of government bureaucracy, poor infrastructure, and frequent changes in the legal framework including taxation. As a result, the regulatory burden remains huge. There are still redundant and excessive sector-specific regulatory regimes. Bulgaria ' s markets for industrial goods are fully contestable for pan-Europe (EU-25, European Free Trade Association, Romania, and Turkey), exposing local producers to duty-free competition from imports. With relatively high most favored-nation tariff rates, the level of reverse discrimination significantly increased over the past couple of years. While this has not resulted in perceptible trade diversion, organizational arrangements preventing that to happen unnecessarily increase administrative intervention in the economy. |
Keywords: | Governance Indicators,National Governance,Economic Policy, Institutions and Governance,Economic Theory & Research,Financial Crisis Management & Restructuring |
Date: | 2006–03–01 |
URL: | http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:wbk:wbrwps:3864&r=fmk |
By: | Claude Fluet |
Abstract: | I consider the efficiency of liability rules when courts obtain imperfect information about precautionary behavior. I ask what tort rules are consistent with socially efficient precautions, what informational requirements the evidence about the parties' behavior must satisfy, what decision rules courts should apply when faced with imperfectly informative evidence, whether these decision rules can be formulated in terms of the legal concept of standard of proof, and whether some general characterization of the efficient standard can be given. I show that court judgments provide appropriate incentives to exert care if they signal that the party prevailing at trial most likely exerted due care, neither more nor less. |
Keywords: | Basket Tort, negligence, moral hazard, imperfect information, standard of proof |
JEL: | D8 K4 |
Date: | 2006 |
URL: | http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:lvl:lacicr:0606&r=fmk |
By: | Micco, Alejandro; Panizza, Ugo; Yañez, Monica |
Abstract: | This paper uses a new dataset to reassess the relationship between bank ownership and bank performance, providing separate estimations for developing and industrial countries. It finds that state-owned banks located in developing countries tend to have lower profitability and higher costs than their private counterparts, and that the opposite is true for foreign-owned banks. The paper finds no strong correlation between ownership and performance for banks located in industrial countries. Next, in order to test whether the differential in performance between public and private banks is driven by political considerations, the paper checks whether this differential widens during election years; it finds strong support for this hypothesis. |
Keywords: | Banking; Privatization; Ownership; Performance |
JEL: | G21 D21 |
Date: | 2006–02 |
URL: | http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:uca:ucapdv:62&r=fmk |
By: | Cal Muckley (University of Dublin Trinity College); Raj Aggarwal (Kent State University); Brian Lucey (University of Dublin Trinity College) |
Date: | 2005–09–03 |
URL: | http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:mmf:mmfc05:48&r=fmk |
By: | Paola Zerilli (University of York) |
Date: | 2005–09–03 |
URL: | http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:mmf:mmfc05:76&r=fmk |
By: | Dirk Nitzsche (Cass Business School, City University London); Keith Cuthbertson (Cass Business School, City University London); Niall O'Sullivan (University College Cork) |
Date: | 2005–09–03 |
URL: | http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:mmf:mmfc05:4&r=fmk |
By: | Georgios Chortareas (University of Essex); George Kapetanios (Queen Mary University of London) |
Date: | 2005–09–03 |
URL: | http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:mmf:mmfc05:36&r=fmk |