nep-cwa New Economics Papers
on Central and Western Asia
Issue of 2006‒04‒22
fifteen papers chosen by
Nurdilek Hacialioglu
Open University

  1. Calorie Deprivation and Poverty Nutrition Trap in Rural India By Raghbendra Jha; Raghav Gaiha; Anurag Sharma
  2. Unity in Diversity? The Challenge of Diversity for the European Political Identity, Legitimacy and Democratic Governance: Turkey’s EU Membership as the Ultimate Test Case By Sanem BAYKAL
  3. The Impact of Monitoring Equipmenton Air Quality Management Capacity in Developing Countries By Jim Hight; Grant Kirkpatrick
  4. Dairy Markets in Asia: An Overview of Recent Findings and Implications By John C. Beghin
  5. Road and Maritime Transport Costs: A Comparative Analysis of Spanish Exports to Poland and Turkey By Inmaculada Martínez-Zarzoso; Felicitas Nowak-Lehmann D.
  6. Multilateral Trade and Agricultural Policy Reforms in Sugar Markets By Amani Elobeid; John C. Beghin
  7. Fertility change in Egypt: from second to third birth By Daniele Vignoli
  8. Human Capital, Population Growth and Industrial Development in Mexico and Turkey: A Comparative Analysis with Other OECD Countries, 1964-2004 By Guisan, Carmen
  9. Stones against the Iron Fist, Terror within the Nation: Alternating Structures of Violence and Cultural Identity in the Israeli-Palestinian Conflict By Scott Atran
  10. Financial Contagion in Emerging Markets: Evidence from the Middle East and North Africa By Thomas Lagoarde-Segot; Brian Lucey
  11. The Geographic Determinants of Poverty in Albania By Paul Makdissi; Dorothée Boccanfuso; Mathieu Audet
  12. Regional and sub-global climate blocs. A game-theoretic perspective on bottom-up climate regimes By Carlo Carraro; Barbara Buchner
  13. Policy Coherence Towards East Asia: Development Challenges for OECD Countries By K. Fukasaku; M. Kawai; M. G. Plummer; A. Trzeciak-Duval
  14. Outlook for Asian Dairy Markets: The Role of Demographics, Income, and Prices, The By Fengxia Dong
  15. THE SURROGATE COLONIZATION OF PALESTINE, 1917-1939 By Scott Atran

  1. By: Raghbendra Jha; Raghav Gaiha; Anurag Sharma
    Abstract: This paper tests for the existence of a Poverty Nutrition Trap (PNT) in the case of the nutrient most likely to have productivity impacts, i.e., calories, for three categories of wages – sowing, harvesting, and other – and for male and female workers separately. We use household level national data for rural India for the period January to June 1994. We use robust sample selection procedures due to Tobit methods and due to Heckman to arrive at consistent estimates. It is discovered that the PNT exists for women workers engaged in harvesting and sowing in the case of the Heckman methodology. In the case of the Tobit analysis a PNT exists in the case of female harvest, male other, and female other categories of wages.
    Date: 2006
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:pas:asarcc:2006-02&r=cwa
  2. By: Sanem BAYKAL
    Abstract: Abstract: The European Union’s quest for democratic and legitimate governance, together with an appropriately defined collective identity and boundaries did not start with the current enlargement process. The Union’s search for its finalité politique and collective identity, however, will be the determinant factor regarding its final decision on Turkey’s membership. This study argues that rather than the size and economic, political and social problems of the country, its factual or perceived divergent identity will influence the course of Turkey-EU relations. The impact of enlargement on European democratic governance and collective identity is analyzed, in this regard, with a view to highlight Turkey’s “special case” status and an analysis of Turkey’s impact on European governance from a democracy/legitimacy vs. efficiency perspective is undertaken. In that context, various approaches to the conceptions of “collective political identity” and “constitutionalisation” in the EU are examined with a special emphasis on “constitutional patriotism”, “constitutional tolerance”, and “pluralism/particularism” in order to determine the consequences of each option for a viable integration between Turkey and Europe.
    Keywords: law; political science; European identity; diversity/homogeneity
    Date: 2006–01–05
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:erp:jeanmo:p0173&r=cwa
  3. By: Jim Hight; Grant Kirkpatrick
    Abstract: Reflecting the desire for cleaner air, many developing countries have enacted clean air laws similar to those of developed nations, although to date most of these laws have been poorly enforced. A key starting point to better enforcement is obtaining comprehensive and reliable air-quality monitoring data. This report explores the impacts of air quality monitoring programmes implemented over the last decade in five developing countries: Morocco, the Philippines, Malaysia, Indonesia, and India. These case studies also examine the role of procurement of specialised equipment, usually imported, associated with the various air quality monitoring programmes.
