nep-cis New Economics Papers
on Confederation of Independent States
Issue of 2017‒05‒28
thirty-two papers chosen by
Alexander Harin
Modern University for the Humanities

  1. Russia in the Post-Soviet Space: Resources and Instruments of 'Soft Power' By Letnyakov, Denis
  2. Permanent and Temporary Oil Price Shocks, Macroeconomic Policy, and Tradable Non-oil Sector: Case of Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan, and Russia By Ramiz Rahmanov
  3. Illegal Re-Export and Analysis of the Effectiveness of the Russian Food Embargo in 2014 By Firanchuk, Alexander
  4. Assessment of the Regulatory Impact of the Law on the Complex Exam: Results of a Case Study By Varshaver, Evgeni; Rocheva, Anna; Ivanova, Nataliya
  5. Evaluation of the Effects of Integration of Eurasian Economic Union By Sedalishchev, Vladimir; Chokaev, Bekhan; Knobel, Alexander
  6. Development of Mechanisms for Embedding Small Forms of Management in Food Chains By Shagaida, Natalia; Gataulinà, Ekaterina; Uzun, Vasily; Yanbykh, Renata
  7. Methodological Approaches to the Construction of a Medium-Term Forecast of the Development of the Financial Sector of the Russian Federation in the Context of Foreign Policy Uncertainty By Andreev, Mikhail; Khromov, Michael; Shchelokova, Dina
  8. Strategic Planning of Financial Market Development in the Russian Federation By Danilov, Yury
  9. Medical-Demographic Differentiation According to Educational Level By Shulgin, Sergey; Scherbov, Sergey; Zinkina, Yulia; Novikov, Kirill
  10. The Social Status of the Elderly in the Practice of Everyday Interaction in Public Places By Smolkin, Anton
  11. Prospects for the Development of Legislative Regulation of the Process of Public Administration in the Russian Federation By Yuzhakov, Vladimir; Talapina, Elvira; Dobrolyubova, Elena; Tikhomirov, Yury
  12. Problems of Legal Regulation of Market Forms of Economic Concentration in the Russian Federation and Abroad By Egorova, Maria; Uvakina, Tatiyana
  13. The Electricity Distribution Network Economic Modelling and Middle-Term Scenario Planning in Russian Federation By Suyunchev, Marat; Mozgovaya, Oxana; Temnaya, Olga
  14. Development of Competitive Tools for Access to Basic, Competitive and Program Budget Funding for Research and Innovations in the Russian Federation By Kurakova, Natalia; Zinov, Vladimir; Tsvetkova, Liliya; Kupriyanova, Olga
  15. Evolution of the Electronic Payment Industry: Problems of a Qualitative Transition By Dostov, Viktor; Shoust, Paul
  16. Features of Project Consortiums as a New Organizational and Managerial Form of Conquering Niches in Global High-Tech Markets By Kurakova, Nataliya; Zinov, Vladimir; Tsvetkova, Liliya; Yeremchenko, Olga; Kupriyanova, Olga
  17. Analysis of Approaches to Determining the Level of Tax Burden By Shatalovà, Svetlana; Korytin, Andrey; Zakharenkova, Elena
  18. Determinants of Entering the Export Markets and Behavior of Russian Firms in International Trade By Kuznetsov, Dmitry; Knobel, Alexander
  19. Critical Thinking: Existing Approaches in Russia and the World By Kokarev, Konstantin
  20. A small scale forecasting and simulation model for Azerbaijan (FORSAZ) By Salman Huseynov; Fuad Mammadov
  21. Non-Tariff Measures and the Structure of Trade Flows By Ponomareva, Ekaterina; Magomedov, Rustam
  22. The Global Economy and the Insurance Market of the Russian Federation as an Object State Regulation By Korishchenko, Konstantin; Shokin, Viktor; Irmatova, Elnura; Mikhailova, Nadezhda
  23. The System of Priorities in the Activities of Civil Servants of the Middle Level: Decision-Making Mechanisms, Values and Personnel Selection By Atnashev, Timur
  24. Identifying Structural Reform Gaps in Emerging Europe, the Caucasus, and Central Asia By Norbert Funke; Asel Isakova; Maksym Ivanyna
  25. Interaction of Unofficial Philosophy and the Scientific and Technical Community in the Late USSR: The Case of Obninsk By Khandozhko, Roman
