|
on MENA - Middle East and North Africa |
| By: | Erzan, Refik |
| Keywords: | International Development, Labor and Human Capital |
| URL: | https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:ags:weprwp:259240 |
| By: | Mili, Samir |
| Abstract: | Fruits and vegetables (F&V) and olive oil are in South Mediterranean Countries (SMCs) two prominent agricultural activities in terms of contribution to national economy and exports. However, both are affected by inefficiencies and poor performance, in particular on the export market. In this paper we assess and compare performance factors between F&V and olive oil value chains (VCs) in Tunisia, Morocco, Egypt and Turkey, on the one side, and in Spain and Italy taken as benchmarks, on the other side. We propose an adapted Value Chain Maturity Model to benchmark performance factors in these VCs in SMCs. The proposed method could help to identifying poor performing areas in these VCs in order to suggest measures to improve their overall performance in general and export performance in particular. Findings confirm a robust association between VC maturity and performance. VC participants should learn from best practices and incorporate them for improvement, in particular in the areas of VC organization, responsiveness and technology adoption and implementation. In addition, more efficient agri-food exportation from SMCs needs more focus on trade facilitation issues including improvements in administrative procedures, infrastructure and technologies that reduce costs and time to export and facilitate investment. Further challenges outline the need for improvements in the areas of transparency, standards, certification, food safety, traceability and sustainability, taking into consideration that long-term partnerships are desired by international buyers to ensure product supply and quality. Public policies should be refocused towards these new challenges considering not only purely economic performance in these countries but also social development and environmental protection and resource preservation. |
| Keywords: | Agribusiness, International Relations/Trade |
| URL: | https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:ags:ief017:258145 |
| By: | Kubra Bolukbas; Mehmet Selman Colak |
| Abstract: | [TR] Turkiye'de kredi kartlari hem odeme hem de finansman araci olarak tum gelir gruplarinda yaygin bir sekilde kullanilmaktadir. Bu calismada, bireysel kredi karti (BKK) kullanim egiliminin bireylerin gelirleri ve kart limitleri ile olan iliskisi incelenmektedir. Calismada, kisi seviyesinde BKK bakiyesi, brut gelir ve kredi karti limit bilgilerini iceren kapsamli mikro veri setleri kullanilmistir. Bu cercevede, oncelikle bu iliskiye yonelik dagilimlar cesitli gostergeler yardimiyla sunulmustur. Daha sonra, BKK bakiyeleri ile gelir ve limit gostergeleri arasindaki esneklik test edilmistir. Analizler, gelir ve kart limiti ile BKK bakiyesi arasinda pozitif bir iliski oldugunu ve bu iliskinin limit artis hizina gore ayristigini ortaya koymustur. Son olarak, gelir seviyesinden bagimsiz olarak, asiri limite sahip olan bireylerin diger bireylere kiyasla daha dusuk limit doluluk oranina ve daha yuksek kart borcluluguna sahip oldugu bulgulanmistir. [EN] In Türkiye, credit cards are widely used across all income groups both as a payment and financing tool. In this study the relationship between personal credit card (PCC) usage tendency and individuals' incomes and card limits is examined. The study utilizes comprehensive microdata sets containing PCC, gross income, and card limit at the individual level. Accordingly, first, the distributions regarding this relationship are presented using various indicators. Subsequently, the elasticity between PCC balances and income/limit levels is tested. Analyses reveal that there is a positive relationship between income, card limit and PCC balance, and this relationship differs according to different limit increase rates. Finally, it is found that individuals with excessive credit limits, regardless of income level, have lower limit occupancy rates and higher card indebtedness compared to other individuals. |
| Date: | 2025 |
| URL: | https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:tcb:econot:2523 |
| By: | Akdim Ahmed (USMS - Université Sultan Moulay Slimane); Said Housni (UIT - Université Ibn Tofaïl); Mohamed Jallal El Adnani (Polydisciplinary Faculty - Sultan Moulay Slimane University - Maroc - USMS - Université Sultan Moulay Slimane) |
| Abstract: | L'objectif de papier scientifique est d'explorer et identifier les déterminants de l'attractivité du territoire régional Béni Mellal Khénifra (BMK) et s'arrêter sur les obstacles qui entravent la décision d'investissement et d'installation des entreprises nationales et étrangères ainsi que la pertinence de leur existence sur le territoire en question. Le modèle conceptuel proposé a été à l'aide d'une revue de littérature sur les facteurs déterminants de l'attractivité de la Région BMK. Le recueil des données analysées est assuré à l'aide d'une enquête par questionnaire réalisé auprès des entreprises, étudiants, élus, entrepreneurs et dirigeants des entreprises installées dans la Région BMK. Sur le plan empirique, l'approche Partial Least Square (PLS) a été mobilisée afin de tester le lien de causalité entre les variables explicatives et l'attractivité régionale. De la sorte, les résultats recueillis montrent que les facteurs présentés, notamment, les facteurs de ressources naturelles, de notoriété de marque, de digitalisation de services et d'infrastructures agissent positivement sur l'attractivité de la région BMK. Ainsi, à la lumière des résultats de ce papier, des solutions pourraient être proposées aux décideurs publics, aux entreprises et à l'administration afin d'améliorer l'attractivité territoriale de la Région BMK. |