    Keywords: trade, developing countries, environmental goods, air quality
    Date: 2006–04–04
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:oec:traaaa:2006/2-en&r=cwa
  4. By: John C. Beghin (Center for Agricultural and Rural Development (CARD); Food and Agricultural Policy Research Institute (FAPRI))
    Abstract: This paper is an overview of important findings regarding the ongoing evolution of Asian dairy markets based on a series of new economic investigations. These investigations provide systematic empirical foundations for assessing Asian dairy markets with their new consumption patterns, changing industries, and trade prospects under different domestic and trade policy regimes. The findings are drawn from four case studies (China, India, Japan, and Korea), as well as a prospective analysis of future regional patterns of consumption and a policy analysis of trade liberalization of Asian dairy markets. The overview distills the findings of these new investigations and integrates them in the earlier economic literature; it draws policy implications and identifies lessons for countries outside of Asia, especially for emerging exporters in Latin America.
    Keywords: Asia, China, dairy, India, Japan, Korea, liberalization, trade integration.
    Date: 2005–09
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:ias:cpaper:05-bp47&r=cwa
  5. By: Inmaculada Martínez-Zarzoso (Ibero-Amerika Institut der Universität Göttingen); Felicitas Nowak-Lehmann D. (Ibero-Amerika Institut der Universität Göttingen)
    Abstract: In this paper, we analyze the determinants of maritime and road transport costs for Spanish exports to Poland and Turkey and investigate the different effects of these costs on international trade. First, we investigate the extent to which maritime and road transport costs depend on different factors such as unit values, distances, transport conditions, service structures, and service quality. Second, we analyze the relative importance of road and maritime transport costs as determinants of trade flows. The data on transport costs are drawn from a new database compiled from primary data sources. The main results of this investigation identify the central variables influencing road and maritime transportation costs: for both modes, transport conditions are strong determinants, whereas efficiency and service quality are more important for maritime transport costs, and geographical distance is more important for road transport. Road and maritime transport costs are important explanatory factors of exports and they seem to deter trade to a greater extent than road or maritime transit time when considered endogenously determined.
    Keywords: Transport costs, transport mode, Spanish exports, international trade
    JEL: F1 O1 O55
    Date: 2006–03–15
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:got:iaidps:138&r=cwa
  6. By: Amani Elobeid (Center for Agricultural and Rural Development (CARD); Food and Agricultural Policy Research Institute (FAPRI)); John C. Beghin (Center for Agricultural and Rural Development (CARD); Food and Agricultural Policy Research Institute (FAPRI))
    Abstract: We analyze the impact of trade liberalization, removal of production subsidies, and elimination of consumption distortions in world sugar markets using a partial-equilibrium international sugar model calibrated on 2002 market data and current policies. The removal of trade distortions alone induces a 27% price increase while the removal of all trade and production distortions induces a 48% increase by 2011/12 relative to the baseline. Aggregate trade expands moderately, but location of production and trade patterns change substantially. Protectionist OECD countries (the EU, Japan, the US) experience an import expansion or export reduction and significant contraction in production in unfettered markets. Competitive producers in both OECD countries (Australia) and non-OECD countries (Brazil, Cuba), and even some protected producers (Indonesia, Turkey), expand production when all distortions are removed. Consumption distortions have marginal impacts on world markets and location of production. We discuss the significance of these results in the context of mounting pressures to increase market access in highly protected OECD countries and the impact on non-OECD countries.
    Keywords: agricultural policy, Doha, domestic subsidies, sugar, trade liberalization, WTO.
