nep-cwa New Economics Papers
on Central and Western Asia
Issue of 2008‒03‒08
ten papers chosen by
Nurdilek Hacialioglu
Open University

  1. Norms and Values of the Various Microfinance Institutions By Marek Hudon
  2. Skill-based technology adoption: firm-level evidence from Brazil and India By Rupert Harrison
  3. Informal water suppliers meeting water needs in the peri-urban areas of Mumbai, India By Anastasia Angueletou-Marteau
  4. Anti Money Laundering Mechanism: An Application of Principal-Agent Model for Pakistan By Shah, Syed Azhar Hussain; Shah, Syed Akhter Hussain; Khan, Sajawal
  5. Weathering the Global Storm, yet Rising Costs and Labour Shortages May Dampen Domestic Growth By Mario Holzner; Josef Pöschl; Peter Havlik; Peter Lukas; Leon Podkaminer; Sebastian Leitner; Waltraut Urban; Vasily Astrov; Olga Pindyuk; A. Mihailov; Sándor Richter; Hermine Vidovic; Gábor Hunya; Vladimir Gligorov
  6. Valuing access to water - a spatial hedonic approach applied to Indian cities By Lall, Somik; Deichmann, Uwe; Lozano-Gracia, Nancy; Anselin, Luc
  7. Motivations, Capability Handicaps and Firm Responses in the Early Phase of Internationalization from Emerging Economies: A study in the Indian Pharmaceutical Industry By Dixit M.R.;
  8. Fiscal policy for growth and development in Tajikistan By Canagarajah, Sudharshan; Brownbridge, Martin
  9. Responding to Afghanistan ' s Opium economy challenge : lessons and policy implications from a development perspective By Byrd, William A.
  10. On Measuring the Complexity of Urban Living By Hasan, Lubna

  1. By: Marek Hudon (Centre Emile Bernheim, Solvay Business School, Université Libre de Bruxelles, Brussels and Harvard University, Boston.)
    Abstract: This article studies the role of norms and values in the microfinance sector. Microfinance projects implemented in India use a wide range of different organizational structures. A classification of the sector is proposed, mapping the institutions along two axes: the profit motive (profit vs. not-for-profit) and the decision making style (centralized vs. un-centralized). Some Microfinance Institutions (MFIs) base their interactions on rigid norms or rules; while others are based on values. We argue that the private sector will tend to produce the operating rules of the microfinance system while the not-for-profit institutions that are using an inclusive decision-making process are more likely to influence the ethical norms in the sector. Nevertheless, this classification is not static as recent events in South-India shows that norms, such as the interest rates, can be politically and emotionally invested to the point that they are about to become values in the sector.
    Keywords: microfinance, norms, values, India, inclusive
    Date: 2008–02
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:sol:wpaper:08-006&r=cwa
  2. By: Rupert Harrison (Institute for Fiscal Studies)
    Abstract: <p><p><p>This paper provides the first firm-level econometric evidence on the skill-bias of ICT in developing countries using a unique new dataset of manufacturing firms in Brazil and India. I use detailed information on firms' adoption of ICT and the educational composition of their workforce to estimate skill-share equations in levels and long differences. The results are strongly suggestive of skill-biased ICT adoption, with ICT able to explain up to a third of the average increase in the share of skilled workers in Brazil and up to one half in India. I then use variation in the relative supply of skilled workers across states within each country to identify the skill-bias of ICT. The results are again consistent with skill-bias in both countries, and are mainly robust to various methods of controlling for unobserved heterogeneity across states. The magnitudes of the estimated effects from both approaches are surprisingly similar for the two countries. Overall, the results suggest that new developments in ICT are diffusing rapidly through the manufacturing sectors of both Brazil and India, with similar implications for the demand for skills in two very different and geographically distant countries. This evidence is consistent with ongoing pervasive skill-biased technological change associated with ICT throughout much of the developed and developing world. The implications for future developments in inequality both within and between countries are potentially far-reaching.</p></p></p>
    JEL: J2 O14 O33
    Date: 2008–02
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:ifs:ifsewp:08/03&r=cwa
  3. By: Anastasia Angueletou-Marteau (LEPII - Laboratoire d'Économie de la Production et de l'Intégration Internationale - CNRS : UMR5252 - Université Pierre Mendès-France - Grenoble II)
    Abstract: This paper is based on fieldwork on the small-scale water providers in the peri-urban areas of Mumbai. It tries to explain why small-scale water providers have appeared there, what type of service they provide and why they have succeeded, where the municipalities have failed. The objective is to examine to what extent small-scale water providers activities are sustainable and wheter they constitute a temporary or a permanent phenomenon in these territories ; to examine whether we are heading towards new forms of urban governance, where informal actors no longer compete with each other, but cooperate with public utilities and emerge as an extension of the public utility.