| Keywords: | African Scientific Journal, SMART PLS, Determinents, Structural equations, Beni Mellal Khenifra Region, SMART PLS Territorial attractiveness, déterminants, équations structurelles, Région Béni Mellal Khénifra, Attractivité territoriale, Attractivité territoriale Région Béni Mellal Khénifra équations structurelles déterminants SMART PLS Territorial attractiveness Beni Mellal Khenifra Region Structural equations Determinents SMART PLS |
| Date: | 2025–10–29 |
| URL: | https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:hal:journl:hal-05415645 |
| By: | Asmaa Chouhaibi (UM5 - Université Mohammed V de Rabat [Agdal]) |
| Abstract: | : Au-delà de ses partenaires classiques, le Maroc s'oriente vers une diplomatie économique plus stratégique et plus offensive sur le continent africain, surtout vers les pays d'Afrique subsaharienne. Aussi conscient des opportunités dont disposent le continent, de son ancrage et de son identité africaine, le Maroc est devenu aujourd'hui le 2e investisseur en Afrique, après l'Afrique Sud, et le premier en Afrique de l'Ouest. En effet, l'essor des rapports économiques et commerciaux entre le Maroc et l'Afrique de l'Ouest est sujet d'une stratégie renouvelée de la politique africaine du Royaume. Cette stratégie reflète la revitalisation des liens historiques transsahariens. Marqué par sa diversité, le secteur bancaire marocain s'est imposé comme poids lourd dans l'espace Ouest africain avec une présence directe dans 10 pays de la région, après quelque timides actions au cours des années 1990. Cette présence remarquable nous a incités à consacrer notre travail sur l'analyse de l'implantation des banques marocaines en Afrique de l'Ouest, en prenant le cas de l'Union Economique et Monétaire Ouest Africaine (l'UEMOA). L'étude a pris le cas de deux grandes banques marocaines implantées dans ladite région, dont nous avons analysé le degré du taux de bancarisation, le poids de concentration du système bancaire au sein de l'Union, aussi déterminer les indicateurs d'efficience, de rentabilité, et les indicateurs de risque et de stabilité. |
| Keywords: | UEMOA, diplomatie., banque, Afrique de l’Ouest, Maroc |
| Date: | 2025–10–11 |
| URL: | https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:hal:journl:hal-05364488 |
| By: | Yassine Hosni (Chouaib Doukkali University); Sanae Biaz (Chouaib Doukkali University); Mohamed Amine Aboukinane (Chouaib Doukkali University); Salma El Joud (Chouaib Doukkali University); Widad Ouaddar (Chouaib Doukkali University); Asma Namyech (Chouaib Doukkali University) |
| Abstract: | Dans un contexte où le taux de chômage marocain atteint 13, 3 % avec une inadéquation persistante entre compétences et besoins des entreprises, cette revue de littérature narrative, menée dans un paradigme positiviste, analyse les interactions entre responsabilité sociétale des entreprises (RSE) et employabilité. S'appuyant sur les théories du capital humain (Becker, 1964) et des parties prenantes (Freeman, 1984), elle identifie trois dimensions de convergence : sociale et communautaire, stratégique, et organisationnelle. Cette recherche établit un cadre conceptuel intégré articulant RSE et employabilité autour de la responsabilité territoriale, l'engagement multipartite et la création de valeur durable. Elle contribue à la littérature en démontrant que l'employabilité devient progressivement un objet de RSE, transformant les entreprises d'acteurs recruteurs en développeurs proactifs de compétences communautaires. Les résultats suggèrent l'adoption d'approches intégrées combinant stratégies RSE et développement de l'employabilité territoriale dans le contexte des initiatives marocaines. |
| Keywords: | M51, Responsabilité Sociétale des Entreprises, Employabilité, Capital Humain, Développement Communautaire, Morocco Classification JEL: M14, M51 Corporate Social Responsibility, L21, Maroc JEL Classification : M14, Morocco Classification JEL: M14 L21 M51, Talent Management, Community Development, Human Capital, Employability, Maroc JEL Classification : M14 L21 M51 Corporate Social Responsibility, ESG, RSE, employabilité, maroc, communautaire |
| Date: | 2025 |
| URL: | https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:hal:journl:hal-05372896 |
| By: | Malik Dongla; Mohamed Khalafalla |
| Abstract: | Construction industries in developing countries face systemic challenges such as chronic project delays, cost overruns, and regulatory inefficiencies. This paper presents a system dynamics (SD) modeling framework for analyzing policy and resource dynamics within the construction sector in Sudan, with broader applicability to Least Developed Countries (LDCs). The model incorporates key variables related to workforce, material supply, financing, and policy delays, and is calibrated using genetic algorithms (GAs) based on sectoral data and expert input. Simulation results across four policy scenarios indicate that regulatory reform and workforce training are the most effective levers for improving project performance. Specifically, implementing streamlined regulatory procedures reduced project delays by up to 32%, while investment in human capital decreased cost overruns by 28% over a 10-year simulation horizon. In contrast, scenarios focusing solely on material supply or financial inputs produced limited gains without corresponding policy or labor improvements. Sensitivity analysis further revealed that the system is highly responsive to macroeconomic stability and public investment flows. The study demonstrates that a hybrid SD-GA modeling approach offers a valuable decision-support tool for policymakers seeking to improve infrastructure delivery under uncertainty. Recommendations include phased regulatory reforms, targeted capacity building, and integrating modeling tools into strategic infrastructure planning in LDCs. |
