nep-com New Economics Papers
on Industrial Competition
Issue of 2024‒07‒08
sixteen papers chosen by
Russell Pittman, United States Department of Justice


  1. Wettbewerb als Hypothesentest: Implikationen für die moderne Wettbewerbspolitik? By Budzinski, Oliver
  2. Multimarket Contact, Merger, and Airline Collusion By Ziyu Yan
  3. Ex-ante versus Ex-post in Competition Law Enforcement: Blurred Boundaries and Economic Rationale By Patrice Bougette; Oliver Budzinski; Frédéric Marty
  4. Biased Recommendations and Differentially Informed Consumers By Martin Peitz; Anton Sobolev
  5. Reinforcing each other: how the combination of European and domestic reforms increased competition in liberalized industries By Crescioli, Tommaso
  6. Common Ownership in Production Networks By Bizzarri, Matteo; Vega-Redondo, Fernando
  7. Algorithmic Collusion in Dynamic Pricing with Deep Reinforcement Learning By Shidi Deng; Maximilian Schiffer; Martin Bichler
  8. Algorithmic Pricing: Implications for Consumers, Managers, and Regulators By Martin Spann; Marco Bertini; Oded Koenigsberg; Robert Zeithammer; Diego Aparicio; Yuxin Chen; Fabrizio Fantini; Ginger Zhe Jin; Vicki Morwitz; Peter Popkowski Leszczyc; Maria Ana Vitorino; Gizem Yalcin Williams; Hyesung Yoo
  9. Gathering round Big Tech: how the market for acquisitions concentrates the digital sector By Ioramashvili, Carolin; Feldman, Maryann; Guy, Frederick; Iammarino, Simona
  10. Markups and Inflation in Oligopolistic Markets: Evidence from Wholesale Price Data By Patrick Alexander; Lu Han; Oleksiy Kryvtsov; Ben Tomlin
  11. Pricing imbalances in the motor fuel markets in Russia By Leonov Ivan
  12. Collusion or competition? Evaluating the firm behaviors in the instant noodles market By In Kyung Kim; Kyoo il Kim
  13. Foreclosure and Profit Shifting with Partial Vertical Ownership By Matthias Hunold; Vasilisa Petrishcheva
  14. Spatial Competition and Pass-through of Fuel Taxes – Evidence from a Quasi-natural Experiment in Germany By Frederik von Waldow; Heike Link
  15. Tuition too high? Blame competition By Oleg V. Pavlov; Evangelos Katsamakas
  16. Influencer Cartels By Marit Hinnosaar; Toomas Hinnosaar

  1. By: Budzinski, Oliver
    Abstract: Der vorliegende Beitrag wendet die dynamische Wettbewerbstheorie von Wolfgang Kerber und anderen auf aktuelle Fragen der Wettbewerbspolitik an. Damit zeigt der Beitrag, dass dynamische Wettbewerbstheorien sehr wohl zu konkreten wettbewerbspolitischen Empfehlungen führen und einen wichtigen Beitrag zum wettbewerbspolitischen Diskurs leisten können. Zu den aufgegriffenen wettbewerbspolitischen Themen gehören der As-Efficient-Competitor-Test in der Missbrauchskontrolle, die Kontrolle und Regulierung systemischer Marktmacht in digitalen Ökosystemen, anlassunabhängige Wettbewerbspolitik und sanktionsbewehrte Sektoruntersuchungen, sowie die Fusionskontrolle nicht-horizontaler Zusammenschlüsse.
    Abstract: This paper applies dynamic competition theory to current topics and controversies in competition policy. In doing so, it showcases how dynamic competition theory allows for specific competition policy recommendations and can contribute to the antitrust discourse. The current competition and antitrust policy topics that are addressed include the as-efficient-competitor-test in abuse control, the regulation of systemic market power in digital ecosystems, antitrust interventions based on proactive sector/industry investigations as well es merger control in relation to non-horizontal mergers and acquisitions.