    Keywords: INDIA ; INFORMAL ACTOR ; URBAN GOVERNANCE ; WATER
    Date: 2007–10
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:hal:papers:halshs-00260817_v1&r=cwa
  4. By: Shah, Syed Azhar Hussain; Shah, Syed Akhter Hussain; Khan, Sajawal
    Abstract: In this paper anti money laundering policy of the international financial regime is analyzed in principal agent model perspective. The strategy of the principal for formal agents is deliberated for global financial stability. This strategy encompasses incentive and dis-incentive for cooperation of formal agent. Formal agent by cooperating with principal may induce dis-incentive for informal agent. All the integrating stake holders make decision on the basis of comparison of present value of marginal cost of non-cooperation and present value of returns from cooperation. As the desired objective of the principal is to minimize transaction of money through informal channels therefore it has to include informal agents and clients in the strategy. The successful anti money laundering strategy can only be evolved by the cooperation of all the stakeholders.
    Keywords: International Financial Regime; Principal Agent model and Money Laundering
    JEL: G38 F33 G21
    Date: 2007
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:pra:mprapa:7436&r=cwa
  5. By: Mario Holzner (The Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies, wiiw); Josef Pöschl (The Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies, wiiw); Peter Havlik (The Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies, wiiw); Peter Lukas (The Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies, wiiw); Leon Podkaminer (The Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies, wiiw); Sebastian Leitner (The Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies, wiiw); Waltraut Urban (The Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies, wiiw); Vasily Astrov (The Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies, wiiw); Olga Pindyuk (The Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies, wiiw); A. Mihailov; Sándor Richter (The Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies, wiiw); Hermine Vidovic (The Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies, wiiw); Gábor Hunya (The Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies, wiiw); Vladimir Gligorov (The Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies, wiiw)
    Abstract: The Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies (wiiw) has just released an analysis of current economic developments in Central, East and Southeast Europe, Kazakhstan, Russia, Ukraine and China (including brief country reports), as well as a medium-term forecast for these countries in the period 2008 2010. A special section investigates labour market developments and the vulnerability of financial markets in individual countries. The majority of the new EU member states (NMS) have been enjoying a period of robust economic growth. The current turbulence on global financial markets is not going to hurt directly or seriously. Even the possible indirect effects should not be too severe. GDP growth is projected to slow down from about 6% in 2007 to some 5% per year over the period 2008 2010. Inflation will gradually decline, yet in most NMS it will stay above that of the eurozone. Economic growth will be mainly driven by rising consumption (supported by rising labour incomes) and by investments. The latter will be bolstered by much higher transfers from the EU budget. Except for Bulgaria, Romania and the Baltic States, all of which remain vulnerable to external shocks, current account deficits will not be excessively high. In sum, the NMS are expected to remain a region displaying dynamic growth in the years to come, maintaining their competitive advantages as attractive locations for both trading and investment purposes. The situation on the labour market has improved dramatically, unemployment has declined rapidly. The economic growth is no longer 'jobless'. On the contrary, most countries in the region are now reporting labour shortages - especially of skilled workers - which could well become a serious constraint on economic growth. After a slight dip in growth in 2008, wiiw expects the Southeast European region to enjoy faster GDP growth in 2009 and 2010 of up to 6%. Remittances and a credit boom will continue to fuel the core growth driver: domestic demand. Strong investment growth and incipient re industrialization go hand in hand with an increase in employment. Stable competitive performance (except for Serbia and Turkey) will also provide a better environment for stronger export growth. Nevertheless, the net export position is still unfavourable for want of FDI and technology transfer. The slowdown in global growth, the hikes in oil, metal and food prices on world markets, as well as the subprime crisis are expected to have only a minor impact on the region. However, Serbia's unbalanced growth path in the wake of the Kosovo crisis poses a regional risk. Prospects of EU accession have improved for all countries, except Turkey. Kazakhstan, Russia and Ukraine are all expected to grow by more than 6% per year in the period 2008 2010 - also slightly slower than in the previous two years. A modest cooling down of growth is projected for China as well. This forecast starts a new series with the title 'Current Analyses and Forecasts'. It contains an appendix with selected indicators of competitiveness.
