Abstract: |
Data on 2,288 married women from the 2006 China Health and Nutrition Survey
are deployed to study how off-farm female employment affects fertility. Such
employment reduces a married woman's actual number of children by 0.64, her
preferred number by 0.48, and her probability of having more than one child by
54.8 percent. Causality flows in both directions; hence, we use well validated
instrumental variables to estimate employment status. China has deep concerns
with both female employment and population size. Moreover, female employment
is growing quickly. Hence, its implications for fertility must be understood.
Ramifications for China's one-child policy are discussed. |