nep-cwa New Economics Papers
on Central and Western Asia
Issue of 2009‒03‒07
twelve papers chosen by
Nurdilek Hacialioglu
Open University

  1. Karnataka Budget 2009-10 By Government of Karnataka GoK
  2. Impact of the Global Financial Crisis on India Collateral Damage and Response By Duvvuri Subbarao
  3. Tamil Nadu Budget Speech 2009-10 By Tamil Nadu Government
  4. The Past, Present and Future of Industrial Policy in India: Adapting to the Changing Domestic and International Environment By Ajit Singh
  5. The Puzzle of Muslim Advantage in Child Survival in India By Bhalotra, S.; Valente, C.; Soest, A.H.O. van
  6. Access to the scientific literature in India By Patrick Gaulé
  7. Is the Hand of God Involved in Human Cooperation? An Experimental Examination of the Supernatural Punishment Theory By Ahmed, Ali; Salas, Osvaldo
  8. Indian Capital Control Liberalization: Evidence from NDF Markets By Hutchison, Michael; Kendall, Jake; Pasricha, Gurnain Kaur; Singh , Nirvikar
  9. Local financial development and growth By Kendall, Jake
  10. Ottoman De-Industrialization 1800-1913: Assessing the Shock, Its Impact and the Response By Sevket Pamuk; Jeffrey G. Williamson
  11. Finance and Growth: The Role of Islamic Contracts By Ismail, Abdul Ghafar; Tohirin, Achmad
  12. ICT in Education: A Study of Public Health Education By Kannan, Srinivasan

  1. By: Government of Karnataka GoK
    Abstract: Budget speech by finance minister of Karnataka
    Keywords: India, revenue, receipts, rural , development, state, bank loan, interest, Karnataka, India, fiscal deficit, state, economic system,
    Date: 2009
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:ess:wpaper:id:1872&r=cwa
  2. By: Duvvuri Subbarao
    Abstract: The impact of economic crisis on India has been analysed in the speech. [Speech delivered at the Symposium on 'The Global Economic Crisis and Challenges for the Asian Economy in a Changing World'].
    Keywords: money market, credit, forex, India, economic crisis, Indian banking system, growth, domestic consumption, investment, GDP, financial integration, markets, banks
    Date: 2009
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:ess:wpaper:id:1870&r=cwa
  3. By: Tamil Nadu Government
    Abstract: Budget speech by Prof. Anbazhagan
    Keywords: revenue, families, rice, farming, fertilizers, horticulture, animal husbandary,budget, Tamil Nadu, India, development. egalitarian society,
    Date: 2009
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:ess:wpaper:id:1871&r=cwa
  4. By: Ajit Singh
    Abstract: In the post-World War II period India was probably the first non-communist developing country to have instituted a full-fledged industrial policy. The purpose of the policy was to co-ordinate investment decisions both in the public and the private sectors and to seize the 'commanding heights' of the economy by bringing certain strategic industries and firms under public ownership. This classical state-directed industrialisation model held sway for three decades, from 1950-1980. The model began to erode in the 1980s. Following a serious external liquidity crisis in 1991 the model was fundamentally changed. Indian industrial policy in the period 1950 to 1980, as embodied in its five-year plans, has long been the subject of intense criticism from the powerful neo-liberal critics of the country's development. In their view it was the change away from India's traditional industrial policy in 1991 towards liberalisation, de-regulation, and market orientation that ushered in a new era of faster economic growth. This paper takes a wide view of industrial policy, emphasising the government's continuing co-ordinating role in various spheres. It regards the institution of the Planning Commission as a major benefit for the country particularly as its role in formulating industrial policy in the narrow sense and in guiding India's ongoing industrial revolution in the broader sense is still widely accepted by the mainstream political parties of the left and the right (for example, Bhartiya Janata Party, Indian People's Party). The paper suggests that industrial policy and planned economic development did not come to an end with the deregulation of India's traditional investment regime in the 1980s and 1990s. Industrial policy has continued in a different form during the period, facing an agenda of new issues and an updating of older ones. The analysis of this paper suggests that today a central challenge for the Planning Commission is to exploit India's lead in ICT and its `institutional surplus' (democracy, common law legal heritage) to raise the current 8 per cent trend rate of growth to double-digit numbers while maintaining equitable distribution of the fruits of economic progress. To do so, India requires a somewhat different industrial policy than that pursued in the Nehru-Mahalanobis era, or that has been followed since then.
