nep-cis New Economics Papers
on Confederation of Independent States
Issue of 2017‒02‒12
twenty papers chosen by
Alexander Harin
Modern University for the Humanities

  1. Place and role of the Republic of Kazakhstan in the regulative mechanism “Eurasian Economic Union” By Alexey Tenetko
  2. The reform of budget legislation in the Russian Federation from 2000 to 2015: objects, features and results By Elena Kornienko
  3. National audit and control of the observance of the budgetary legislation in the Russian Federation By Elena Kornienko; Maksim Kornienko
  4. Problems of the institution of taxation in Russia By Yuliya Borovkova
  5. Analysis and prospects of development of the tourism industry in Russia By Dmitriy Demyanov
  6. National strategies of managing the development of small and medium business By Tatyana Bukhtiyarova; Andrey Blinov
  7. Using tools of guaranteeing when realizing «antirecessionary» measures for financial supporting small business By Elena Tkach
  8. Model of estimation of the probability of bankruptcy in the oil and gas industry By Elena Tkach; Yuliya Khanafiyeva; Chekushina Irina
  9. Research and formation of the organizational-economic mechanism of management of timber industry complex By Tatyana Bukhtiyarova; Irina Khilinskaya
  10. Ukraine's Regional Economic Growth and Analysis of Regional Disparities By Svitlana Maksymenko
  11. The budget of Russia in the conditions of economic uncertainty: new approaches to planning By Marina Solodovnikova
  12. Energy Tariff Reform in Ukraine: Estimated Effects and Policy Options By Vasily Astrov; Leon Podkaminer
  13. Mechanism of Financial Supporting Development of Small and Medium Business By Natalia Korotina; Tatyana Bukhtiyarova; Andrey Blinov
  14. Regulative mechanism of integrative unity “Eurasian Economic Union”: problems and prospects By Alexey Tenetko
  15. Forming a model of infrastructural support of small and medium business By Tatyana Bukhtiyarova; Anna Dubynina
  16. The Behavioral and Psychological Consequences of a Nuclear Catastrophe: The Case of Chernobyl By Danzer, Natalia; Danzer, Alexander M.; Fehr, Ernst
  17. Modernization of production-based robotic systems – an important task of the state By Sergey Domrachev; Alina Zhuykova
  18. Development of pre-school education in Chelyabinsk region: modern tendencies and problems By Korotina, Natalya; Nechaeva, Svetlana
  19. On President Putin’s popularity: Evidence from survey experiment on the streets of Moscow By Mecheva, M.
  20. Improving financial support to small businesses as a condition to ensure the economic security of the region By Elena Tkach; Anastasiya Belanova

  1. By: Alexey Tenetko (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration, Chelyabinsk branch)
    Abstract: The article analyzes the most characteristic features of integrative processes in the former Soviet Union area, considers the aspects of developing regulative mechanisms of Eurasian Union including peculiarities of the Republic of Kazakhstan participating in these processes.
    Keywords: Eurasian Economic Union, integrative unions, Kazakhstan, integration, international economic organizations
    JEL: F0
    Date: 2016–12
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:rnp:ppaper:ch1629&r=cis
  2. By: Elena Kornienko (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration, Chelyabinsk branch)
    Abstract: The article gives a brief chronology of reforming budget legislation in the Russian Federation from 2000 to 2015. The prominence is given to intensifying the importance in the part of increasing effectiveness of using budget funds and making budget projection in the context of changing and planned conditions of social and economic development of the Russian Federation.