  26. Main Measures to Support the Development of Small and Medium-Sized Enterprises in the World By Barinova, Vera; Zemtsov, Stepan; Lanshina, Tatiyana
  27. Formation of a System of Prudential Supervision for Professional Participants of the Securities Market By Korishchenko, Konstantin; Morozov, Stepan
  28. Analysis of the Experience of Using Measures of Non-Tariff Regulation of Foreign Trade in Countries Negotiating with the Eurasian Economic Union By Volovik, Nadezhda
  29. Iran: Economic revolution or recession? By Diermeier, Matthias
  30. Incentives and Motives of Workers Employed in the Areas of Formal and Non-Criminal 'Shadow' Economy By Pokida, Andrey; Zybunovskaya, Nataliya
  31. Government Spending Effectiveness and The Quality of Fiscal Institutions By Aygun Garayeva; Gulzar Tahirova
  32. Analysis of the Advancing Development of the Financial Sector in the Global Economy By Danilov, Yury

  1. By: Letnyakov, Denis (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA))
    Abstract: Nowadays state’s influence in international relations obviously can’t be reduced to its military or economic potential. Not by coincidence J. Nye’s concept of “soft power” built up in 1990 for the USA, gained such popularity in the whole world. But if this notion that was initially formulated to explain American influence in the world, can be automatically extended to other regions of the globe? This research has two main goals: (1) to estimate if it’s productive to use the notion of “soft power” to describe the capability of Russian influence in the post-Soviet space and, (2) to estimate the effectiveness of Russian “soft power” strategy that is carried out at present.
    Keywords: Russia, the post-Soviet-space, “soft power”, influence, Russian language, culture, culture and symbolic resources, education, image, national brand, Ðîññèÿ, ïîñòñîâåòñêîå ïðîñòðàíñòâî, «ìÿãêàÿ ñèëà», âëèÿíèå, ðóññêèé ÿçûê, êóëüòóðà, êóëüòóðíî-ñèìâîëè÷åñêèå ðåñóðñû, îáðàçîâàíèå, èìèäæ
    Date: 2017–05
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:rnp:wpaper:051703&r=cis
  2. By: Ramiz Rahmanov (Central Bank of Azerbaijan Republic)
    Abstract: This paper examines the economic effects of permanent and temporary oil price shocks in three oil exporting countries (Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan, and Russia) using the five variable (real short-term interest rate, real effective exchange rate, real budget expenditure, real imports, and real tradable non-oil production) VARX model with two exogenous variables which represent the corresponding shocks. The impulse response analysis conducted over the quarterly data from 2003:I to 2015:IV shows that in Azerbaijan, a permanent oil price shock produces a significantly positive effect on all variables but interest rate, while a temporary oil price shock has a significant and positive effect only on imports and exchange rate. For Kazakhstan, the impulse response functions show that a permanent oil price shock significantly and positively affects interest rate, imports, and budget expenditure; a temporary oil price shock has a significantly positive influence on all variables except budget expenditure. In Russia, a permanent oil price shock produces a significantly positive effect on all variables; a temporary oil price shock exerts a significantly positive effect on all variables but interest rate. Contrary to the permanent income hypothesis, the budget expenditure in Russia responds both to the permanent and temporary oil price shocks. Such divergence from the hypothesis can be explained by the specifics of the policy on the oil revenue spending. As regards the presence of the symptoms of the Dutch disease, the results indicate only on one symptom. Thus oil price shocks ultimately lead to appreciation of national currencies but not to a decline in tradable non-oil production.
