nep-cwa New Economics Papers
on Central and Western Asia
Issue of 2008‒10‒21
seventeen papers chosen by
Nurdilek Hacialioglu
Open University

  1. India and Pakistan: Trading for Peace By Mamoon , Dawood; S. Murshed, Mansoob
  2. The dragon and the elephant: Learning from agricultural and rural reforms in China and India By Gulati, Ashok; Fan, Shenggen
  3. Cotton-textile-apparel sectors of India: By Bedi, Jatinder S.; Cororaton, Caesar B.
  4. Improving the Labor Market Outcomes of Minorities: The Role of Employment Quota By Prakash, Nishith
  5. The Dragon vs. The Elephant: Comparative Analysis of Innovation Capability in the Telecommunications Equipment Industry in China and India By Sunil Mani
  6. Between Citizens and Institutions: The Dyamics of the Integration of Water Supply and Sanitation Services in Hyderabad By Agnes Huchon
  7. Gender Discrimination and Women's Development in India By Sivakumar, Marimuthu
  8. Union Membership Effect on Wage Premiums: Evidence from Organized Manufacturing Industries in India By Bhandari, Amit Kumar
  9. Natural hazards and disaster management in Pakistan By Khan, Himayatullah; Khan, Abuturab
  10. India: Shadow WTO agricultural domestic support notifications By Gopinath,Munisamy
  11. The European Union’s Enlargement Process and the Collective Identity Formation in Turkey; The interplay of multiple identities By Yaprak Gürsoy; Meltem Müftüler-Baç
  12. Cotton-Textile-Apparel sectors of Pakistan: Situations and challenges faced By Cororaton, Caesar B.; Salam, Abdul; Altaf, Zafar; Orden, David; Dewina, Reno; Minot, Nicholas; Nazli, Hina
  13. WTO negotiations on agriculture and developing countries: By Hoda, Anwarul; Gulati, Ashok
  14. The Growth and Decline of Small firms In Developing Countries By Alexander Coad; Jagannadha Pawan Tamvada
  15. The Challenges of Monetary Policy in Turkey By Olcay Çulha; Ali Çulha; Rauf Gönenç
  16. Islamic Economics: A Survey of the Literature By Zaman, Asad
  17. The impact of foreign players on international football performance By Karaca, Orhan

  1. By: Mamoon , Dawood; S. Murshed, Mansoob
    Abstract: Are shared democratic values the most important factors in promoting peace between countries, or common economic interests? New econometric research shows that, in the case of India and Pakistan, trade with other countries increases the chance of peace.
    Keywords: Inter-state conflict and trade; democracy and conflict; conflict and economic development.
    JEL: F52 F51
    Date: 2008–09
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:pra:mprapa:10432&r=cwa
  2. By: Gulati, Ashok; Fan, Shenggen
    Abstract: "During the past two-and-a-half decades, China and India have implemented a series of economic reforms that have led to recent growth rates of 9-11 percent per year in China and 8-9 percent per year in India. The rapid economic growth of the two countries has not only captured the attention of the world but has also set into motion a rethinking of the very paradigm of economic development because, despite similar trends in growth rates, the two countries have taken different reform paths, which have led to different rates of poverty reduction. Thus far, agriculture-led growth in China has reduced poverty much faster than has India's experience of liberalizing and reforming the manufacturing sector. With public investments in rural roads and agricultural research and development (R&D) playing critical roles, China has been able to not only feed its population but also raise rural incomes despite having much smaller average landholding size than in India. Nonetheless, there are also lessons to be learned from India's experience. This brief is based on a book, The Dragon and the Elephant: Agricultural and Rural Reforms in China and India (published for IFPRI by Johns Hopkins University Press and, in South Asia, by Oxford University Press-India), which compares the rural development and agricultural reform experiences of China and India and examines the lessons that can be learned from both." from Text
