| Abstract: |
The aim of the paper is to estimate the flows from an atypical contract
towards a new state, evaluating the effects of the Treu Law on them. Applying
a standard Multinomial Logit model to the WHIP dataset, I find that some
personal characteristics, job duration and number of previous atypical
experiences explain the transition rates. After the introduction of the Treu
Law, the transitions towards an atypical job are increased, both starting from
an atypical contract and a non-working state. Furthermore, the paper analyzes
the possibility of unobserved heterogeneity using a Random Effects MNL model.
Policy recommendations include promotion of longer atypical contracts and
assistance to disadvantages workers. |