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on Experimental Economics |
| By: | Kim, Hyunjung; Li, Tongzhe |
| Keywords: | Research and Development/Tech Change/Emerging Technologies, Institutional and Behavioral Economics, Farm Management |
| Date: | 2024 |
| URL: | https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:ags:aaea24:344038 |
| By: | Dannenberg, Astrid; Dini, Giorgio; Tavoni, Alessandro; Weingaertner, Eva |
| Abstract: | Food choices and in particular meat consumption have major impacts on the local and global environment, which is why the topic is gaining attention in environmental economics and other disciplines. In this study, we investigate the effect of increased visibility on food choices, for which there has been little research to date. We present findings from a field experiment among researchers at a large environmental economics conference. When registering for the three-days conference and prior to choosing between vegan, vegetarian, or meat/fish lunches, half of the participants were informed that their choice would be visibly printed on their conference name badge. The remaining half were informed of this saliency only after their food choice (at the conference venue). Despite the conference setting in which environmentally friendly choices and signals are likely to be valued, we find no significant effect of the treatment on lunch choices. We discuss possible reasons for the null effect, including that the consequences of visibility are ignored, discounted, or already factored in. |
| Keywords: | field experiment; food choice; meat consumption; observability |
| JEL: | C90 D91 Q18 |
| Date: | 2026–02–28 |
| URL: | https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:ehl:lserod:130410 |
| By: | Tjantana Barro; Michal Marencak; Giang Nghiem |
| Abstract: | We provide novel causal evidence that macroeconomic narrative framing, whether a policy is described as a supply or demand shock, significantly shapes household beliefs. In a randomized survey experiment conducted within the Bundesbank household panel, participants received identical information about a climate policy that was framed differently across treatments. While both the supply and demand narratives lower growth expectations, we find that the supply framing increases inflation expectations, whereas the demand framing does not reduce them. This highlights that how structural policies are communicated, not just what is communicated, critically influences expectation formation. Our findings offer new insights for central bank and government communication strategies during economic transitions like the green transition or AI adoption. |
| Keywords: | climate change, expectations, survey experiments, RCT |
| JEL: | C33 D84 E31 E52 Q4 |
| Date: | 2025–12 |
| URL: | https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:een:camaaa:2025-69 |
| By: | Christopher Carter; Adeline Delavande; Mario Fiorini; Peter Siminski; Patrick Vu |
| Abstract: | This note studies optimal experimental design under partial compliance when experimenters can screen participants prior to randomization. Theoretical results show that retaining all compliers and screening out all non-compliers achieves three complementary aims: (i) the Local Average Treatment Effect is the same as the standard 2SLS estimator with no screening; (ii) median bias is minimized; and (iii) statistical power is maximized. In practice, complier status is unobserved. We therefore discuss feasible screening strategies and propose a simple test for screening efficacy. Future work will conduct an experiment to demonstrate the feasibility and advantages of the optimal screening design. |
| Date: | 2025–12 |
| URL: | https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:arx:papers:2512.09206 |
| By: | Charness, Gary; Cobo-Reyes, Ramon; Garcia-Couto, Santiago; Meraglia, Simone; Sanchez, Angela |
| Abstract: | This paper proposes a field experiment to study whether potential anticipation of gender discrimination affects requested wages. People interested in an advertised position can apply using an online portal. After the initial application, participants are randomly allocated to one of three treatments. In the baseline treatment, applicants are asked to fill in a standardized curriculum vitae template, containing information about the applicant’s first name, surname, age, education, and employment. In a gender-blind treatment, applicants complete a curriculum vitae template in which they can only report their initials, so that information about gender is not transmitted. We also conduct a gender-blind treatment in which applicants receive a message emphasizing that the selection is conducted based on merits. In all treatments, applicants request the hourly wage they wish to receive if hired. We find that female applicants ask for just over half the wage requested by male applicants when the full name is revealed. However, when gender is undisclosed this difference in requests decreases by over 50%. Finally, the reinforcing message (third treatment) causes the gap in requested wages to completely disappear. Our results indicate that female workers request much lower wages when the firm clearly knows the applicant’s gender, but that this lower request is dependent on whether they perceive that one’s gender is known to the hiring firm. |