    Keywords: permanent oil price shock, temporary oil price shock, macroeconomic policy, non-oil economy, Permanent income hypothesis, Dutch disease, VARX, Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan, Russia
    JEL: C54 E32 E37 E63 Q32
    Date: 2016–12–10
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:aze:wpaper:1609&r=cis
  3. By: Firanchuk, Alexander (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA))
    Abstract: The tasks of this work are: to formulate theoretical hypotheses about the factors influencing the probability of re-export occurrence; the provision of descriptive statistics that may serve as evidence for the existence of such re-exports; and the construction of an econometric model for evaluating the proposed theoretical hypotheses. In addition, we will pay attention to the statistics of trade in Russia, the main changes and the most probable cases of re-export of goods. In the framework of this work, an analysis was made of the effectiveness of the Russian food embargo, introduced in August 2014. Under the effectiveness of sanctions, we understand the extent to which they have limited the supply of goods to Russia that have fallen under the embargo. In the course of the study, a statistical analysis of the COMTRADE trade data was carried out, which resulted in the identification of a number of indirect signs of the re-export to Russia of goods banned by the food embargo. Suspicions for the re-export of sanctioned products in the period 2014-2015 most often fall on the partner countries of Russia in the Eurasian Economic Union - Belarus and Kazakhstan. Also, suspicions of the presence of re-exports can be found in the statistics of trade of Serbia, Macedonia and Turkey.
    Date: 2017–04
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:rnp:wpaper:041705&r=cis
  4. By: Varshaver, Evgeni (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA)); Rocheva, Anna (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA)); Ivanova, Nataliya (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA))
    Abstract: In this paper, the results of the study are presented, during which a methodology for assessing the regulatory impact of legislation in the field of migration was developed and tested, in particular, conclusions on the impact of the federal law on the complex exam. According to this exam, to obtain documents for legal labor activity, a foreign citizen must confirm his knowledge of Russian language, the history of the Russian Federation and the bases of legislation. Based on a survey that included an Internet survey of migrants, a series of quality interviews and observations, and an analysis of documents, it was demonstrated that the law does not achieve its goal: it did not become neither a filter that stopped migrants who do not speak Russian from coming to Russia, nor a motivation for improving the knowledge of Russian language.
    Date: 2017–04
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:rnp:wpaper:041725&r=cis
  5. By: Sedalishchev, Vladimir (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA)); Chokaev, Bekhan (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA)); Knobel, Alexander (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA))
    Abstract: The work is devoted to assessment of the economic consequences of the integration policy on removing non-tariff barriers declared in the agreement on the EAEU using the methodology of numerical quantification using the computable general equilibrium (CGE). The general equilibrium model and the complex database for its estimation are constructed. A quantitative assessment of the impact of various scenarios of the EAEU integration on the economies of Russia, Belarus, Kazakhstan and Armenia is given.
    Keywords: ÅÀÝÑ, íåòàðèôíûå áàðüåðû, ýôôåêòû èíòåãðàöèè, ìîäåëü îáùåãî ðàâíîâåñèÿ
    Date: 2017–05
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:rnp:wpaper:051705&r=cis
  6. By: Shagaida, Natalia (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA)); Gataulinà, Ekaterina (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA)); Uzun, Vasily (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA)); Yanbykh, Renata (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA))
    Abstract: The paper assesses the role of small business in Russian agriculture and develops mechanisms for the interaction of small forms of management with integrator companies and agricultural cooperatives. Embedding of small business in vertical chains is revealed on the basis of studying of theoretical bases and practical experience in foreign countries, basically, the US and the Western Europe. The level and limitations of the development of agricultural consumer cooperation in Russia are determined, taking into account the profile and regional specifics. The practice and institutional limitations of the development of contract farming in our country were analyzed.
    Date: 2017–04
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:rnp:wpaper:041722&r=cis
  7. By: Andreev, Mikhail (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA)); Khromov, Michael (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA)); Shchelokova, Dina (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA))
    Abstract: The object of the study is the Russian financial market: the banking system, APFs, insurance companies, management companies, money market, debt market, foreign exchange market. The goal of the work is to develop a methodology for building a medium-term forecast of the financial market and in developing the forecast itself. As a result of the conducted research the following methodology of construction of the forecast is offered. The medium-term forecast for the development of Russia's financial sector is built in the form of a dynamic quarterly model. In this model, the Russian economy is described as the interaction of several types of economic agents: Population, Producers, Banks, Central Bank, Ministry of Finance (budget). Dynamics of variables of various agents within the forecast is subject to several types of relationships: Financial balances of individual agents (producers, banks, the Central Bank), The balance of financial flows of all agents, the institutional constraints of the production function for producers, the demand for loans from producers, the demand function for real household consumption, the demand for new household loans, the supply of household loans, the demand for settlement accounts in the Central Bank from commercial banks, Etc.), Equilibrium in certain markets (macroeconomic balance, balance of payments). Based on the results of the development of the methodology, scenarios for the development of the financial sector for 2016-2018 in the coming years were compiled and analyzed. The defining factors in 2016-2018 for the development of the financial sector will be 1) the growth in demand for credit resources from enterprises, which is partially met by the resources of non-residents, 2) the budget deficit and the means of its financing. Depending on the external forecast of key indicators of the real sector development, the forecast (model) is completing the indicators of the financial sector. The monetary and fiscal policy of the state is chosen in the forecast such that the external forecast of the real sector is realized.
