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on Confederation of Independent States |
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Issue of 2018‒05‒21
twenty papers chosen by |
| By: | Mikhailova, Tatiana (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA)); Aksyuk, Svetlana (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA)) |
| Abstract: | The purpose of this research is to study the dynamics of import flows in Russia in 2013-2015, using the tools of regression models. The timeframe from 2013 to 2015 includes events destabilizing the dynamics of imports, in particular: the political crisis in Ukraine, trade sanctions introduced in 2014, the economic recession of the Russian economy. The authors evaluate the impact of these events and measures on the commodity, country and geographical structure of the import flows to the Russian Federation. The authors use data on imports of certain goods to the regions of Russia through border points for the period from 2013 to 2015 in order to evaluate a number of econometric models linking the intensity of the commodity flow from the counterparty country to the Russian region with the characteristics of the country, region, product. We also assess the model for the disaggregated flows of imported goods from foreign countries to the regions of the Russian Federation through border checkpoints in order to assess the impact of foreign trade shocks on the routing of cargo transportation. |
| Date: | 2018–04 |
| URL: | http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:rnp:wpaper:041803&r=cis |
| By: | Firanchuk, Alexander (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA)) |
| Abstract: | The task of this work is to formulate theoretical hypotheses about the factors influencing the probability of re-export occurrence, the provision of descriptive statistics that may be indicative of the existence of such re-exports, and the construction of an econometric model for evaluating the proposed theoretical hypotheses. In addition, the analysis of trade statistics of Russia, the main changes and the most likely cases of illegal re-export of sanctions goods were carried out. To analyze the completeness of the implementation of the embargo, a comparison is made between the EU monthly data on exports and the data of the FCS of Russia on imports. The authors proposed a method for identifying countries involved in re-export activity and an algorithm for identifying specific commodity positions and periods when re-exports were likely. The idea of ??this method is to compare the physical (weight) volumes and prices of EU goods to a third country and the same goods (commodity groups) from that third country to Russia. It was shown that mainly re-exports pass through the territories of Belarus and the Balkan countries (Serbia, Macedonia, Bosnia and Herzegovina), which is consistent with the results using annual trade data, [1]. Also, the distribution of the value of the identified re-exports in time and the price increase, probably caused by it, are presented. Based on these data, the losses of importing firms are estimated as an increase in the price of re-export goods, which is due to the ban on direct supplies. |
| Date: | 2018–04 |
| URL: | http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:rnp:wpaper:041802&r=cis |
| By: | Larionova, Marina (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA)); Shelepov, Andrey (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA)); Sakharov, Andrey (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA)); Lanshina, Tatiana (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA)) |
| Abstract: | Despite the suspension of the process of Russia's accession to the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development in 2014, in the long term membership in the OECD remains one of the priorities of Russian foreign policy. In this regard, the study of foreign experience in the practical implementation of OECD acts is relevant from the point of view of possible borrowing of best practices and their adaptation to Russian realities. This paper presents the results of a comparative analysis of the experience of the major developing countries of the BRICS and Indonesia in implementing the provisions of the three OECD mechanisms - the Principles of Corporate Governance, the BEPS Project and the Framework Investment Concept. The study examined the policies of Brazil, China, India, Indonesia and South Africa in areas affected by the mechanisms under consideration, identified and analyzed the best practices on the basis of which recommendations were made to improve the effectiveness of Russian policy in the relevant sectors. |
| Keywords: | OECD, corporate governance, financial regulation, taxation, investment, dilution of the tax base and income transfer |
| Date: | 2018–04 |
| URL: | http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:rnp:wpaper:041815&r=cis |
| By: | Kurakova, Natalia (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA)); Zinov, Vladimir (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA)); Tsvetkova, Liliya (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA)); Kupriyanova, Olga (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA)) |
| Abstract: | The development of the international situation requires from Russia self-determination regarding the strategy of industrial development and the choice of technological directions that could become the locomotives of economic growth. The work is devoted to the substantiation of the choice of technology clusters that can become the basis for the new industrialization of the Russian Federation and will allow the country's economy to reproduce the life cycle of its assets in the global dimension (resources, markets, investments). |
| Date: | 2018–04 |
| URL: | http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:rnp:wpaper:041810&r=cis |
| By: | Yuzhakov, Vladimir (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA)); Dobrolyubova, Elena (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA)) |
| Abstract: | The work systematizes the requirements and criteria of best practice in the sphere of development of state policy and state regulation, enshrined in the recommendations and other documents of the OECD, and also analyzes examples of the implementation of these requirements and criteria in selected foreign countries. Based on the systematization of OECD requirements and criteria, a comparison of Russian law enforcement practices with OECD requirements was carried out. Based on the results of the comparative analysis, proposals on priority measures of improving the procedures for the development of state policy and state regulation in Russia have been developed. |