| Date: | 2025–12–04 |
| URL: | https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:osf:socarx:tswg9_v1 |
| By: | Erdmann, Maximilian Vincent; Walkowitz, Gari |
| Abstract: | Extended producer responsibility (EPR) is an environmental policy strategy that aims to make producers responsible for the post-consumer stage of their products. Within this policy frame-work, different types of “eco-modulations” are discussed as alternative incentive strategies to the current basic fee by governmental institutions aiming to improve the sustainability of the eco-design of firms’ products. Using a large-scale behavioral experiment with industry profes-sionals (N = 377), we systematically examine, under controlled conditions, the effectiveness of different incentive strategies on product eco-design and weight, environmental outcomes, and regulator revenues, as well as the underlying psychological mechanisms driving decision-mak-ing. Our results demonstrate, for the first time in this field, that eco-modulations exert a direc-tional effect toward more sustainable eco-designs and a reduction of environmental externali-ties. In contrast, the current weight-based fee mainly incentivizes producers to reduce the weight of their products. Environmental values have a strong positive effect on eco-design choices; however, EPR policies induce a crowding-out effect, particularly among female par-ticipants. Further, we show that, despite being confronted with a revenue decline, eco-modula-tions appear to improve the cost efficiency of EPR institutions. |
| Keywords: | Extended producer responsibility, eco-modulations, eco-design, policy instruments, behavioral lab experiment |
| JEL: | C91 D23 L51 Q58 |
| Date: | 2025–12–02 |
| URL: | https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:pra:mprapa:126860 |
| By: | Li, Tongzhe; Wang, Siyu |
| Keywords: | Institutional and Behavioral Economics, Public Economics, Environmental Economics and Policy |
| Date: | 2024 |
| URL: | https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:ags:aaea24:343548 |
| By: | Eva Jacob; Herrade Igersheim; Magali Jaoul-Grammare |
| Abstract: | The purpose of this article is to experimentally analyze the assumed links between individuals’ social preferences and their support for a basic income, based on three possible types of preferences: efficiency-oriented, egalitarian, and maximin. To this end, we designed an original experimental protocol at the intersection of two strands of literature: one well-established, dealing with social preferences, and the other more recent and still emerging, focused on basic income. Our experiment yields two main findings. First, participants identified as having maximin-type social preferences significantly tend to choose a distribution including a basic income. Second, participants identified as efficiency-oriented or egalitarian deviate from their usual preference type in favor of the basic income whenever it provides a maximin type distribution. These two results clearly support a justification of basic income in maximin terms, thus following the theoretical argument put forward by Van Parijs. |
| Keywords: | Basic income, social preferences, experimental economics, maximin, Philippe Van Parijs |
| JEL: | B2 B4 D63 P4 |
| Date: | 2025 |
| URL: | https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:ulp:sbbeta:2025-46 |
| By: | Little, Andrew T.; Nunnari, Salvatore |
| Abstract: | Debates about when and whether (partisan) directional motives influence information processing are hard to resolve because rational and motivated learning often look similar. We develop an experimental design to distinguish between these possibilities which focuses on the order in which information is presented. A core tenet of Bayesian updating is that order should not impact final beliefs, but if some information changes the motivation to process other information, order effects may emerge. In our first study, we randomize the partisanship of real endorsements for ballot propositions, as well as whether participants learn about these endorsements before observing other information about the propositions. We find no evidence of motivated information processing across several tests. In a second study, we randomize whether participants themselves argue for or against a proposition, and whether they know this position before observing other information. This produces a strong order effect: being randomized to argue for versus against a position affects beliefs more when it is learned before information about the proposition is provided. We also find suggestive evidence that this order effect is driven by selective attention to information. Overall, our results suggest that motivated reasoning about politics is less prevalent than commonly believed, but may arise primarily when people are in an argumentative mindset. |
| Date: | 2025–12–03 |
| URL: | https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:osf:socarx:sxayc_v1 |
| By: | Kühn, Sarah (Center for Mathematical Economics, Bielefeld University); Duman, Papatya (Center for Mathematical Economics, Bielefeld University); Hoyer, Britta (Center for Mathematical Economics, Bielefeld University); Streck, Thomas (Center for Mathematical Economics, Bielefeld University); Stroh-Maraun, Nadja (Center for Mathematical Economics, Bielefeld University) |