    Keywords: dynamischer Wettbewerb, Wettbewerbspolitik, Antitrust, Innovationen, Kartellpolitik, Fusionskontrolle, Missbrauchsaufsicht, Marktmacht, evolutorischer Wettbewerb, Marktprozesstheorie, dynamic competition, competition policy, antitrust, innovation, cartel policy, merger control, abuse of dominance, market power, evolutionary competition, market process theory
    JEL: L40 L13 B52 K21 M21
    Date: 2024
    URL: https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:zbw:tuiedp:297973&r=
  2. By: Ziyu Yan
    Abstract: This thesis investigates the dynamics of multimarket contact and airline mergers on collusive pricing of airlines. In align with Bernheim and Whinston (1990) and Athey et.al.(2004), it detects collusive pricing via pairwise price difference and price rigidity. The piece of work extends previous work by incorporating additional controls such as distinction between non-stop and stopover itineraries and detailed market concentration measures. The findings confirm a significant relationship between multimarket contact and reduced price differences, indicating collusive equilibria facilitated by frequent interactions across markets. Moreover, the results highlight that airlines exhibit more collusive behavior when pricing non-stop flights, and are more likely to attain tacit collusion when they approaches duopoly in a particular market. The study also explores the effects of airline mergers on collusion, employing an event study methodology with a difference-in-difference (DID) design. It finds no direct evidence that mergers lead to increased collusion among unmerged carriers. However, it reveals that during and after the merger process, carrier pairs between merged and unmerged carriers are more likely to collude compared to pairs of unmerged carriers.
    Date: 2024–05
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:arx:papers:2405.15825&r=
  3. By: Patrice Bougette (Université Côte d'Azur, CNRS, GREDEG, France); Oliver Budzinski (Technische Universität Ilmenau); Frédéric Marty (Université Côte d'Azur, CNRS, GREDEG, France)
    Abstract: This paper explores the evolving landscape of competition law enforcement, focusing on the dynamic interplay between ex-ante and ex-post approaches. Amidst the digital transformation and regulatory shifts, traditional enforcement mechanisms are being re-evaluated. This study aims to dissect the economic rationale behind these shifts, proposing a hybrid framework that balances legal certainty with the flexibility needed to address contemporary market challenges.
    Keywords: Competition Law Enforcement, Ex-ante and Ex-post Approaches, Anticompetitive Practices, Merger Control, Digital Economy
    JEL: K21 L40 L86 D47
    Date: 2024–06
    URL: https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:gre:wpaper:2024-18&r=
  4. By: Martin Peitz; Anton Sobolev
    Abstract: We consider a monopolist selling an experience good to differentially informed consumers: some consumers are uncertain about their tastes, whereas other consumers are perfectly informed. The fully informed monopolist sets a uniform price and can make personalized product recommendations. We characterize conditions under which the monopolist biases its recommendations – that is, some consumers with match values lower than the marginal cost follow the recommendation to buy the product or some consumers with match values higher than the marginal cost follow the recommendation not to buy the product.
    Keywords: information design, biased recommendations, recommender system
    JEL: L12 L15 D21 D42 M37
    Date: 2024–05
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:bon:boncrc:crctr224_2024_554&r=
  5. By: Crescioli, Tommaso
    Abstract: There is a consensus over Europe’s transformation into a highly competitive economy through a series of ambitious pro-competition reforms. However, both the European Commission and national actors have legislative authority over competition policies. Thus, who are the critical actors behind this legislative and economic transformation in this multi-level system? Focusing on the liberalization of state-owned industries and using a staggered difference-in-differences approach, the paper shows that the effectiveness of European directives in decreasing firm-level market power increased with the extent of preceding domestic pro-competition reforms. For every unit increase of the early domestic reform index, EU directives decrease market power in liberalized industries by an additional 7.8%. However, this effect is not significant in countries that did not reform their industries ex-ante. This finding contradicts the established view in the literature identifying the Commission as the dominant force driving this transformation, which implemented ambitious reforms by often overcoming the resistance of reluctant national governments. Instead, it is shown that the effectiveness of the Commission’s reforms depends on the support of domestic actors and compatible national institutions.