| Date: | 2026–01 |
| URL: | https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:arx:papers:2601.02405 |
| By: | Orhun Ozel |
| Abstract: | This study examines the import intensities of Turkish manufacturing firms following a large exchange rate shock. It focuses on the heterogeneities between exporters and domestic sellers in a difference-in-differences setup. The findings suggest that the exchange rate shock caused significant reductions in the import intensities of the investigated firms. The sudden depreciation affected domestic sellers considerably more than exporters, forcing them to decrease their imports and turn to local alternatives more than exporters. The study further explores the reasons for the differentiation by analyzing various firm characteristics. The results suggest that the difference between domestic sellers and exporters is prevalent for high technology sectors, for firms producing more complex products, and for firms producing lower domestic value-added products. In these groups, exporters do not switch to local alternatives as much as domestic sellers. The decision to switch to domestic alternatives is sensitive to the existence of suitable domestic substitutes for currently imported intermediate inputs, especially for exporters. Drawing on these findings, the paper attempts to make a macro-level inference about the import demand function in Türkiye and arrives at an estimate of 0.51 for the exchange rate elasticity of imports. |
| Keywords: | Trade balance, Import demand function, Exchange rate shock, Difference-in-differences, Heterogeneous firms |
| JEL: | F14 F31 F49 |
| Date: | 2025 |
| URL: | https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:tcb:wpaper:2518 |
| By: | Reka, Husein; van Kessel, Robin; Mossialos, Elias; Groot, Wim; Pavlova, Milena |
| Abstract: | Private Health Insurance (PHI) in Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries has experienced rapid growth over the past two decades, driven by demographic and economic changes. Although various analyses at the country level have been reported, no study has reviewed PHI systems in the GCC through a methodological approach. We provide a conceptual framework to review, describe and document the development of PHI in the GCC, based on literature from the scoping review. As of December 2023, all GCC countries have laws in place or have promulgated laws establishing mandatory PHI schemes. Most of these schemes are designed for expatriate populations residing in these countries, but there is a trend to extend them to nationals working in the private sector. The health system context plays a role in how PHI emerged and is designed in terms of role, eligibility, and coverage. PHI markets in the region are concentrated and dominated by local companies with performance levels that could be further improved. These markets are maturing and subject to more robust technical and prudential regulations as governments seek to enhance competition. Governments in the region must ensure the sustainable growth of these schemes and a more strategic alignment with health system objectives. Lessons learned from more mature markets are critical for future developments. |
| Keywords: | Gulf cooperation council; healthcare finance; private health insurance; scoping review; transformation |
| JEL: | F3 G3 |
| Date: | 2026–06–30 |
| URL: | https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:ehl:lserod:130865 |
| By: | Fisher, Monica; Cavicchioli, Martina; Kirui, Oliver; Chamberlin, Jordan; Siddig, Khalid; Alarabi, Sundus; Ahmed, Mudar; Abdalla, Ali Omer; Njoroge, Brian |
| Keywords: | International Development |
| Date: | 2025 |
| URL: | https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:ags:aaea25:361003 |
| By: | Shehata, Gaber Ahmed Bassyouni |
| Abstract: | The research aims mainly to study food security of edible oils in Egypt through studying of several sub-goals represented in: estimating models of general trends function for some economic indicators of edible oils in Egypt during the period (2001-2015), studying of the most important indicators of food security of edible oils, estimating the size of the food gap of edible oils and knowledge of the most important factors responsible for it, and studying the policies and tools to achieve food security of edible oils in Egypt. Descriptive and quantitative analysis were used. The study depends on secondary data, which collected from local and foreign sources during the period (2001 – 2015). A study models of the general trend function for economic indicators showed that each of the total domestic production of edible oils, domestic consumption, the average per capita consumption, the amount of edible oils imports, food