Abstract: |
This paper presents an overlapping generations model with occupational choice
that allows for entrepreneurial exit, entry and investment decisions in the
presence of idiosyncratic productivity risk and borrowing constraints. The
model is applied to analyze the consequences of three pension reforms in
Germany: A move towards a comprehensive paygo system, the introduction of flat
benefits, and a funded pension system. Our simulation results indicate that
pension systems directly affect occupational choice when households have a
choice to avoid the implied tax burden. In addition, pension systems influence
indirectly through changes in financial constraints and factor prices. Direct
and indirect effects may neutralize each other and we are able to separate
them quantitatively. We also document that the pension system might have
opposite effects on different types of entrepreneurs. Quite surprisingly, some
pension reforms increase labor input in the corporate sector and
entrepreneurial activities at the same time. Finally, pension reforms have a
strong impact on wealth inequality in our set up. Consequently, occupational
choice and the pension system are strongly interrelated and more research is
needed to understand this connection. |