    Keywords: Indian Planning Commission and industrial policy, institutional surplus, ICT
    Date: 2008–12
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:cbr:cbrwps:wp376&r=cwa
  5. By: Bhalotra, S.; Valente, C.; Soest, A.H.O. van (Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research)
    Abstract: The socio-economic status of Indian Muslims is, on average, considerably lower than that of upper caste Hindus. Muslims have higher fertility and shorter birth spacing and are a minority group that, it has been argued, have poorer access to public goods. They nevertheless exhibit substantially higher child survival rates, and have done for decades. This paper documents and analyses this seeming puzzle. The religion gap in survival is much larger than the gender gap but, in contrast to the gender gap, it has not received much political or academic attention. A decomposition of the survival differential reveals that some compositional effects favour Muslims but that, overall, differences in characteristics between the communities and especially the Muslim deficit in parental education predict a Hindu advantage. Alternative outcomes and specifications support our finding of a Muslim fixed effect that favours survival. The results of this study contribute to a recent literature that debates the importance of socioeconomic status (SES) in determining health and survival. They augment a growing literature on the role of religion or culture as encapsulating important unobservable behaviours or endowments that influence health, indeed, enough to reverse the SES gradient that is commonly observed.
    Keywords: religion;caste;gender;child survival;anthropometrics;Hindu;Muslim;India
    JEL: O12 I12 J15 J16 J18
    Date: 2009
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:dgr:kubcen:200913&r=cwa
  6. By: Patrick Gaulé (Chaire en Economie et Management de l'Innovation, Collège du Management de la Technologie, Ecole Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne - Department of Economics, University of Geneva)
    Abstract: This paper uses an evidence-based approach to assess the difficulties faced by developing country scientists in accessing the scientific literature. I compare backward citations patterns of Swiss and Indian scientists in a database of 43'150 scientific papers published by scientists from either country in 2007. Controlling for fields and quality with citing journal fixed effects, I find that Indian scientists (1) have shorter references lists (2) are more likely to cite articles from open access journals and (3) are less likely to cite articles from expensive journals. The magnitude of the effects is small which can be explained by informal file sharing practices among scientists.
    Keywords: open access, scientific publishing, developing countries, access to knowledge
    JEL: O38
    Date: 2009–02
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:cmi:wpaper:cemi-workingpaper-2009-004&r=cwa
  7. By: Ahmed, Ali (Centre for Labour Market Policy Research (CAFO)); Salas, Osvaldo (Centre for Labour Market Policy Research (CAFO))
    Abstract: This paper examines the supernatural punishment theory. The theory postulates that religion increases cooperation because religious people fear the retributions that may follow if they do not follow the rules and norms provided by the religion. We report results for a public goods experiment conducted in India, Mexico, and Sweden. By asking participants whether they are religious or not, we study whether religiosity has an effect on voluntary cooperation in the public goods game. We found no significant behavioral differences between religious and nonreligious participants in the experiment.
    Keywords: Games; Punishment theory; Experiments; Behavioural Economics; Religion
    JEL: C71 C90 D01
    Date: 2008–03–10
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:hhs:vxcafo:2009_001&r=cwa
  8. By: Hutchison, Michael; Kendall, Jake; Pasricha, Gurnain Kaur; Singh , Nirvikar
    Abstract: The Indian government has taken a number of incremental measures to liberalize legal and administrative impediments to international capital movements in recent years. This paper analyzes the extent to which the effectiveness of capital controls in India, measured by the domestic less net foreign interest rate differential (deviations from covered interest rate parity) have changed over time. We utilize the 3-month offshore non-deliverable forward (NDF) market to measure the effective foreign interest rate (implied NDF yield). Using the self exciting threshold autoregression (SETAR) methodology, we estimate a no-arbitrage band width whose boundaries are determined by transactions costs and capital controls. Inside of the bands, small deviations from CIP follow a random walk process. Outside the bands, profitable arbitrage opportunities exist and we estimate an adjustment process back towards the boundaries. We allow for asymmetric boundaries and asymmetric speeds of adjustment (above and below the band thresholds), which may vary depending on how arbitrage activity is constrained by capital controls. We test for structural breaks, identify three distinct periods, and estimate these parameters over each sub-sample in order to capture the de facto effect of changes in capital controls over time. We find that de facto capital control barriers: (1) are asymmetric over inflows and outflows, (2) have changed over time from primarily restricting outflows to effectively restricting inflows (measured by band widths and positions); (3) arbitrage activity closes deviations from CIP when the threshold boundaries are exceeded in all sub-samples. In recent years, capital controls have been more symmetric over capital inflows and outflows and the deviations from CIP outside the boundaries are closed more quickly.