    Keywords: reform of budget legislation, budget system, budget projection
    JEL: K0
    Date: 2015–11
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:rnp:ppaper:ch1631&r=cis
  3. By: Elena Kornienko (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration, Chelyabinsk branch); Maksim Kornienko (Chelyabinsk Institute of Economy and Law)
    Abstract: The article considers the legislative framework of the government auditing of forming and controlling budgetary legislation execution. The author presents the extracts from the reports of the Counting Chamber of the Russian Federation for 2014, and also the main problems and directions of controlling federal budget execution of the RF for 2015
    Keywords: auditing of forming and controlling execution, federal budget, budgetary legislation
    JEL: K0
    Date: 2015–11
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:rnp:ppaper:ch1632&r=cis
  4. By: Yuliya Borovkova (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration, Chelyabinsk branch)
    Abstract: The article considers the development of the tax system in Russia as an institution from the early 90s. The author analyzes problems of theoretical character as well as those arising when introducing legislative innovations into practical activity
    Keywords: taxation, institution, tax system, tax code, tax monitoring
    JEL: K0
    Date: 2015–11
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:rnp:ppaper:ch1634&r=cis
  5. By: Dmitriy Demyanov (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration, Chelyabinsk branch)
    Abstract: The article analyses the development of tourism industry in Russia. The author states the background for economic and investment rise of the industry on the basis of comparative methods of statistic selection of data. The main factors preventing from encouraging investments are defined
    Keywords: quality of life, tourist cluster, Russian tourism product
    JEL: R0
    Date: 2015–11
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:rnp:ppaper:ch1638&r=cis
  6. By: Tatyana Bukhtiyarova (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration, Chelyabinsk branch); Andrey Blinov (Branch of the Russian State University for the Humanities in Domodedovo)
    Abstract: Realization of the system of state strategic management of the development of small and medium business in Russia should be conducted in the direction of improving inter-sectoral strategic planning as well as organizational legal, organizational methodological, organizational managerial and institutional communicative backgrounds for realizing state policy of developing and stimulating effective functioning of economic institution – small business in the system of managing effectiveness of social and economic development of Russia The organizational economic mechanism of timber industry complex presupposes including the system of different institutions aimed at increasing effectiveness. Competition resistance of timber industry complex means the ability to use the existing potential during a long period of time, to realize strategic targets of development, providing stable market position
    Keywords: state strategic management, institutional environment, feedback links
    JEL: O0
    Date: 2015–11
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:rnp:ppaper:ch1643&r=cis
  7. By: Elena Tkach (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration, Chelyabinsk branch)
    Abstract: The article considers peculiarities of financial support of small business in the Russian Federation on the basis of using tools of guaranteeing credit exposure. The author defines the problems and ways of forming national guarantee system. Special attention is given to the necessity of developing tools of guaranteeing on the municipal level
    Keywords: financial support, state guarantee, national guarantee system, agency of credit guarantee, regional guarantee organization
    JEL: O0
    Date: 2015–11
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:rnp:ppaper:ch1645&r=cis
  8. By: Elena Tkach (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration, Chelyabinsk branch); Yuliya Khanafiyeva (Chelyabinsk State University); Chekushina Irina (Chelyabinsk State University)
    Abstract: The article considers different Russian and foreign models of estimating probability of bankruptcy at business enterprises. The authors point out pluses and minuses of the given models, study possibilities of applying them for enterprises of oil and gas industry. Taking into consideration the revealed drawback the authors have worked out their own model of estimating probability of bankruptcy, tested accuracy of the results obtained with the help of this model
    Keywords: probability of bankruptcy, model of estimation, diagnostics, bankruptcy
    JEL: L0
    Date: 2015–11
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:rnp:ppaper:ch1641&r=cis
  9. By: Tatyana Bukhtiyarova (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration, Chelyabinsk branch); Irina Khilinskaya (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration, Chelyabinsk branch)
    Abstract: Effective performance of timber industry complex in the Russian Federation is closely connected with the stable development of regional social and economic systems. The organizational economic mechanism of timber industry complex presupposes including the system of different institutions aimed at increasing effectiveness. Competition resistance of timber industry complex means the ability to use the existing potential during a long period of time, to realize strategic targets of development, providing stable market position
    Keywords: organizational economic mechanism, timber industry complex, competition resistance
    JEL: L0
    Date: 2015–11
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:rnp:ppaper:ch1637&r=cis
  10. By: Svitlana Maksymenko
    Abstract: Is here evidence that economic growth reduces poverty in Ukraine's regions which lag in industrial and agricultural development? To answer this question and analyze medium-range growth prospects, we build an econometric model consisting of four blocks - industry, agriculture, construction, and services - for all administrative regions of Ukraine. After adjusting a baseline 2015-2017 forecast for a structural break caused by a fall in production and applying exponential smoothing technique, we identify the top and bottom regional performers in different sectors of the economy. From the policy analysis perspective, we find that the rise in industrial production does not likely affect the level of poverty in the bottom regions. We also find that it is the agricultural growth that could potentially reduce poverty there. The paper discusses some alternative scenarios and development goals for a reduction in entrenched rural poverty in Ukraine.
