By: |
Shaun K. Roache |
Abstract: |
The economies of Central America share a close relationship with the United
States, with considerable comovement of GDP growth over a long period of time.
Trade, the financial sector, and remittance flows are all potential channels
through which the U.S. cycle could affect the region. But just how dependent
is growth in the region on the U.S.? Using the common cycles method of Vahid
and Engle (1993), this paper suggests that the business cycle is dominated by
the U.S.; region-specific growth drivers tend to be long-lasting shocks,
rather than temporary fluctuations. The most cyclically sensitive countries
include Costa Rica, El Salvador, and Honduras. |
Keywords: |
Economic integration , Central America , Costa Rica , El Salvador , Honduras , Trade , United States , Financial sector , Salary remittances , |
Date: |
2008–02–29 |
URL: |
http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:imf:imfwpa:08/50&r=fdg |