gap of edible oils, the price of Egyptian imports of edible oils and periods of coverage of domestic production found that all of these variables has taken a general trend upward statistically significant at the level of probability (0.01) with the exception of a variable of coverage period of local production for daily consumption , capita consumption and food gap of edible oils which took a general trend upward statistically significant at 5% level, and also did not identify the statistical significance of the variables of self-sufficiency rate and the period of coverage of imports for daily consumption , while the annual growth rates differed according to each variable. The conduct study shows that the most important variables specific to the food gap of edible oils is annual average per capita consumption of edible oils which the impact of this variable on edible oils gap be positive. The study showed that the strategic stock for edible oils is estimated at 173 thousand tons and the average local consumption of edible oils is estimated at about 1.5 million tons during the study period (2001-2015), thus estimated food security of about 0.21 is therefore required to take various actions which lead to increase the size of the strategic stock of edible oils enough for half of it needs for domestic consumption even come close to the value of suitable coefficient of edible oils food security. The study showed that the policies and tools to achieve edible oils food security include horizontal agricultural development policy, vertical agricultural development policy, the policy of rationalizing the consumption of edible oils, policy of consumer subsidy of edible oils, and the policy of diversifying sources of imported edible oils. In the light of the results of the study illustrated by research it has been possible to reach some of the following recommendations: 1- Increasing of edible oils production through the expansion of oil crops which grow in the new land. 2- Increasing of edible oils productivity crops through dissemination of edible oils varieties of high productivity and to suit every center of administrative centers in Egypt. 3- Rationalizing the consumption of edible oils during dismiss the size of it. 4- To achieve food security has to be the need to develop awareness programs for the application of planning policy breeds where it is one of the most important determinants of the demand for Egyptian imports of edible oils. 5- It is important to put a national strategy to increase the self-sufficiency ratio of edible oils with the need to import and distribute the amounts of diversification between different sources in order to avoid what might happen from political pressure in favor of the Egyptian economy is in the case of international political conditions change. 6- It is necessary to study the reduction commitments of subsidy granted to the production and export in the edible oils-exporting countries in order to reduce the negative effects on the Egyptian saving. |
| Keywords: | Agribusiness |
| URL: | https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:ags:ief017:258185 |
| By: | Yhlas Sovbetov; Hami Saka |
| Abstract: | This paper investigates both short and long-run interaction between BIST-100 index and CDS prices over January 2008 to May 2015 using ARDL technique. The paper documents several findings. First, ARDL analysis shows that 1 TL increase in CDS shrinks BIST-100 index by 22.5 TL in short-run and 85.5 TL in long-run. Second, 1000 TL increase in BIST index price causes 25 TL and 44 TL reducation in Turkey's CDS prices in short- and long-run respectively. Third, a percentage increase in interest rate shrinks BIST index by 359 TL and a percentage increase in inflation rate scales CDS prices up to 13.34 TL both in long-run. In case of short-run, these impacts are limited with 231 TL and 5.73 TL respectively. Fourth, a kurush increase in TL/USD exchange rate leads 24.5 TL (short-run) and 78 TL (long-run) reductions in BIST, while it augments CDS prices by 2.5 TL (short-run) and 3 TL (long-run) respectively. Fifth, each negative political events decreases BIST by 237 TL in short-run and 538 TL in long-run, while it increases CDS prices by 33 TL in short-run and 89 TL in long-run. These findings imply the highly dollar indebted capital structure of Turkish firms, and overly sensitivity of financial markets to the uncertainties in political sphere. Finally, the paper provides evidence for that BIST and CDS with control variables drift too far apart, and converge to a long-run equilibrium at a moderate monthly speed. |
| Date: | 2025–12 |
| URL: | https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:arx:papers:2512.07887 |
| By: | Isachenko, Daria |
| Abstract: | Ankara's role in Central Asia is often assessed through the "Great Game" lens, in which Turkey is supposed to challenge the influence of Russia and China. On the one hand, such a perspective attests to the growing role of Turkey in the region. On the other hand, this view ignores the agency of Central Asian states and the established multi-vector foreign policies, meaning that cooperation with Ankara is a complement to, rather than a replacement for, their interactions with other actors. As the European Union (EU) seeks to engage in Central Asia, its approach will need to accommodate the diversification pattern prevailing in the region. |