    Date: 2008
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:fpr:issbrf:49&r=cwa
  3. By: Bedi, Jatinder S.; Cororaton, Caesar B.
    Abstract: "Cotton, textiles, and apparel are critical agricultural and industrial sectors in India. This study provides descriptions of these sectors and examines the key developments emerging domestically and internationally that affect the challenges and opportunities the sectors face. More than four million farm households produce cotton in India, and about one-quarter of output is produced by marginal and small farms. Although production has expanded—most recently with the introduction of Bt (Bacillus thuringiensis) cotton—domestic prices dropped sharply in the late 1990s, in parallel to world cotton prices. Using partial equilibrium simulations, we estimate that a price movement of the magnitude that occurred has a significant effect on levels of poverty among cotton-producing households. The fiber-to-fabric production chain, from cotton processing through apparel, employs more than 12 million workers in India and provides 16 percent of export earnings. Except for the spinning industry, these sectors are dominated by small, fragmented, and nonintegrated units, which adversely affect their competitiveness. Recent policy reforms have induced some technological improvements. In terms of future prospects for the Indian processing, textile, and apparel industries, our analysis emphasizes three dimensions of reform—the need for further investments in human resource development to improve industry productivity and reduce poverty among workers in these sectors, the emergence of modern domestic retail marketing chains, and the potentially vibrant prospects for the industry that arise from a growing domestic fabric demand and new opportunities in world markets if appropriate policies and investments are undertaken." from authors' abstract
    Keywords: Cotton, textiles, Apparel, Rural poverty, subsidies, Industry policy, World markets,
    Date: 2008
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:fpr:ifprid:801&r=cwa
  4. By: Prakash, Nishith
    Abstract: The world's biggest and arguably most aggressive form of employment based affirmative action policy for minorities exists in India. This paper exploits the institutional features of Indian mandated employment quota policy to examine its effect on minorities' [scheduled castes (SCs) and scheduled tribes (STs)] labor market outcomes. My best estimate of the effect of 1- percent increase in employment quota for SCs increases their probability of finding a salaried job by 0.9- percentage points. This effect varies by gender and location. The less educated SCs experienced increase in their consumption expenditure. I do not find similar effects for the STs.
    Keywords: Caste; Employment; Wage dierentials; Public Sector; India.
    JEL: J21 D00
    Date: 2008–08
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:pra:mprapa:11010&r=cwa
  5. By: Sunil Mani
    Abstract: China and India have one of the largest telecommunications equipment markets in the world. The paper employs a sectoral system of innovation framework towards understanding the differential outcomes in innovation capability building in the industry achieved by China and India. The countries have pursued widely diverging strategies for developing their domestic innovation capability. Although the sectoral system of innovation in both the countries were promoted and nurtured by the state through a variety of instruments, the quality of such interventionist strategy is found to be better in China. The final outcome proves this line of argument. [CDS Working Paper 373, July 2005]
    Keywords: Innovation capability, China, India, Telecommunications industry, Digital switching systems, Mobile telephony
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:ess:wpaper:id:747&r=cwa
  6. By: Agnes Huchon
    Abstract: The purpose of this study is to review the changes that have taken place recently in water supply and sanitation services and examine the role of various stakeholders involved in urban governance in this sector. [CSH Occassonal Paper N 22/2008].
    Keywords: water supply, city, cities, sanitation services, stakeholders, urban governance, sector, Hyderabad, India, drainage, people, community development, Consumption, MCH area, population, slums, households, family income, metropolitan, public, private, Andhra Pradesh Government earnings utilities
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:ess:wpaper:id:1555&r=cwa
  7. By: Sivakumar, Marimuthu
    Abstract: Gender is a common term where as gender discrimination is meant only for women, because females are the only victims of gender discrimination. Females are nearly 50 percent of the total population but their representation in public life is very low. Recognizing women's right and believing their ability are essential for women's empowerment and development. This paper deals with gender discrimination in India, its various forms and causes. Importance of women in devleopment, legislation for women and solution for gender discrimination are also discussed in this paper.