    Keywords: political economy; market power; competition policy; liberalization; single market; Elsevier deal
    JEL: D41 D42 D43 E60 L10
    Date: 2024–06–01
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:ehl:lserod:123605&r=
  6. By: Bizzarri, Matteo; Vega-Redondo, Fernando
    Abstract: We characterize the firm-level welfare effects of a small change in ownership overlap, and how it depends on the position in the production network.In our model, firms compete in prices, internalizing how their decisions affect the firms lying downstream as well as those that have common share-holders. While in a horizontal economy the common-ownership effects onequilibrium prices depend on firm markups alone, in the more general casedisplaying vertical inter-firm relationships a full knowledge of the production network is typically required. Addressing then the normative questionof what are the welfare implications of affecting the ownership structure, we show that, if costs of adjusting it are large, the optimal intervention isproportional to the Bonacich centrality of each firm in the weighted networkquantifying interfirm price-mediated externalities. Finally, we also explainthat the parameters of the model can be identified from typically availabledata, hence rendering our model amenable to empirical analysis.
    Keywords: Production Networks; Network Games; Common Ownership; Oligopoly
    Date: 2024–06–06
    URL: https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:cte:werepe:43949&r=
  7. By: Shidi Deng; Maximilian Schiffer; Martin Bichler
    Abstract: Nowadays, a significant share of the Business-to-Consumer sector is based on online platforms like Amazon and Alibaba and uses Artificial Intelligence for pricing strategies. This has sparked debate on whether pricing algorithms may tacitly collude to set supra-competitive prices without being explicitly designed to do so. Our study addresses these concerns by examining the risk of collusion when Reinforcement Learning algorithms are used to decide on pricing strategies in competitive markets. Prior research in this field focused on Tabular Q-learning (TQL) and led to opposing views on whether learning-based algorithms can lead to supra-competitive prices. Our work contributes to this ongoing discussion by providing a more nuanced numerical study that goes beyond TQL by additionally capturing off- and on-policy Deep Reinforcement Learning (DRL) algorithms. We study multiple Bertrand oligopoly variants and show that algorithmic collusion depends on the algorithm used. In our experiments, TQL exhibits higher collusion and price dispersion phenomena compared to DRL algorithms. We show that the severity of collusion depends not only on the algorithm used but also on the characteristics of the market environment. We further find that Proximal Policy Optimization appears to be less sensitive to collusive outcomes compared to other state-of-the-art DRL algorithms.
    Date: 2024–06
    URL: https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:arx:papers:2406.02437&r=
  8. By: Martin Spann; Marco Bertini; Oded Koenigsberg; Robert Zeithammer; Diego Aparicio; Yuxin Chen; Fabrizio Fantini; Ginger Zhe Jin; Vicki Morwitz; Peter Popkowski Leszczyc; Maria Ana Vitorino; Gizem Yalcin Williams; Hyesung Yoo
    Abstract: Over the past decade, an increasing number of firms have delegated pricing decisions to algorithms in consumer markets such as travel, entertainment, and retail; business markets such as digital advertising; and platform markets such as ride-sharing. This trend, driven primarily by the increased availability of digital data and developments in information technology, has economic and social consequences that are not yet well understood. The aim of this paper is therefore to examine various implications and challenges of algorithmic pricing for consumers, managers, and regulators. We contribute to the literature by defining and classifying algorithmic pricing, understanding managers' perceptions and adding empirical evidence on its use, raising important considerations for the three stakeholders, and finally outlining research priorities in this area.
