nep-ara New Economics Papers
on MENA - Middle East and North Africa
Issue of 2026–04–13
eleven papers chosen by
Paul Makdissi, Université d’Ottawa


  1. Assessing the maturity of construction supply chains in Morocco: Towards a performance-oriented information systems adoption model. By Adnan El Bouazzaouy; Ilham Iqqi; Mostapha Amri
  2. Morocco: Selected Issues By International Monetary Fund
  3. Formal and Informal Labor Demand in Egyptian Manufacturing Firms By El-Haddad, Amirah; Krafft, Caroline; Selwaness, Irene; Assaad, Ragui
  4. Islamic Finance and Green Investment in GCC Countries: Empirical Insights into Sustainable Development Using GMM Estimation By Saida Daly
  5. SITUATION REPORT: IRAN CONFLICT DIGITAL TRACE DATA ANALYSIS - EXPERIMENTAL By Rowe, Francisco; Cabrera, Carmen; Pietrostefani, Elisabetta; Nasuto, Andrea; Beltran, Emiliano
  6. Morocco: 2026 Article IV Consultation and Review Under the Flexible Credit Line Arrangement-Press Release; Staff Report; and Statement by the Executive Director for Morocco By International Monetary Fund
  7. Impact de l'IA sur la performance organisationnelle : le rôle médiateur du burnout et modérateur de l'IE By Khadija Moumtaz
  8. Arab Republic of Egypt: Fifth and Sixth Reviews Under the Extended Arrangement Under the Extended Fund Facility and First Review Under the Resilience and Sustainability Arrangement, Requests for Rephasing of Access, Extension of the Arrangements, Waiver of Nonobservance of Performance Criterion, and Modification of Performance Criteria-Press Release; and Staff Report By International Monetary Fund
  9. The concept of economic real property: a comparative study of French law, Moroccan law and Common law By Badr Guelida
  10. Republic of Yemen: 2025 Article IV Consultation-Press Release; Staff Report; and Statement by the Executive Director for Republic of Yemen By International Monetary Fund
  11. Logistical Dynamics and Territorial Recompositionin Tangier: Towards a Multicriteria Assessment By Ibrahim Majjaj; Mohammed Filal

  1. By: Adnan El Bouazzaouy (ENCG Casablanca); Ilham Iqqi (ENCG Casablanca); Mostapha Amri (ENCG Casablanca)
    Abstract: Assessing the maturity of construction supply chains in Morocco: Towards a performance-oriented information systems adoption model.
    Date: 2025–12–18
    URL: https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:hal:journl:hal-05557736
  2. By: International Monetary Fund
    Abstract: Selected Issues
    Date: 2026–03–30
    URL: https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:imf:imfscr:2026/073
  3. By: El-Haddad, Amirah (German Institute of Development and Sustainability (IDOS)); Krafft, Caroline (University of Minnesota); Selwaness, Irene (Faculty of Economics and Political Science, Cairo University); Assaad, Ragui (University of Minnesota)
    Abstract: This paper investigates the determinants and dynamics of labour demand and specifically informal labour in Egypt’s manufacturing sector, using nationally representative firm-level data. We analyse the determinants of total employment, the share of informal labour, and its average annual change over the firm life cycle. Three key findings emerge. First, employment is positively associated with capital, exporting, innovation, industrial zones, worker training, and managerial education, and negatively associated with sole proprietorships, wages, and total factor productivity. Second, informal employment is more common among private sector firms, sole proprietorships, and firms using more part-time workers, and less prevalent among firms adopting technology or led by more educated managers. Third, although most formal firms exhibit no change in the share of informal workers, formal firms that did not initially employ informal labour tend to increase their informal share, while firms that formalised continue to rely heavily on informal employment. Together, these findings underscore the persistence of informality and limited transitions toward full formalisation within Egypt’s formal manufacturing sector.