    Date: 2017–05
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:rnp:wpaper:051712&r=cis
  8. By: Danilov, Yury (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA))
    Abstract: The paper discusses the strategic planning of the Russian financial market. On the basis of a retrospective study of the financial market development, an analysis of the adequacy of strategic documents adopted in 2001-2016 to the real problems of the Russian financial market was conducted. Based on the proposed criteria, an assessment of the quality of strategic documents was carried out, and proposals to increase the quality were formulated. The main problems of the Russian financial market were identified, its place in social and economic development and on the global financial market was specified. Based on this the proposals on target indicators and key areas State policy in the financial market, which should form the basis of strategic planning documents are formulated.
    Date: 2017–05
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:rnp:wpaper:051701&r=cis
  9. By: Shulgin, Sergey (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA)); Scherbov, Sergey (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA)); Zinkina, Yulia (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA)); Novikov, Kirill (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA))
    Abstract: In this paper, the relationship between the health status of people and the level of education is investigated. The main objective of the study is to analyze how the state of health depends on the level of education. The work evaluates the age functions of various medical and demographic factors, as well as their dependence on the level of education. Estimates of several models of the expected life expectancy (HALE) for Russia are made and an assessment of the survival tables for Russian men and women with different levels of education is done.
    Date: 2017–04
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:rnp:wpaper:041719&r=cis
  10. By: Smolkin, Anton (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA))
    Abstract: The modern "Caucasian" ("traditional") model of respect to the elders is fundamentally different from "rural" illustrates the above theoretical difference in the types of respect. The distinction between so called traditional "(Central Asia, the Caucasus) and the actual Russian territories does not lay in the frequency or rigor of compliance, but in various models of respect. One of the most interesting and promising subjects, revealed in the paper, is how migrants from these areas (rural areas, the Caucasus, Central Asia, etc.) change their attitude towards the elderly after moving to large Russian cities. The results of qualitative research (in-depth interviews) showed that the notions of a norm of respect for migrants remain higher than for urban citizens. The main deformations happen in behavior, but they are slow and at times almost imperceptibly for migrants. A certain part of the migrants (who come in a related cultural environment/ who have come for a short time) may not have any changes at all. Among the reasons that representatives of cultures with a traditionally respectful attitude to the elders do not adequately show it while being in Russia, the following should be mentioned: a) a virtually complete absence of repressive sanctions for failure to respect in anonymous situations; B) the destruction of the method of respect - the asymmetric reactions of elderly people in Russia in situations of intergenerational contacts knock down the bearers of the "respectful" cultural tradition from the models of respect that they have adopted; Despite the small number of such cases, they can change the trajectories of the subject/observer behavior; C) the blurring of the object of respect - the behavior of the elderly that is not static from the point of view of representatives of traditional cultures can not simply conflict with the existing notions of the norm, but also disqualify the elderly person as a potential object of respect; D) in urban conditions, strict adherence to traditions, especially those that are incomprehensible/invisible to Aboriginal people, can be a reason for ridicule or other repressive actions. Perhaps part of the migrants such adherence to traditions under the pressure of the environment is beginning to be perceived as a sign of weakness/lack of autonomy, a non-prestigious/outdated version of behavior that should be abandoned for successful adaptation.
    Date: 2017–04
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:rnp:wpaper:041717&r=cis
  11. By: Yuzhakov, Vladimir (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA)); Talapina, Elvira (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA)); Dobrolyubova, Elena (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA)); Tikhomirov, Yury (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA))
    Abstract: The paper outlines the main provisions of the draft federal law "On the Basics of Good Public Administration in the Russian Federation". The bill defines the requirements for public administration, ensuring its validity and effectiveness, as well as the systemic of legal regulation of the public administration process on this basis.
