nep-cwa New Economics Papers
on Central and Western Asia
Issue of 2015‒08‒01
five papers chosen by
Christian Zimmermann
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

  1. Return, shock and volatility co-movements between the bond markets of Turkey and developed countries By Bayraci, Selcuk
  2. Estimating the Trade Duration of Kazakhstan’s Wheat Exports By Imamverdiyev, Nizami; Anders, Sven; Glauben, Thomas; Perekhozhuk, Oleksandr; Prehn, Sören
  3. The Aral Sea Desiccation: Socio-Economic Effects In Case of the Republic of Karakalpakstan, Uzbekistan By Bashorat, Ismailova
  4. Will Belarus fully benefit from the Eurasian Economic Union? By Sierz Naurodski; Uladzimir Valetka
  5. The Impact of WTO Accession Growth on Agricultural Sector of Tajikistan By Khakimov, Parviz

  1. By: Bayraci, Selcuk
    Abstract: In this study, we present a VAR-BEKK model to investigate the co-movements of long-term interest rates between Turkey and four developed (Germany, Japan, USA and UK) markets . We use weekly rates on the 5-year maturity government bonds for the period of February 10, 2006 to September 12, 2014 containing 448 observations. We empirically document that, while Turkish bond market is only correlated with Japanese and the US markets, there are strong ties between the returns and volatility of developed bond markets. Our findings indicate most of the movements in international government bond markets is a product of global risk factors rather than country specific factors
    Keywords: Bond market co-movement; volatility spillover; BEKK-GARCH model
    JEL: C32 C51 G15
    Date: 2015–07–23
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:pra:mprapa:65758&r=cwa
  2. By: Imamverdiyev, Nizami; Anders, Sven; Glauben, Thomas; Perekhozhuk, Oleksandr; Prehn, Sören
    Abstract: The objective of this study is to analyze the trade duration patterns of Kazakhstan’s wheat exports between 1995 and 2012. Using 4-digit HS code trade flow data we employ a discrete-time duration framework and probit models explicitly testing for unobserved heterogeneity across bilateral trade relationships. The empirical results indicate that trade cost, local production factors, price competitiveness and experience significantly explain the short duration of Kazakhstan’s wheat exports. The results imply that the stability and thus sustainability of Kazakhstan’s wheat exports critically depend on the market share of Russian wheat exports, abolishing restrictive export policies, and maintaining good trade relationships with traditional trading partners, especially post-Soviet Union economies.
    Keywords: Wheat exports, trade duration analysis, probit, Kazakhstan, Agricultural and Food Policy, International Relations/Trade, C41, Q17,
    Date: 2015
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:ags:aaea15:205391&r=cwa
  3. By: Bashorat, Ismailova
    Keywords: International Development, International Relations/Trade, Resource /Energy Economics and Policy,
    Date: 2013–10
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:ags:ugidic:189912&r=cwa
  4. By: Sierz Naurodski; Uladzimir Valetka
    Abstract: Eurasian Economic Union, an ambitious project intended to benefit the countries in the post-soviet zone, evokes questions about its future. Is pulling together regional cooperation and tightening its relationship with Russia beneficial to Belarus in the long run? Having analyzed the recent trends in trade, labor and capital flows, Sierž Naurodski and Uladzimir Valetka shed light on the highly questionable nature of potential benefits the Union could bring to Belarussian economy within its current macroeconomic and institutional framework
    Keywords: Trade, economic integration and globalization, Eastern Europe, Caucasus and Central Asia
    JEL: F10 F15
    Date: 2015–06
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:sec:bresem:0138&r=cwa
  5. By: Khakimov, Parviz
    Keywords: International Development, International Relations/Trade, Resource /Energy Economics and Policy,
    Date: 2013–10
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:ags:ugidic:189910&r=cwa

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