    Keywords: Manufacturing, labour demand, informality, Egypt
    JEL: J23 L6 L11 O17
    Date: 2026–03
    URL: https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:iza:izadps:dp18500
  4. By: Saida Daly ("Department of Economics and Finance, College of Business and Economics, Qassim University, P.O. Box 6640, Buraidah 51452, Qassim, Saudi Arabia Department of Economics Faculty of Economic Sciences and Management of Mahdia, University of Monastir, Monastir 5000, Tunisia" Author-2-Name: Author-2-Workplace-Name: Author-3-Name: Author-3-Workplace-Name: Author-4-Name: Author-4-Workplace-Name: Author-5-Name: Author-5-Workplace-Name: Author-6-Name: Author-6-Workplace-Name: Author-7-Name: Author-7-Workplace-Name: Author-8-Name: Author-8-Workplace-Name:)
    Abstract: " Objective - This study investigates the role of Islamic finance and green investment in promoting sustainable development in the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries. Grounded in Shariah principles such as risk-sharing and ethical investment, Islamic finance provides a viable framework for supporting environmental transformation. Methodology/Technique – The GCC region provides a relevant context given its strong Islamic financial systems, hydrocarbon dependence, and sustainability-oriented national strategies. Using panel data from 2005 to 2022, the study employs a dynamic panel model estimated through the Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) to examine the effects of Islamic finance and green investment on CO₂ emissions per capita and renewable energy consumption, while controlling for GDP per capita, trade openness, and institutional quality. Findings – The findings indicate that Islamic finance and green investment significantly reduce emissions while promoting renewable energy adoption. Novelty – This study contributes to the literature by jointly examining their roles in shaping both environmental quality and energy transition in GCC countries, an area that remains underexplored. Type of Paper - Empirical"
    Keywords: Islamic finance, GCC, green investment, sustainability, SDGs, GMM estimation
    JEL: G21 Q43 Q56 O13
    Date: 2026–03–31
    URL: https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:gtr:gatrjs:jfbr234
  5. By: Rowe, Francisco (University of Liverpool); Cabrera, Carmen (University of Liverpool); Pietrostefani, Elisabetta; Nasuto, Andrea (University of Liverpool); Beltran, Emiliano
    Abstract: Conventional data sources to monitor population displacement in Iran following the outbreak of war on 28 February 2026 are limited due to existing sanctions, active hostilities, information controls and restricted humanitarian access. This situation report uses digital trace data as an alternative way to measure likely population dynamics in near real time during the reporting period. We leverage Cloudflare HTTPS request data as the main proxy for relative changes in population presence at the provincial level. Despite Internet blackouts, Cloudflare HTTPS request data can still provide informative signals of population activity because these blackouts rarely affect the entire network all at once. Small levels of external connectivity often persist through selected networks, partial routing or brief restoration periods, and fundamental services such as banking and medical services remain in operation. Our Cloudflare-based estimates capture relative shifts in population presence across provinces - not flows or absolute counts. Readers are strongly encouraged to consult the caveats before interpreting findings. We assessed and validated the patterns from our Cloudflare-based estimates against Farsi Wikipedia pageviews and Iran Strike Map event data. Our Cloudflare-based estimates display a clear geographic pattern and evolution of displacement as the conflict evolves. They indicate early displacement towards border provinces near Turkey, Armenia and Azerbaijan, with later concentration in North-central and Eastern provinces — complementing IOM DTM cross-border data recording approximately 40, 000 departures between 3 and 10 March, primarily to Afghanistan, Pakistan, Turkey and Azerbaijan. A more complete analysis will follow in a subsequent report.