    Keywords: gender discrimination; women's development; legislation for women; education; employment; economic independece; empowerment; decision making and self confidence
    JEL: A13 A14
    Date: 2008–09–07
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:pra:mprapa:10901&r=cwa
  8. By: Bhandari, Amit Kumar (Indian Institute of Social Welfare and Business Management)
    Abstract: Trade unionism is a legislative system of organizing workers and raising voices for economic and social goods. As the process of global integration deepens the labour market become more flexible and fragmented, rendering collective organization more and more difficult. In this backdrop, the paper attempted to analyse the impact of union membership on wages in the organised manufacturing industries in India. The study uses a recent survey data on labour market in the organised manufacturing industries. The estimated wage premiums for union membership for permanent and contract workers are 56.7 per cent and 10.3 per cent respectively. Decomposing this wage gap indicates that union membership contributes majority of the wage differentials, indicating that unions able to reserve higher premium for their members. In general, it refutes the problem of free riding the benefits in the organized manufacturing industries in India.
    Keywords: trade unions, wage differentials, manufacturing
    JEL: J51 J31 L60
    Date: 2008–10
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:iza:izadps:dp3747&r=cwa
  9. By: Khan, Himayatullah; Khan, Abuturab
    Abstract: The present study explains the various concepts used in disaster management. The concepts explained include: Disaster, Hazard, Vulnerability, Capacity, Risk and Disaster Management Cycle. In addition to the terminologies, the study also seeks to explain various types of disasters. It also gives a detail of various disasters occurred in Pakistan as well their management and mitigation strategies. The paper also discusses disaster management policy at national level as well as disaster management and national plans in Pakistan.
    Keywords: Natural Hazards; Disaster Management; Pakistan
    JEL: I30 I00 A10
    Date: 2008–10–12
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:pra:mprapa:11052&r=cwa
  10. By: Gopinath,Munisamy
    Abstract: "In this study, we examined India's domestic support policies to understand their classification and measurement for the purposes of official World Trade Organization (WTO) notifications. We then employed the underlying methods to prepare shadow notifications of India's domestic support for 1998-2005. Following that, we explored alternative support-definition scenarios and their possible effects on shadow notifications. Preliminary support estimates for 2006-2007 and a projection for 2015 are also provided with a discussion on how the latest WTO (2008) draft modalities are likely to impact India's domestic support. India's official notifications began in 1995 with green box support of nearly US$2 billion and limited use of special and differential treatment. The product-specific aggregate measure of support (AMS) was negative because external reference prices were larger than minimum support prices. Nonproduct-specific AMS, by way of fertilizer, electricity, irrigation, credit, and seed subsidies, accounted for about 7 percent of the value of agricultural production in 1995. In subsequent notifications, for 1996 and 1997, several key changes were observed. The first was the transfer of 80 percent of fertilizer, irrigation, and electricity subsidies from nonproduct-specific AMS to special and differential treatment of low-income and resource-poor farmers. Product-specific AMS remained negative, but the value of production was replaced by eligible production, which was set equal to quantities procured by public agencies in 1996 and 1997. Shadow notifications, based on our understanding of the underlying methods, showed that green box support had grown to nearly US$8.0 billion in 2005. Estimates of input subsidies to low-income and resource-poor producers declined between 1998 and 2002, but they amounted to about US$4.5 billion or 4 percent of the value of agricultural production in 2005. Product-specific AMS remained negative through 2005 mostly because of the wide gap between external reference prices and minimum support prices. Nonproduct-specific AMS accounted for about 1 percent of the annual value of agricultural production for 1998-2005. Alternative support-definition and measurement scenarios showed a possible increase in product-specific AMS. However, reallocating input subsidies from special and differential treatment to nonproduct-specific AMS would only eliminate some of the slack in the latter's de minimis exemption. With India's general elections expected in early 2009, the immediate future includes popular policies such as credit subsidies and significant growth in minimum support prices. Nevertheless, non-product-specific AMS would not likely exceed the limits proposed in the Doha Round (that is, 10 percent of value of production) even with popular policies. However, product-specific AMS would turn positive, especially in cereals, with high growth in support prices and the appreciation of Rupee as seen in recent years. Projections for 2015 suggest that de minimis exemptions would be about US$16 billion each for product-specific and non-product-specific AMS, giving India ample flexibility in domestic support policies." from authors' abstract
    Keywords: Agricultural policies, WTO Doha round, WTO compliance, Notification of domestic support, India agricultural support policies, Globalization, Markets,
    Date: 2008
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:fpr:ifprid:792&r=cwa
  11. By: Yaprak Gürsoy; Meltem Müftüler-Baç
    Abstract: This paper analyzes the impact of the EU enlargement process on Turkish collective identity formation. EU conditionality influences Turkish collective identity by bringing to the forefront issues on democracy, civilian control of the military, impartiality and independence of the judiciary, and minority rights. The paper investigates how different social and political groups in Turkey react to the reform process and argues that there is an ongoing adaptation process in Turkish politics to the EU political criteria and norms parallel to the accession negotiations with the EU. The latter is important at two different levels: First, Turkey increasingly accepts the EU norms in civil-military relations, human rights and recognition of minority rights. Second, these changes and diffusion of norms from the EU into Turkey generate a transformation of the Turkish collective identity.