| Keywords: | Central Asia, Turkey, Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Uzbekistan, Cyprus, multi-vector foreign policies, North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO), European Union (EU), Turkish Cooperation and Coordination Agency (TIKA), Organization of Turkic States (OTS), Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS)" |
| Date: | 2025 |
| URL: | https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:zbw:swpcom:334557 |
| By: | Lynch, Patricia D.; Fahmy, Hoda |
| Keywords: | Consumer/Household Economics, International Development, Production Economics |
| URL: | https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:ags:weprwp:259657 |
| By: | Gasmi, Farid; Kouakou, Dorgyles; Metevier, Samantha; Noumba Um, Paul |
| Abstract: | The emigration of highly educated and skilled individuals from low- and middle- to high-income countries has often been synonymous with human capital losses for the countries of origin, a phenomenon known as "brain drain" (Bhagwati and Hamada, 1974). However, under some conditions, these losses can be offset by human capital formation in the source countries precisely due to emigration. In this case, one talks about "beneficial brain drain" and this phenomenon has been coined "brain gain" (Stark et al., 1997, 1998). Using data on the Kingdom of Morocco covering the 1980-2022 period, we investigate the extent to which the government drew economic benefits from an important population of Moroccans living abroad by implementing return migration policies. More specifically, we explore the effects of measures targeting the Moroccan diasporas and their contributions to the Kingdom's economy on (i) the attractiveness of the Kingdom for foreign investors; (ii) the quality and capacity of the country's commercial air and maritime transport infrastructure; and (iii) the level of modernization of its public administration. The data analysis shows that these measures had a positive impact on each of these key dimensions of development, suggesting that this type of policies can be effective in capturing some of the "brain gain" effects that have been highlighted in the empirical literature on the relationship between emigration and development in developing countries (Beine et al., 2001, 2008; Batista et al., 2025). |
| Keywords: | Kingdom of Morocco; Brain drain; Brain gain; Return migration policy; Foreign; investment; Commercial transport; Public administration. |
| JEL: | F21 H54 J24 O11 O15 O55 |
| Date: | 2026–01 |
| URL: | https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:tse:wpaper:131254 |
| By: | Sulhan Yildirim; Ahmet Emre Yilmaz |
| Abstract: | [EN] The Turkish banking sector has a significant share of access to Türkiye’s external funding. The purpose of this study is to identify the impact of different risk states on the Turkish banking sector’s external debt rollover ratio, which indicates how efficiently banks have access to external funding. In this context, the relationship between the credit default swap premium and long-term rollover ratio for the period December 2012-December 2024 is examined through Markov Switching Dynamic Regression model. The estimation results show two significant risk states along with low transition probabilities between both states. The findings imply that an increase by 100 basis points in the credit default swap premium leads to a decrease by 26.1 and 8.3 percentage points in long-term rollover ratio in low- and high-risk states, respectively. [TR] Turkiye’nin dis finansmana erisiminde Turk bankacilik sektoru onemli bir paya sahiptir. Bu calismanin amaci bankalarin dis finansmana ne kadar etkin bir sekilde erisebildigini gosteren Turk bankacilik sektorunun dis borc cevirme orani uzerinde farkli risk donemlerinin etkisini tespit etmektir. Bu kapsamda, Aralik 2012-Aralik 2024 donemi icin kredi temerrut takasi primi seviyesi ile uzun vadeli dis borc yenileme orani arasindaki iliski Markov Degisen Rejimli Dinamik Regresyon Modeli kullanilarak incelenmistir. Tahmin sonuclari iki anlamli risk doneminin yani sira her iki donem arasindaki gecis olasiliklarinin dusuk oldugunu gostermektedir. Bulgular, kredi temerrut takasi primindeki 100 baz puanlik artisin dusuk ve yuksek risk donemlerinde dis borc yenileme oranini sirasiyla 26, 1 ve 8, 3 yuzde puan azalttigini ima etmektedir. |
| Date: | 2025 |
| URL: | https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:tcb:econot:2522 |
| By: | Houdret, Annabelle; Ftouhi, Hind; Bossenbroek, Lisa; Belghazi, Amal |
| Abstract: | Dans de nombreuses régions (semi)arides, les femmes rurales sont au coeur des dynamiques liées à l'eau - et par conséquent très affectées par la pénurie. Celle-ci affecte leur quotidien, leurs activités agricoles, leurs initiatives économiques et leurs réseaux de solidarité qui dépendent directement de la disponibilité de la ressource. Ces femmes sont souvent à la fois plus vulnérables aux changements climatiques à cause d'un accès parfois difficile aux services publics, à la terre, à l'eau et aux institutions. En même temps, ces femmes jouent un rôle central pour le développement rural des oasis, notamment à travers leur savoir-faire, leurs initiatives et leur capacités d'adaptation. Ce Policy Brief analyse les expériences des femmes dans les oasis du Sud-Est marocain. Il montre que le stress hydrique agit comme un facteur multidimensionnel qui redéfinit les tâches domestiques, les pratiques agricoles, les opportunités économiques et les formes de sociabilité des femmes, ainsi que leur contribution