nep-evo New Economics Papers
on Evolutionary Economics
Issue of 2017‒02‒12
five papers chosen by
Matthew Baker
City University of New York

  1. The Macrogenoeconomics of Comparative Development By Ashraf, Quamrul; Galor, Oded
  2. On the Origins and Consequences of Racism By Farfan-Vallespin, Antonio; Bonick, Matthew
  3. Aggregating the Fertility Transition: Intergenerational Dynamics in Quality and Quantity By Tom S. Vogl
  4. Plague and long-term development: the lasting effects of the 1629-30 epidemic on the Italian cities By Guido Alfani; Marco Percoco
  5. Family Economics Writ Large By Jeremy Greenwood; Nezih Guner; Guillaume Vandenbroucke

  1. By: Ashraf, Quamrul (Williams College); Galor, Oded (Brown University)
    Abstract: The importance of evolutionary forces for comparative economic performance across societies has been the focus of a vibrant literature, highlighting the roles played by the Neolithic Revolution and the prehistoric "out of Africa" migration of anatomically modern humans in generating worldwide variations in the composition of human traits. This essay surveys this literature and examines the contribution of a recent hypothesis regarding the evolutionary origins of comparative economic development, set forth in Nicholas Wade's A Troublesome Inheritance: Genes, Race and Human History, to this important line of research.
    Keywords: comparative development, human evolution, natural selection, genes, race, the "out of Africa" hypothesis, genetic diversity
    JEL: O11 N10 N30 Z10
    Date: 2017–01
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:iza:izadps:dp10474&r=evo
  2. By: Farfan-Vallespin, Antonio; Bonick, Matthew
    Abstract: We use a novel method to measure racism at both the individual and the country level. We show that our measure of racism has a strong negative and significant impact on economic development, quality of institutions and education. We then test different hypotheses concerning the origin of racism and its channels of impact in order to establish causality. We find that racism is not correlated with any possible measure of coexistence of different racial or ethnic groups, like ethno-linguistic fragmentation, share of migrants, or ethnically-motivated conflicts among others. Racism has a negative effect on social capital measured as generalized trust and voice and accountability. More importantly, we show that for former colonies, racism is strongly correlated with the presence of extractive institutions during the colonial time, even when we control for current institutions, current GDP per capita or current education. We argue that extractive colonial institutions not only had a negative impact on the political and economic institutions of the colonized countries, but also shaped the cultural values of the population. We claim that colonial powers instilled racism among the population of their colonies in order to weaken their ability for collective action, justify their own role as extractive elite in the eyes of the ruled and facilitate the internal cohesion of the elite. We also show that, at the individual level and using country fixed effects, racism is negatively correlated with those cultural values that one would expect if an extractive elite would be able to decide the cultural values of the society they control: lower trust, higher obedience, lower respect for others, lower feeling of control of one's live, lower preference for democracy, higher support for military intervention of the government, lower preference for political participation, lower valuation of civil rights, higher preference for state intervention in the economy, lower support for economic competition, and higher acceptance of dishonest behavior. We finally show that racism still has a significant impact on our outcome variables even when we control for these potential cultural correlates.
    JEL: O10 P48 N00
    Date: 2016
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:zbw:vfsc16:145767&r=evo
  3. By: Tom S. Vogl (Princeton University, BREAD, and NBER)
    Abstract: Fertility change is distinct from other forms of social and economic change because it directly alters the size and composition of the next generation. This paper studies how changes in population composition over the fertility transition feed back into the evolution of average fertility across generations. Theory predicts that changes in the relationship between human capital and fertility first weaken and then strengthen fertility similarities between mothers and daughters, a process that first promotes and then restricts aggregate fertility decline. Consistent with these predictions, microdata from 40 developing countries over the second half of the 20th century show that intergenerational fertility associations strengthen late in the fertility transition, due to the alignment of the education-fertility relationship across generations. As fertility approaches the replacement level, the strengthening of these associations reweights the population to raise aggregate fertility rates, pushing back against aggregate fertility decline.
    JEL: J13
    Date: 2017–01
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:pri:rpdevs:vogl_intergen_dynamics.pdf&r=evo
  4. By: Guido Alfani (PAM, Università Bocconi (Italy) Dondena Centre and IGIER); Marco Percoco (PAM, Università Bocconi (Italy) Dondena Centre)
    Abstract: The paper aims to analyze the effects of plague on the long-term development of Italian cities, with particular attention to the 1629-30 epidemic. By using a new dataset on plague mortality rates in 49 cities covering the period 1575-1700 ca., an economic geography model verifying the existence of multiple equilibria is estimated. It is found that cities severely affected by the 1629-30 plague were permanently displaced to a lower growth path. It is also found that plague caused a long-lasting damage to the size of Italian urban populations and to urbanization rates. These findings support the hypothesis that seventeenth-century plagues played a fundamental role in triggering the process of relative decline of the Italian economies.
    Keywords: Plague, Italian cities, Urban development, Urban demography, Multiple equilibria, Early modern period, Mortality crises, Urbanization, Italy
    JEL: N30 N33 N93 D31
    Date: 2016–11
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:hes:wpaper:0106&r=evo
  5. By: Jeremy Greenwood; Nezih Guner; Guillaume Vandenbroucke
    Abstract: Powerful currents have reshaped the structure of families over the last century. There has been (i) a dramatic drop in fertility and greater parental investment in children; (ii) a rise in married female labor-force participation; (iii) a significant decline in marriage and a rise in divorce; (iv) a higher degree of positive assortative mating; (v) more children living with a single mother; (vi) shifts in social norms governing premarital sex and married women's roles in the workplace. Macroeconomic models explaining these aggregate trends are surveyed. The relentless flow of technological progress and its role in shaping family life are stressed.
    JEL: D58 E1 E13 J1 J12 J13 J2 J22 N30 O11 O15 O3
    Date: 2017–01
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:nbr:nberwo:23103&r=evo

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