nep-fdg New Economics Papers
on Financial Development and Growth
Issue of 2007‒11‒17
one paper chosen by
Iulia Igescu
Global Insight, GmbH

  1. Balance of Payments Constrained Growth Model: Evidence for Bolivia 1953-2002 By Arevilca Vasquez, Bismarck Javier; Risso Charquero, Adrian Winston

  1. By: Arevilca Vasquez, Bismarck Javier; Risso Charquero, Adrian Winston
    Abstract: Theoretical and empirical literature have focused on supply factors when studying economic growth determinants. The present work analyzes demand factors as determinants of the Bolivian economic growth between 1953-2002 using framework introduced by Thirlwall (1979). According to cointegration analysis exports were an important determinant in the Bolivian economic growth for the whole period. In addition, real exchange rate presents a negative relationship respect to the long run growth. Further results show that Bolivian imports are more elastics than exports respect to the GDP, determining a negative impact in trade balance. An hypothesis is that the implemented economic model after 1985 has increased the external constraint of the country causing a process of “deindustrialization”.
    Keywords: Bolivia; Growth; Thirlwall’s Law; Cointegration
    JEL: O1 F1 C2
    Date: 2007–10–14

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