nep-dem New Economics Papers
on Demographic Economics
Issue of 2022‒02‒14
three papers chosen by
Héctor Pifarré i Arolas
Universitat Pompeu Fabra

  1. The prospective power of personality for childbearing: a longitudinal study based on data from Germany By Steffen Peters
  2. The Effects of an Increase in the Retirement Age on Health: Evidence from Administrative Data By Mara Barschkett; Johannes Geyer; Peter Haan; Anna Hammerschmid
  3. Assessing heterogeneity in the health effects of social pensions among the poor elderly: evidence from Peru By Noelia Bernal; Javier Olivera; Marc Suhrcke

  1. By: Steffen Peters (Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany)
    JEL: J1 Z0
    Date: 2022
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:dem:wpaper:wp-2022-006&r=
  2. By: Mara Barschkett; Johannes Geyer; Peter Haan; Anna Hammerschmid
    Abstract: This study analyzes the causal effect of an increase in the retirement age on health. We exploit a sizable cohort-specific pension reform for women using two complementary empirical approaches - a Regression Discontinuity Design and a Difference-in- Differences approach. The analysis is based on official records covering all individuals insured by the public health system in Germany and including all certified diagnoses by practitioners. This enables us to gain a detailed understanding of the multi-dimensionality in these health effects. The empirical findings reflect the multidimensionality but allow for deriving two broader conclusions. We provide evidence that the increase in the retirement age negatively affects health outcomes as the prevalence of several diagnoses, e.g., mental health, musculoskeletal diseases, and obesity, increases. In contrast, we do not find support for an improvement in health related to a prolonged working life since there is no significant evidence for a reduction in the prevalence of any health outcome we consider. These findings hold for both identification strategies, are robust to sensitivity checks, and do not change when correcting for multiple hypothesis testing.
    Keywords: Germany, Retirement, Pension reform, Health, ICD-10, Regression Discontinuity Design, Difference-in-Differences
    JEL: I10 I12 I18 J14 J18 J26
    Date: 2021
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:diw:diwwpp:dp1985&r=
  3. By: Noelia Bernal; Javier Olivera; Marc Suhrcke
    Abstract: This paper exploits the discontinuity around a welfare index of eligibility to assess the heterogeneous health impacts of Peru’s social pension program Pension 65, which focuses on elderly poor individuals. The heterogeneity is analysed with regards to the treatment exposure (short vs long run), the accessibility to health care infrastructure (near vs distant facilities), and gender. Overall, we find improvements in anaemia, mortality risk markers, cognitive functioning, mental health, and self-reported health among eligible individuals; yet there is an increase in the risk of obesity among women, as well as an increase in reported chronic diseases. The program improves the quality of nutrition and health care access, but reduces the frequency or intensity of physical activities. About half of the effects on the analysed outcomes persist in the longer run and living in a district with good access to facilities stands out as the most relevant characteristic enhancing the beneficial program effects. Overall thus, the resulting health benefits in areas of under-nutrition are at most modestly compensated by deterioration in over-nutrition related conditions. As the program evolves further, policymakers need to confront the challenge of continuing to ensure the health benefits in terms of reducing nutritional deficits and the lack of health infrastructure while avoiding potential undesirable side effects in terms of over-nutrition in a geographically diverse country like Peru.
    Keywords: social pensions; Peru; nutrition; health; poverty; ageing
    JEL: H55 I12 I31
    Date: 2022–01
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:irs:cepswp:2022-01&r=

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