    Keywords: acquis communautaire; Copenhagen criteria; democracy; enlargement; identity; international relations
    Date: 2008–10–15
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:erp:reconx:p0036&r=cwa
  12. By: Cororaton, Caesar B.; Salam, Abdul; Altaf, Zafar; Orden, David; Dewina, Reno; Minot, Nicholas; Nazli, Hina
    Abstract: "Cotton, textiles, and apparel are critical agricultural and industrial sectors in Pakistan. This study provides descriptions of these sectors and examines the key developments emerging domestically and internationally that affect the challenges and opportunities they face. One-quarter of Pakistani farmers, of whom about 40 percent have household incomes below the poverty line, grow cotton. Export controls and taxes kept cotton prices below international levels until the mid-1990s but have subsequently tracked export parity international levels following reforms to trade and pricing policies and a greater role for the private sector. Pakistani farmers have not formally adopted genetically modified Bt cotton but there is some field evidence of its unregulated use. Despite constraints in its production, storage, and ginning sectors, the production of cotton yarn increased at an annual rate of 4.7 percent during 1990–2005 and Pakistan's share of world output increased to nearly 10 percent. Cotton-related products account for nearly 60 percent of Pakistan's export earnings. The textile industry still produces mostly fabrics of relatively low count (low quality) although it has been successful in expanding its exports of some higher-value products. The industry will need further entrepreneurial initiatives to remain competitive in international markets. Among the farm households that produce cotton, about 40 percent of total income comes from its production. The decline in world prices that occurred in the late 1990s adversely affected these households. Household-level simulations suggest that a counterfactual 20 percent increase of cotton prices, which reflects the extent to which real cotton prices declined in Pakistan during this period, would have reduced the percentage of cotton-producing households below the poverty line in 2001 from 40 percent to 28 percent. The estimated effect from declining cotton prices explains about one-sixth of the overall observed increase of rural poverty in the period." from authors' abstract
    Keywords: Cotton, textiles, Apparel, Rural poverty, subsidies, Industry policy, World markets, Globalization, Markets, trade,
    Date: 2008
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:fpr:ifprid:800&r=cwa
  13. By: Hoda, Anwarul; Gulati, Ashok
    Abstract: "For more than six years the trade talks of the World Trade Organization (WTO) have been stalled, mainly on account of differences in countries' levels of ambition for reducing support to and protection of agriculture. The expiration of the U.S. president's trade negotiating authority on June 30, 2007, raised the prospect of longer delay. More recently, however, the unprecedented food crisis may have created an environment for reducing the divergences in countries' negotiating positions, and efforts for agreement have intensified at Geneva. To aid developing-country negotiators, the book WTO Negotiations on Agriculture and Developing Countries (published for IFPRI by the Johns Hopkins University Press and Oxford University Press—India) offers the first authoritative analysis of the rules and modalities on which governments of developing countries can rely and suggests a negotiating strategy for developing countries." from Text
    Keywords: International trade, Developing countries, Policies, Markets, World Trade Organization, High-value agriculture,
    Date: 2008
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:fpr:issbrf:48&r=cwa
  14. By: Alexander Coad; Jagannadha Pawan Tamvada
    Abstract: Empirical work on micro and small firms has focused on developed countries. The little work that exists on developing countries is all too often based on small samples taken from ad hoc questionnaires. The census data we analyze are fairly representative of the structure of small business in India. Consistent with prior research on developed countries, size and age have a negative impact on firm growth in the majority of specifications. The decision to export is a double-edged sword – if successful it can accelerate the growth of successful firms, but it can also increase the probability of decline. While proprietary ownership results in faster growth, enterprises managed by women are less likely to grow and more likely to decline. Although many small firms are able to convert knowhow into commercial success, we find that many others do not have any technical knowledge and some are unable to use it to their benefit.