    Date: 2017–04
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:rnp:wpaper:041728&r=cis
  12. By: Egorova, Maria (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA)); Uvakina, Tatiyana (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA))
    Abstract: This work is devoted to the study of the legal regulation of transactions in economic concentration and the formation of basic approaches to reforming the legal regime for the antimonopoly regulation of the transactions.
    Date: 2017–05
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:rnp:wpaper:051711&r=cis
  13. By: Suyunchev, Marat (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA)); Mozgovaya, Oxana (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA)); Temnaya, Olga (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA))
    Abstract: The research «The Electricity Distribution Network Economic Modelling and Middle-term Scenario Planning in Russian Federation» emphasizes the main problems and the factors affecting to a quality of the electricity distribution network development planning. The electricity distribution network economic model was created. The Central federal district middle-term development scenarios were done on the basis of this economical model.
    Date: 2017–04
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:rnp:wpaper:041715&r=cis
  14. By: Kurakova, Natalia (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA)); Zinov, Vladimir (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA)); Tsvetkova, Liliya (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA)); Kupriyanova, Olga (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA))
    Abstract: In the period 2014 to 2016 allocations for civil science decreased from 437.3 billion rubles to 285.8 billion rubles. In the context of the level of import dependence and the depreciation of the national currency, there has been more than a twofold reduction in the actual volume of science financing over the past three years. At the same time, the implementation of Presidential Decree No. 577 of May 7, 2012, implies bringing up to 200% of the average wage in the region of the salaries of research workers in 2018. However, as early as 2014, labor compensation in the academic organizations of the The Federal Agency for Scientific Organizations amounted to 75% of the volume of Current expenses. The paper analyzes the key problems of the distribution of the state budget in the sector of scientific knowledge and possible ways to increase their effectiveness. The review of the measures To optimize budget planning in the field of science proposed in 2014-2016 is carried out.
    Date: 2017–05
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:rnp:wpaper:051707&r=cis
  15. By: Dostov, Viktor (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA)); Shoust, Paul (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA))
    Abstract: The purpose of this work was to conduct a preliminary analysis of the payment services market in the form in which it exists now. To achieve this goal, two groups of tasks were put in effect. First, the regulation of "traditional" business models is considered: their essence and regulation in Russia. Also the authors analyzed the reasons that led to the configuration of the market that developed in Russia by the middle of the 2010s. Secondly, attention was paid to some new technologies and business models, which now, to some extent, go beyond the regulatory perimeter: the services of information intermediation, crowdfunding, P2P lending.
    Date: 2017–05
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:rnp:wpaper:051713&r=cis
  16. By: Kurakova, Nataliya (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA)); Zinov, Vladimir (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA)); Tsvetkova, Liliya (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA)); Yeremchenko, Olga (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA)); Kupriyanova, Olga (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA))
    Abstract: The paper analyzes the features of creating project consortiums as a new organizational and managerial form of conquering niches in the global markets for science-intensive goods and services. The foreign experience and approaches of some countries (USA, China, Finland, Germany) to the creation of project consortiums have been studied, the theoretical preconditions for their formation have been examined, and the main characteristics of this form of capture of international high-tech markets are shown. Based on the example of genetic reprogramming technologies, a practical model for accelerating the life cycle of innovation is shown. The article carries out a comparative analysis of the development of this scientific and technological direction in the industrial-developed countries and Russia. It was suggested that there may be a need for a revision of the domestic approach to the formation of project consortium based on Selection of centers of excellence
    Date: 2017–04
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:rnp:wpaper:041701&r=cis
  17. By: Shatalovà, Svetlana (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA)); Korytin, Andrey (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA)); Zakharenkova, Elena (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA))
    Abstract: The tax burden, being a key indicator of the tax system quality, is of great interest to be analyzed as a concept and a measure. The working paper summarizes conceptual understanding of the economic nature of tax burden, shows commonly used methods of its measurement, provides recommendations for achieving objective and comparable data on the burden of tax payments in the Russian Federation, presents results of the tax burden measurement.
