nep-cwa New Economics Papers
on Central and Western Asia
Issue of 2007‒06‒18
eight papers chosen by
Nurdilek Hacialioglu
Open University

  1. Rural Management Education in India: A Retrospect By Sriram M.S.
  2. Economic reforms and exchange rate pass-through to domestic prices in India By Jeevan K Khundrakpam
  3. A Multivariate Causality Analysis of Export and Growth for Turkey By HALICIOGLU, Ferda
  4. "Employment Guarantee Programs: A Survey of Theories and Policy Experiences" By Fadhel Kaboub
  5. Techonology Based Strategic Alliances: A Turkish Perspective By Akkaya, Cenk
  6. Capitalism and Democracy in 2040: Forecasts and Speculations By Robert W. Fogel
  7. Productivity of Rural Credit: A Review of Issues and Some Recent Literature By Sriram M.S.
  8. "ELR-led Economic Development: A Plan for Tunisia" By Fadhel Kaboub

  1. By: Sriram M.S.
    Abstract: The paper reviews the state of rural management education in India. Using the setting up of the Institute of Rural Management Anand [IRMA] as a pivot, the paper examines the difficulties in establishing specialized management schools, the design of the curriculum and the management of the expectations of both the students who come in and the recruiters. It then identifies the problems in running rural management programmes particularly the dilemma between explicit value orientation towards the betterment of the poor and the value neutral optimization approach of conventional management education. The paper then examines the paradigm shift that has happened in the marketplace for rural managers, and concludes with some further questions on how the future of rural management education can be addressed.
    Date: 2007–04–05
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:iim:iimawp:2007-04-01&r=cwa
  2. By: Jeevan K Khundrakpam
    Abstract: This paper examines the behaviour of exchange rate pass-through to domestic prices in India during the post-economic reforms initiated since the major devaluation of July 1991. It observes that there is no clear-cut evidence of a fall in exchange rate pass-through to domestic prices. Further, there is asymmetry in pass-through between appreciation and depreciation, and between sizes of the exchange rate change. Based on the empirical evidence provided in the literature, the paper conjectures that reductions in import tariffs, the removal of trade restrictions, the increased import penetration ratio and openness of the economy and the change in the composition of imports following the economic liberalisation could have transitorily negated the impact of lower inflation on pass-through. Part of the non-decline in long-run pass-through is due to a rise in inflation persistence. This could follow from the dismantling of price controls in an environment of periodic spurts in inflation around a non-declining inflationary trend, combined with a rise in the government deficit, which has a nexus with inflation in India.
    Keywords: pass-through, prices, exchange rate
    JEL: E31 E52 F41
    Date: 2007–02
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:bis:biswps:225&r=cwa
  3. By: HALICIOGLU, Ferda
    Abstract: This study seeks to validity of the export-led growth hypothesis using quarterly data from 1980 to 2005. The bounds testing approach to cointegration is employed to test the causal relationship between industrial production, exports and terms of trade. An augmented form of Granger causality analysis is implemented to identify the direction of relationship among the variables both in the short-run and the long-run. The empirical findings suggest uni-directional causation from exports to industrial production.
    Keywords: Export-led growth; causality; cointegration; Turkey
    JEL: C22 F43 F14 C12
    Date: 2007
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:pra:mprapa:3565&r=cwa
  4. By: Fadhel Kaboub
    Abstract: This working paper provides a survey of the theoretical underpinnings for the various employment guarantee schemes, and discusses full employment policy experiences in the United States, Sweden, India, Argentina, and France. The theoretical and policy developments are delineated in a historical context. The paper concludes by identifying some questions that still need to be addressed in the context of the global political economy.
    Date: 2007–05
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:lev:wrkpap:wp_498&r=cwa
  5. By: Akkaya, Cenk
    Abstract: Strategic alliances can be as simple as two companies sharing their technological and/or marketing resources. In this context, strategic alliances help firms in an entrepreneurial way by allowing them to reorganize their value chain activities more effectively. Business alliances can assist organizations to acquire the means to compete within an ever complex and changing environment and it provide firms with market knowledge, open up access to know-how and technology. This study focuses on the technology related alliances from 2002 to 2005 in Turkey.
    Keywords: Strategic Alliances; Techology Based Alliances; Compatitive Power
    JEL: O32 O3
    Date: 2007
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:pra:mprapa:3479&r=cwa
  6. By: Robert W. Fogel
    Abstract: While the economies of the fifteen countries that were in the European Union (EU15) in 2000 will continue to grow from now until 2040, they will not be able to match the surges in growth that will occur in South and East Asia. In 2040, the Chinese economy will reach $123 trillion, or nearly three times the output of the entire globe in the year 2000, despite the influence of several potential political and economic constraints. India's economy will also continue to grow, although significant constraints (both political and economic) will keep it from reaching China's levels. The projected decline of the EU15's global share of GDP means that Asia will be poised to take up the role of promoting liberal democracy across the globe.
    JEL: F47
    Date: 2007–06
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:nbr:nberwo:13184&r=cwa
  7. By: Sriram M.S.
    Abstract: The policy intervention in agriculture has been credit driven. This is even more pronounced in the recent interventions made by the State, in doubling agricultural credit, providing subvention and putting an upper cap on interest rates for agricultural loans, the package announced for distressed farmers. We use existing literature and data to argue that the causality of agricultural output with increased doses of credit cannot be clearly established. We argue that Indian agriculture is undergoing fundamental change wherein the technology and inputs are moving out of the hands of the farmers to external suppliers. This, over a period of time may have resulted in the de-skilling of farmers and without adequate public investments in support services and without appropriate risk mitigation products has created a near-crisis in agriculture. Thus, we argue that policy interventions have to be necessarily patient and holistic. Looking specifically at the rural financial markets, using some primary data we argue that it is necessary to understand the rural financial markets from the demand side. We conclude the paper by identifying some directions in which the policy intervention could move, keeping the overall rural economy in view rather than being unifocal about agriculture.
    Date: 2007–06–07
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:iim:iimawp:2007-06-01&r=cwa
  8. By: Fadhel Kaboub
    Abstract: This paper establishes the financial feasibility of an employer of last resort (ELR) program in a small developing country like Tunisia, and argues that an ELR-led economic development policy is vastly superior to the traditional import substitution industrialization (ISI), export-led, and FDI-led development models, all of which Tunisia has adopted without much success in reducing unemployment. Despite outperforming its peers in terms of macroeconomic stability, Tunisia's official unemployment rate still hovers around 15 percent, with two-thirds of first-time job seekers having university degrees. The paper demonstrates that a well-targeted ELR program can be gradually introduced over a six-year period to remedy this problem by reclaiming sovereignty over the country's domestic monetary and fiscal policies under a floating exchange rate regime. The estimated ELR net wage bill would be around 2.7 percent of GDP; however, spending by ELR workers would offset program costs, and the net effect on GDP would be an increase of about 3.6 percent. The paper concludes by proposing a set of complementary policy reforms that must accompany an ELR program to ensure long-term growth sustainability along with full employment and price stability.
    Date: 2007–05
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:lev:wrkpap:wp_499&r=cwa

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