    JEL: D4 L1 L4 L5
    Date: 2024–06
    URL: https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:nbr:nberwo:32540&r=
  9. By: Ioramashvili, Carolin; Feldman, Maryann; Guy, Frederick; Iammarino, Simona
    Abstract: Small businesses within the digital sector are spread across the USA. However, a significant number of promising small businesses concentrate in major technology hubs, either initially or through relocation. This phenomenon can be attributed to the influential role played by localized markets for financing and acquisition, which is, in turn, driven by the dominant market positions held by major digital platforms. Our research demonstrates a clear pattern of localized acquisition markets, particularly in sectors frequently targeted by the seven largest American digital giants—Amazon, Alphabet (Google), Apple, Microsoft, Meta (Facebook), Oracle, and Adobe, collectively known as ‘Big Tech’. This localization trend has become more pronounced between 2000 and 2020. Our analysis indicates that the gravitational pull of these acquisition markets poses challenges to local initiatives aimed at fostering digital businesses. These efforts would be more successful if measures were taken to limit the market influence of digital platforms.
    Keywords: Big Tech; digital start-ups; acquisitions; monopoly; regional inequality
    JEL: R11 R12 F00 O33
    Date: 2024–02–10
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:ehl:lserod:123670&r=
  10. By: Patrick Alexander; Lu Han; Oleksiy Kryvtsov; Ben Tomlin
    Abstract: We study how the interaction of market power and nominal price rigidity influences inflation dynamics. We formulate a tractable model of oligopolistic competition and sticky prices and derive closed-form expressions for the pass-through of idiosyncratic and common cost shocks to firms’ prices. Using unpublished micro data for Canadian wholesale firms, we estimate that the pass-through of idiosyncratic costs is incomplete at 70% and independent of the degree of sector-price-stickiness. The pass-through of common costs declines with price stickiness, from nearly complete in flexible-price sectors to below 70% in sectors with the stickiest prices. An increase in the degree of sector or firm market power reduces the pass-through of both types of cost shocks. These estimates imply a degree of strategic complementarity that lowers the slope of the New Keynesian Phillips curve by 30% in a one-sector model and by 74% in a multi-sector model.
    Keywords: Firm dynamics; Inflation and prices; Market structure and pricing; Monetary policy transmission
    JEL: D43 E31 L13 L81
    Date: 2024–05
    URL: https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:bca:bocawp:24-20&r=
  11. By: Leonov Ivan (Department of Economics, Lomonosov Moscow State University)
    Abstract: Since 2019, Russia has implemented quasi-directive pricing in the retail gasoline and diesel fuel markets, and a "big tax maneuver" has started to be implemented. This study aims to assess the impact of the current pricing system for gasoline and diesel fuels on the competitive environment in retail markets. As part of the study, four econometric models were built using the weighted least squares method and using stationary differences instead of stationary series to identify the impact of the "big tax maneuver" on domestic gasoline and diesel prices. Current pricing imbalances are leading to a permanent increase in retail fuel prices, which inevitably leads to an increase in market concentration in the gasoline station segment. There is no steady progress in the institutional environment in the motor fuel market due to increased regulatory uncertainty and expected negative consequence.
    Keywords: competition policy, oil industry, price regulation, gasoline pricing, diesel fuel pricing, stock exchange, taxation of the oil industry, big tax maneuver, damper
    JEL: L11 L42 L81 H32
    Date: 2024–05
    URL: https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:upa:wpaper:0067&r=
  12. By: In Kyung Kim (Department of Economics, Sogang University, Seoul, Korea); Kyoo il Kim (Department of Economics, Michigan State University)
    Abstract: This study investigates the pricing behaviors of instant noodle manufacturers in South Korea during the 2010s. We find strong evidence against the suspicion by the Korea Fair Trade Commission (KFTC) that firms in this industry have colluded in price-fixing. Contrary to these suspicions, it appears they have been subjected to de facto price controls by the government; the observed markups are significantly lower than those calculated under a scenario of Nash–Bertrand competition, setting aside any collusion. Our counterfactual analysis suggests that profits would have been much higher (by 50 percent on average) than observed if the firms had engaged in the ‘follow-the-leader’ pricing strategy as claimed by the regulatory authority. These findings align with the ruling of the Supreme Court of Korea in 2015, which overturned the KFTC’s imposition of fines (approximately 120 million US dollars) on the four major instant noodle producers in 2012.