    Date: 2026–03–30
    URL: https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:osf:socarx:4s7ve_v1
  6. By: International Monetary Fund
    Abstract: Real GDP growth accelerated to 4.8 percent in 2025Q1:Q3, supported by a rebound in agricultural output and a surge in large-scale infrastructure projects. Inflation remained low, allowing Bank Al-Maghrib to maintain a neutral policy stance after earlier rate cuts. The current account widened moderately as imports rose with investment, partly offset by buoyant tourism. Revenue overperformance has been used for additional spending on investment and transfers and a slightly faster than expected reduction in the overall fiscal deficit to 3.5 percent of GDP. Structural reforms are advancing in key areas, and implementation of health, education, and employment strategies is being accelerated. Morocco’s hosting of large international events (including the 2030 FIFA World Cup) and the upgrade to investment grade by S&P reflect strong investor confidence and open new opportunities for growth.
    Date: 2026–03–30
    URL: https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:imf:imfscr:2026/072
  7. By: Khadija Moumtaz (UH2C - Université Hassan II de Casablanca = University of Hassan II Casablanca = جامعة الحسن الثاني (ar))
    Abstract: Impact de l'IA sur la performance organisationnelle : le rôle médiateur du burnout et modérateur de l'IE
    Date: 2025–12–18
    URL: https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:hal:journl:hal-05557734
  8. By: International Monetary Fund
    Abstract: Adequately tight monetary and fiscal policies, together with exchange rate flexibility, have helped restore macroeconomic stability. However, limited progress on deeper reforms, especially the stalled divestment agenda, continues to weigh on medium-term growth, keeps gross financing needs high, and constrains fiscal space for priority social spending, putting key program objectives at risk. With less than a year remaining under the program, the scope for corrective action is increasingly narrow. The authorities’ planned reforms to reduce the state footprint and level the playing field, adopt a more comprehensive active debt management strategy, and strengthen risk management in state-owned banks are necessary steps toward advancing the program’s objectives.
    Date: 2026–03–26
    URL: https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:imf:imfscr:2026/069
  9. By: Badr Guelida (UM5 - Université Mohammed V de Rabat [Agdal])
    Abstract: Real property is one of the fundamental rights that one seeks to own. It plays a significant role in meeting both social and economic needs. The concept of economic real property takes its origins from the Romanian law reflects two opposing facets: the first is expressed as "positive ownership", which is the effective exercise of management power over a thing that one does not legally own, potentially to realize benefits , in one's own interest and in the interest of the legal owner, the latter being certain to eventually gain full ownership of the asset itself or a substituted asset, or its value.and the second as "passive ownership" whereas at the end of the term, for the complete ownership of an asset (or of a substituted asset or its value) for which one is not the legal owner, and on which the legal owner exercises, during this time, the power of management in the interest, for the benefit, of the economic owner to whom can possibly be added (but never exclusively) their own interest. This paper aims to examine how real estate property is impacted by economic factors in Moroccan and comparative law. The comparative legal methodology is adopted to study the spirit of the different legal systems, namely the French law due to historical considerations and the Anglo-Saxon law. The findings of the study reveal that economic factors contribute to the development emersion of a novel approach to real property.
    Abstract: La propriété immobilière constitue l'un des droits fondamentaux auxquels tout individu aspire. Elle joue un rôle essentiel dans la satisfaction des besoins à la fois sociaux et économiques. Le concept de propriété immobilière économique trouve son origine dans le droit romain, qui met en évidence deux facettes opposées : La première, dite « propriété positive », correspond à l'exercice effectif du pouvoir de gestion sur une chose dont on n'est pas le propriétaire légal, dans le but d'en tirer des avantages, à la fois dans son propre intérêt et dans celui du propriétaire légal. Ce dernier est assuré d'obtenir, à terme, la pleine propriété du bien lui-même, d'un bien de remplacement ou de sa valeur. La seconde, dite « propriété passive », renvoie à la situation inverse : à la fin du terme, la pleine propriété d'un bien (ou d'un bien de remplacement, ou de sa valeur) revient à une personne qui n'en est pas le propriétaire légal, tandis que, durant cette période, le propriétaire légal exerce le pouvoir de gestion du bien dans l'intérêt et au bénéfice du propriétaire économique, auquel peut éventuellement s'ajouter (sans jamais l'exclure totalement) son propre intérêt. Cette étude a pour objectif d'examiner comment la propriété immobilière est influencée par les facteurs économiques dans le droit marocain et dans une perspective de droit comparé. La méthodologie juridique comparative est adoptée afin d'analyser l'esprit des différents systèmes juridiques, notamment le droit français, pour des raisons historiques, et le droit anglo-saxon. Les résultats de cette recherche révèlent que les facteurs économiques contribuent à l'émergence et au développement d'une nouvelle approche du droit de propriété immobilière.