au développement. Il signale trois défis majeurs des femmes en zones rurales vulnérables : (a) un accès limité aux ressources (terre, crédit, infrastructures, éducation) ; (b) des formations inadaptées aux réalités rurales et aux besoins; et (c) des normes sociales freinant leur présence dans les espaces de décision. L'hétérogénéité des femmes rencontrées et de leurs besoins souligne le besoin d'approches ciblées et diverses. L'exemple marocain montre également l'importance de considérer l'eau dans toutes ses dimensions : domestique, agricole, économique et institutionnelle. Ceci permettrait de mieux comprendre à la fois la vulnérabilité des femmes, et leur contribution au développement durable. Les enseignements tirés des oasis marocaines offrent ainsi un repère pour d'autres pays (semi-) arides, en soulignant quatre leviers d'action pour les institutions marocaines et les politiques de développement : 1. Produire et diffuser des données genrées. Collecter des informations désagrégées par sexe, âge, statut socio-économique et autres. Cartographier les vulnérabilités, les ressources et les compétences des femmes • Assurer une meilleure circulation de ces données entre terrain et décideurs pour un soutien adapté. 2. Soutenir l'accès des femmes aux services publics, à la terre et aux crédits. Promouvoir l'accès aux services de santé et d'éducation suivant les besoins spécifiques ainsi que l'accès aux crédits et à la terre 3. Soutenir les initiatives féminines. Appuyer les initiatives collectives et individuelles par des formations adaptées, un accès au financement et à la valorisation, et la commercialisation des produits. 4. Accompagner le changement des normes sociales et la représentation institutionnelle. Intégrer les dimensions culturelles et sociales dans les politiques et programmes de développement. Promouvoir une évolution des représentations sociales sur les rôles et capacités des femmes. Valoriser la diversité des initiatives féminines et faciliter la participation des femmes dans les instances de gouvernance y compris de l'eau par des formations et sensibilisations. |
| Keywords: | changement climatique, genre, Maroc, ressources en eau, developpement rural, cooperatives, oasis, pénurie d'eau, Moeyen Orient et Afrique du Nord |
| Date: | 2025 |
| URL: | https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:zbw:idospb:334585 |
| By: | Said Housni (Faculty of Economics and Management, Ibn Tofail University, Kenitra, Morocco.); Ahmed Akdim |
| Abstract: | Dans un contexte de forte concurrence, le désenclavement des territoires devient un enjeu crucial pour le développement économique et social des pays. Le renforcement des infrastructures favorise la création de la richesse, stimule la génération d'emplois décents au bénéfice de la population régionale en contribuant à la réduction des disparités régionales. Au Maroc, conscients de l'importance de désenclavement des provinces du Sud et l'amélioration de leur connectivité interne et externe, les pouvoirs publics ont choisi visiblement de décliner le Programme de Développement des Provinces du Sud (PDPS) sur la période 2015-2021. Territorialement, les décideurs publics de la région Guelmim-Oued Noun (GON) considèrent les investissements dédiés à la construction et la modernisation du réseau routier et aérien un choix stratégique susceptible d'avoir un impact d'entraînement sur le renforcement de la compétitivité de l'économie de la région GON. Cette vision ambitieuse s'inscrit dans une logique de veille à l'exécution des Contrats-programmes signés avec l'État, visant la réalisation de l'ensemble de projets inscrits dans le PDPS. Une méthodologie quantitative a été mobilisée, reposant sur l'administration d'un questionnaire auprès de 100 bénéficiaires du PDPS. L'objectif principal est d'évaluer l'impact de la mise en œuvre de ce programme public sur le désenclavement de la population de la région GON. L'application de la modélisation par équations structurelles (SEM) révèle que l'impact du PDPS sur le désenclavement de la population régionale et sur l'amélioration de la connectivité territoriale de la région GON demeure limité. |
| Keywords: | SPDP, Structural equations, Jamovi, Guelmim-Oued Noun region, Opening up, Équations structurelles, Jamovi Impact assessment, Région Guelmim-Oued Noun, Désenclavement, PDPS, Évaluation d'impact, Évaluation d'impact PDPS Désenclavement Région Guelmim-Oued Noun Équations structurelles, Jamovi Impact assessment SPDP Opening up Guelmim-Oued Noun region Structural equations, Jamovi, Jamovi., Équations structurelles |
| Date: | 2025–08–14 |
| URL: | https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:hal:journl:hal-05353180 |
| By: | Asmaa Chouhaibi (Université Mohammed V de Rabat) |
| Abstract: | L'évolution de la politique africaine du Maroc, illustre la volonté du pays dans le renforcement des relations avec les autres pays du continent. En effet, le Maroc a réussi à élaborer une approche graduelle et à connecter son modèle de développement aux politiques publiques suivi par les autres pays africains. Le renforcement des relations entre le Maroc et les pays du continent prend appui sur les acquis nationaux en matière de développement et de la capacité à partager les expériences réussies. Dans ce cadre, la ZLECAF ouvre la voie à un marché africain intégré, porteur d'opportunités incomparables pour les entreprises marocaines. En saisissant cette opportunité, le Maroc consolide son rôle de leader économique en Afrique. Le travail suivant cherche à étudier l'impact de l'intégration du Maroc à la ZLECAF, tout en analysant les accords de libre échanges précédemment conclus avec les pays africains, aussi, les échanges commerciaux marocains avec le continent, afin de déterminer la valeur ajoutée de cet nouvelle accord. |