    Keywords: Central and East European new EU member states, Southeast Europe, Balkans, former Soviet Union, China, Turkey, GDP, industry, productivity, labour market, foreign trade, exchange rates, inflation, fiscal deficits, EU integration
    JEL: O52 O57 P24 P27 P33 P52
    Date: 2008–02
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:wii:fpaper:fc:1&r=cwa
  6. By: Lall, Somik; Deichmann, Uwe; Lozano-Gracia, Nancy; Anselin, Luc
    Abstract: An important infrastructure policy issue for rapidly growing cities in developing countries is how to raise fiscal revenues to finance basic services in a fair and efficient manner. This paper applies hedonic analysis that explicitly accounts for spatial spillovers to derive the value of improved access to water in the Indian cities of Bhopal and Bangalore. The findings suggest that by looking at individual or private benefits only, the analysis may underestimate the overall social welfare from investing in service supply especially among the poorest residents. The paper further demonstrates how policy simulations based on these estimates help prioritize spatial targeting of interventions according to efficiency and equity criteria.
    Keywords: Town Water Supply and Sanitation,Housing & Human Habitats,Water Supply and Sanitation Governance and Institutions,Water and Industry,Water Use
    Date: 2008–02–01
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:wbk:wbrwps:4533&r=cwa
  7. By: Dixit M.R.;
    Abstract: This paper identifies and analyses the motivations, capability handicaps and responses of a sample of Indian pharmaceutical firms in the early phase of internationalization. It distinguishes between the experiences of two types of internationalisers –initial internationalisers and later internationalisers - in the industry. It argues that the initial internationalisers face several discontinuities vis-a-vis the experience of meeting the needs of domestic market. They need to cultivate new capabilities by leveraging on whatever is available within the firms and the external environment. Their capability to cultivate depends on their internal processes to absorb the new experiences. The later internationalisers do not experience these handicaps. They can benefit from the industry experience and congregate capabilities to move faster. Their capability to congregate depends on the initial endowments of the founders. Based on its findings, the paper outlines scope for further research in capability building for internationalization in the context of emerging economies.
    Date: 2008–02–28
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:iim:iimawp:2008-02-05&r=cwa
  8. By: Canagarajah, Sudharshan; Brownbridge, Martin
    Abstract: Tajikistan ' s economy has recovered strongly after the collapse of the 1990s, but sustaining rapid economic growth over the long term and reducing poverty present major challenges for policymakers. This paper contributes to the debate over the strategic role for fiscal policy to play in meeting these challenges, utilizing the " fiscal space " approach to assess the long-term potential for expanding public provision of growth-promoting goods and services and evaluating the priorities for public spending. It also analyzes the long-term risks to fiscal sustainability, from external public debt and the quasi fiscal deficit of the electricity sector. The paper contends that institutional reforms in key areas, notably public financial management, tax administration, and the energy sector, are crucial for generating fiscal space and for ensuring that higher levels of public spending are translated into stronger economic growth and poverty reduction. The priorities for government spending should be education, health, and the maintenance of the core networks of the existing infrastructure for energy and transport, rather than new public investment projects.
    Keywords: Public Sector Expenditure Analysis & Management,Debt Markets,,Banks & Banking Reform,Access to Finance
    Date: 2008–02–01
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:wbk:wbrwps:4532&r=cwa
  9. By: Byrd, William A.
    Abstract: Opium, Afghanistan ' s leading economic activity, lies at the heart of the challenges the country faces in state building, governance, security, and development. With their narrow law enforcement focus and limited recognition of development, security, and political implications, current global counter-narcotics polices impose a heavy burden on Afghanistan. This paper first provides a summary overview of Afghanistan ' s opium economy and the factors determining rural households ' decisions on cultivating opium poppy. It then discusses the dynamic evolution of the Afghan drug industry in recent years, in particular its consolidation around fewer, powerful, politically-connected actors and the associated compromising of parts of some government agencies by drug industry interests. The paper reviews the experience with different counter-narcotics interventions, analyzes some proposals not yet tried in Afghanistan, and draws lessons and policy implications. Unfortunately there are no " silver bullets " -easy, quick, or one-dimensional solutions, and a longer-term horizon along with sustained commitment and resources will be required in order to phase out the opium economy over time. The paper concludes by putting forward some broad principles and approaches of a " smart strategy " against drugs in Afghanistan.
    Keywords: Rural Poverty Reduction,Alcohol and Substance Abuse,Crops & Crop Management Systems,Economic Theory & Research,Pharmaceuticals Industry
    Date: 2008–03–01
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:wbk:wbrwps:4545&r=cwa
  10. By: Hasan, Lubna
    Abstract: This paper explores the concept of city ranking as a way to measure dynamics and complexities of urban life. These rankings have various dimensions and uses. Both the context in which these rankings are done, and their nature has changed considerably overtime. These rankings are also afflicted with many methodological and measurement problems. A review of major city rankings and related literature is carried out to suggest a framework for measuring Pakistani cities.
    Keywords: Quality of Life; Cities; Urbanization
    JEL: R10
    Date: 2007
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:pra:mprapa:7413&r=cwa

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