| Date: | 2018–04 |
| URL: | http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:rnp:wpaper:041809&r=cis |
| By: | Shagaida, Natalia (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy); Svetlov, Nikolai (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Central Economics and Mathematics Institute); Uzun, Vasily (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA)); Loginova, Daria (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA)); Prishchepov, Alexander V. (University of Copenhagen, Kazan Federal University, Institute of Steppe) |
| Abstract: | It is established that those unused agricultural lands that are owned by agricultural producers but are not currently used for economic reasons are a factor of the competitive advantage of Russia's agrarian economy and can be used under favorable economic conditions. The total volume of unused agricultural land involvement for crops is estimated at about 5% of their total area in the coming years and up to 13% by 2025. The method of assessing the potential is selected on the basis of studying the theoretical bases of land use and practical experience in foreign countries: the USA, the EU and China. With the help of the economic-mathematical model, It was identified a potential increase in production from partial involvement of abandoned lands. It was given the characteristics of institutional and economic constraints to the development of production and the involvement of abandoned land in Russia, taking into account regional specifics. |
| Date: | 2018–04 |
| URL: | http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:rnp:wpaper:041805&r=cis |
| By: | Yuzhakov, Vladimir (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA)); Dobrolyubova, Elena (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA)); Pokida, Andrey (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA)); Zybunovskaya, Natalia (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA)) |
| Abstract: | The paper presents the results of a sociological study on the effectiveness of the most massive types of state control (supervision) conducted by the Russian Academy of National Economy and Public Administration under the President of the Russian Federation in 2017 among representatives of private economic entities. The results of the survey make it possible to assess the impact of control and surveillance activities on the safety and quality of products, the safety of production processes and the level of administrative costs of business associated with state control (supervision). |
| Date: | 2018–04 |
| URL: | http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:rnp:wpaper:041808&r=cis |
| By: | Nikulin, Alexander (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA)); Trotsuk, Irina (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA)); Shagaida, Natalia (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy); Shishkina, Ekaterina (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA)); Uzun, Vasily (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA)) |
| Abstract: | The paper analyzes approaches to assessing food security, and also assesses its condition in 2014-2017 on the basis of the indicators provided for in the Food Security Doctrine, as well as the evaluation methodology developed at the Center for Agricultural Policy of the IAER RANEPA. It is made the conclusion about the need to refine both the list of indicators and methods of observation. Traditional statistical indicators are supplemented by indicators of economic access of the population to food in the average across Russia, in a cut of groups with different level of available resources, territories, and also parameters of telephone sociological interrogation of the population. In addition, the work provides an overview of expert interviews of agricultural producers from small businesses on additional opportunities that arose during the period of the food embargo. |
| Date: | 2018–04 |
| URL: | http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:rnp:wpaper:041806&r=cis |
| By: | Gusev, Andrey (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA)) |
| Abstract: | The main idea of this article (Working Paper) is to determine the value growth factors for Russian innovative startups including the formation of added value and the construction of a model for assessing the value of an innovative company which can be used to make financial and investment decisions. |
| Keywords: | cost factors, economic growth, strategic management, value added, innovative company, real options |
| Date: | 2018–04 |
| URL: | http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:rnp:wpaper:041811&r=cis |
| By: | Avraamova, Elena (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA)); Klyachko, Tatiana (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA)); Loginov, Dmitriy (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA)); Semionova, Elena (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA)); Tokareva, Galina (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA)); Yakovlev, Ivan (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA)) |
| Abstract: | The paper presents the results of the fifth wave of the monitoring study of the effectiveness of general education conducted by the Center for the Economics of Continuing Education of the IAER RANEPA. Participants of the sociological survey in 2017 were 41 school principals, 2107 representatives of households, 2038 teachers of general education organizations located in urban settlements and rural areas of the Chelyabinsk region, the Altai and Stavropol regions, and also in St. Petersburg. The positions of teachers on a wide range of issues related to the problems of general education are considered: the personnel situation in schools, the quality of teaching, the requirements of families for the organization of the educational process, and the satisfaction of teachers with professional activities. |
| Date: | 2018–04 |
| URL: | http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:rnp:wpaper:041818&r=cis |
| By: | Bobylev, Yuri (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy); Rasenko, O.A. (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA)) |