    Keywords: Entrepreneurship, Developing countries, Micro and Small businesses, Firm growth, Firm age, Barriers to growth, Declining firms, Female entrepreneurs Length 32 pages
    JEL: L25 L26 O12
    Date: 2008–09
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:esi:evopap:2008-08&r=cwa
  15. By: Olcay Çulha; Ali Çulha; Rauf Gönenç
    Abstract: Monetary policy has been one of the main pillars of the post-2001 stabilisation programme. Encouraged by its success, the central bank shifted from implicit to explicit inflation targeting in 2006 and set a medium-term inflation target of 4%, applicable from end 2007. However this objective faced with two important challenges. On the one hand, inflation inertia settled in and non-tradable inflation stagnated at more than 10%, further fuelled by persistent surge in global commodity and energy prices. On the other hand, real interest rates remained high, continuing to fuel strong capital inflows and currency appreciation, and undermining the competitiveness of labour-intensive segments of the economy. Turkey is, therefore, faced with the classic dilemma of successful catching-up economies: Inflation inertia requires a tight policy while competitiveness losses appear to go beyond the absorption and adaptation capacity of large segments of the economy. This chapter argues that resolving this issue requires monetary policy to be supported by broader policies, including proactive competition policy to reduce costs and prices in services, enforcement of a credible multi-yearly spending framework to consolidate confidence in fiscal stability, and employers' and employees' commitment to anchor prices and wages more on the inflation target. Success with such policies would help shift the burden away from the central bank's interest rate as the only available instrument to increase the credibility of the inflation target. <P>Les défis de politique monétaire en Turquie <BR>La politique monétaire est l'un des principaux piliers du programme de stabilisation engagé après 2001. Encouragée par ce succès, la banque centrale est passée en 2006 d'un ciblage implicite de l'inflation à un ciblage explicite, et a fixé un objectif d'inflation à moyen terme de 4%, applicable à compter de la fin de 2007. Toutefois, cet objectif s'est rapidement heurté à deux principaux écueils. D'une part, l'inertie de l'inflation a perduré et l'inflation dans les « non-tradables» a stagné à plus de 10 %. D'autre part, les taux d'intérêt réels sont restés élevés, ce qui a alimenté des entrées massives de capitaux et fait s'apprécier la monnaie, ce qui a pénalisé la compétitivité des segments de l'économie à forte intensité de main-d'œuvre. La Turquie est par conséquent confrontée au dilemme classique que connaissent les économies performantes en phase de rattrapage. L'inertie de l'inflation exige une politique monétaire restrictive, mais les pertes de compétitivité dépassent apparemment les capacités d'absorption et d'adaptation de pans entiers de l'économie. Ce document fait valoir que la politique monétaire doit être étayée par des initiatives menées dans d'autres domaines : incluant la politique de la concurrence proactive visant à réduire les coûts et les prix des services, la mise en œuvre d'un cadre de dépenses pluriannuel crédible afin de raffermir la confiance dans la stabilité budgétaire, et l’adoption par les employeurs et les salariés de l'objectif d'inflation comme point d'ancrage de leurs stratégies en matière de tarification et de salaires. La réussite de ces politiques atténuerait le poids qui s'exerce sur le taux d'intérêt directeur de la banque centrale en tant qu'instrument unique pour asseoir la crédibilité de l'objectif d'inflation.