    Date: 2017–04
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:rnp:wpaper:041704&r=cis
  18. By: Kuznetsov, Dmitry (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA)); Knobel, Alexander (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA))
    Abstract: The paper examines the theoretical and empirical approaches to the modeling of firm’s behavior in international trade. Using these approaches to analyze the detailed statistics of Russian firms, in the presented study the characteristic of the behavior of Russian firms in international trade is given. We also study the cross-sectional structure of Russian exports to the position of individual enterprises. In general, results of the work should be considered as a better understanding of the behavior of Russian firms in international trade that interesting from both is both academic and practical point of views.
    Keywords: Export, transaction-level data, fixed cost of trade, probability model, export premium, extensive margin, intensive margin, Ýêñïîðò, ìèêðîäàííûå, ôèêñèðîâàííûå èçäåðæêè òîðãîâëè, âåðîÿòíîñòíàÿ ìîäåëü, ýêñïîðòíàÿ ïðåìèÿ, ýêñòåíñèâíàÿ ìàðæà, èíòåíñèâíàÿ ìàðæà
    Date: 2017–05
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:rnp:wpaper:051716&r=cis
  19. By: Kokarev, Konstantin (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA))
    Abstract: One of the reasons why the popularization of ideas of critical thinking in Russia is not very fast, is that it is rather problematic to find a clear definition of this concept. Of course, it is unlikely that we will find in modern science such a concept that would not cause discussion, would not be considered a construct composed of terms and hypotheses, which themselves in turn depend on the chosen theoretical framework or their combinations. But in the case of critical thinking, this problem is supplemented by a number of circumstances that must be taken into account in all attempts to determine the essence of critical thinking.
    Date: 2017–05
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:rnp:wpaper:051718&r=cis
  20. By: Salman Huseynov (Central Bank of Azerbaijan Republic); Fuad Mammadov (Central Bank of Azerbaijan Republic)
    Abstract: In our study, we model both steady state and short-run dynamics of the important aspects of the national economy using quarterly data for the period 1999Q1-2016Q2. We explicitly model government, money market and external sector, but omit household sector, labor market, wage dynamics and volume of the physical capital specifications due to serious data quality issues. Using Fully Modified OLS (FMOLS) co-integration methodology we explore co-integration relations among the variables. Coefficient estimates of short-run dynamics are in compliance with our ex-ante expectations. Stability tests indicate that the system seems to exhibit stability around its steady state values and model variables converges to their steady state values approximately within 140 periods (2016Q3-2050Q4). Impulse-response analysis also show stable convergence of the model and predict economically consistent results. The results of in-sample and out-of-sample simulation exercises for the inflation, the government consumption and the imports are satisfactory. However, it seems that the model cannot adequately capture ex-post dynamics of NFA and reserve money. In general the results indicate that model can be used for the specific policy analysis and forecasting of main macroeconomic variables of Azerbaijan.
    Keywords: general equilibrium; co-integration analysis; forecast evaluation
    JEL: C32 C51 C52 E17
    Date: 2016–11–30
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:aze:wpaper:1608&r=cis
  21. By: Ponomareva, Ekaterina (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA)); Magomedov, Rustam (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA))
    Abstract: Understanding the process of quantitative influence of foreign trade policy measures (tariff and non-tariff) on the development of Russian industry is the basis of decision-making process on using of different measures of industrial policy and the study of their impact on the import/export and product diversity is an important part of the development of a balanced industrial and trade policy. The main purpose of this work is to test the hypothesis about the negative impact of tariff and non-tariff measures for protection domestic market on import/export on HS-6(8) data, fnd testing the hypotheses about the different influence of trade policy measures (tariff and non-tariff) for protection the domestic market on product diversity of final and intermediate goods, evaluation of ad valorem equivalents of non-tariff measures on certain commodity groups at the level of HS – 6(8), quantify the impact of tariff and non-tariff barriers on the structure of trade flows and, in particular, on the export structure.
    Date: 2017–05
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:rnp:wpaper:051704&r=cis
  22. By: Korishchenko, Konstantin (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA)); Shokin, Viktor (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA)); Irmatova, Elnura (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA)); Mikhailova, Nadezhda (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA))
    Abstract: State regulation of insurance in one form or another is realized in all countries of the world. Existing models are universal in terms of key parameters and at the same time differ in the details inherent in national regulatory systems. By now, economically developed countries have accumulated rich experience in state regulation of insurance market. In order to effectively develop the insurance market of the Russian Federation, it is efficient to consider the foreign experience of state regulation and to analyze the instruments used for the protection and development of the insurance market. For the purposes of this study, it is advisable to consider only some the principles of regulation, namely approaches to key aspects of state regulation related to admission to the market of foreign participants of the insurance market in relation to a single state, and the control for participants' operational, financial and Investment activity by the state insurance regulator.