    JEL: Q18 F10
    Date: 2005–09
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:ias:cpaper:04-wp356&r=cwa
  7. By: Daniele Vignoli (Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany)
    Abstract: Fertility patterns in countries on the northern shore of the Mediterranean have lowest-low fertility and are very different from those in the South-East of the basin. Recently, however, fertility decline has been spreading rapidly in the latter region. This paper focuses on Egypt, a country that notwithstanding an advanced stage of socio-demographic transition has shown near stagnation in the reduction of fertility levels in the last decade. The first phase of the fertility transition generally has been marked by an increase in the age at marriage; in the long run, however, it will be the diffusion of the smaller family that plays the major role in countries of advanced transition, such as Egypt. The study aims at analyzing the main determinants of the third-birth intensities of Egyptian two-child mothers, applying event-history analysis to the most recent retrospective survey data available for the country. The study’s results show that there are still persistent fertility differential among the country’s social groups. The diffusion of urban-type norms, however, makes crowded and complex household types less feasible to maintain, possibly leading to a convergence in fertility levels to the northern Mediterranean countries. The study also reveals that the preference for a son is weakening among women who have completed secondary education. The findings point to a further decline in the number of large families in the near future; a decline that is intimately associated with the current fertility transition and the promotion of female emancipation.
    Keywords: Egypt, fertility
    JEL: J1 Z0
    Date: 2006–04
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:dem:wpaper:wp-2006-011&r=cwa
  8. By: Guisan, Carmen
    Abstract: Mexico and Turkey have experienced an important growth during the last decades of the 20th century but they have, in spite of that, a low level of real income per inhabitant in comparison with OECD averages. This paper analyses the main economic features of these countries, in comparison with other OECD countries, and suggest some economic policies of interest to foster economic development and employment during the next decades, with special focus on human capital and industrial development.
    Date: 2005
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:eaa:ecodev:85&r=cwa
  9. By: Scott Atran (IJN - Institut Jean-Nicod - http://www.institutnicod.org/ - CNRS : UMR8129 - Ecole des Hautes Etudes en Sciences Sociales;Ecole Normale Supérieure de Paris)
    Abstract: The framework of the Israel-Palestinian Arab conflict has evolved over the last half century through an instrumentalization of violence by the parties concerned. Two alternating "structures of violence" have emerged to define this instrumentality: the one Israeli, the other Palestinian. I call these structures of violence "alternating" rather than merely "reciprocating" because the one not only feeds off the other and actually practices on the other that which is merely fancied and projected as the other's intention but also because they have inverse periodicities: The "Great Revolt" (al-Thawra alKubra) of 1936-1939 introduced the principle of "armed struggle" (al-kifah al-musalah) into the practice and lore of a fractured and often factional antiBritish and anti-Zionist insurgency. It was effectively countered by British might coupled with an essentially defensive Jewish posture of consensus and "restraint" (havgalah). By contrast the current Palestinian "Uprising" (Intifada) has the Arab side preaching restraint if not always nonviolence (al-la `unf), through a pluralistic consensus on the immediate national ends such practice aims to achieve. Against this is an avowed Israeli policy of "the iron fist" (ha-yad hazaqah, barzel Yisrael) that for the first time since independence has broken the general Zionist consensus with regard not only to the utility and morality of violent means but also to national goals.
    Date: 2005–01–25
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:hal:papers:ijn_00000567_v1&r=cwa
  10. By: Thomas Lagoarde-Segot; Brian Lucey
    Abstract: The purpose of this paper is to investigate vulnerability to financial contagion in a set of expanding emerging markets of the Middle East and North Africa, during seven episodes of international financial crisis. Using Fry & Baur (2005) fixed-effect panel approach, we significantly reject the hypothesis of a joint regional contagion. However, using a battery of bivariate contagion tests based on Forbes and Rigobon (2002), Corsetti (2002), and Favero and Giavazzi (2002), we find evidence that each of the investigated markets suffered from contagion at least once out of the seven investigated crises. In conformity with the literature, our results suggest that the probability of being affected by contagion seems to increase as the MENA markets develop in size and liquidity, and become more integrated to the world’s markets.
    Keywords: Note: Length:
    Date: 2006–04–05
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:iis:dispap:iiisdp114&r=cwa
  11. By: Paul Makdissi (GREDI, Département d'économique, Université de Sherbrooke); Dorothée Boccanfuso (GREDI, Faculte d'administration, Université de Sherbrooke); Mathieu Audet (GREDI, Faculte d'administration, Université de Sherbrooke)
    Abstract: To better understand the geographic determinants of poverty in Albania, this article proposes a methodology similar to that developed by Ravallion and Wodon (1999). Our methodology’s main contribution resides within how we utilize the entirety of a household’s joint distribution of demographic characteristics as opposed to averages when simulating regional poverty levels.
