nep-cis New Economics Papers
on Confederation of Independent States
Issue of 2009‒11‒14
three papers chosen by
Anna Y. Borodina
Perm State University

  1. Maternity leave in turbulent times: effects on labor market transitions and fertility in Russia, 1985-2000 By Theodore P. Gerber; Brienna Perelli-Harris
  2. Measuring Inequality of Well-Being with a Correlation-Sensitive Multidimensional Gini Index By Koen Decancq; Maria Ana Lugo
  3. The World Gas Market in 2030: Development Scenarios Using the World Gas Model By Daniel Huppmann; Ruud Egging; Franziska Holz; Sophia Ruester; Christian von Hirschhausen; Steven A. Gabriel

  1. By: Theodore P. Gerber; Brienna Perelli-Harris (Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany)
    Abstract: Maternity leave policies are designed to ease the tension between women’s employment and fertility, but whether they actually play such a role remains unclear. We analyze the individual-level effects of maternity leave on employment outcomes and on second conception rates among Russian first-time mothers from 1985-2000 using retrospective job and fertility histories from the Survey of Stratification and Migration Dynamics in Russia. During this period Russia experienced tremendous economic and political turbulence, which many observers believed would undermine policies like maternity leave and otherwise adversely affect the situation of women. Nevertheless, we find that maternity leave helped women maintain a foothold in the labor market, especially during the more turbulent post-transition period. Also, women who took extended leave in connection with their first birth had elevated rates of second conceptions once they returned to the workforce.
    Keywords: Russia, employment, fertility, maternity leave
    JEL: J1 Z0
    Date: 2009–11
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:dem:wpaper:wp-2009-028&r=cis
  2. By: Koen Decancq; Maria Ana Lugo
    Abstract: We propose to measure inequality of well-being with a multidimensional generalization of the Gini coefficient. We derive two inequality indices from their underlying social evaluation functions. These functions are conceived as a double aggregation functions: one across the dimensions of well-being, and another across the individuals. They differ only with respect to the sequencing of aggregations. We argue that the sequencing that does not exclude the Gini index to be sensitive to the correlation between the dimensions is more attractive. We illustrate both Gini indices using Russian household data on three dimensions of well-being: expenditure, health and education.
    Keywords: Multidimensional inequality, Single parameter Gini Index, Correlation increasing majorization, Russia
    JEL: D63 I31 O52
    Date: 2009
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:oxf:wpaper:459&r=cis
  3. By: Daniel Huppmann; Ruud Egging; Franziska Holz; Sophia Ruester; Christian von Hirschhausen; Steven A. Gabriel
    Abstract: In this paper, we discuss potential developments of the world natural gas industry at the horizon of 2030. We use the World Gas Model (WGM), a dynamic, strategic representation of world natural gas production, trade, and consumption between 2005 and 2030. We specify a "base case" which defines the business-as-usual assumptions based on forecasts of the world energy markets. We then analyze the sensitivity of the world natural gas system with scenarios: i) the emergence of large volumes of unconventional North American natural gas reserves, such as shale gas; ii) on the contrary, tightly constrained reserves of conventional natural gas reserves in the world; and iii) the impact of CO2-constraints and the emergence of a competing environmental friendly "backstop technology". Regional scenarios that have a global impact are: iv) the full halt of Russian and Caspian natural gas exports to Western Europe; v) sharply constrained production and export activities in the Arab Gulf; vi) heavily increasing demand for natural gas in China and India; and finally vii) constraints on liquefied natural gas (LNG) infrastructure development on the US Pacific Coast. Our results show considerable changes in production, consumption, traded volumes, and prices between the scenarios. Investments in pipelines, LNG terminals and storage are also affected. However, overall the world natural gas industry is resilient to local disturbances and can compensate local supply disruptions with natural gas from other sources. Long-term supply security does not seem to be at risk.
    Keywords: Natural gas, investments, reserves, climate policy
    Date: 2009
    URL: http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:diw:diwwpp:dp931&r=cis

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