    Date: 2017–05
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:rnp:wpaper:051702&r=cis
  23. By: Atnashev, Timur (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA))
    Abstract: In the system of executive authorities in Russia, the mechanisms of formation of real priorities in the activity of civil servants and decision-making mechanisms on the current "agenda" have been poorly studied, on the basis of which it is possible to diagnose three aspects of public administration: a) assess the importance of personal loyalty and mechanisms of "avoidance of responsibility Middle managers who are in the situation of choosing priorities in the context of multitasking (including legislative Acts, by-laws, job descriptions, program-target documents, presidential decrees, target indicators for assessing the effectiveness of activities, assignments of higher-level managers, interaction with representatives of other authorities, citizens' appeals, court decisions, etc.); B) a comparative analysis of the relevance and practice of combining the basic management tools in terms of three ideal-typical models of public administration: the classical rational bureaucracy, new public management, the network model of governance. To achieve the optimal balance between various management tools, an empirical analysis of administrative practices and identification of the reasons preventing their optimization are necessary. (C) Analysis of the use of the main tools of staff selection and in particular of open tenders for filling managerial positions with wide coverage in the mass media.
    Date: 2017–05
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:rnp:wpaper:051719&r=cis
  24. By: Norbert Funke; Asel Isakova; Maksym Ivanyna
    Abstract: Using data from the World Economic Forum’s Global Competitiveness Report as an example, this paper compares structural indicators for 25 countries in Emerging Europe, the Caucasus, and Central Asia with a generic country with similar charactersitics that is 40 percent richer as well as a country with the average EU income. This comparison suggests that improvements will be particularly crucial in the areas of institutions, financial market development, infrastructure, goods and labor market efficiency and areas related to innovation. For the generally more ambitious goal of reaching average EU income, the reform needs are correspondingly larger. The methodology focuses on (approximate) comparisons between countries and does not try to establish the link between structural reforms and growth. While we test for changes in empirical specifications, caveats relate to the quality of structural indicators, possible non-linearities, and reform complementarities. The approach can be applied to other indicators and at a more granular level.
    Date: 2017–03–30
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:imf:imfwpa:17/82&r=cis
  25. By: Khandozhko, Roman (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA))
    Abstract: The paper deals with the formation of philosophical interest of Soviet physicists in the 1950-80's and the social forms of realization of this interest, such as friendship groups with informal leadership, the official network of methodological seminars and the movement of systemic methodology. On the example of the Moscow Methodological Circle author demonstrates how the political pressure on the intellectual community in the period of "stagnation" first led to the emergence of esoteric and half-closed informal methodological seminar, and then to its "penetration" into peripheral institutional niches, such as the party education network of the one of the Soviet atomic centers. Leader of the seminar philosopher G.P. Schedrovitsky managed to apply systemic technical approach to the relevant for the Soviet modernity theme of the instrumentalization of thinking and the creation of a collective subject. As a result, this system of "practical philosophy" became popular among Soviet engineer-physicists working in the atomic project.
    Date: 2017–05
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:rnp:wpaper:051706&r=cis
  26. By: Barinova, Vera (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA)); Zemtsov, Stepan (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA)); Lanshina, Tatiyana (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA))
    Abstract: For several decades there have been programs of state support for small and medium-sized enterprises. The need for such programs is explained by the vulnerability of small and medium-sized enterprises and by the fact that they are usually in less favorable conditions than large businesses. This paper analyzes the main measures of state support for the small and medium-sized business sector existing in developed and developing countries. The applicability of these measures in Russia is assessed.