    Keywords: Poverty, Albania
    JEL: I31 I32
    Date: 2006
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:shr:wpaper:06-12&r=cwa
  12. By: Carlo Carraro (Department of Economics, University Of Venice Cà Foscari); Barbara Buchner
    Abstract: controlling GHG emissions without the involvement of countries such as China, India, the United States, Aust rali a, and possibly other developing countries. This highlights an unambiguous weakness of the Kyoto Protocol, where the aforementioned countries either have no binding emission targets or have decided not to comply with their targets . Therefore, when discussing possible post-Kyoto scenarios, it is crucial to priori tise part icipation incentives for all countries, especially those without explicit or with insufficient abatement targets. This paper offers a bottom-up game-theoretic perspective on participation incentives. Rather than focusing on issue linkage, t ransfers or burden sharing as tools to enhance the incentives to par t icipate in a climate agreement, thi s paper aims at exploring whether a di fferent policy approach could lead more count ries to adopt ef fective climate cont rol policies. This policy approach is explicitly bottom-up, namely i t gives each country the freedom to sign agreements and deals, bilateral ly or multila terally, with other countries, without being constrained by any globa l protocol or convention. This study provides a game-theoretic assessment of this policy approach and then evaluates empirically the possible endogenous emergence of single or multi ple climate coalitions. Welfare and technological consequences of different mul tiple bloc climate regimes will be assessed and their overall environmental effectiveness will be discussed.
    Keywords: Agreements, Climate, Incentives, Negotiations, Policy
    JEL: C72 H23 Q25 Q28
    Date: 2006
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:ven:wpaper:10_06&r=cwa
  13. By: K. Fukasaku; M. Kawai; M. G. Plummer; A. Trzeciak-Duval
    Abstract: OECD countries face at least five major challenges for promoting policies that are consistent with their development goals: . ensuring security and political stability; . anticipating the impacts of their macroeconomic policies on developing-country growth; . increasing both market access and capacity building for developing economies; . supporting governance structures that help maintain financial stability; . improving aid effectiveness.
    Date: 2005–05–16
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:oec:devaab:26-en&r=cwa
  14. By: Fengxia Dong (Center for Agricultural and Rural Development (CARD); Food and Agricultural Policy Research Institute (FAPRI))
    Abstract: The paper first presents a 10-year outlook for major Asian dairy markets (China, India, Indonesia, Japan, South Korea, Malaysia, the Philippines, Thailand, and Vietnam) based on a world dairy model. Then, using Heien and Wessells's technique, dairy product consumption growth is decomposed into contributions generated by income growth, population growth, price change, and urbanization and these contributions are quantified. Using the world dairy model, the paper also analyzes the impacts of alternative assumptions of higher income levels and technology development in Asia on Asian dairy consumptions and world dairy prices. The outlook projects that Asian dairy consumption will continue to grow strongly in the next decade. The consumption decomposition suggests that the growth would be mostly driven by income and population growth and, as a result, would raise world dairy prices. The simulation results show that technology improvement in Asian countries would dampen world dairy prices and meanwhile boost domestic dairy consumption.
    Date: 2005–06
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:ias:cpaper:05-wp399&r=cwa
  15. By: Scott Atran (IJN - Institut Jean-Nicod - http://www.institutnicod.org/ - CNRS : UMR8129 - Ecole des Hautes Etudes en Sciences Sociales;Ecole Normale Supérieure de Paris)
    Abstract: The "surrogate colonization" of Palestine had a foreign power giving to a nonnative group rights over land occupied by an indigenous people. It thus brought into play the complementary and conflicting agendas of three culturally distinguishable parties: British, Jews and Arabs. Each party had both "externalist" [those with no sustained practical experience of day to day life in Palestine] and "internalist" representatives. The surrogate idea was based on a "strategic consensus" involving each party's externalist camp: the British ruling elite, the leadership of the World Zionist Organization and the Hashemite Dynasty of Arabia. The collapse of this triangular consensus, which put an end to the policy but not the process of surrogate colonization, resulted from irreconcilable antagonisms within and between the major currents of each internalist camp. A focus on the land problem in Palestine highlights contradictions in each party's internalist agenda, which forestalled a rift between the Jewish and British sides of the consensus long enough for the Zionist settlement in Palestine (Yishuv) to acquire territory and to develop a largely self-sufficient economic, cultural, political and military infrastructure.
    Date: 2005–01–26
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:hal:papers:ijn_00000568_v1&r=cwa

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