| Keywords: | Afrique AfCFTA, trade, agreements, Morocco, Africa Digital Object Identifier (, Maroc, accords, échanges commerciaux, ZLECAF, ZLECAF échanges commerciaux accords Maroc Afrique AfCFTA trade agreements Morocco Africa Digital Object Identifier ( |
| Date: | 2025–10–21 |
| URL: | https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:hal:journl:hal-05371713 |
| By: | Souibgui, Moez; Ben Zina, Naceur |
| Abstract: | This paper examines the theoretical foundations and methodological challenges of assessing border effects in international trade. The border effect serves as an empirical tool to evaluate economic integration by analyzing trade flows and internal exchanges within a region or country. Using gravity models, which effectively capture the impact of economic size, distance, and trade agreements on bilateral trade, this study investigates the trade relationship between the Union of the Maghreb (UMA) and the European Union (EU) from 1995 to 2016. The findings indicate a significant border effect, with intra-Maghreb trade being 3.68 times higher than trade between the UMA and the EU, despite preferential agreements with Europe. Globalization has transformed the role of borders, yet they remain crucial in shaping trade and economic policies. While the Maghreb belongs to multiple regional organizations, its economic integration remains limited, reinforcing dependence on the EU. Additionally, security concerns, including migration and counterterrorism, increasingly influence trade relations. The study concludes that globalization does not eliminate borders but redefines them. Despite increased connectivity and trade liberalization, economic, political, and security factors continue to shape international trade dynamics, highlighting the enduring significance of borders in global economic relations. |
| Keywords: | Border effects, gravity model, international trade, globalization, trade flows |
| JEL: | A11 E0 |
| Date: | 2025–12–18 |
| URL: | https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:pra:mprapa:127388 |
| By: | Oguzhan Cepni; Ismail Genc; Lokman Gunduz; Muhammed Hasan Yilmaz |
| Abstract: | Using a unique dataset of house prices and a difference-in-differences methodology, we find that households in Istanbul reassessed the risks associated with earthquakes following the Kahramanmaraþ Earthquake Sequence on February 6, 2023. The increase in both housing prices and rental rates was relatively subdued in Istanbul neighborhoods with high earthquake risk compared to those in low-risk areas. Furthermore, houses built before the Turkish Earthquake Code of 2007 are heavily discounted in high-risk areas relative to those constructed afterward. Finally, the earthquake risk premium observed in house prices in low-risk areas was smaller in percentage terms for more expensive neighborhoods. These findings have important policy implications for the implementation of earthquake-resistant measures in Turkiye. |
| Keywords: | Difference-in-differences, Kahramanmaraþ earthquake, Earthquake risk premium, House prices |
| JEL: | D80 Q54 R21 R30 |
| Date: | 2025 |
| URL: | https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:tcb:wpaper:2517 |
| By: | Elhaj Mustafa Ali, Mohammed; Mahjoub Elsheikh, Manal; Sami Omar Mohamed, Marwa; Kamal Zakarea Abdullah, Mageda |
| Abstract: | This study investigates youth unemployment in Eastern Sudan using primary data from 385 respondents aged 15–24, alongside secondary data from the 2022 Sudan Labor Market Panel Survey (SLMPS), with particular focus on the repercussions of the April 15, 2023 war. The analysis indicates that the post-war unemployment reached 75.32%, with 83.1% of respondents experiencing long-term joblessness — a sharp rise from the pre-war rate of 24.66% recorded in the SLMPS. Major contributing factors include a 46.33% job loss rate, a 44.26% decline in employability, and a 26.56% shift toward informal work. The socioeconomic consequences are severe, encompassing educational disruptions (80.8%), housing loss (28.1%), food shortages (26.2%), health problems (22.9%), and psychological trauma (14.0%), all of which heighten vulnerability. Logistic regression results indicate that age, gender, and urban residency significantly influence unemployment, while internet access reduces the likelihood of joblessness by 14.0%. Resilience analysis reveals that 47.53% of youth exhibit no coping capacity, while only 27.01% demonstrate high resilience through entrepreneurial or multifaceted strategies. Urban residents and internally displaced persons display relatively stronger adaptive capacity—driven by access to networks, informal markets, and digital tools—whereas refugees and rural youth remain most fragile. Policy recommendations emphasize stimulating labor demand through local investment, expanding digital literacy, promoting gender-inclusive education, and integrating resilience-building interventions to foster youth adaptability and sustainable recovery in Eastern Sudan. |
| Keywords: | youth unemployment, Eastern Sudan, war impact, gender, displacement, logistic regression |
| JEL: | C25 I32 J13 J64 O15 |
| Date: | 2025–12–23 |