    Date: 2017–04
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:rnp:wpaper:041708&r=cis
  27. By: Korishchenko, Konstantin (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA)); Morozov, Stepan (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA))
    Abstract: The purpose of this work is the development of a system of prudential supervision measures for the activities of professional participants in the securities market for the purpose of minimizing systemic risks and ensuring the stability of the financial system, enhancing the protection of investors and depositors and creating fair and transparent financial markets. In the course of the research, a study was conducted on the application of prudential supervision measures in relation to Russian banks as the main participants of the domestic financial market, the harmonization of existing prudential banking supervision measures with respect to professional participants, and a study of the world experience in carrying out these measures using the example of the regulatory bodies of Great Britain, Australia and the USA.
    Date: 2017–05
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:rnp:wpaper:051710&r=cis
  28. By: Volovik, Nadezhda (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA))
    Abstract: Since the formation of the World Trade Organization (WTO) in 1995, customs tariff rates have been constantly decreasing. The agreement of the WTO member countries to continue the GATT course for further reduction and partial cancellation of customs duties was an important result of the Uruguay Round of multilateral trade negotiations regarding tariff liberalization. As a result, the weighted average level of customs duties on manufactured goods declined in all countries. Further tariff liberalization took place due to the growing number of multilateral, regional and bilateral trade agreements. The inability to regulate imports by increasing import duties stimulated the search by virtually all countries of other effective instruments for protecting national markets. As a result, as the general level of customs tariffs was reduced, the protectionist role of non-tariff methods (NTM) for regulating foreign trade increased.
    Date: 2017–04
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:rnp:wpaper:041711&r=cis
  29. By: Diermeier, Matthias
    Abstract: International traders' and investors' expectations were raised after Iran had pledged to implement the landmark nuclear deal negotiated with the US, UK, France, Russia and Germany. While the Islamic Republic constitutes a trading hub with great economic potential, large amounts of goods or investment sums have yet to cross its borders. Instead, US-imposed sanctions that should have been lifted months ago de facto remain in place.
    Date: 2016
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:zbw:iwkkur:392016&r=cis
  30. By: Pokida, Andrey (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA)); Zybunovskaya, Nataliya (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA))
    Abstract: In a scientific report presents results of a study carried out by the enter of social and political monitoring of the School of Public Policy of RANEPA in 2016. The research is devoted to the study of the characteristics of functioning non-criminal "shadow" economy, in particular the incentives and motivations of economic behavior of workers employed in the areas of formal and non-criminal "shadow" economy. The results are compared with the results of opinion polls conducted by the Centre in the previous years on a comparable method. The main conclusions drawn from the results of sociological research, formed the basis for recommendations to improve the mechanism to increase labor and economic activity in the formal economy in Russia, limiting the economic activity in the "shadow" economy.
    Date: 2017–04
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:rnp:wpaper:041726&r=cis
  31. By: Aygun Garayeva (Central Bank of Azerbaijan Republic); Gulzar Tahirova (Central Bank of Azerbaijan Republic)
    Abstract: This paper examines the impact of the quality of fiscal institutions on the effectiveness of government expenditures. The cyclical behavior of government spending and output is used as a proxy for the effectiveness of public spending, and fiscal policy is considered to be effective, if it is countercyclical. Empirical estimation is conducted using panel data fixed effects method, for the yearly time period of 1996-2013, in the sample of 45 countries. Countries are divided between 3 groups of countries – Western European, Eastern European and CIS countries – with each one of these groups representing a different development stage, to find out whether the determinants of public spending efficiency differ between countries in different development stages. The main result of the empirical research is that in developed countries the main determinants of government spending effectiveness are found to be the quality of economic institutions, but access to financial markets is more pronounced in developing countries.
    Keywords: Fiscal policy, Procyclicality, Institutional quality, Panel data
    JEL: E62 E32 E02 D73
    Date: 2016–07–07
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:aze:wpaper:1605&r=cis
  32. By: Danilov, Yury (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA))
    Abstract: In the paper, the issue of advancing development of the financial sector is being investigated. Based on the calculations performed, the paper demonstrates that this process has been suspended on a global scale after the 2008 crisis, but it shows the different behavior of the financial sector segments in different countries with developed and developing financial markets. It is shown that the limits of the outstripping growth of the financial sector are likely to have been the causes of the 2008 crisis. Working hypotheses have been formulated regarding the relationship of this process with other trends in the development of the world economy. The main threats to the Russian economy in connection with the advancing development of the financial sector are formulated.
    Date: 2017–05
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:rnp:wpaper:051708&r=cis

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