| Abstract: | Preferences are central to matching markets, yet experiments typically rely on induced preferences that may not reflect real-world decision-making. We examine how induced versus non-induced preferences shape behavior in matching experiments, extending Chen and Sönmez (2006). Using the most frequently used school choice mechanisms (Boston, Deferred Acceptance, and Top Trading Cycles), we supplement monetary incentives with participants’ own preferences. Our results show that preference induction systematically affects truthful reporting and comprehension of mechanisms. These findings underscore that experimental design choices matter for the validity of behavioral insights and have direct implications for policy evaluation. |
| Keywords: | Non-induced Preferences, Experiments, Matching, School Choice |
| Date: | 2025–12–10 |
| URL: | https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:bie:wpaper:758 |
| By: | Gill, Mackenzie; Costanigro, Marco; Berry, Chris |
| Keywords: | Marketing, Consumer/Household Economics, Agribusiness |
| Date: | 2024 |
| URL: | https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:ags:aaea24:343983 |
| By: | Mueser, Peter; Michaelides, Marios (Actus Policy Research); Poe-Yamagata, Eileen; Jeon, Kyung-Seong |
| Abstract: | The Reemployment Services and Eligibility Assessment (RESEA) program is a job-search assistance intervention targeting Unemployment Insurance (UI) claimants in the United States. The program requires new UI claimants to attend a counseling session at the start of their UI claims to: 1) undergo an eligibility review to confirm their compliance with UI work search requirements, and 2) receive customized reemployment services. This study reports the results of a large-scale randomized controlled trial (RCT) of the Missouri RESEA program conducted in 2023, a period of strong labor market conditions. Results show that the program increased take-up of job counseling services and significantly reduced UI duration and benefit amounts collected, generating substantial savings for the UI system. Further, the program caused significant improvements in participants’ employment and earnings in the three quarters following UI entry. |
| Date: | 2025–11–29 |
| URL: | https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:osf:socarx:spfa6_v1 |
| By: | Roberto Brunetti (GATE CNRS, Université Lumière Lyon 2, Université Jean-Monnet SaintÉtienne, Emlyon Business School); Gianluca Grimalda (Passau University); Maria Marino (Universitat de Barcelona) |
| Abstract: | Despite growing income inequality, demand for redistribution has remained stagnant, which is particularly puzzling for the poor. We investigate whether attitudes toward “trickle-down†economics and preferences for fairness affect demand for redistribution. We involve US residents in the bottom (N = 1, 200) and top (N = 1, 146) 20% of the income distribution in experimental redistributive decisions from high-income real-life entrepreneurs to low-income recipients. We find that entrepreneurs’ activities with potential for trickledown, such as high employment or innovation rates, are largely irrelevant to redistribution. Philanthropic donations, however, reduce redistribution demand among the poor. The most important factor for redistribution is the desire to sanction the “undeserving poor†and, to a lesser extent, to reward the “deserving rich, †measured by daily working hours and the founding of the firm. Decisions by high-income and low-income participants generally follow the same patterns, are quantitatively similar, and are mediated by economic and political identity. |
| Keywords: | Trickle-down, Fairness, Merit, Redistribution |
| JEL: | D72 D91 H2 H23 H41 |
| Date: | 2025 |
| URL: | https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:ewp:wpaper:485web |
| By: | Gustafson, Christopher R.; Champetier, Antoine |
| Keywords: | Food Consumption/Nutrition/Food Safety, Research Methods/Statistical Methods, Institutional and Behavioral Economics |
| Date: | 2024 |
| URL: | https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:ags:aaea24:343750 |
| By: | Jiang, Qi; Penn, Jerrod; Hu, Wuyang |
| Keywords: | Consumer/Household Economics |
| Date: | 2024 |
| URL: | https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:ags:aaea24:344032 |
| By: | Akinwehinmi, Oluwagbenga J.; Colen, Liesbeth |
| Keywords: | Food Consumption/Nutrition/Food Safety, Consumer/Household Economics, Agricultural and Food Policy |
| Date: | 2024 |
| URL: | https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:ags:aaea24:343674 |
| By: | Irving Argaez Corona (CES - Centre d'économie de la Sorbonne - UP1 - Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique, UP1 - Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne); Béatrice Boulu-Reshef (THEMA - Théorie économique, modélisation et applications - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique - CY - CY Cergy Paris Université); Jean-Christophe Vergnaud (CES - Centre d'économie de la Sorbonne - UP1 - Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique, UP1 - Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne) |