    Date: 2016–01
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:pit:wpaper:6053&r=cis
  11. By: Marina Solodovnikova (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration, Chelyabinsk branch)
    Abstract: The article focuses on new approaches to fiscal planning in the context of macroeconomic instability, high volatility in oil prices in the world market. The analysis of changes in indexes of spendings in the federal budget during a short period is presented
    Keywords: budget, spendings of federal budget, budget planning
    JEL: K0
    Date: 2015–11
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:rnp:ppaper:ch1639&r=cis
  12. By: Vasily Astrov (The Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies, wiiw); Leon Podkaminer (The Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies, wiiw)
    Abstract: Energy sector reforms have for a long time been viewed as one of the most important challenges facing Ukraine. The most visible manifestation of reforms so far has been the steep hikes in energy tariffs for households to ‘market’ levels, above all for natural gas and central heating. The magnitude of gas tariff hikes in Ukraine and the short time span over which they have been implemented have been unprecedented they rose nearly ten times within less than two and a half years. Partly due to this, between 2013 and 2015 residential gas consumption in Ukraine declined by about one third and will probably fall by another 9% in 2016 according to our estimations, essentially meaning sacrifice of households’ living standards. Because of the higher energy payments, private consumption of other (non-energy) items has suffered as well. This is a disturbing development the suppressed demand for non-energy consumer goods represents a clear social loss in an economy which has been suffering from a persistent inadequacy of aggregate demand. At the same time, our analysis demonstrates that the magnitude of gas tariff hikes implemented in Ukraine has been clearly excessive when viewed from the production (cost) side. Under plausible assumptions regarding the dynamics of domestic gas production, residential consumption and gas import prices in the years to come, we come to the conclusion that the state-owned gas monopolist Naftogaz (and, via higher tax revenues, the government at large) will be accruing rents to the tune of at least 2% of GDP – essentially at the expense of the population. The source of this rent is the fact that the wholesale price for largely domestically produced gas has been set now on par with imported gas, which – after the recent sharp reduction in gas demand – is now needed only in limited quantities to cover the households’ needs. To amend the situation in the short run, the government should either extend the scope of energy subsidies to poor households or, even better, roll back the energy tariffs. The latter task should be relatively easy to accomplish as long as Naftogaz remains state-owned. In the longer run, various measures may be contemplated to improve energy efficiency in the household sector. In this vein, the government may consider extending the scope of subsidies, e.g. by providing lower interest rates and a higher reimbursement rate for energy-efficient loans, especially for the purpose of installation of heating meters in residential buildings. Government subsidies along these lines would be crucial in solving the long-term structural problem of excessive energy consumption, and should enjoy priority over the short-term task of fiscal consolidation.
    Keywords: energy demand, energy prices, Almost Ideal Demand System (AIDS)
    JEL: D12 Q4
    Date: 2017–02
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:wii:rpaper:rr:416&r=cis
  13. By: Natalia Korotina (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration, Chelyabinsk branch); Tatyana Bukhtiyarova (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration, Chelyabinsk branch); Andrey Blinov (Branch of the Russian State University for the Humanities in Domodedovo)
    Abstract: The authors present approaches to developing abstract theorems and practical recommendations aimed at evaluating demands of small and medium enterprises in resources. To increase effectiveness of their financial support it is necessary to develop the improved model of organizational economic mechanism of forming and realizing the financial police of developing small and medium business.
    Keywords: organizational economic mechanism, model, small business.