    Keywords: Comparative law, Propriété immobilière, Real contract, Real property, Economic property, Droit comparé, Fiducie, Contrat immobilier, Trust propriété économique
    Date: 2026–01–26
    URL: https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:hal:journl:hal-05545019
  10. By: International Monetary Fund
    Abstract: After years of civil war, Yemen remains one of the world’s most fragile states. Since 2014, the internal conflict has resulted in significant macroeconomic vulnerabilities and a marked decrease in income per capita, leaving over half of the population in need of humanitarian support. The economy entered a deep recession after oil exports halted in 2022, making Yemen an oil importer. The fiscal and external deficits deteriorated sharply at the onset but have since narrowed, driven by compression of government spending and private demand amid high inflation, currency depreciation, and lower real incomes.
    Date: 2026–04–03
    URL: https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:imf:imfscr:2026/080
  11. By: Ibrahim Majjaj (Laboratoire d’économie, gestion et digitalisation (EGD) FSJES TANGER - Economie Gestion et Digitalisation); Mohammed Filal (Laboratoire de Gouvernance publique, politiques publiques et études administratives internationales et douanières)
    Abstract: The rapid economic transformation of Tangier has significantly reshaped the territorial organization of the region and raises critical questions regarding the strategic role of logistics in regional competitiveness and attractiveness. This study examines how logistics facilities influence urban spatial structures and shape the socio-economic dynamics of the territory. The research is built on a dual approach: (i) a conceptual clarification of the relationships between logistics, territorial planning and regional development, and (ii) a multi-criteria territorial analysis based on cartographic work integrating economic, sociodemographic and environmental indicators. The results highlight a strong correlation between the expansion of logistics infrastructures, the economic specialization of the city and the growing demand for employment. They also underline the decisive influence of public planning strategies in structuring logistics locations and guiding the territorial reconfiguration of Tangier. The study underscores the need for integrated and sustainable planning approaches to effectively accompany these dynamics.
    Abstract: L'accélération des dynamiques économiques à Tanger transforme profondément l'organisation territoriale et pose la question du rôle stratégique joué par la logistique dans l'attractivité et la compétitivité de la région. Dans ce contexte, cette étude interroge la manière dont les implantations logistiques structurent l'espace urbain et influencent les dynamiques socio-économiques du territoire. La recherche s'appuie sur une double approche : (i) une clarification conceptuelle des liens entre logistique, aménagement du territoire et développement territorial, et (ii) une analyse territoriale multicritère fondée sur une cartographie élaborée à partir d'indicateurs économiques, sociodémographiques et environnementaux. Les résultats montrent une forte corrélation entre l'expansion des infrastructures logistiques, la spécialisation économique de la ville et l'augmentation de la demande d'emploi. Ils soulignent également l'impact déterminant des politiques publiques d'aménagement dans la structuration des implantations logistiques et dans la recomposition territoriale de Tanger. L'étude met en évidence l'importance d'une planification intégrée pour accompagner durablement ces dynamiques.
    Keywords: Tanger, clusters logistiques, aménagement du territoire, logistique urbaine, logistique, Tangier, logistics clusters, territorial planning, urban logistics, Tanger logistics, logistique logistique urbaine aménagement du territoire clusters logistiques Tanger logistics urban logistics territorial planning logistics clusters Tangier
    Date: 2025
    URL: https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:hal:journl:hal-05458122

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