| Abstract: | This study investigates how the disclosure of personality traits affects strategic behaviour in trustsensitive environments. Specifically, we examine whether making information about personality traits visible-either about oneself, one's counterpart, or both-modifies coordination outcomes. In a repeated stag-hunt game, 192 participants were classified as either trusting or mistrusting types and randomly assigned to one of four information conditions (no information, private, public, or full visibility). We elicited first and second-order beliefs across 48 rounds to analyse how trait visibility shapes expectations and behaviour through four mechanisms: (1) self-identification, (2) preferencebased discrimination, (3) first-order belief bias, and (4) second-order belief pessimism. Our resultsshow that when traits are not disclosed, personality has no behavioural effect: trusting and mistrusting types look alike. Once labels appear, behaviour is driven by expectations, not by self-identification or type-based preferences. We observe that labels shift beliefs toward trusting counterparts, but this fades with feedback. Moreover, information increases predictability and strategic alignment, yet can nudge play toward the safer, inefficient equilibrium-so coordination rises even as cooperation can fall. |
| Abstract: | Cette étude examine comment la divulgation de traits de personnalité affecte le comportement stratégique dans des environnements sensibles à la confiance. Plus précisément, nous analysons si rendre visibles des informations de personnalité — sur soi-même, sur son partenaire, ou sur les deux — modifie les résultats de coordination. Dans un jeu répété du type stag-hunt, 192 participants ont été classés comme « confiants » ou « méfiants » et assignés aléatoirement à l'un de quatre régimes d'information (aucune information, information privée, information publique ou visibilité totale). Nous avons recueilli des croyances de premier et de second ordre sur 48 manches afin d'étudier comment la visibilité des traits façonne attentes et comportements via quatre mécanismes : (1) auto-identification, (2) discrimination fondée sur le type, (3) biais de croyances de premier ordre et (4) pessimisme de croyances de second ordre. Nos résultats montrent que, en l'absence de divulgation, la personnalité n'a pas d'effet comportemental : les types confiants et méfiants se ressemblent. Une fois les étiquettes visibles, le comportement est principalement guidé par les attentes, non par l'auto-identification ni par des préférences de type. Nous observons que les étiquettes déplacent temporairement les croyances en faveur des partenaires « confiants », mais cet effet s'estompe avec le feedback. Par ailleurs, l'information accroît la prévisibilité et l'alignement stratégique, tout en pouvant orienter le jeu vers l'équilibre plus sûr mais inefficace — la coordination augmente alors même que la coopération peut diminuer. |
| Keywords: | first-order beliefs, strategic settings, stag-hunt game, personality types, second-order beliefs, cooperation, coordination, Information disclosure, Information disclosure coordination cooperation first-order beliefs second-order beliefs personality types stag-hunt game strategic settings |
| Date: | 2025–10–15 |
| URL: | https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:hal:cesptp:hal-05393326 |
| By: | Paul Glewwe (University of Minnesota); David Raitzer (Asian Development Bank); Uttam Sharma (Integrated Development Studies); Kenn Chua (University of Minnesota); Milan Thomas (Asian Development Bank) |
| Abstract: | Although Asian economies have increased access to education, students’ learning often trails grade level expectations. In the Philippines, learning worsened through prolonged classroom closure during the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) pandemic. Together with the Department of Education, we conducted a 42-school randomized controlled trial of computer-assisted instruction in remote areas of the country. The tested intervention consisted of digitized learning modules deployed on tablets that connected to school local Wi-Fi networks for junior high school students. The tablets were the main source of instruction for 2.5 months before schools reopened, after which they served as a supplement to, rather than a replacement for, in-person instruction. We find that the intervention increased student learning in mathematics, but not in English. For mathematics, we estimate intent-to-treat effects of 0.34 standard deviations of the distribution of test scores and average treatment-on-the-treated effects of 0.46 standard deviations for schools that ever used the digitized materials. Students with higher levels of “grit” at baseline benefit more from the intervention, as do those who have higher baseline test scores. The mathematics treatment-on-the-treated effect for schools that continued usage for a second year is 1.6 standard deviations, suggesting that those schools drove the observed impacts. |
| Keywords: | COVID-19 pandemic;computer-assisted instruction;EdTech;distance learning;remote schools |
| JEL: | I21 I24 J13 N35 O14 |
| Date: | 2025–12–08 |
| URL: | https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:ris:adbewp:021834 |
| By: | Jan Kemper; Davud Rostam-Afschar |