    Keywords: Follow-the-leader pricing, Discrete choice demand, Collusion, Instant noodles
    JEL: D12 D22 L40 L66
    Date: 2024
    URL: https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:sgo:wpaper:2403&r=
  13. By: Matthias Hunold; Vasilisa Petrishcheva
    Abstract: We demonstrate how the incentives of firms that partially own their suppliers or customers to foreclose rivals depend on how the partial owner can extract profits from the target. Compared to a fully vertically integrated firm, a partial owner may obtain only a share of the target’s profit but influence the target’s strategy significantly. We show that the incentives for customer and input foreclosure can be higher, equal, or even lower with partial ownership than with a vertical merger, depending on how the protection of minority shareholders and transfer price regulations affect the scope for profit extraction.
    Keywords: Foreclosure, Minority shareholdings, Partial ownership, Profit shifting, Vertical integration
    JEL: G34 L22 L40
    Date: 2024–06–06
    URL: https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:bdp:dpaper:0041&r=
  14. By: Frederik von Waldow; Heike Link
    Abstract: This paper analyses the pass-through rates and their determinants of the temporary German fuel discount in 2022 at its start and its termination. Based on a unique dataset of fuel station characteristics and prices, we employ a Regression Discontinuity in Time (RDiT) methodology to estimate heterogeneous pass-through rates. Our main contribution is to identify the impact of horizontal and vertical market structures on the extent to which taxes are passed on to consumers. While competitive pressure is positively associated with the response of prices to tax changes, we estimate lower pass-through predominantly for more isolated stations with fewer competitors. Furthermore, our results indicate that independence from upstream markets is accompanied by a reduced pass-through of tax changes suggesting the existence of double marginalization.
    Keywords: Gasoline prices, local competition, tax pass-through, regression discontinuity in time
    JEL: Q48 H22 L13
    Date: 2024
    URL: https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:diw:diwwpp:dp2086&r=
  15. By: Oleg V. Pavlov; Evangelos Katsamakas
    Abstract: We develop a feedback theory that includes reinforcing and balancing feedback effects that emerge when colleges compete for reputation, applicants, and tuition revenue. The feedback theory is replicated in a formal duopoly model consisting of two competing colleges. An independent ranking entity determines the relative order of the colleges. College applicants choose between the two colleges based on the rankings and the financial aid offered by the colleges. Contrary to the conventional wisdom that competition lowers prices and benefits consumers, our simulations show that competition between academic institutions for resources and reputation leads to tuition escalation that negatively affects students and their families. Four of the five scenarios -- rankings, a capital campaign, facilities improvements, and an excellence campaign -- increase college tuition, institutional debt, and expenditures per student; only the scenario of ignoring the rankings decreases these measures. By referring to the feedback structure of academic competition, the article makes several recommendations for controlling tuition inflation. This article contributes to the literature on the economics of higher education and illustrates the value of feedback economics in developing economic theory.
    Date: 2024–05
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:arx:papers:2405.17762&r=
  16. By: Marit Hinnosaar; Toomas Hinnosaar
    Abstract: Social media influencers account for a growing share of marketing worldwide. We demonstrate the existence of a novel form of market failure in this advertising market: influencer cartels, where groups of influencers collude to increase their advertising revenue by inflating their engagement. Our theoretical model shows that influencer cartels can improve consumer welfare if they expand social media engagement to the target audience, or reduce welfare if they divert engagement to less relevant audiences. We validate the model empirically using novel data on influencer cartels combined with machine learning tools, and derive policy implications for how to maximize consumer welfare.
    Date: 2024–05
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:arx:papers:2405.10231&r=

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