nep-cwa New Economics Papers
on Central and Western Asia
Issue of 2016‒08‒21
three papers chosen by
Sultan Orazbayev
UCL

  1. Market integration and price transmission in Tajikistan’s wheat markets: Rising like rockets but falling like feathers? By Ilyasov, Jarilkasin; Götz, Linde; Akramov, Kamiljon T.; Dorosh, Paul A.; Glauben, Thomas
  2. Disability and Labor Force Participation: Evidence from Turkish Males By Burcu Düzgün Öncel; Deniz Karaoğlan
  3. Can Natural Gas Save Lives? Evidence from the Deployment of a Fuel Delivery System in a Developing Country By Cesur, Resul; Tekin, Erdal; Ulker, Aydogan

  1. By: Ilyasov, Jarilkasin; Götz, Linde; Akramov, Kamiljon T.; Dorosh, Paul A.; Glauben, Thomas
    Abstract: The extent of market integration and transmission of food price shocks is a major determinant of price stability and overall food security, particularly in developing countries. Few studies have examined these issues for countries in Central Asia, however. This paper aims to fill this gap by examining wheat market integration and price transmission in Tajikistan, the most food-insecure country in Central Asia. In particular, in this study we measure how well wheat market prices in Tajikistan are integrated with international and regional markets, as well as domestically with each other. Subsequently, we assess the nature of price transmission between these markets. Using horizontal price transmission analysis and asymmetric price relationships, a.k.a. rockets and feathers, we demonstrate how prices change in peripheral food-shortage markets compared to markets located in zones with abundant local production.
    Keywords: TAJIKISTAN, CENTRAL ASIA, ASIA, food security, markets, prices, agricultural policies, food policies, wheats, commodities, market prices, market access, price transmission, Q11 Agriculture: Aggregate Supply and Demand Analysis, Prices, Q18 Agricultural Policy, Food Policy,
    Date: 2016
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:fpr:ifprid:1547&r=cwa
  2. By: Burcu Düzgün Öncel (Department of Economics, Marmara University); Deniz Karaoğlan (Visiting Scholar, Department of Economics, METU)
    Abstract: This paper attempts to examine the influence of disability status on labor force participation of males aged between 25 and 64. Our attention is only on males in order to avoid complications arising from gender differences in disability and labor force participation. The data is from Turkish Health Survey (THS) for the year 2012 prepared by Turkish Statistical Institute (TURKSTAT). We believe that revealing the differences in labor outcomes that can be attributed to disability status of individuals would be important to understand labor market dynamics of a developing and young populated country; Turkey. We define disability as an impairment of long term health conditions that lasts more than six months which restricts individual in daily activities and categorize individuals as non-disabled, disabled with no limitations, disabled with some limitations and disabled with severe limitations by controlling work related disabilities. In the first part of the study we provide descriptive analysis on the relationship between disability status and labor market states. We observe that higher share of disabled individuals with severe limitations are out of labor force in every age and low educated individuals experience more disabilities. In the second part, we first estimate probit equations in order to see the relationship between disability and labor force participation, then we implement propensity score matching (PSM) techniques in order to overcome selection bias. PSM results indicate that severe disability prevents males from entering into the labor force, whereas being non-disabled increases the probability of being in the labor force.
    Keywords: disability, labor force participation, probit, propensity score matching
    JEL: I12 J21 J24 C31 C34
    Date: 2016–08
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:met:wpaper:1608&r=cwa
  3. By: Cesur, Resul (University of Connecticut); Tekin, Erdal (American University); Ulker, Aydogan (Deakin University)
    Abstract: There has been a widespread displacement of coal by natural gas as space heating and cooking technology in Turkey in the last two decades, triggered by the deployment of natural gas networks. In this paper, we examine the impact of this development on mortality among adults and the elderly. Our research design exploits the variation in the timing of the deployment and the intensity of expansion of natural gas networks at the provincial level using data from 2001 to 2014. The results indicate that the expansion of natural gas services has caused significant reductions in both the adult and the elderly mortality rates. According to our point estimates, a one-percentage point increase in the rate of subscriptions to natural gas services would lower the overall mortality rate by 1.4 percent, the adult mortality rate by 1.9 percent, and the elderly mortality rate by 1.2 percent. These findings are supported by our auxiliary analysis, which demonstrates that the expansion of natural gas networks has indeed led to a significant improvement in air quality. Furthermore, we show that the mortality gains for both the adult and the elderly populations are primarily driven by reductions in cardio-respiratory deaths, which are more likely to be due to conditions caused or exacerbated by air pollution. Finally, our analysis does not reveal any important gender differences in the estimated relationship between the deployment of natural gas networks and mortality.
    Keywords: mortality, air pollution, natural gas, coal, Turkey, fracking
    JEL: I10 I15 I18 O10 O13 Q42 Q48 Q53
    Date: 2016–08
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:iza:izadps:dp10115&r=cwa

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