| Abstract: | The advantages of adaptive experiments have led to their rapid adoption in economics, other fields, as well as among practitioners. However, adaptive experiments pose challenges for causal inference. This note suggests a BOLS (batched ordinary least squares) test statistic for inference of treatment effects in adaptive experiments. The statistic provides a precision-equalizing aggregation of per-period treatment-control differences under heteroskedasticity. The combined test statistic is a normalized average of heteroskedastic per-period z-statistics and can be used to construct asymptotically valid confidence intervals. We provide simulation results comparing rejection rates in the typical case with few treatment periods and few (or many) observations per batch. |
| Date: | 2025–12 |
| URL: | https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:arx:papers:2512.10156 |
| By: | Omer F. Baris (Nazarbayev University, Graduate School of Public Policy); Shreekant Gupta (Centre for Development Economics & Centre for Social and Economic Progress); Eduardo Araral Jr (National University of Singapore, Lee Kuan Yew School of Public Policy) |
| Abstract: | We extend the canonical 2 × 2 inspection game to a 3 × 3 framework that allows strategic non-compliance and an inspection–quality choice, and test it in nine laboratory sessions (164 subjects) in India, Singapore, and Kazakhstan. Static evidence confirms the Harrington paradox: firms comply far more than risk-neutral theory predicts, yet Boards choose the cheap, low-detection audit in over 60% of rounds. Dynamic logit and multinomial specifications reveal four mechanisms. First, strong inertia: current compliance is the strongest predictor of future compliance. Second, inspection quality matters but only briefly. Thorough inspections raise compliance on impact and the effect dissipates within approximately three rounds. Third, cursory audits have no immediate effect; in longer-lag models their positive association with compliance is consistent with behavioral inertia rather than direct deterrence. Fourth, punishment works slowly: individual fines are insignificant on impact, while a history of fines has a modest cumulative influence, indicating graduated deterrence. Moral framing partially counteracts the compliance drop caused by strategic complexity, and country/demographic controls leave core results unchanged. Together, these findings reconcile the Harrington paradox: sticky firm behavior sustains excess compliance, whereas fading inspection salience and the prevalence of cheap cursory audits generate under-enforcement. Policy-wise, improving inspection quality, rather than increasing frequency or fine size, yields the highest marginal deterrence when regulators face capacity constraints and firms can game detection technologies. |
| Keywords: | Enforcement · Inspection · Compliance · Corruption JEL codes: C91 · D64 · D73 · J24 |
| Date: | 2025–12 |
| URL: | https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:cde:cdewps:355 |
| By: | Balietti, Anca; Marino-Fages, Diego |
| Abstract: | This paper provides causal evidence on how zero-sum beliefs shape support for cross-border redistribution and economic openness. We implement a pre-registered two-by-two experiment with a broadly representative sample of 2, 116 UK adults. The first treatment primes participants to adopt stronger or weaker zero-sum mindsets in general social and economic interactions, without reference to redistribution. Inducing a stronger zero-sum mindset significantly reduces donations to international anti-poverty organizations and modestly lowers stated support for international redistribution, migration, and trade. The second treatment provides information about respondents’ position in the global income distribution. Learning one’s relative global advantage fully offsets the negative effects of zero-sum priming. These results demonstrate that zero-sum beliefs causally reduce support for global redistribution and openness, but that making relative global affluence salient can neutralize this effect. The findings highlight a belief-based channel through which economic narratives shape public attitudes toward globalization, offering new insight into the appeal of rising nationalist and protectionist rhetoric in high-income countries. |
| Keywords: | Zero-sum Views; Global Redistribution; Global Income Rank. |
| Date: | 2025–12–12 |
| URL: | https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:awi:wpaper:0767 |
| By: | Eva Jacob; Kevin Wirtz |
| Abstract: | This article presents a quantitative history of basic income (BI) research within the Social Sciences from the 1960s to the present, utilizing bibliometric analysis on OpenAlex data. We identify five main research communities; Social Justice, Experiment, Tax and Labor Supply, Degrowth, and Others, and four major international collaboration clusters. Through this framework, we identify three major periods in BI research; an early experimental focus (1960–1980), a shift toward taxation, labor supply, and social justice (1980–2000), and a recent diversification into ecological concerns, thinking on social protection in South Africa and Germany, and care economics (2000–2020). A key insight from our study is the enduring influence of Negative Income Tax (NIT) and Minimum Income Guarantee (MIG) within BI research. Although the conceptual boundaries of BI have expanded to include broader social justice and ecological perspectives, the Experiment and Tax/Labor Supply communities continue to engage deeply with NIT and MIG. This persistence reflects long-standing research traditions, underscoring the distinct policy concerns shaping different strands of BI research. Ultimately, our study deepens our understanding of BI as an evolving research field, shaped by distinct intellectual traditions, regional specializations, and shifting policy priorities over time. |