| URL: | https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:pra:mprapa:127418 |
| By: | Yazed Alruthia; Sara Aldallal; Hana A Al-Abdulkarim; Ahmed Al-Jedai; Hajer Almudaiheem; Anas Hamad; Khalifa Elmusharaf; Mouza Saadi; Hamda Al Awar; Haleama Al Sabbah; Suliman Alghnam; Mohamed Al Ghamdi; Sarah S Monshi; Nada Alagil; Mohamed Ebrahim Al Khalifa; Qasim Abdulkarim; Sawsan Abdulkarim; Huda Jawad; Sultana Al-Sabahi (National Tuberculosis Reference Laboratory, Central Public Health Laboratories, Ministry of Health, Muscat, Oman.); Asiya Al Kindi; Said Wani; Abdullah Alibrahim |
| Abstract: | Following the discovery of oil, citizens of the Cooperation Council for the Arab States of the Gulf (GCC), which includes Bahrain, Kuwait, Qatar, Oman, the United Arab Emirates, and Saudi Arabia, have enjoyed the benefits of universal healthcare. However, as the population and healthcare demands in the GCC continue to grow, financing these healthcare systems without adequately considering the value of reimbursed health technologies and the effectiveness of various policies has become increasingly challenging. While numerous narrative reviews and government reports have discussed the healthcare systems in these nations, they have not sufficiently addressed the approval processes, economic evaluations, and reimbursement mechanisms for health technologies. In response to this gap, experts in health economics and outcomes research (HEOR) from the Gulf Health Economics Association -recognized as key opinion leaders in public health and academia across the six GCC countries -conducted a focus group discussion. This focus group meeting, which was recorded and transcribed verbatim to be later thematically analyzed, aimed to characterize the current |
| Keywords: | Oman, Persian Gulf), Arabian Gulf, Qatar, United Arab Emirates, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, GCC (Bahrain, healthcare efficiency, healthcare finance, healthcare system, health technology assesement (HTA), GCC (Bahrain Saudi Arabia Kuwait United Arab Emirates Qatar Oman Arabian Gulf Persian Gulf) |
| Date: | 2025–03–25 |
| URL: | https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:hal:journl:hal-05341274 |
| By: | Sami Elbadri (Université Ibn Tofail / FEG Kénitra (Maroc)); Rachid Elbadri; Redouane Oubal (Ministère de la santé et de la protection social / Institut Supérieur des Professions Infirmières et Techniques de Santé -ISPITS de Kenitra (Maroc)); Mounia Cherkaoui |
| Abstract: | Résumé Cette étude explore les défis et les opportunités de l'implémentation de modèles prédictifs basés sur l'IA et le Big Data dans les supply chains d'entreprises marocaines. Une approche qualitative a été adoptée, utilisant des entretiens semi-directifs avec cinq responsables de la grande distribution, de l'industrie et des services. Les résultats révèlent des motivations sectorielles distinctes : la grande distribution se concentre sur la réduction des ruptures de stock, l'industrie sur l'optimisation des coûts, et les services sur l'amélioration de l'expérience client. Les bénéfices perçus incluent une amélioration significative de la précision des prévisions et une optimisation des coûts. Cependant, des défis majeurs persistent, notamment la qualité des données, la résistance au changement et le déficit de compétences. L'étude souligne l'importance d'une approche socio-technique, où la réussite dépend de l'articulation entre dimensions techniques et humaines. Ces résultats offrent des insights précieux pour les praticiens et contribuent à la littérature académique sur l'implémentation de l'IA dans les supply chains des économies émergentes. Mots clés : Intelligence artificielle, Big Data, supply chain, modèles prédictifs, entreprises marocaines. Abstract This study explores the challenges and opportunities of implementing predictive models based on AI and Big Data in the supply chains of Moroccan companies. A qualitative approach was adopted, using semi-structured interviews with five managers from the retail, industrial, and service sectors. The results reveal distinct sector-specific motivations: retail focuses on reducing stock-outs, industry on cost optimization, and services on improving customer experience. Perceived benefits include a significant improvement in forecast accuracy and cost optimization. However, major challenges persist, notably data quality, resistance to change, and skills gap. The study underscores the importance of a socio-technical approach, where success depends on the alignment between technical and human dimensions. These results provide valuable insights for practitioners and contribute to the academic literature on the implementation of AI in the supply chains of emerging economies. Keywords : Artificial intelligence, Big Data, supply chain, predictive models, Moroccan companies. |
| Abstract: | Déclaration de divulgation : L'auteur n'a pas connaissance de quelconque financement qui pourrait affecter l'objectivité de cette étude. |
| Keywords: | African Scientific Journal, Intelligence artificielle Big Data supply chain modèles prédictifs entreprises marocaines Artificial intelligence Big Data supply chain predictive models Moroccan companies, Intelligence artificielle, Big Data, supply chain, modèles prédictifs, entreprises marocaines Artificial intelligence, predictive models, Moroccan companies |
| Date: | 2025 |
| URL: | https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:hal:journl:hal-05361808 |