| Abstract: | The paper considers the state tax policy towards the oil industry of the Russian economy, analyzes possible measures of such a policy, including structural adjustment of the tax system and the introduction of a special tax on additional income. Various approaches to the construction of a tax on additional income have been analyzed, and an additional tax on profits with a progressive tax rate has been proposed as the most preferable form of this tax. The paper formulates recommendations aimed at increasing the effectiveness of the tax system and creating the necessary conditions for the development of the oil industry. |
| Date: | 2018–04 |
| URL: | http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:rnp:wpaper:041817&r=cis |
| By: | Irina V. Volkova (National Research University Higher School of Economics) |
| Abstract: | This paper is dedicated to the education system in the Soviet Union and school-related issues in the context of the “Great Purge of 1937” - a very symbolic time in the Soviet history that became the climax of the Soviet political repressions but also - a time of the successful completion of the second five-year plan of economic development and other great soviet achievements. The intended research is aimed to clarify how all these events were reflected within the school communities, in what way they influenced the belief system, civil position and general trends in behavior of the senior students, who in the coming years would be bound to become the backbone of a war generation. At the same time, it was the period of the most important decisions within the country’s education system aimed at its participation in society consolidation and thorough preparations of the young generation to clash against some very strong foes. This work reveals the practical consequences of the campaign against a “pedological perversion” within Soviet education system and the process of the teacher selection which stimulated school’s development to be in line with the given ideological directions. |
| Keywords: | Great Purge of 1937, school communities, Soviet education system, educational institutions, pedological perversion, teachers |
| JEL: | Z |
| Date: | 2018 |
| URL: | http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:hig:wpaper:166/hum/2018&r=cis |
| By: | Nikulin, Alexander (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA)) |
| Abstract: | The relevance of the problem is due to the fact that in recent decades the rural areas of all regions of the world are facing the complication of the global socioeconomic context of their sustainable development (and even survival) in connection with the formation of the international food and agro-industrial markets that dictate their demands to the agriculture of all countries. The growing and increasing tendencies of globalization give rise to similar consequences in rural areas, regardless of specific regional and country conditions (the dominance of agroholdings, the disappearance of villages, the formation of urban agglomerations with rural suburbanizational suburbs, etc.), but the globalization and state pressure is opposed by another tendency - glocalization, or preservation by local communities of their own social and economic specifics, primarily through tools of informal economy. The latter can act simultaneously in two ways: as a tool for confronatation of local rural communities with models of social and economic development ("weak arms" by J. Scott) imposed by the "above" (state, market or international business); and, conversely, as an instrument for maximally painless and successful integration of local rural communities into the new social and economic context of modern life. |
| Date: | 2018–04 |
| URL: | http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:rnp:wpaper:041807&r=cis |
| By: | Izryadnova, Olga (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy) |
| Abstract: | Structural properties of the Russian economy determine the relevance of the study of the features of economic development and the possibilities of increasing the efficiency of using the potential of the regions to achieve sustainable growth. High inertia of the processes of spatial development led to a change in the ratings of the subjects of the Federation on competitiveness and investment attractiveness in the domestic market and increased the limitations of infrastructure, management and labor factors. The analysis of the development dynamics of the Federation subjects in the context of changing general economic conditions and regional development programs makes it possible to explain the territorial features, to assess the risks and benefits of the regions from decisions in the field of investment and social policy. |
| Date: | 2018–04 |
| URL: | http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:rnp:wpaper:041816&r=cis |
| By: | Belyakov, Sergei (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA)) |
| Abstract: | The development of medium-term forecasts of the economy and finance of the education system, conducted by the Center for Continuous Education Economics of the RANEPA in previous years, made it possible to determine a number of requirements for this work. In particular, the initial data for the development of forecasts should be data from official statistics, as well as reports on the implementation of the consolidated budget of the Russian Federation in terms of education expenditure. In addition, for the development of forecasts, some ratios of normative nature are necessary: funding standards, permissible ratios of the number of children attending pre-school educational institutions, the number of places in them, the ratio of the number of children and pedagogical workers, the established (certain) ratios between the number of students in organizations of general school) education and teachers in them and some others. The possibility of changing these ratios allows the development of various variants of forecasts, which creates an information basis for the adoption of appropriate managerial decisions. |
| Date: | 2018–04 |
| URL: | http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:rnp:wpaper:041821&r=cis |
| By: | Iwasaki, Ichiro |