| Keywords: | Basic income, Negative income tax, quantitative history of economic thought, social network analysis |
| JEL: | B2 B4 D63 P4 |
| Date: | 2025 |
| URL: | https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:ulp:sbbeta:2025-47 |
| By: | Shirshikova, Alina (ROA / Human capital in the region); Cörvers, Frank (RS: GSBE MORSE, RS: FdR Institute ITEM, RS: GSBE - MACIMIDE, ROA / Human capital in the region); Montizaan, Raymond (RS: GSBE UM-BIC, ROA / Labour market and training); Pfeifer, Harald (RS: GSBE other - not theme-related research, ROA / Labour market and training) |
| Abstract: | This study investigates whether the social, digital, and analytical skills of job applicants, as well as their knowledge about the profession, can mitigate ethnic disparities in entry-level positions in the labour market. We conducted a survey experiment among a large, nationally representative sample of German firms that hire apprentices. We asked recruiters to evaluate the probability of inviting fictitious applicants to a job interview based on randomised characteristics, including ethnicity, skill quality, gender, time of residence, and education level. Our results show heterogeneous effects of skills on ethnic discrimination. While social skills help alleviate discrimination, our results indicate that discrimination intensifies at higher levels of knowledge about the profession, implying greater disparities due to ethnic discrimination at the top of the skill distribution. We also found that the effect of skills differs depending on the ethnicity of the applicant. |
| JEL: | I24 J15 J23 J24 J71 |
| Date: | 2025–12–11 |
| URL: | https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:unm:umaror:2025002 |
| By: | Josef Simpartl (Institute of Economic Studies, Faculty of Social Sciences, Charles University, Prague, Czech Republic) |
| Abstract: | This article examines forms of direct monetary policy communication and their impact on inflation expectations and the public’s perception of the central bank. To this end, an experiment was conducted in August 2024 with three groups of respondents representative of the Czech population, the first of which was exposed to a monetary policy statement, the second to a related Facebook post, and the third to no information. Respondents who were exposed to the above-mentioned texts significantly reduced their inflation expectations and the link between the inflation expectations and perceived current inflation. At the same time, their knowledge of the monetary policy of the Czech National Bank´s (CNB) improved somewhat. However, none of the groups of respondents changed their opinion on the CNB, with the exception of a slight improvement in the assessment of its communication in the case of the group exposed to the Facebook post. |
| Keywords: | inflation expectations, central bank, communication, social media, survey |
| JEL: | C83 D84 E31 E58 |
| Date: | 2025 |
| URL: | https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:fau:wpaper:wp2025_29 |
| By: | C. Monica Capra; Charles A. Holt; Po-Hsuan Lin |
| Abstract: | When players make sequential decisions that are unobservable to one another, their behavior can nonetheless be influenced by knowing who moves first. This sequential structure, often referred to as "virtual observability, " suggests that timing alone can shape expectations and choices, even when no information is revealed. The original notion of virtual observability, however, is an equilibrium refinement based on the timing structure and has no bite in games with a unique equilibrium. In this paper, we experimentally examine whether timing still affects behavior in such games, using the Traveler's Dilemma and the Trust Game. We find that in the sequential Traveler's Dilemma without observability, first movers tend to behave closer to the equilibrium prediction than in the simultaneous version. In contrast, timing without observability has no effect on behavior in the Trust Game. |
| Date: | 2025–11 |
| URL: | https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:arx:papers:2512.01244 |
| By: | Krpan, Dario; Basso, Frédéric; Hickel, Jason; Kallis, Giorgos |
| Abstract: | Background Degrowth argues that high-income economies should reduce harmful production and prioritise wellbeing. Although degrowth is increasingly seen as essential to tackling climate change, the extent of public support for this economic approach remains unclear. In this study, we aimed to investigate public support for the full degrowth proposal in the UK and USA—high-income, growth-oriented nations with substantial climate responsibility and political resistance to degrowth. Our objectives were to distinguish support for the proposal itself from perceptions of the degrowth label and to examine the role of participants’ individual differences. Methods Our objectives were examined in two studies, Study 1 and Study 2, administered online via Qualtrics. For both studies, participants in the USA and