    JEL: O0
    Date: 2015–11
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:rnp:ppaper:ch1646&r=cis
  14. By: Alexey Tenetko (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration, Chelyabinsk branch)
    Abstract: The article gives general characteristics to Eurasian Union as a new regulative mechanism. The author also enumerates the problems of this mechanism
    Keywords: Eurasian Union, supranational mechanisms of regulation, integration
    JEL: F0
    Date: 2016–12
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:rnp:ppaper:ch1630&r=cis
  15. By: Tatyana Bukhtiyarova (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration, Chelyabinsk branch); Anna Dubynina (Financial University under the Government of the Russian Federation, Chelyabinsk branch)
    Abstract: The success of realizing economic potential of small and medium business depends to some extent on effectiveness of forming and realizing a system of managing infrastructure of developing small and medium business, business consulting, management training, regional supporting processes of developing small business
    Keywords: economic potential of a region, problems of developing small and medium business, infrastructural supporting small and medium business, venture guarantee funds
    JEL: O0
    Date: 2015–11
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:rnp:ppaper:ch1644&r=cis
  16. By: Danzer, Natalia; Danzer, Alexander M.; Fehr, Ernst
    Abstract: In modern economics, preferences are the unmoved movers of economic and social behavior. They are taken as given such that all social phenomena need to be explained by changes in beliefs or constraints. The assumption of given preferences constitutes however merely a convenient assumption that is not supported by evidence. Here, we examine the impact of radiation fallout after the nuclear catastrophe on the preferences and beliefs of the Ukrainian population. As the geographical distribution of radiation is essentially randomly determined by local and regional weather conditions, the radiation fallout after the catastrophe in Chernobyl constitutes a natural experiment. We find that people who were subjects to higher radiation after the catastrophe display stronger risk aversion and a higher discounting of future returns. They save less, are much less inclined to support democratic political institutions and market economies, and they engage less in political and civic activities. Because we exclude the people in the vicinity of Chernobyl from our sample, the radiation fallout "consumed" by our sample population is very low – comparable to the exposure of an average individual during one year in a non-contaminated environment. It is therefore highly unlikely that the direct health consequences of radiation fall out affect people's economic and political preferences. It rather seems that the impact is purely psychologically mediated and due to the pervasive uncertainty or fear stemming from the imagined future consequences associated with physically unnoticeable and unseizable radiation fall-out.
    JEL: A12 D03 D12
    Date: 2016
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:zbw:vfsc16:145944&r=cis
  17. By: Sergey Domrachev (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration, Chelyabinsk branch); Alina Zhuykova (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration, Chelyabinsk branch)
    Abstract: The article focuses on a very important task of the state – modernization of production-based robotic systems
    Keywords: modernization of production, Chelyabinsk region, robotic systems
    JEL: L0
    Date: 2015–11
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:rnp:ppaper:ch1636&r=cis
  18. By: Korotina, Natalya (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration, Chelyabinsk branch); Nechaeva, Svetlana (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration, Chelyabinsk branch)
    Abstract: The article analyzes material and technical resources, financial and staffing support of the system of pre-school education in Chelyabinsk region, shows up the problems and defines tendencies of its development.
    Keywords: pre-school education, availability of educational establishments, Chelyabinsk region
    JEL: I0 R0
    Date: 2015–12
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:rnp:ppaper:ch1611&r=cis
  19. By: Mecheva, M.
    Abstract: During his sixteen years in power Vladimir Putin has enjoyed high approval ratings. Despite a recent deterioration of Russia’s economy the President remains very popular. The research paper studies the possible effect of allegedly threatening media content on the support for Putin using survey experiments conducted on the streets of Moscow. The study explores whether experimentally induced anxiety may influence citizens’ support for a controversial internet censorship policy, and that, in turn, can help to understand whether people may alter their attitudes based on the frightening signals from media. The experimental evidence suggests that priming may induce confusion-anxiety emotions. The threatening effect of media content elicited by priming was not detected. The framing of internet censorship policy has merely a moderate effect on tested attitudes, suggesting that the level of Putin’s public support may not be that high.
    Keywords: Putin, survey experiment, media effects, terror management theory
    Date: 2016–12–29
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:ems:euriss:95660&r=cis
  20. By: Elena Tkach (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration, Chelyabinsk branch); Anastasiya Belanova (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration, Chelyabinsk branch)
    Abstract: The article considers the necessity to improve financial support of small business with the aim of providing economic security. Special attention is paid to the necessity of realizing tools of financial support of small enterprises on the regional level. The possibility of granting credit guarantees with the help of special guarantee institutions is studied as the main tool
    Keywords: economic security, small business, financial support, state guarantees
    JEL: R0
    Date: 2015–11
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:rnp:ppaper:ch1635&r=cis

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