    Keywords: capital controls; non-deliverable forward markets; India; economic reform; liberalization
    JEL: G15 F31 F36
    Date: 2009–01–17
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:pra:mprapa:13630&r=cwa
  9. By: Kendall, Jake
    Abstract: Using a unique sample of net domestic product data for districts in India, I investigate the connection between banking sector development, human capital, and economic growth at the sub-national level. Using disaggregate data avoids many of the omitted variable problems that plague cross-country studies of the finance-growth connection and facilitates an instrumentation strategy. The findings show that the growth of many districts in India is financially constrained due to lack of banking sector development, and that the relationship between finance and growth may be non-linear. For the districts in the sample, moving from the 75th percentile of credit/net domestic product to the 25th percentile implies an average loss of 4 percent in growth over the 1990s. This indicates that the gains from increased banking sector outreach may be large. The analysis shows that human capital deepening can reduce the effect of the financial constraint and help decouple growth from financial development. In a district at the 25th literacy percentile, the implied growth loss due to a constrained banking sector is twice as large as in a district at the 75th literacy percentile. Thus, higher levels of human capital may activate alternative growth and production channels that are less finance intensive.
    Keywords: Banks&Banking Reform,Access to Finance,,Economic Theory&Research,Debt Markets
    Date: 2009–02–01
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:wbk:wbrwps:4838&r=cwa
  10. By: Sevket Pamuk; Jeffrey G. Williamson
    Abstract: India and Britain were much bigger players in the 18th century world market for textiles than was Egypt, the Levant and the core of the Ottoman Empire, but these eastern Mediterranean regions did export carpets, silks and other textiles to Europe and the East. By the middle of the 19th century, they had lost most of their export market and much of their domestic market to globalization forces and rapid productivity growth in European manufacturing. Other local industries also suffered decline, and these regions underwent de-industrialization as a consequence. How different was Ottoman experience from the rest of the poor periphery? Was de-industrialization more or less pronounced? Was the terms of trade shock bigger or smaller? How much of Ottoman de-industrialization was due to falling world trade barriers -- ocean transport revolutions and European liberal trade policy, how much due to factory-based productivity advance in Europe, how much to declining Ottoman competitiveness in manufacturing, how much to Ottoman railroads penetrating the interior, and how much to Ottoman policy? The paper uses a price-dual approach to seek the answers. It documents trends in export and import prices, relative to each other and to non-tradables, as well as to the unskilled wage. The impact of globalization, European productivity advance, Ottoman wage costs and policy are assessed by using a simple neo-Ricardian three sector model, and by comparison with what was taking place in the rest of the poor periphery.
    JEL: F1 N7 O2
    Date: 2009–03
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:nbr:nberwo:14763&r=cwa
  11. By: Ismail, Abdul Ghafar; Tohirin, Achmad
    Abstract: Although, Islamic law has been in existence for more than fourteen hundred years, but its implementation have been subjected to the willingness of the rulers in the passage of history and civilization. Although, the study on financial contracts has been extensively reviewed, the role of Islamic contracts is not highlighted, except those in the historical institutional and contract theory literatures. The study that link finance and growth takes many dimensions. One of the dimensions is law and finance view. In the beginning, the studies that link the former only look at the finance variables and economic variables. Further development analyses the relationship at the system level, i.e. discussion whether bank-based vs. market-based matters on growth. Islamic finance comes up with its distinctive contracts and products of profit-loss sharing. It may give different character and notion in the financial system in particular and in the economic system in general. This paper is aimed at discussing Islamic laws which are relevant to finance. Most importantly the aspect of contracts as foundation for the distinctive Islamic financial products, i.e. the one resembling profit-loss sharing nature containing cooperative spirit, will be analysed to establish a strong connection with financial stability as pre-requisite to achieve the economic growth.
    Keywords: Islamic law; finance; profit-loss sharing
    JEL: K2 G2 K4
    Date: 2009–02
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:pra:mprapa:13744&r=cwa
  12. By: Kannan, Srinivasan
    Abstract: Modern technologies such as Information Communication Technologies have helped many of the development sectors. One of the sectors it has lot of scope to develop is the Education. It is also evident from the experience that the benefits of these technologies have contributed much in the area of healthcare. However, these benefits come with few limitations. A technology is useful only if (a) the systems are designed keeping the user perspective mind, (b) if the users are trained on those systems, (c) users recognize the need for a system and (d) users feel there is a need for such system. Developing a system for an application does not necessarily lead to usage. Many developments ended without giving any benefit to society. For the better usage and the benefits, one has to have a commitment to promote the system among the appropriate users by demonstrating the benefits of such systems. This further discouraged by the restrictions imposed by the IPR regime. There is some relief now due to the popularization of the free software movements. This paper is an effort to highlight the benefits of such systems in public health education with special reference to the open source online tools. Author is a faculty of a Public Health school teaching health management course to the students of public health. The paper addresses the importance of ICT systems in training the public health professionals. It also discusses the benefits and limitations of such system. The present system is a complementary teaching method to the existing classroom teaching.
    Keywords: ICT Education; Online Tools; Learning Management System
    JEL: I20
    Date: 2009–02–24
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:pra:mprapa:13768&r=cwa

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