UK were recruited via Prolific (an online pool of participants) to be representative of the respective populations in age, gender, and ethnicity. Participants had to pass several attention and quality checks to qualify for analyses. Study 1 used a within-subjects design whereby all participants rated their support for the full degrowth proposal (summarising the key ideas, practices, and goals of degrowth) without any label and for eight economic approaches presented by label only (ie, degrowth, ecomodernism, ecosocialism, green capitalism, green growth, green market economy, post growth, and wellbeing economy) on a 7-point scale (from 1 [strongly oppose] to 7 [strongly support]). Study 2 used a between-subjects design whereby participants were randomly assigned using the randomiser function in Qualtrics, to one of seven economic approaches (the full degrowth proposal; a label referring to either degrowth, ecosocialism, or wellbeing economy without a description; or a combination of the full degrowth proposal with one of these three labels), for which they rated their support on the same 7-point scale. Mean support for each approach was classified on the basis of 95% CIs, meaning that similar means could be classified differently across studies and samples due to variations in these intervals. To identify key predictors of support, we also measured 74 individual differences, including various psychological and socioeconomic characteristics, and analysed them using an approach combining widely used machine learning models with multiple linear regression analyses; a variable was considered a key predictor only if it ranked among the most predictive in the machine learning models and was also statistically significant in the regression analyses. Findings Data were collected from study participants between Oct 10, 2023, and Dec 1, 2023. 6228 participants from the UK and USA were initially recruited, of whom 5454 were eligible for analyses. When presented without a label, in the UK, the full degrowth proposal received support from 736 (81%) of 910 participants in Study 1 and 210 (82%) of 255 in Study 2. In the USA, it received support from 683 (73%) of 941 participants in Study 1 and 187 (72%) of 260 in Study 2. On the 7-point scale, in Study 1, support was 5⋅37 in the UK and 5⋅07 in the USA (both corresponding to somewhat support), whereas, in Study 2, support was 5⋅34 in the UK (corresponding to somewhat support to support) and 4⋅97 in the USA (corresponding to somewhat support). When degrowth was presented as a label alone, it received support from 237 (26%) of 910 participants in Study 1 and 50 (20%) of 250 participants in Study 2 in the UK and 266 (28%) of 941 participants in Study 1 and 34 (13%) of 270 participants in Study 2 in the USA. In Study 2, the degrowth label accompanied by the full proposal was supported by 184 (74%) of 248 participants in the UK and 177 (68%) of 260 participants in the USA. In addition, 188 (75%) of 250 participants in the UK and 176 (67%) of 264 participants in the USA supported the full degrowth proposal plus ecosocialism label, and 209 (84%) of 250 participants in the UK and 179 (72%) of 249 participants in the USA supported the full degrowth proposal plus wellbeing economy label. Key individual difference predictors of support were people’s drive to address global challenges and belief in ecosystem integrity. Interpretation Contrary to concerns from politicians and commentators that degrowth is broadly unpopular, the core degrowth proposal received substantial support from UK and US participants in this study, regardless of whether the full proposal was accompanied by the degrowth label. Therefore, negative perceptions of the degrowth label appear surmountable once people learn about the main principles behind degrowth. Fostering proactive engagement with global challenges and awareness of nature’s fragility could further enhance the public’s acceptance of degrowth. |
| Keywords: | REF fund |
| JEL: | J1 |
| Date: | 2025–11–30 |
| URL: | https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:ehl:lserod:129300 |
| By: | Ben-Menachem, Jonathan; Galper, Ari; Fishman, Nic |
| Abstract: | Sociology has remained relatively insulated from debates about the ‘replication crisis.’ Heeding calls to consider replication more deeply, we introduce a distinction between two types of research reforms that have emerged in the wake of the crisis: specification-restricting reforms and specification-expanding reforms. Specification-restricting reforms—the more popular of the two—aim to increase the repeatability of research findings by controlling false positives. We show how these reforms’ internal logic breaks down outside of randomized experiments; in observational contexts, they risk enshrining fragile or misspecified models. We further argue that the premise of these reforms is flawed. Replication rates cannot be reduced to the purported prevalence of false positive findings. In their place, we propose a replication framework centered on specification-expanding reforms, stronger incentives for confirmatory research, and meta-analysis. This approach equips sociology to assess the repeatability of findings and build a more cumulative discipline. |
| Date: | 2025–12–05 |
| URL: | https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:osf:socarx:6ehrw_v1 |