    Keywords: exchange rates, taux de change, monetary policy, politique monétaire, inflation target, Turkey, Turquie, inflation expectation, anticipation d'inflation
    JEL: E40 E42 E50 E52 E58
    Date: 2008–10–16
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:oec:ecoaaa:646-en&r=cwa
  16. By: Zaman, Asad
    Abstract: A central thesis of this paper is that social science is the study of human experience, and hence strongly conditioned by history. Modern Western political, economic and social structures have emerged as a consequence of the repudiation of religion, and are based on secular principles. Many of these are inimical to Islamic principles, and cannot be adapted to an Islamic society. Muslim societies achieved freedom from colonial rule in the first half of the twentieth century and sought to construct institutions in conformity with Islam. The development of Islamic economics is part of this process of transition away from Western colonial institutions. This paper focuses on the contrasts between Western economic theories and Islamic approaches to organization of economic affairs. Neoclassical theory is centered around the acquisitive instinct of humans, and makes competition the driving force of economic analysis. Islamic approaches foster cooperation and encourage generosity as the fundamental principle for handling economic affairs. Human beings have potential for good and evil, and are free to choose between the two; their behavior is not subject to mathematical laws postulated by neoclassical economic theory. The main message of Islam is that we must strive to achieve the potential for good both at the individual and at the social level. Behavior in the economic realm is also governed by this goal. Islamic law (Shari’ah) provides the framework for all activity within an Islamic society. In the economic domain, Islamic law regulates both methods by which money may be earned and also the ways it may be spent. Acquisition of wealth is permissible only in ways which are just to all parties concerned; exploitation, arbitrary taxation, and individual profit resulting in social harm is not permissible in Islamic law. This puts numerous restrictions on business practices utilized to make profits. For example, polluting the environment, or selling products which lead to moral corruption would not be permissible in Islamic law. Wealth which has been acquired becomes private property, which is both a trust and a test according to Islamic concepts. The “trust” aspect means that property must be used in ways beneficial to the individual and society. The “test” aspect means that those who have more than they need should take care of those who are in need. Ways in which acquired wealth can be spent is also subject to Islamic law. People are expected to strive to be self-sufficient and not ask from others. Thus striving to acquire wealth and spending it on personal and family needs is encouraged by Islamic law. Islam does not preach austerity and encourages a comfortable standard of living. At the same time, it strongly discourages spending on idle desires, luxuries, and ostentation. There is also a strong encouragement to spend what is beyond ones needs on social welfare. These fundamental principles for acquiring wealth, using property (acquired wealth), and spending it impact on all realms of economic activity. Since these are substantially different from Western ideas in all three areas, there are substantial contrasts between Western economic institutions and Islamic ones. The paper traces out these differences in many realms of economic activity. The primary objective of an Islamic state is to provide justice, and Islamic public finance is concerned with tracing the concrete implications of this abstraction in the economic realm. Western financial institutions have the acquisition and multiplication of wealth as their prime objective. Since acquisition of wealth can only be a means to an end, these institutions require modification in an Islamic society. Similarly, Islamic imperatives for social welfare require construction of certain uniquely Islamic types of institutions which do not have counterparts in the West. The paper discusses these issues in some detail.
    Keywords: Islamic Economics; Neoclassical Economics
    JEL: Z12 B59
    Date: 2008–06
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:pra:mprapa:11024&r=cwa
  17. By: Karaca, Orhan
    Abstract: I investigate the impact of foreign players on international football performance of club teams and national teams in this paper. My empirical findings show that foreign players have a positive effect on club teams’ international performance. Howewer, foreign players don’t have any effect on performance of national teams.
    Keywords: Football; Foreign players
    JEL: L83
    Date: 2008–10
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:pra:mprapa:11064&r=cwa

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