| Abstract: | In this article, I examine the oversea activities of Japanese researchers in the field of Russian and East European economic studies based on objective data and offer several suggestions for improving their presence in the international academic community. The presence of Japanese scholars of Russian and East European economies as measured by the number of relevant articles published in international journals is still marginal at best, despite their high participation rates in academic conferences abroad. This may partly be due to the fact that many Japanese researchers are not effectively utilizing available international resources. Furthermore, although many of the works produced by Japanese experts have important implications in the research field, only a handful of them are submitted to international journals. In this and many other respects, there is still much room for enhancing the international status of the Japanese study of Russian and East European economies. |
| Keywords: | Japanese Study of Russian and East European Economies, Methodological Change, World Congress of Comparative Economics, International Publications |
| JEL: | D22 P20 P30 P51 P21 P31 |
| Date: | 2018–04 |
| URL: | http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:hit:rrcwps:74&r=cis |
| By: | Larionova, Marina (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA)); Sakharov, Andrey (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA)); Shelepov, Andrey (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA)); Ignatov, Alexander (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA)); Popova, Irina (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA)) |
| Abstract: | The work is devoted to a comparative evaluation of the effectiveness of the G20 and BRICS based on the results of monitoring the implementation of decisions on priority areas of cooperation. The authors come to the conclusion that at the G-20 level global issues related to the formation of international regimes for the regulation of the most important spheres of global governance are more effectively addressed: financial sector reform, investment regime, reform of the international trade system, reform of international financial institutions. Within the BRICS, specific tasks of social and economic development (access to ICT, the integration of small and medium-sized enterprises into global value chains, the development of electronic commerce) are effectively addressed. The development of common positions for their promotion in broader formats (in the sphere of reforming the international financial system, ensuring an open and equitable system of international trade), as well as regional security solutions, is being provided. |
| Date: | 2018–04 |
| URL: | http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:rnp:wpaper:041813&r=cis |
| By: | Myasnikov, Alexander |
| Abstract: | The traditional spatial lag model assumes that all regions in the sample exhibit the same degree of sensitivity to spatial external effects. This may not always be the case, however, especially with highly heterogeneous regions like those in Russia. Therefore, a model has been suggested that views spatial coefficients as being endogenously defined by regions’ intrinsic characteristics. We generalize this model, describe approaches to its estimation based on maximum likelihood and generalized least squares, and perform a Monte Carlo simulation of these two estimation methods in small samples. We find that the maximum likelihood estimator is preferable due to the lower biases and variances of the estimates it yields, although the generalized least squares estimator can also be useful in small samples for robustness checks and as a first approximation tool. In larger samples, results of the generalized least squares estimator are very close to those of the maximum likelihood estimator, so the former may be preferred because of its simplicity and less strict computational power requirements. |
| Keywords: | spatial lag model; endogenous spatial coefficients; Monte Carlo simulation; small sample estimation |
| JEL: | O18 R15 |
| Date: | 2018–03 |
| URL: | http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:pra:mprapa:86696&r=cis |
| By: | Hanlon, Joseph |
| Abstract: | Strenuous efforts by donors and lenders over four decades turned Mozambique from a socialist success story into a neoliberal capitalist one. The private sector dominates; a domestic elite dependent on foreign companies has been created. But a secret US$2.2 billion arms and fishing boat deal involving Swiss and Russian banks and Mozambican purchases from France, Germany, and Israel, with large profits on all sides, was a step too far down the donor’s capitalist road. The International Monetary Fund cut off its programme and western donors ended budget support. |
| Keywords: | Mozambique; Ematum; secret loan; donor; IMF; corruption; neoliberal; tuna |
| JEL: | N0 E6 |
| Date: | 2017–03–04 |
| URL: | http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:ehl:lserod:68130&r=cis |
| By: | Daniel Kurz (Prime Education Consulting); Hyunjin Kang (Branksome Hall Asia International School) |
| Abstract: | In April of 1919, the roar of the guns of the Great War had only been silent for a few months. Between that fateful November of 1918 and April of the next year, the world of international politics, economics, and medicine would be challenged by several factors. The collapse of Germany, the establishment of the Soviet Union, the wrath of the Great Influenza, and the return of millions of men from the front would transform society in new ways. It was in this historical moment that modernism began to flourish, and it would continue to do so well into the 1920’s. The Imperial age of neoclassicism, romanticism and opera was fading while a new approach to art emerged (Cozzolino 2016, 13-15). In the immediate post-war era, each art form had its own innovator or innovators. There had been innovators before, but never in history had the ideas and institutions of the “Old World†been so thoroughly discredited as they were in the Aftermath of World War I. In architecture it was The Bauhaus and Art Deco; in literature cynical greats like Hemingway and Fitzgerald would reign supreme. Dali and Picasso’s lusty abstractions dominated painting. All were bridges between what was and what is. In stage design, the same process was occurring, though the names have been forgotten except by experts. Few remember these men and women, but their influence would inspire many luminaries in contemporary entertainment that Americans would instantly recognize: Alfred Hitchcock, Stanley Kubrick, Woody Allen, George Lucas and both Coppolas, Frances Ford and Sofia (Fitch 1983, 42- 45). One of these forgotten names is Kenneth Macgowan. |
| Keywords: | set designer, theatrical arts, Macgowan, innovator |
| Date: | 2018–04 |
| URL: | http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:smo:tpaper:019&r=cis |